{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/",
 "canonical": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Mathias Bartsch — football predictions, page 15 of 31",
 "description": "Predictions 261–280 of 599 by Mathias Bartsch, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 15 of 31 of the predictions by Mathias Bartsch recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 261–280 of 599 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "599",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:17.270Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "bae14872d36c04068d0c7c115f308784efc74fc41cf0cb3567bc4061f40808db",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-abedfec7560572f42f8ba805",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-abedfec7560572f42f8ba805",
  "public_name": "Mathias Bartsch",
  "tracker_number": 2765,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-d298ab69784925a762cd74eb",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-d298ab69784925a762cd74eb",
   "match": "Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -16064.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.82",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-5",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.82",
   "settled_price": "1.7000",
   "published_at": "2024-12-15T12:16:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:10.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d298ab69784925a762cd74eb",
    "quote_text": "über 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Betano zu 1.82",
    "fragment_from": 12604,
    "fragment_to": 12637,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-16-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ee8ab68b275f3b144aafa38cf011627a59a473b442324a1b8ba4f282c4e88a38",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-15T12:16:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:10.062Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.873Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-5"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.82",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-15T12:16:18.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-15T12:16:18.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:10.062Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "1.82",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.82"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-5",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Southampton 0-5 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4d34a66df5220ed2ed0658c477134bb263ce463fa4056f158f143c79efa40296",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.82",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8200,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.861Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "20fa4b89239b9539d9f4a2988f2d899c5ab58f15482ad800161d59f5c3b041f3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.873Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-16-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e48194a5725a7c6b041d5647",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "über 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet365 zu 2.15",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:10.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fa90823ee6ed25ea0be15c57",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Arsenal (-1.5)\n\n1.72",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:10.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-253171a2ed01b0653d4847f3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jhon Duran trifft\n\nbei Bet365 zu 3.75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-39946265ed64c38b731b5ff6",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-39946265ed64c38b731b5ff6",
   "match": "Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15901.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.45",
   "settled_price": "2.6950",
   "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-39946265ed64c38b731b5ff6",
    "quote_text": "über 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet365 zu 2.45",
    "fragment_from": 7829,
    "fragment_to": 7862,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "699237246c2cc4b01f236be8f9c10a7dce517a6d796335655234c35f0bbe4d1d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.927Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-3"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.45",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.6950",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "2.45",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.45"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester United 0-3 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "01ef0d11a08a11d997bf8af8df32f56ce7a402eb9aeff4e9d3b17dd6a1a51f2d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.45",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.922Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "318f709e3673a1f27fd695007eb886eafd2e94f3cb9ea8415523200fe849f549",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6950",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.927Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4204d36fd6b6e0af335eedbf",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Alexander Isak trifft\n\n2.20",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-431d503ac275facf1cb7a266",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Alexander Isak trifft\n\nbei Bet365 zu 2.20",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5576216f77d48e986e0b1b06",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-5576216f77d48e986e0b1b06",
   "match": "Everton v Chelsea",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15901.1,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Chelsea over 1.5 at 1.57",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.57",
   "settled_price": "1.6000",
   "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5576216f77d48e986e0b1b06",
    "quote_text": "Chelsea > 1.5 Tore\n\nbei Betano zu 1.57",
    "fragment_from": 10597,
    "fragment_to": 10635,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "699237246c2cc4b01f236be8f9c10a7dce517a6d796335655234c35f0bbe4d1d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.938Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Everton v Chelsea",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Chelsea over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Chelsea over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.57",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "2-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Chelsea over 1.5 at 1.57"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 0-0 Chelsea."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "132af7e4d5d46ec489e2770821c3aceda0a948c427d7af126240ffa964749f0a",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Chelsea over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.57",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.933Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "764dd9c72caaf8771dc085d00bf8cb78efb8aa78f09bc167122651ecf844bfdd",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Chelsea over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.938Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Chelsea over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5c6983626d518a9476039189",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jhon Duran trifft\n\n3.75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-66f694c448d15cd4a5c0f55a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Brentford\n\nbei Betano zu 2.25",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-70618204542821460d314222",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "über 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet-at-home zu 2.35",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-74063280e0075fb69f30d72f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "unter 2.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet365 zu 1.96",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-85e58aafdeb520f745b91b23",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-85e58aafdeb520f745b91b23",
