{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "history", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/", "canonical": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Mathias Bartsch — football predictions, page 25 of 31", "description": "Predictions 461–480 of 599 by Mathias Bartsch, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Page 25 of 31 of the predictions by Mathias Bartsch recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 461–480 of 599 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.", "key_number": "599", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 0, "date_count": 0, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:17.270Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "722d933916e0e80aaa50a8f3e5bf3797807c2674bd7c32b762f6c5f73d7bba19", "dependency_group": "author:e-abedfec7560572f42f8ba805", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/index.json", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": false, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": null, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-abedfec7560572f42f8ba805", "public_name": "Mathias Bartsch", "tracker_number": 2765, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-9e8b3d163eb60097432f9e5e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Aston Villa (-1)\nbei Bwin zu 1.95", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a77689d168357b9c157dfd06", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-a77689d168357b9c157dfd06", "match": "West Ham United v Nottingham Forest", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-18T13:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12373.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.4", "settled_price": "3.3000", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a77689d168357b9c157dfd06", "quote_text": "Tipp\n\nRemis\n\n3.40", "fragment_from": 1362, "fragment_to": 1379, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.498Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "West Ham United v Nottingham Forest", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-18T13:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.3000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.4", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Ham United 1-2 Nottingham Forest." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "49810fdb6bebc916122276c61bf40d3ec73454f0117c3b1d44f9acbd95ab0335", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.491Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "69f144f8402b2478317ffb3b634430045b14646128c79961c35a9056cb85c0ae", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.3000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.498Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-ae48dcc5edf97a9bfaef7143", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-ae48dcc5edf97a9bfaef7143", "match": "Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12320.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 3400, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.5", "settled_price": "1.3400", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ae48dcc5edf97a9bfaef7143", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nManchester City\nbei Bet365 zu 1.50", "fragment_from": 13175, "fragment_to": 13229, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.655Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Manchester City", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.3205", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3205, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester City 3-1 AFC Bournemouth." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3e6c4b10222920ba35eedd2da028bf320923069f95a2c4dcc9eed3bf72d6d478", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.646Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "414f1751c9dd019428ea5f75da7e15a1a79fe07a01aca8bd4b150f6061e3b933", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.3205", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3205, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.655Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e5ecaa7f9eaf4b4f42a4a94507bb20bd4142921b2bf4e964dee2c7d2c011947c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.3400", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3400, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.663Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Manchester City to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-aec2e4947106a56784a816c3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp\n\nAston Villa (-1)\n\n1.95", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c113d6ec6ff73d9cd8f60972", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-c113d6ec6ff73d9cd8f60972", "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-18T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12371.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.65", "settled_price": "3.7000", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c113d6ec6ff73d9cd8f60972", "quote_text": "Remis\nbei Betano zu 3.65", "fragment_from": 10076, "fragment_to": 10100, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.599Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-18T15:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.65", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.7000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.65", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5c8c80be7615a43344e1432a688647f34723ab542485782fd07acbcc8cef3e4a", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.65", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.590Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "0afb627bae191b65d6e63c783c4b7ec9fcad019ac59036d276e026495b13f60e", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.599Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5b2822f6c8ee1cee4a93724510fbe4cdd169f996392bacf42555158411896b48", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.607Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-cba81b950081384f3264efb1", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-cba81b950081384f3264efb1", "match": "Brentford v Fulham", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-18T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12373.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Brentford at 1.8", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.8", "settled_price": "2.0200", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-cba81b950081384f3264efb1", "quote_text": "Tipp\n\nBrentford\n\n1.80", "fragment_from": 1418, "fragment_to": 1439, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.548Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Brentford v Fulham", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-18T14:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-3" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Brentford", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.8", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.0000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "author_odds": "1.8", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brentford at 1.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brentford 2-3 Fulham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4744258561adc7b5f92d557681198984c62b0f8d73edb73ebdeb2f19d787d00f", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "1.8", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.540Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "88c929fb73fbaf8f4b04baca61d55c922428fe62aa67b092b62e9526c0bcc525", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "2.