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"rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Sturm Graz 2-0 NK Celje", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Sturm Graz 2-0 NK Celje" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Sturm Graz 2-3 NK Celje." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1010901cc79d6252fb1df1d86e43adaeaa8f0d48b39af7a428b11c70ce65969b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Sturm Graz 2-0 NK Celje", "decimal_odds": "8.1000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T01:15:02.659Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4952a237cf2bbadb156bbafaf02af3fdb9a6eb7ef5a43ff9647c8eeb1b596756", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sturm Graz", "decimal_odds": "1.5362", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T01:15:04.183Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-608c8610ab96dbb41a11b70f", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-608c8610ab96dbb41a11b70f", "quote_text": "We say: Celta Vigo 1-1 Union SG", "fragment_from": 11130, "fragment_to": 11161, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-49b9652462549588e4bdf45f", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-49b9652462549588e4bdf45f", "quote_text": "We say: Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznan", "fragment_from": 10240, "fragment_to": 10271, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-4766d0504814", "display_name": "Benfica — Lech Poznań", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "4-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a9c76db2ba7bf0dcff13c2f7c196ab98bcd73958662dc0155e190c76e4730d55", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "decimal_odds": "1.1317", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 1317, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T01:15:01.879Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-86f6d8fd61e5b7bdee01e588", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-86f6d8fd61e5b7bdee01e588", "quote_text": "We say: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "fragment_from": 9314, "fragment_to": 9345, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4db86653ca14ab9cd13e1f129cc0a4afed6dc1bd6278fba14c38afdba3841ee4", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.6000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T01:14:58.163Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matt Law", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matt Law", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c10b0625db7b16128e8bdb40", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-c10b0625db7b16128e8bdb40", "quote_text": "We say: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1-2 OFI Crete", "fragment_from": 8486, "fragment_to": 8526, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a65d6e05e2e1d5b52038047e", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-a65d6e05e2e1d5b52038047e", "quote_text": "We say: Torreense 2-1 Ararat-Armenia", "fragment_from": 7525, "fragment_to": 7561, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5fdc27588457798cbda2b6b7", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-5fdc27588457798cbda2b6b7", "quote_text": "We say: Crystal Palace 2-2 Hoffenheim", "fragment_from": 6535, "fragment_to": 6572, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/feature/wins-for-bournemouth-sunderland-thursdays-europa-league-predictions_608372.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matt Law", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2f1c5719dafb4589c8b6e624136d988d7a943c9b27203a022fc41f973d9e3be1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-de2734d4b4c1", "display_name": "Crystal Palace — TSG Hoffenheim", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": 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"Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Crystal Palace 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Crystal Palace 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Crystal Palace 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "266562fd5540dbe0b6e9fb088195d6a646092f41721f22156d3a41e6d7b63c1c", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.9000", "odds_role": "market_price", 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Data: live record. 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"title-ae74d34facda" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 4.50 · Bodø/Glimt v Lille · 3 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-03", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-577b1147d082" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–2 · PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV · 4 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-04", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-c577b3058d18" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Real Betis v Málaga CF · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-33800ba43c80" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–0 · Lille v RC Lens · 30 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-30", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-fbe5e1e92586" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Real Sociedad v Levante UD · 25 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-25", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-f0a50e153f26" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact 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"url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-433dac7e76c9" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 4.00 · Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-05", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-3eae54df8ef5" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Correct score · 141 matches", "details_words": "Correct score 16/141 (141 matches); Match result (1X2) 4/10 (9 matches); Team goals and win to nil 0/2 (2 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 1/1 (1 match)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 16/141", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "C-01", "body": "Minority calls · 1/2", "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Minority calls", "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 4.50 · 3 Nov 2026", "details_words": "Bodø/Glimt v Lille · Draw at 4.50 (our pre-match price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Bodø/Glimt 2-2 Lille", "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/14/#pick-n-5dcbbd11e4d92d3ab5022ae3", "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" }, { "code_name": "E-01", "body": "Draw calls · 9/35", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Draw calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-01-draw-calls/" }, { "code_name": "E-03", "body": "Away calls · 24/43", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Away calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-03-away-calls/" }, { "code_name": "E-06", "body": "Non-favourite calls · 11/40", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Non-favourite calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/" } ], "history": [ { "code_name": "C-02", "body": "Only one right of 18 forecasters · Draw · Deportivo Alavés v Málaga CF · 23 Oct 2026 · removed 24 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "status": "corrected", "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record", "provenance": "live" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.70 · FC Bayern München v Arsenal · 21 Oct 2026 · removed 22 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-22", "status": "corrected", "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record", "provenance": "live" } ] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportsmole.co.uk", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/la-liga-predictions/feature/real-madrid-to-continue-winning-run-saturdays-la-liga-predictions_608571.html" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -99754, "staked_hundredths": 130000, "return_percent": "-76.73", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 13 settled live picks by Matt Law before kick-off across 13 matches between 11 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −76.7% on the total staked. Of the 292 predictions we hold for Matt Law, 173 are linked to matches: 173 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "13", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "13", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−997.54 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−76.