   "match": "Fulham v Southampton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15901.1,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Fulham under 1.5 at 2.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 12600,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.7",
   "settled_price": "2.2600",
   "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-85e58aafdeb520f745b91b23",
    "quote_text": "Fulham < 1.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet-at-home zu 2.70",
    "fragment_from": 11845,
    "fragment_to": 11887,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "699237246c2cc4b01f236be8f9c10a7dce517a6d796335655234c35f0bbe4d1d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.949Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Southampton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Fulham under 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2600",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12600,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Fulham under 1.5",
     "author_odds": "2.7",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "1-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Fulham under 1.5 at 2.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fulham 0-0 Southampton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a5dfd46a6ceb795c8614c1e7b5eec83c1379c8a66f3d434d62826bf1422cb2dc",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Fulham under 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 17000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.944Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e71d67aebb6cbe8bb2c99141177a1247c7400a9c83d5455acc097b09fef9f3c4",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Fulham under 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2600",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12600,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.949Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Fulham under 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9ec9f35beae1dbcb99816cde",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-9ec9f35beae1dbcb99816cde",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-22T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15898.6,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.68",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-6",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7200,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.68",
   "settled_price": "1.7200",
   "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9ec9f35beae1dbcb99816cde",
    "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nüber 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet365 zu 1.68",
    "fragment_from": 15251,
    "fragment_to": 15304,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "699237246c2cc4b01f236be8f9c10a7dce517a6d796335655234c35f0bbe4d1d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.970Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-22T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-6"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.68",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7200",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7200,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "1.68",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.68"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-6",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 3-6 Liverpool."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8c7fef8ab0ec6f90b02b8472cb92a978b0cc1ef8d09ee8fa9a1ae197c9c03378",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.68",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6800,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.965Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "b3eb2391a86c5fada9db1ae75161bc680762f3120e00e2b6ccc06642b75c60f5",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7200,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.970Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f3236ea449c76cd1c22fd641",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-f3236ea449c76cd1c22fd641",
   "match": "Leicester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15901.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Leicester City at 2.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.55",
   "settled_price": "2.9100",
   "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f3236ea449c76cd1c22fd641",
    "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nLeicester\n\nbei Betano zu 2.55",
    "fragment_from": 13965,
    "fragment_to": 14014,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "699237246c2cc4b01f236be8f9c10a7dce517a6d796335655234c35f0bbe4d1d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.959Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leicester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-22T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-3"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Leicester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.9100",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-22T08:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:11.498Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Leicester City",
     "author_odds": "2.55",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Leicester City at 2.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leicester City 0-3 Wolverhampton Wanderers."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "032f6df70d73f9d77f02d2f66ff18d5e7d6a023fb42103658fadb751ebe321d0",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Leicester City",
      "decimal_odds": "2.55",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.954Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f3a007ced96b5fefa9675c7649e15e095dac29e76e416353afc9c16090a7202e",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Leicester City",
      "decimal_odds": "2.9100",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.959Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-17-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leicester City to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0ca3f2ed26b82dd6b500c246",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-0ca3f2ed26b82dd6b500c246",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15804.1,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10500,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.05",
   "settled_price": "2.05",
   "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0ca3f2ed26b82dd6b500c246",
    "quote_text": "Alexander Isak trifft\n\n2.05",
    "fragment_from": 1219,
    "fragment_to": 1246,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fb45adf89687f30d15ceaa2ee9632a99c48f8005f0d44d880e4920fc3fd72cf1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.374Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Alexander Isak to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.05",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
     "author_odds": "2.05",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 3-0 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a50364b0d30edf2f82ed6b0e08d96e4eb18ef090becd57ae50969f6f5a7dd134",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.374Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Alexander Isak to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3456f696d7aec407a50d7429",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-3456f696d7aec407a50d7429",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15804.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.15",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.15",