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.548Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9745a3993a2b08782f79fe290dde432759015ef5478e2692a17a3628b33d1ec8", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "2.0200", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.557Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brentford to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-d4c5cbebe4d12d0786ab734e", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-d4c5cbebe4d12d0786ab734e", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-19T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12344.1, "market_code": "draw_no_bet", "author_said": "Draw no bet: Brighton & Hove Albion at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 11000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.1", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d4c5cbebe4d12d0786ab734e", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nBrighton (DNB)\nbei Bet365 zu 2.10", "fragment_from": 10957, "fragment_to": 11010, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.673Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-19T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-2" }, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 11000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "draw_no_bet", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Draw no bet: Brighton & Hove Albion at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Liverpool." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "bc469d17173c183eb1c1e91f11f0ef5dae01304d272e55cf137f9549f28aa76f", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.673Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion (Draw no bet)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d990495ee399dcc1823407e8", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-d990495ee399dcc1823407e8", "match": "Crystal Palace v Wolverhampton Wanderers", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12320.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Wolverhampton Wanderers at 3.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "4-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.25", "settled_price": "3.0000", "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d990495ee399dcc1823407e8", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nWolverhampton\nbei Bet365 zu 3.25", "fragment_from": 11931, "fragment_to": 11983, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "806abe518b911733c146d65ab871d6d71510df8f085687e286b003a65ea90377", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.630Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Crystal Palace v Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "4-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.0000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-18T09:38:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:00.812Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "author_odds": "3.25", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Wolverhampton Wanderers at 3.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "4-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Crystal Palace 4-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b888f68d43a8148905e460e104fe52f06db115b99f250310cedb24c8a15f0fa6", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "decimal_odds": "3.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.623Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "1fcc79f1ea515460add81e2e31b18e6fbda16afd5deb723e46736b93889ddd29", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "decimal_odds": "3.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.630Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "12626a29d11c2e234124f0afbc63ff9fcf332e6153f49a0b588d6b776142beb6", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers", "decimal_odds": "3.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.638Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-37-spieltag-wett-tipps-2025", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Wolverhampton Wanderers to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-12e8dfb33c8e4f6719e5ccf0", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-12e8dfb33c8e4f6719e5ccf0", "match": "Southampton v Arsenal", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.8", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.8", "settled_price": "1.8000", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-12e8dfb33c8e4f6719e5ccf0", "quote_text": "beide treffen\nbei Oddset zu 1.80", "fragment_from": 6629, "fragment_to": 6661, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.788Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Southampton v Arsenal", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-2" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.8", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.8000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.8", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Southampton 1-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "afc73260e4123afb1427561ceb7b80754bce8af529d1106d55439b1825d08c31", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.8", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.778Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "99d97ca4ae32b527efac023f6f0b0a706400792ff52352e10f08adb033949bf0", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.8000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.788Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-1cb9392fb87ef728f48a92ec", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-1cb9392fb87ef728f48a92ec", "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "team_total", "author_said": "Team goals over/under 2.5: AFC Bournemouth over 2.5 at 2.15", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.15", "settled_price": "2.0500", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-1cb9392fb87ef728f48a92ec", "quote_text": "Bournemouth > 2.5 Tore\nbei Bwin zu 2.15", "fragment_from": 3787, "fragment_to": 3826, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.921Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.15", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.0604", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5", "author_odds": "2.15", "market_key": "team_total", "choice_key": "1-over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Team goals over/under 2.5: AFC Bournemouth over 2.5 at 2.15" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leicester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "426882726e6b5ba52a05b80f68231fa99144790fd37adfbfc072ae339e5ba61c", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.15", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.915Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7032ee8de0240e4e84c718e95c5e1af6d2a90a7f5d14d8e36c679632eb8f1763", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.0604", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.921Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "0c052c44c53178ed0bedf8d3944df82ff9b0e67cc82047569e6f78946f5fba0c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.0500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.930Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth over 2.5 (Team goals over/under 2.5)" } }, { "record_id": "n-1cbc437fc53a8c6f0d2c3a60", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-1cbc437fc53a8c6f0d2c3a60", "match": "Fulham v Manchester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.57", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5200, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.57", "settled_price": "1.5200", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-1cbc437fc53a8c6f0d2c3a60", "quote_text": "Manchester City\nbei Bet365 zu 1.57", "fragment_from": 4735, "fragment_to": 4769, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.709Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Fulham v Manchester City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Manchester City", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.57", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.5000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "author_odds": "1.57", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.57" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fulham 0-2 Manchester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1bd318283b2d17035a47dbe6140136ce648dc76bb55484a452cab25ff0cd83f6", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.57", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.701Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "895a18d636cca8ea907ac6ab3c75eff54f2f18b75f7d7e0f5efacc5f5d329ca4", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.709Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9ec417b83ff4e075996a61c4a99a1311e736d9818cff087c54897fdc943e91d3", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.5200", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5200, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.720Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Manchester City to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-3ea4be05f7c38e4c8771701e", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-3ea4be05f7c38e4c8771701e", "match": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Luis Diaz to score at 2.