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"excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T10:49:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T20:26:50.478Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cbf996843d05560afdbef560", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Czech Republic 1-2 Croatia", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T10:49:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T20:26:50.478Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-544ab440475b11569d9353f6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "we are expecting Spain to navigate their way to yet 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"s-2ffe5c8e8e97", "display_name": "Lillestrom — Plzen", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/lillestrom-vs-plzen-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Lillestrom 1-1 Plzen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, 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"Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Lillestrom 1-1 Plzen" }, { "observation_id": "n-c624889601fbe16b560d66b1", "quote_text": "We say: Real Sociedad 2-1 Lyon", "fragment_from": 5044, "fragment_to": 5074, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", 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"scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Sociedad 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "11f2d868c3bb7f669cc85889670d447c7260afeb9ffb9caa91a67679cb467c31", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Real Sociedad", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais" }, { "observation_id": "n-7abd7165bf4b730756be4e8e", "quote_text": "We say: AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid", "fragment_from": 835, "fragment_to": 869, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/champions-league/feature/real-madrid-to-continue-winning-run-wednesdays-champions-league-predictions_608316.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8d1294b1adfbc6a5caefd5d5561c7a97d056076b421b43a20db94d9ec84a8c56", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:10:14.571Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c654ce8fca9d", "display_name": "AEK Athens — Real Madrid", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:10:14.571Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AEK Athens 2-3 Real Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3d4ed67929a13170cdfa9f25db4d158053c31ec531b2dd4d7c059d89ce89861a", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Real Madrid", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/champions-league/feature/real-madrid-to-continue-winning-run-wednesdays-champions-league-predictions_608316.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid" }, { "observation_id": "n-114f4766c29b2380a59b6e05", "quote_text": "We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "fragment_from": 7682, "fragment_to": 7722, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/champions-league/feature/real-madrid-to-continue-winning-run-wednesdays-champions-league-predictions_608316.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8d1294b1adfbc6a5caefd5d5561c7a97d056076b421b43a20db94d9ec84a8c56", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:10:14.571Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f45b0ac9f3ae", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Real Betis", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T01:10:14.571Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8a0587e8555865ac563df13fd255485e4ac5b12964ea60c50e389706495c6450", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/champions-league/feature/real-madrid-to-continue-winning-run-wednesdays-champions-league-predictions_608316.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis" }, { "observation_id": "n-08fa31942c0c240bb2d7817d", "quote_text": "We say: Manchester United 1-3 Roma", "fragment_from": 8042, "fragment_to": 8076, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/champions-league/feature/man-utd-to-end-winless-run-tuesdays-champions-league-predictions_608264.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "349c9e1a3aa48cd8de4a82f7681a73b0f419f0d4180916e1cacda737761c33a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T01:10:24.839Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": "repeats another statement", "cause_code": "duplicate", "event": { "event_id": "s-3fb835fda98b", "display_name": "Manchester United — AS Roma", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-as-roma-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Manchester United 1-3 AS Roma", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T01:10:24.839Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Manchester United 1-3 AS Roma", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Manchester United 1-3 AS Roma" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Manchester United 3-2 AS Roma." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "054fbc04a37c2f0f5034d7f5a213f7eb3d955ad0c4475e4d8f2a398d50c9a059", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Manchester United 1-3 AS Roma", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e796d03fe32318b6ff38e2c3387b4aff12a739fe620fbe84b7ea7ec923bc7b71", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": 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"correction": null, "choice_words": "Manchester United 1-3 AS Roma" }, { "observation_id": "n-7102c42edc7f98f8beab819b", "quote_text": "We say: Racing de Santander 1-3 Real Madrid", "fragment_from": 5102, "fragment_to": 5145, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/racing-vs-real-madrid-prediction-team-news-lineups_608064.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a38f72a14295bda8ad572dc43aff32c34e647db53c1bcd0686f569a74e6ae01d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:51:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T11:05:52.639Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-83a08c2a2eca", "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Real Madrid", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": 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"stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2083, "executed_at": "2026-11-01T14:13:00.863Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/racing-vs-real-madrid-prediction-team-news-lineups_608064.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Real Racing Club 1-3 Real Madrid" }, { "observation_id": "n-454d6ce347135e7ffb0776c7", "quote_text": "We say: Barcelona 3-1 Alaves", "fragment_from": 4295, "fragment_to": 4323, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/barcelona-vs-alaves-prediction-team-news-lineups_607884.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f176cd941e305827d313e722491521919bd52079592f2c1b20b9a85880351c0e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T15:26:13.107Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": { "event_id": "s-d7731dc6fd99", "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Deportivo Alavés", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-deportivo-alaves-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "6-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T15:26:13.107Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "6-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Barcelona 6-1 Deportivo Alavés." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7e56487d822455a04da9898871fbae4581cd8b924250b0a358eeb79542974fcb", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/barcelona-vs-alaves-prediction-team-news-lineups_607884.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés" }, { "observation_id": "n-b56965658830dbe985dd5c7f", "quote_text": "We say: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo", "fragment_from": 3932, "fragment_to": 3969, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/rayo-vallecano/preview/rayo-vallecano-vs-celta-vigo-prediction-team-news-lineups_607895.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "820c6ff29da84738e8f2e1e33724feb896871581e1b9441b2e486086539ea082", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T09:09:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T06:10:46.744Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-cc323b5bd7d3", "display_name": "Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:15:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rayo-vallecano-vs-celta-vigo-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T09:09:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T09:09:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T06:10:46.744Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta Vigo." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8f6953627063d62b50c3ee524ad9558d64fcede49aa0e9e9196ea6696afea37e", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/rayo-vallecano/preview/rayo-vallecano-vs-celta-vigo-prediction-team-news-lineups_607895.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo" }, { "observation_id": "n-5cbd807a9d5ed27700718e74", "quote_text": "We say: Levante 0-1 Atletico Madrid", "fragment_from": 3899, "fragment_to": 3934, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/atletico-madrid/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/levante-vs-atletico-prediction-team-news-lineups_607887.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97356291abb499919ee8c84f1a78d67d54ee1c62f00d1eb540b84d647c8f18e0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T09:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T06:10:44.596Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d4720e9c48e9", "display_name": "Levante UD — Atlético Madrid", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T13:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/levante-ud-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Levante UD 0-1 Atlético Madrid", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T09:14:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T09:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T06:10:44.596Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Levante UD 0-1 Atlético Madrid", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "0-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Levante UD 0-1 Atlético Madrid" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Levante UD 0-2 Atlético Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e64b5cf4e1f7c5740c7076c014b18bb8a98ec3cffe7594cc1c19e2e48db5ac4b", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Atlético Madrid", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/atletico-madrid/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/levante-vs-atletico-prediction-team-news-lineups_607887.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Levante UD 0-1 Atlético Madrid" }, { "observation_id": "n-d3134cf519ca4081b069a7f1", "quote_text": "We say: Barcelona 3-1 Alaves", "fragment_from": 4304, "fragment_to": 4332, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/barcelona-vs-alaves-prediction-team-news-lineups_607884.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "300630ccb589a297de4b6d43c47d4837c6869ca0adcbb4d8a6adb5eff7ee96a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T09:30:24.918Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d7731dc6fd99", "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Deportivo Alavés", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-deportivo-alaves-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "6-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T08:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T09:30:24.918Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "6-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Barcelona 6-1 Deportivo Alavés." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "86ddb018ab3e5b662e5b9aab80c04361d0766dc5d1c25ff4fbea822d4ebbc233", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/race-for-the-la-liga-title/preview/barcelona-vs-alaves-prediction-team-news-lineups_607884.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés" } ] }