   "settled_price": "2.0450",
   "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3456f696d7aec407a50d7429",
    "quote_text": "über 3.5 Tore\n\nbei Bet365 zu 2.15",
    "fragment_from": 10182,
    "fragment_to": 10215,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fb45adf89687f30d15ceaa2ee9632a99c48f8005f0d44d880e4920fc3fd72cf1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.414Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.15",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0450",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "2.15",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.15"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "afb8ba55ddabe264ef99d6779e5ce5cdd38eac6246eaebbdb68fb58d34c72fac",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.15",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.394Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f6c3314fccfe77976487a29a5c4f59506fc4bf571d34204546b8badfe6525980",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0450",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.414Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4494f8499a9d7b8fb999b072",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-4494f8499a9d7b8fb999b072",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-26T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15801.6,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Mateus Cunha to score at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 22000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.2",
   "settled_price": "3.2",
   "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4494f8499a9d7b8fb999b072",
    "quote_text": "Mateus Cunha trifft\n\nbei Bet365 zu 3.20",
    "fragment_from": 11145,
    "fragment_to": 11184,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fb45adf89687f30d15ceaa2ee9632a99c48f8005f0d44d880e4920fc3fd72cf1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.660Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-26T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Mateus Cunha to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 22000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Mateus Cunha to score",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Mateus Cunha to score at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "94b27a7486812c83a7eea278e6a272fb4c205c8007290c795681ebc6a834e07e",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Mateus Cunha to score",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 22000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.660Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Mateus Cunha to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5203b6e2a3ebd28f89ef2c56",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-5203b6e2a3ebd28f89ef2c56",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-26T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15801.6,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Mateus Cunha to score at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 22000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.2",
   "settled_price": "3.2",
   "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5203b6e2a3ebd28f89ef2c56",
    "quote_text": "Mateus Cunha trifft\n\n3.20",
    "fragment_from": 1362,
    "fragment_to": 1387,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fb45adf89687f30d15ceaa2ee9632a99c48f8005f0d44d880e4920fc3fd72cf1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.444Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-26T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Mateus Cunha to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 22000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Mateus Cunha to score",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Mateus Cunha to score at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bafd46b4a6a52014ddf995533df19522214b0161d93ad51b9e7dc891b448b111",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Mateus Cunha to score",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 22000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.444Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Mateus Cunha to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7a9d3f0d108b20c8abc6a8dd",
   "url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/#pick-n-7a9d3f0d108b20c8abc6a8dd",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15804.1,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10500,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.05",
   "settled_price": "2.05",
   "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7a9d3f0d108b20c8abc6a8dd",
    "quote_text": "Mathias empfiehlt:\n\nAlexander Isak trifft\n\nbei Bet-at-home zu 2.05",
    "fragment_from": 8578,
    "fragment_to": 8644,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fb45adf89687f30d15ceaa2ee9632a99c48f8005f0d44d880e4920fc3fd72cf1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.637Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Alexander Isak to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.05",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-26T14:26:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:06:14.128Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
     "author_odds": "2.05",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 3-0 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1a341dfacf176d871e36d78d9ad625d024d0c1f5d9918e331679dd5ae3761e5b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Alexander Isak to score",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.637Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Mathias Bartsch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/premier-league-18-spieltag-wett-tipps-spielplan-prognosen-2024",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Alexander Isak to score"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 599,
  "pages": 31,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/2/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/3/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/4/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/5/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/6/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/7/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/8/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/9/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/10/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/11/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/12/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/13/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/14/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/16/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/17/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/18/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/19/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/20/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/21/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/22/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/23/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/24/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/25/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/26/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/27/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/28/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/29/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/30/",
   "/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/31/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 190,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 409
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 15,
  "first": 261,
  "last": 280,
  "author_url": "/authors/mathias-bartsch/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/mathias-bartsch/picks/15/",
 "source_revision": 31
}