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −100.0% to −40.2%" } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Matt Law across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Matt Law publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7000, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 246, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -19754, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -49754, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -99754, "n": 13 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "match_dates": 6, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -99754, "low": { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -99754, "after_picks": 13 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 246, "after_picks": 3 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 246, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -19754, "n": 5, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -49754, "n": 8, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -99754, "n": 13, "picks": 5 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 13 settled live picks by Matt Law before kick-off across 13 matches between 11 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −76.7% on the total staked. Of the 292 predictions we hold for Matt Law, 173 are linked to matches: 173 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matt-law/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 292, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 119, "proven_predictions": 173, "proven_checked": 166, "proven_measured": 156, "proven_dates": 25, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 173, "checked": 166, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 13, "void": 0, "matches": 13, "net_points_hundredths": -99754, "staked_hundredths": 130000, "return_percent": "-76.73", "interval_low": "-100.00", "interval_high": "-40.20", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "0.82", "return_other_percent": "0.30", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": 246, "net_other_points_hundredths": 91, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-17" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 143, "exact_hits": 17, "exact_rate": 11.9, "outcome_checked": 143, "outcome_hits": 76, "outcome_rate": 53.1, "baseline_matches": 102, "baseline_distinct_matches": 102, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 51, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 55, "favourite_rate": 53.9, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 5, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "17 of 143 score forecasts named the exact score (11.9%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 51 of 102 matches; the market favourite was right in 55 of the same 102 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 102 of 143 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 166, "priced": 13 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 13, "won": 2, "won_percent": "15.4", "implied_percent": "22.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "11.3" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "57.9" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 15, "right": 3, "wrong": 12, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-013b9dd0e7fd748084b7a2a5", "n-09062ef4cedeb47aaa8b45a4", "n-15665ce3e84cda9a94ca1133", "n-30fb9c3e51891c6d40250b98", "n-35f054ec4291f1c11c4b33bc", "n-5c8d73a51793f7051b47d13e", "n-7e8ace3da66526345bc042b4", "n-8253495f76eaa9bb379ef564", "n-8476bafc6c6cb4970f088765", "n-877ddfe3a33f0ac4f54c77de", "n-91d519f1ebde75886c757102", "n-a2137a7c0b88afc48ce2eae3", "n-a46fca8076ad17f748c71576" ], "interval_low": "-100.00", "interval_high": "-40.20", "caption": 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"recorded_at": "2026-10-14T09:09:50.751Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-def9cb68866953512f2f85e6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Slovan Bratislava 1-2 Stuttgart", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:09:50.697Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match 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"price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d52747318fec57d61726c0fd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:09:50.697Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8862adde6d166a13e276d320", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Real Betis 2-1 Porto", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:09:50.697Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-59a811a7325cec3a2f2ffbb4", "url": null, "match": null, 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"author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Roma 1-2 Real Madrid", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:09:50.697Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bbe273c1b0759e48d37ff88a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: LASK Linz 1-3 Liverpool", "group": "excluded", "outcome": 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"2026-10-13T00:09:48.564Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a3593e7b36722c1e79f5af50", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "I don't think they're going to win either of them.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-12T14:07:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T15:09:47.107Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match 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"platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6ede1fb0826be2b3dc4e1212", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Spain 3-0 Czech Republic", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T01:02:10.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e9225d7210b533de81ef44c8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: North Macedonia 0-1 Scotland", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T01:02:10.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, 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"match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Belarus 3-0 San Marino", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T01:02:10.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b8a632d038d39866d8deebcc", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Iceland 2-1 Bulgaria", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T01:02:10.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4e5361d733466919e1ca7561", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Finland 1-2 Albania", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T01:02:10.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0bcb923a37efffe48e65a438", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Portugal should still be able to navigate their way to all three points.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T21:55:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T22:09:21.506Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-40503e5ff0226289a9241432", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Portugal 2-1 Norway", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T21:55:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T22:09:21.506Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f0d0b6528c45770f1504c04f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Wales 2-2 Denmark", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T10:09:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T11:01:09.517Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9ed669965ddc78b2553b5db4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "It is difficult to back Serbia at the moment given their struggles, and we are expecting Netherlands to secure all three points in the Nations League fixture.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T09:36:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T10:09:45.037Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c237758bccb12a8dc4384b34", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Netherlands 2-0 Serbia", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T09:36:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T10:09:45.037Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-89ba636853568ddaf1b839d7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "we are backing the hosts to overcome a Germany team that will be missing a number of important players.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-02T09:07:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T10:09:46.290Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": 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"match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Poland 2-1 Romania", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3f4ea2d06505e8ee0f19b8a4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Ukraine 1-1 Northern Ireland", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1649bd88b301b8f89a5caee3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "expect Gyokeres to get on the scoresheet yet again in another victory for Sweden and Potter.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-001c8bb726ea14d25ea4e4b1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-3 Sweden", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b74d2af532ff730a520c5b5c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Belgium 2-1 Turkey", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8a387d1918e045ee52473821", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2857faa6f63167628d91dec8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Hungary 1-1 Georgia", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fff6eb29ba2be75d30560bb7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Cyprus 2-2 Armenia", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9ac9338324125a6e335d7fa3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Latvia 0-2 Montenegro", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ec1f0d77a991d80a4be71b42", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Kazakhstan 2-1 Moldova", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T00:07:24.495Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-049866fa32418919af60587c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Belarus 3-0 San Marino", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T13:38:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T14:09:53.932Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-24af4c142088152324b5f707", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "we just have a feeling that Albania will be able to navigate their way to all three points.