{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "canonical": "/authors/mate-car/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Mate Car: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 41 settled picks by Mate Car recorded before kick-off across 41 matches, 18 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −16.0% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 41 settled live picks by Mate Car before kick-off across 41 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.0% on the total staked. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Mate Car, 63 are linked to matches: 54 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−16.0%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 41, "date_count": 16, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:06:08.366Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "6ec7fa94f429d4e85d9c6b50e0e0de42bbb30d395a507699cb7b0749801090c1", "dependency_group": "author:e-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/mate-car/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/mate-car/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6", "public_name": "Mate Car", "tracker_number": 4929, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-17", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-15.9851", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 41, "n_events": 41, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": "-41.7273", "ci_high": "10.2061", "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:06:08.366Z", "enough_for_ranking": true, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 41 settled picks across 41 matches", "average_odds": "1.68", "odds_from_author": 41, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-cf13f50c930a1ad64b68276c", "bankroll_hundredths": 934461, "reserve_hundredths": 20000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -65539, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-18T15:10:17.622Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012000, "profit_hundredths": 12000, "outcome_id": "ish-6533f4aa441628f622d3f057" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:15.194Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1016902, "profit_hundredths": 16902, "outcome_id": "ish-f67a97ed2302145a611f0ad4" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:15.206Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1020984, "profit_hundredths": 20984, "outcome_id": "ish-61fdded7c5ea452f1ca6e5f0" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:15.218Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1010984, "profit_hundredths": 10984, "outcome_id": "ish-616d635e977c22d281240f76" }, { "at": "2026-10-23T00:50:40.008Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1015428, "profit_hundredths": 15428, "outcome_id": "ish-1a1c5ed7a98919a82f66dd29" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T00:52:39.179Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1005428, "profit_hundredths": 5428, "outcome_id": "ish-8fc820968f8f5b7714d6eda6" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T00:52:39.212Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 995428, "profit_hundredths": -4572, "outcome_id": "ish-b833bc24cd212bfee7fb9c7f" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:46.994Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 985428, "profit_hundredths": -14572, "outcome_id": "ish-2a8a1739b89d61991ef8aaa2" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:54:25.738Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 991489, "profit_hundredths": -8511, "outcome_id": "ish-9a1f32bbea63c760ac199244" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T20:18:46.911Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 997114, "profit_hundredths": -2886, "outcome_id": "ish-9b180c636fb70d69eb26a57f" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T21:17:20.039Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1002519, "profit_hundredths": 2519, "outcome_id": "ish-7ea3f64b73ff7093c16628c1" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:18:32.821Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1011619, "profit_hundredths": 11619, "outcome_id": "ish-9b6ee6da85582648beeee8b4" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T20:18:06.900Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1021219, "profit_hundredths": 21219, "outcome_id": "ish-db0f9a439470df759fefebc8" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:54.507Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1025511, "profit_hundredths": 25511, "outcome_id": "ish-58a887612c6c95e4b1dafded" }, { "at": "2026-10-30T02:46:58.611Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1029911, "profit_hundredths": 29911, "outcome_id": "ish-af54add202f8c7ac7270a7fb" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:13.000Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019911, "profit_hundredths": 19911, "outcome_id": "ish-b13430084a3b551fdb9935c3" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:26.257Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1009911, "profit_hundredths": 9911, "outcome_id": "ish-28a12fc9b6c5719c47da3ab4" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T22:13:47.133Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 999911, "profit_hundredths": -89, "outcome_id": "ish-99036d97bec94a5f34a723af" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.826Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004211, "profit_hundredths": 4211, "outcome_id": "ish-3850b7e6eed838b47c54f08c" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.836Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994211, "profit_hundredths": -5789, "outcome_id": "ish-00d124d2d8dbd76f67fd98cf" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.847Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 984211, "profit_hundredths": -15789, "outcome_id": "ish-7b4f85c04d63c3a27ead4983" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:16.928Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 989031, "profit_hundredths": -10969, "outcome_id": "ish-e7ef5b001b5c0e9eaa16c4f6" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:25.500Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 993031, "profit_hundredths": -6969, "outcome_id": "ish-f9121299a7e06e32a627fbdd" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:55.544Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 