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "2.25", "settled_price": "2.25", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3ea4be05f7c38e4c8771701e", "quote_text": "Luis Diaz trifft\nbei Bet365 zu 2.25", "fragment_from": 5634, "fragment_to": 5669, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.938Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Luis Diaz to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Luis Diaz to score", "author_odds": "2.25", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Luis Diaz to score at 2.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6c767f8757dac73788ef29e61d2dbf0ed430af24fa82907f2414201721c5fe5f", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Luis Diaz to score", "decimal_odds": "2.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.938Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Luis Diaz to score" } }, { "record_id": "n-43de3b3a46fd8d37bea65436", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-43de3b3a46fd8d37bea65436", "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brentford", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Brentford at 2.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.35", "settled_price": "2.3000", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-43de3b3a46fd8d37bea65436", "quote_text": "Brentford\nbei Bet365 zu 2.35", "fragment_from": 12763, "fragment_to": 12791, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.894Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brentford", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Brentford", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.35", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.2500", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brentford at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Brentford." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9b15cd16c48a0c91324075d0893267f8e4eeba900be47c1858e166878eddd39a", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "2.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.883Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5f4e3ab56166b3bf622f4c5ae09341afd25a97dc041d63d89cc1c24cd1cfde2b", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "2.2500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.894Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e5af424c9583429fafc0ff71916751350a10595733adb63468fa8a06ba1dfc8c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brentford", "decimal_odds": "2.3000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.905Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brentford to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-4fe6fcae1be9c7fdee01f35e", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-4fe6fcae1be9c7fdee01f35e", "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.87", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-4", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8700, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.87", "settled_price": "1.8700", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4fe6fcae1be9c7fdee01f35e", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nBrighton\nbei Bet365 zu 1.87", "fragment_from": 11487, "fragment_to": 11534, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.864Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-4" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.87", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.8696", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8696, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "author_odds": "1.87", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.87" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-4 Brighton & Hove Albion." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ff04ee7e71589c915e9e60d919d0eb0817947cb7b874bfbc9762baaa504a66a7", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.87", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.855Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "bb686317c179f7c84c81817607f0cce3c3e4b0783f8b780a9709526579cab037", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.8696", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8696, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.864Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6b7b164aa1d5079188d855de472c758bd38194129e1a0f96bfee3364004cd37f", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.8700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.874Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-588b5d309a6b23043f99011b", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-588b5d309a6b23043f99011b", "match": "Manchester United v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.69", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.69", "settled_price": "1.6500", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-588b5d309a6b23043f99011b", "quote_text": "Aston Villa\nbei Bet365 zu 1.69", "fragment_from": 8590, "fragment_to": 8620, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.824Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Manchester United v Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.69", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.6349", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "author_odds": "1.69", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.69" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester United 2-0 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c16e8ee3e0086d3494bc86b379981736f62cfe277156bd603d3db56cc2cbc237", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "1.69", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.815Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "accde978d043e446783caa293703c7a99d71aa67ce64573835df080407e58d02", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "1.6349", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.824Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9c6f3ba8b4157e8ae17454835b7484dce1d18dfc6af0efb2b8242d6930c87631", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "1.6500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.833Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Aston Villa to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-7d2d8bfdac8fd249f2cfa883", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-7d2d8bfdac8fd249f2cfa883", "match": "Newcastle United v Everton", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "draw_no_bet", "author_said": "Draw no bet: Newcastle United at 2.27", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7d2d8bfdac8fd249f2cfa883", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nNewcastle siegt zu Null\nbei Betano zu 2.27", "fragment_from": 9383, "fragment_to": 9445, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Newcastle United v Everton", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "outcome_label": "Newcastle United", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.27", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Newcastle United", "author_odds": "2.27", "market_key": "draw_no_bet", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Draw no bet: Newcastle United at 2.