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T12:48:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T13:04:38.753Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9041555b7b4f8dce558ccbeb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Finland 1-2 Albania", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T12:48:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T13:04:38.753Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b6c920243dac8c16792b4344", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Spain 3-0 Czech Republic", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-01T12:14:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T14:09:54.840Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7cfd29cde63b08080174cfda", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "The visitors should stay in the hunt for promotion to League A with victory in Debrecen", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:02:12.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-632cfc4a05f09ae3e2cb1e66", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Israel 1-2 Kosovo", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:02:12.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7a1b0e958e605e5c604e3bb8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "the hosts can fight hard for a point that ends their visitors' perfect start", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:02:12.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2ef76bd4ee1b1a2913d4696a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Republic of Ireland 2-2 Austria", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T23:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:02:12.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f8ec4a2cf8640ca0bf61a520", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to all three points.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, 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"settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-25T08:23:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:09:57.018Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d0b6bec9254d38756b72cbd5", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Montenegro 2-2 Cyprus", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, 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"kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -76080, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4262 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -86080, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14262 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -83997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12179 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -93997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22179 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -91497, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -19679 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -83997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12179 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -93997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 721 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -103997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9279 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -113997, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -19279 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -112680, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -17962 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -122680, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27962 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -132680, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -17762 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -142680, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27762 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -135687, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20769 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -145687, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30769 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 292, "pages": 16, "page_urls": [ "/authors/matt-law/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/2/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/3/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/4/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/5/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/6/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/7/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/8/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/9/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/10/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/11/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/12/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/13/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/14/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/", "/authors/matt-law/picks/16/" ], "groups": { "settled": 13, "pending": 1, "excluded": 278 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/matt-law/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Matt Law Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-c0f81d9742abd31cba2ba7b2", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Matt Law", "main_entity": "e-c0f81d9742abd31cba2ba7b2", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-c0f81d9742abd31cba2ba7b2", "medium": "Sports Mole", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk", "source_info": "sports-mole", "byline": "Matt Law", "url": "/sources/sports-mole/", "summary": { "statements": 1701, "predictions": 282, "settled_picks": 13, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -76.73, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-25", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-8396e9f1b85aa9dd0475e749", "medium": "Sports Mole", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk", "source_info": "sports-mole", "byline": "Matt Law", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 78, "predictions": 15, "settled_picks": 0, "headline_kind": null, "return_percent": null, "headline_part": null, "period_from": "2026-09-25", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "93c8038bfe42d5d905755554387b50ea2a8e749a808cd73f895347aed782459b" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-fc491501f33f83feee77", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-62.19", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9cece2bfa9cef0b57ab04402b639f644d0d497f898feda1fd74ba109ad522dd4", "text": "−497.54 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-76.73", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "93c8038bfe42d5d905755554387b50ea2a8e749a808cd73f895347aed782459b", "text": "−76.73% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-46b0a1de060f32524246", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-39.51", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bf6c79e9ecbdc7d00fa34c56a0bee85a3b35544b9e9e50d4d3286a788d5bf1bd", "text": "−197.54 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-62.19", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9cece2bfa9cef0b57ab04402b639f644d0d497f898feda1fd74ba109ad522dd4", "text": "−497.54 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-83fc61e98339b92b5c54", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "0.82", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7eb8a7b28d10b2ce67250be6b4976a3025dbedbaac43596bbb7cc794d69349db", "text": "+2.46 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-39.51", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bf6c79e9ecbdc7d00fa34c56a0bee85a3b35544b9e9e50d4d3286a788d5bf1bd", "text": "−197.54 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-430eee0502036f9767cc", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-39.51", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2b426c19cae3ea41a304d0447c1effb594fb9598969f1efe9927bb91e184ecfa", "text": "−197.54 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "0.82", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7eb8a7b28d10b2ce67250be6b4976a3025dbedbaac43596bbb7cc794d69349db", "text": "+2.46 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-6e9365ed62d4948ddbe4" }, { "id": "zc-e1b31ffd15766946777b", "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "-24.39", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2208d92634b1d2c3fa9afee0158e534c8bdb897b99dff7ef2b952fca83b48d97", "text": "−97.54 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-39.51", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2b426c19cae3ea41a304d0447c1effb594fb9598969f1efe9927bb91e184ecfa", "text": "−197.54 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-0d70b1859b07fb3cf5df", "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z", "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.3", "url": "/authors/matt-law/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "-56.67", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d8b3225761d2129ceba0fbe98edb124fd1b8f232d0840d1cb0234b56c13da9ba", "text": "−170.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "-24.39", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", 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