983031, "profit_hundredths": -16969, "outcome_id": "ish-91d4940eb7b96d622100e2b4" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:55.560Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 973031, "profit_hundredths": -26969, "outcome_id": "ish-0482012b4556fade787fdc21" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T21:32:06.078Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 978935, "profit_hundredths": -21065, "outcome_id": "ish-e16285ef28343409ee6475b0" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:45.283Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 968935, "profit_hundredths": -31065, "outcome_id": "ish-7f3881f955a5bf1cbb55587f" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T07:23:43.304Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 958935, "profit_hundredths": -41065, "outcome_id": "ish-f066dd8c7c9be03b5162e30f" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:03:15.527Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 948935, "profit_hundredths": -51065, "outcome_id": "ish-ab58ec592a383975fc6fc9d3" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:15:32.957Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 953335, "profit_hundredths": -46665, "outcome_id": "ish-f4dc739004d8f7db5e6f6cd9" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:25:45.336Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 963044, "profit_hundredths": -36956, "outcome_id": "ish-8d0e56dbc3b45d6f684f215b" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:25:45.345Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 953044, "profit_hundredths": -46956, "outcome_id": "ish-6e27bc1fb3367364d9c00acc" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:57.481Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 961377, "profit_hundredths": -38623, "outcome_id": "ish-ca397a6a4cb9932edef30224" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:59.243Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 951377, "profit_hundredths": -48623, "outcome_id": "ish-3d358af0b25b0277067464b1" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T10:28:36.820Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 958370, "profit_hundredths": -41630, "outcome_id": "ish-83f7e8f183995b4fff1390e5" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:00.675Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 965370, "profit_hundredths": -34630, "outcome_id": "ish-5a231920f20037c5d7f1de36" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:00.706Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 955370, "profit_hundredths": -44630, "outcome_id": "ish-7f11cceca24ed7e256aa90d0" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:47.033Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 945370, "profit_hundredths": -54630, "outcome_id": "ish-9d4c2766b9c8db94ae59e972" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:02.629Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 935370, "profit_hundredths": -64630, "outcome_id": "ish-fbea38ce112ed7e6bc754d80" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:05.907Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 925370, "profit_hundredths": -74630, "outcome_id": "ish-2e9edcb8e8e1911c6a4e1a3a" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T15:40:03.007Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 934461, "profit_hundredths": -65539, "outcome_id": "ish-830faf4fa074503f05eda44c" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 218, "recognised": 71, "accepted": 57, "executed": 45, "calculated": 42, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 10 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 8 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 4 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 4 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 218, "of_them_restored": 30, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 41, "not_about_a_match": 105, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 71, "predictions_restored": 7, "matches": 56, "admitted": 57, "qualifying_picks": 45, "qualifying_picks_restored": 1, "settled_picks": 42, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 43, "settled_picks": 41, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 41, "operations_settled": 41, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 44, "settled_picks": 42, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 42, "operations_settled": 42, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 1, "settled_picks": 0, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 1, "matches": 0, "operations_settled": 0, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 10 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 8 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 4 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 4 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "ads": 4 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-3537f939535bda82d733e035", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3537f939535bda82d733e035", "quote_text": "Daniel Boloca, Ismaël Koné in Fedde Leysen naj ne bi bili na voljo", "fragment_from": 2775, "fragment_to": 2841, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://stava.si/as-roma-sassuolo-07-11-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mate Car", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "781f2a07eea1e022c1161b0e1c89d6379e3215a707fe30fabaa235453f24e6a3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-daa47003ba90884d9c091b92", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-daa47003ba90884d9c091b92", "quote_text": "Po razpoložljivih informacijah naj bi manjkali Mile Svilar, Lorenzo Pellegrini in Devyne Rensch", "fragment_from": 1369, "fragment_to": 1464, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://stava.si/as-roma-sassuolo-07-11-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mate Car", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "781f2a07eea1e022c1161b0e1c89d6379e3215a707fe30fabaa235453f24e6a3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7d401f1d6b8c36dc71d26bdd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7d401f1d6b8c36dc71d26bdd", "quote_text": "Glede na napadalno učinkovitost obeh ekip in številne prejete zadetke gostov pričakujemo", "fragment_from": 424, "fragment_to": 512, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://stava.si/as-roma-sassuolo-07-11-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mate