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "520f987b7397ee016b26ef187a17b3940ce7c8ad828f6972a549b01d9892166b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Newcastle United", "decimal_odds": "2.27", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:01.398Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Newcastle United (Draw no bet)" } }, { "record_id": "n-9452a97af13b353b6461fb16", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-9452a97af13b353b6461fb16", "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.15", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.15", "settled_price": "1.4700", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9452a97af13b353b6461fb16", "quote_text": "Tipp\n\nBournemouth > 2.5 Tore\n\n2.15", "fragment_from": 1341, "fragment_to": 1375, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.691Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.15", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.4700", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "2.15", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.15" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leicester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "35090b7ee3d6131821a726c86ab88ed58d9add0fa5dc1bb0952f5663d939c03b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.15", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.683Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "96c2d9fa753789a649caa1eb84159cb66e46832e55254e48e57a8b53739afa06", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.691Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-a1d94aaa9ac75594b1493bbe", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-a1d94aaa9ac75594b1493bbe", "match": "Ipswich Town v West Ham United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "team_total", "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: West Ham United over 1.5 at 1.77", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a1d94aaa9ac75594b1493bbe", "quote_text": "West Ham > 1.5 Tore\nbei Oddset zu 1.77", "fragment_from": 7659, "fragment_to": 7697, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Ipswich Town v West Ham United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "outcome_label": "West Ham United over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.77", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9241", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "West Ham United over 1.5", "author_odds": "1.77", "market_key": "team_total", "choice_key": "2-over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: West Ham United over 1.5 at 1.77" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "300c33342a51abb64134e43316eaacade3a0027dc32ef6b6873affc0c9eebbbe", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "West Ham United over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.77", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.318Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "00093806e4ec9532a830b72ddd9f04e6bc7708e9ab7942ea3f4617b19bfe8c2a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "West Ham United over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9241", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.322Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9206a931a156a7b3500bfaf0e120789a3b583e03138c276e96f401cbb415f85a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "West Ham United over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9100", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:19.880Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "West Ham United over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)" } }, { "record_id": "n-bd8a6f647a4babb062f4a605", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-bd8a6f647a4babb062f4a605", "match": "Ipswich Town v West Ham United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5 at 1.77", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2100, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.77", "settled_price": "1.2100", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-bd8a6f647a4babb062f4a605", "quote_text": "Tipp\n\nWest Ham > 1.5 Tore\n\n1.77", "fragment_from": 1628, "fragment_to": 1659, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.804Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Ipswich Town v West Ham United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-3" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.77", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.2100", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "author_odds": "1.77", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5 at 1.77" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Ipswich Town 1-3 West Ham United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2e8742c145949ad2bf31ec57e78c0259c125b6f097e91ebd5ee74fba668ee0ee", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.77", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.796Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "675907f9cbbaee67ff4e0905ad83b19c7ad8ab9421d210153eac7f16ee79388c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.2100", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2100, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.804Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c192d9b43c41dff30f8f09c2", "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/#pick-n-c192d9b43c41dff30f8f09c2", "match": "Nottingham Forest v Chelsea", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12204.1, "market_code": "draw_no_bet", "author_said": "Draw no bet: Chelsea at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "1.5", "settled_price": "1.5", "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c192d9b43c41dff30f8f09c2", "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nChelsea (DNB)\nbei Bet365 zu 1.50", "fragment_from": 10319, "fragment_to": 10371, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7e8bfdb7557f6ab8494f643ec2f146025921720d7e34eded1141fa2ce46100af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.843Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Chelsea", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "outcome_label": "Chelsea", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-05-25T07:05:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:03.082Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Chelsea", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "draw_no_bet", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Draw no bet: Chelsea at 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-1 Chelsea." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "46a0de47f8d22a5e6ff8bfdfd4bd4b524e53571e999d899480de57d5005df53a", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Draw no bet", "choice": "Chelsea", "decimal_odds": "1.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:51.843Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch", "publisher": "wettbasis.com", "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-38-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Chelsea (Draw no bet)" } } ], "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 599, "pages": 31, "page_urls": [ "/authors/mathias-bartsch/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/2/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/3/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/4/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/5/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/6/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/7/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/8/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/9/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/10/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/11/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/12/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/13/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/14/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/16/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/17/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/18/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/19/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/20/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/21/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/22/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/23/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/24/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/26/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/27/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/28/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/29/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/30/", "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/31/" ], "groups": { "settled": 190, "pending": 0, "excluded": 409 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 25, "first": 461, "last": 480, "author_url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/", "current": false }, "entity_id": "history:/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/", "source_revision": 31 }