Car", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "781f2a07eea1e022c1161b0e1c89d6379e3215a707fe30fabaa235453f24e6a3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:28:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:27:47.004Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": 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"/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-atalanta-2026-10-29/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.53", "our_snapshot": "1.4400", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T12:27:31.886Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4400, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T12:28:09.870Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.53", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.53" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "182fe076390a7ee0c0e21979824f7468f623757cc0fe0ec7447e381c699e24eb", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.53", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5300, "executed_at": "2026-10-29T14:08:34.958Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c67278b00c9b196050f011c11b825faa6ab6550c3de2e8c95a9f0c45fbad80b2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4400, "executed_at": "2026-10-29T14:08:41.101Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Mate Car", "publisher": "Stava.si", "forecaster": "Mate Car", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://stava.si/fiorentina-atalanta-29-10-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-bb4c53484deb8e25c80acbe0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-bb4c53484deb8e25c80acbe0", "quote_text": "Lewis Miley in Matías Fernández-Pardo sta vprašljiva za nastop, medtem ko Tino Livramento še nadaljuje", "fragment_from": 2982, "fragment_to": 3084, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://stava.si/everton-newcastle-29-10-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mate Car", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c53fe87f1a900dddee37d1952245d00444a413ae1e0782d11fcde7baf4f616af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T12:28:07.543Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T12:28:07.543Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e20f147dd6d9513e74d71877", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e20f147dd6d9513e74d71877", "quote_text": "Vitalij Mikolenko se je poškodoval proti Arsenalu, Jarrad Branthwaite pa je tekmo izpustil", "fragment_from": 1447, "fragment_to": 1537, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://stava.si/everton-newcastle-29-10-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Mate Car", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c53fe87f1a900dddee37d1952245d00444a413ae1e0782d11fcde7baf4f616af", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T12:28:07.543Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T10:53:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T12:28:07.543Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 4, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 43, "above": 7, "above_share_percent": "16.3", "below": 7, "within": 29, "median_difference_percent": "0.6", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/mate-car/picks/4/#pick-n-78d185bfbf1817ab47bc059c", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.73", "market": "1.96", "difference_percent": "-11.7" }, { "url": "/authors/mate-car/picks/4/#pick-n-c48a65d4f57eb3d29706ef36", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.50", "market": "1.70", "difference_percent": "-11.7" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "stava.si", "url": "https://stava.si/as-roma-sassuolo-07-11-2026-stavni-nasvet-analiza/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-17", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 41, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -65539, "staked_hundredths": 410000, "return_percent": "-15.99", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 41 settled live picks by Mate Car before kick-off across 41 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.0% on the total staked. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Mate Car, 63 are linked to matches: 54 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "41", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "41", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−655.39 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−16.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −41.7% to +10.2%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10984, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5428, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20172, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34111, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44111, "n": 14 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23981, "n": 17 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20089, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-10-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18689, "n": 23 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21696, "n": 25 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -41696, "n": 27 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67396, "n": 31 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50243, "n": 34 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70534, "n": 38 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -74630, "n": 40 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -65539, "n": 41 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 41, "match_dates": 16, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -65539, "low": { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -74630, "after_picks": 40 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10984, "n": 4, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5428, "n": 6, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20172, "n": 10, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34111, "n": 13, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44111, "n": 14, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23981, "n": 17, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20089, "n": 20, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18689, "n": 23, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21696, "n": 25, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -41696, "n": 27, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67396, "n": 31, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50243, "n": 34, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70534, "n": 38, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -74630, "n": 40, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -65539, "n": 41, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 41 settled live picks by Mate Car before kick-off across 41 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.0% on the total staked. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Mate Car, 63 are linked to matches: 54 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mate-car/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 71, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 8, "proven_predictions": 54, "proven_checked": 51, "proven_measured": 41, "proven_dates": 16, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 54, "checked": 51, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 41, "void": 0, "matches": 41, "net_points_hundredths": -65539, "staked_hundredths": 410000, "return_percent": "-15.99", "interval_low": "-41.73", "interval_high": "10.21", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 20 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 41, "return_main_percent": "-15.99", "return_other_percent": "-15.88", "settled_excluding_void": 41, "net_main_points_hundredths": -65539, "net_other_points_hundredths": -65100, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 37, "return_main_percent": "-11.13", "return_other_percent": "-8.26", "settled_excluding_void": 37, "net_main_points_hundredths": -41164, "net_other_points_hundredths": -30573, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 51, "priced": 41 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 41, "won": 21, "won_percent": "51.2", "implied_percent": "60.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 10, "picks": 19, "implied_percent": "66.2" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 5, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "57.7" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 4, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "56.0" }, { "market": "Asian handicap", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "51.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 5, "right": 1, "wrong": 4, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, 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0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-2b75b505e5293a99d6ea62e6", "n-2b8e5598c253b25279f99761", "n-30e9a046444184eb90c8c5ea", "n-35c61a0c915fcc7cf352da6d", "n-374c8416285e266c1c6b1e28", "n-3abfe064a71dd96637541ba1", "n-54526505479f974bc3099f3a", "n-54b913ea9c39d2aca6c4d057", "n-62f78882084f46fa2f60ad48", "n-704d2f7354bd8f3b293f3ca8", "n-757b1e3f9368dc75da4dc2b7", "n-7832155fe7b39accfa659d1e", "n-78d185bfbf1817ab47bc059c", "n-80d23a3f2c49f497689c4e3a", "n-8aac6a78416fefb12187e862", "n-99698d2a320966ac0b78f71e", "n-9ac901f805e97dce5fe0c9db", "n-a225f23b0a6ff561a2ee71e3", "n-ae63b3c0296b169a4d269289", "n-b652c02684879021ed48128b", "n-b7a286014dac426c9e51cf3d", "n-bb1478eb8ca85d3b23305f22", "n-bd6a9e6f9f4746e32fc35b29", "n-bde39476240709ae0af05b1a", "n-c48a65d4f57eb3d29706ef36", "n-c56ef6bb1008ec36da4c6856", "n-c7acf0023b65dcaf562d684f", 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"2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 16082, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -5918 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 20984, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -1016 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 10984, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -11016 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 15428, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -6572 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 5428, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -16572 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4572, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -26572 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1489, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20511 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8511, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30511 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-27T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3106, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -25106 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1186, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20814 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-29T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 5586, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -16414 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 71, "pages": 5, "page_urls": [ "/authors/mate-car/", "/authors/mate-car/picks/2/", "/authors/mate-car/picks/3/", "/authors/mate-car/picks/4/", "/authors/mate-car/picks/5/" ], "groups": { "settled": 42, "pending": 2, "excluded": 27 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/mate-car/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Mate Car Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=41&odds=1.69&roi=-16.0&src=record", "n": 41, "odds": "1.69", "roi": "-16.0", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "person": { "person_id": "o-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Mate Car", "main_entity": "e-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-a471b7d97f32f9b4c1ac43e6", "medium": "Stava.si", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "stava.si", "source_info": null, "byline": "Mate Car", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 218, "predictions": 71, "settled_picks": 41, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -15.99, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 41, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "cb4d93f2c9f19c0e22abf008e35856d9ae7f3b7f22a2cf730924210a997ad87a" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-c56b66d4cc6df6f1cb31", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "-11.51", "settled_picks": 27, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bbe21d1fe6aba9e0aaf25a0823321c39e4e03d1f5be3f6a062b586900d069648", "text": "−11.51% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-15.99", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 41, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cb4d93f2c9f19c0e22abf008e35856d9ae7f3b7f22a2cf730924210a997ad87a", "text": "−15.99% on 41 settled picks across 41 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 13 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 14, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-167f67a98e754efbeab7", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-10.79", "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "39327c6883c7d98ee38bf0a5e77deea914e2d71b60d880b491d91a24a3f1be30", "text": "−10.79% on 25 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "-11.51", "settled_picks": 27, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bbe21d1fe6aba9e0aaf25a0823321c39e4e03d1f5be3f6a062b586900d069648", "text": "−11.51% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-779709f567248c5737e9", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-3.03", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c4beceed716244a75488c8a8c10c2d41092a30e6d73b0fd3343e4dfd73f4ba8f", "text": "−3.03% on 23 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-10.79", "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "39327c6883c7d98ee38bf0a5e77deea914e2d71b60d880b491d91a24a3f1be30", "text": "−10.79% on 25 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a841b2fa1fb2593a1b33", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-7.52", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7e39b3e21bfe95463815b7db8da4ad5461a33c8f8b2394c2d5ff88a32d049c2c", "text": "−7.52% on 21 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-3.03", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c4beceed716244a75488c8a8c10c2d41092a30e6d73b0fd3343e4dfd73f4ba8f", "text": "−3.03% on 23 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7d095a5727fc6260d81a", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-0.05", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b98eba8c1faab64e732d00359658acb4bdc3c10f0676cb97f76a57f0089388f4", "text": "−0.05% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-7.52", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7e39b3e21bfe95463815b7db8da4ad5461a33c8f8b2394c2d5ff88a32d049c2c", "text": "−7.52% on 21 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f0013d704b42a9aafb70", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "12.44", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d97817572b3f717855296c2201232f7e58805952009fa3d16c01ac7e048f9f6", "text": "+12.44% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-0.05", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b98eba8c1faab64e732d00359658acb4bdc3c10f0676cb97f76a57f0089388f4", "text": "−0.05% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-39017e04cf48722d0674", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "return_percent": "19.94", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a1d814f816b4a3482c3740bf3e8f8e6fdb98e896489381ff33d69585921ec191", "text": "+19.94% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "12.44", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d97817572b3f717855296c2201232f7e58805952009fa3d16c01ac7e048f9f6", "text": "+12.44% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-329b1da1c80169a9116b", "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z", "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "18.22", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cf60c117023999e7bb75de06564198af6b50e8a0f145a3778ac75f01beba1b7b", "text": "+18.22% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "return_percent": "19.94", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a1d814f816b4a3482c3740bf3e8f8e6fdb98e896489381ff33d69585921ec191", "text": "+19.94% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a5db0b0c4804635a23ce", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "9.68", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "79f408e9278e23bd6eb316cf599ac25503f1dc46b9ce1755309518369db2d43e", "text": "+9.68% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "18.22", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cf60c117023999e7bb75de06564198af6b50e8a0f145a3778ac75f01beba1b7b", "text": "+18.22% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-292ac819b91b3bbcc468", "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-9.46", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c7cadd138ff28628a7caec73403584ed9aaf1665f73eade02eb2b93bf8a0a70c", "text": "−85.11 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "9.68", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "79f408e9278e23bd6eb316cf599ac25503f1dc46b9ce1755309518369db2d43e", "text": "+9.68% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c6c9c726de021f132000", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-6.53", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8cfa821944e2bb1b19d9a431a68597cb598e7a8682bfd4ceb6a8d0be51165099", "text": "−45.72 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-9.46", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c7cadd138ff28628a7caec73403584ed9aaf1665f73eade02eb2b93bf8a0a70c", "text": "−85.11 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ec4c3fc1c3911d4dc6f1", "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-23.4", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "30.86", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "74613bff18887a0aad66b726f5279fd7edb61cec3976e0ee7d2af828ad233ea8", "text": "+154.28 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-6.53", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8cfa821944e2bb1b19d9a431a68597cb598e7a8682bfd4ceb6a8d0be51165099", "text": "−45.72 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2cf8d623ae5df6e92f4c", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "27.46", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5500cdd688bddb0d3a0f9306bed379dc785893a99e07dc87a4447552647692d8", "text": "+109.84 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "30.86", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "74613bff18887a0aad66b726f5279fd7edb61cec3976e0ee7d2af828ad233ea8", "text": "+154.28 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6e22a73427c8244bdd52", "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "url": "/authors/mate-car/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "120.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4cc726bd45d52a91268c7dd5a0621f7574a6e50a93c8462d6bd81d185c6d257e", "text": "+120.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": 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