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I padroni di casa hanno un buon ruolino tra le mura amiche e devono alzare i ritmi per dare l’assalto alla zona europea, mentre gli ospiti attraversano una fase di confusione e non hanno certezze. 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the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/celtic-glasgow-besiktas-384772/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b148ae16bc618fe90c0e8273", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b148ae16bc618fe90c0e8273", "quote_text": "Per chi decidesse di scommettere su Thun - Heart Of Midlothian FC, bisogna sapere che Snai mette", "fragment_from": 8953, "fragment_to": 9049, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/thun-heart-of-midlothian-384756/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f1b65b9924317fa85caabad05c4e3912fb103dec38e57b0179a2b6da4e1285f7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:10:29.466Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": 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"data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-479342b3f0aa1afbd63fda10", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-479342b3f0aa1afbd63fda10", "quote_text": "L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 32% per un pronostico Vittoria Thun", "fragment_from": 2898, "fragment_to": 2990, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/thun-heart-of-midlothian-384756/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f1b65b9924317fa85caabad05c4e3912fb103dec38e57b0179a2b6da4e1285f7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": 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null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0c0f6ac3981175607eadabdf", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0c0f6ac3981175607eadabdf", "quote_text": "Questa partita è la scelta del giorno del nostro capo esperto.", "fragment_from": 2355, "fragment_to": 2417, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/thun-heart-of-midlothian-384756/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f1b65b9924317fa85caabad05c4e3912fb103dec38e57b0179a2b6da4e1285f7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:10:29.466Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:10:29.466Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 27, "service": 2, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "display_name": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "all", "bucket": "Correct run", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 4, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "rationale": "4 different matches in a row with every counted pick correct, first to last within 28 days; matches kicking off at the same time count as one group. 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Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-cs-10-all-event", "alt": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni · Exact score 1–1 · Sassuolo v AC Milan · 11 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Massimiliano", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 9 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-11", "evidence_through": "2026-10-11", "earned_at": "2026-10-11", "published_at": "2026-10-19", "visible_until": "2027-01-09", "badge_label": "Exact score 1–1 · 11 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-058936a57626cbea782f", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-a7ce30c9e49a3207b3e5ae33", "data": "2026-10-11", "match": "Sassuolo v AC Milan", "said_text": "Correct score: Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan at 6.75", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 0 right", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/2/#pick-n-a7ce30c9e49a3207b3e5ae33" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1212, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1212, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 892, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 892, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 697, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 697, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47/cs-10-all-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-058936a57626", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "embed_anchor": "title-exact-score-called" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-6df9c37441bd3ff82868", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 11 Oct", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-6df9c37441bd", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-6df9c37441bd3ff82868" }, { "title_id": "zk-058936a57626cbea782f", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 1–1 · 11 Oct", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Sassuolo v AC Milan · 11 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-058936a57626", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" } ], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "live", "n": 52, "body": "52 recorded before kick-off · since 9 Oct 2026" } ], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-6df9c37441bd" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Sassuolo v AC Milan · 11 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-058936a57626" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 14 matches", "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 9/24 (14 matches); Goals over/under 5/11 (11 matches); Both teams to score 6/9 (9 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 1/4 (4 matches); Bet-builder combos 1/2 (2 matches); Correct score 1/2 (2 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 1/2", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" } ], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 25, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 25, "median_difference_percent": "-0.8", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportytrader.it", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/atletico-madrid-barcellona-385821/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -43504, "staked_hundredths": 240000, "return_percent": "-18.13", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Massimiliano Ciancaglioni before kick-off across 21 matches between 9 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −18.1% on the total staked. Of the 129 predictions we hold for Massimiliano Ciancaglioni, 55 are linked to matches: 55 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "24", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "21", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−435.04 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−18.1%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −62.9% to +27.2%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44485, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34485, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24485, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 28735, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8735, "n": 11 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13035, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6965, "n": 14 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13604, "n": 16 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23604, "n": 17 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22604, "n": 19 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -32604, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -28304, "n": 21 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43504, "n": 24 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "match_dates": 14, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -43504, "low": { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43504, "after_picks": 24 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44485, "after_picks": 6 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44485, "n": 6, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34485, "n": 7, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24485, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 28735, "n": 9, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8735, "n": 11, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13035, "n": 12, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6965, "n": 14, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13604, "n": 16, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23604, "n": 17, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22604, "n": 19, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -32604, "n": 20, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -28304, "n": 21, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43504, "n": 24, "picks": 3 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Massimiliano Ciancaglioni before kick-off across 21 matches between 9 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −18.1% on the total staked. Of the 129 predictions we hold for Massimiliano Ciancaglioni, 55 are linked to matches: 55 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 129, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 74, "proven_predictions": 55, "proven_checked": 54, "proven_measured": 24, "proven_dates": 19, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 55, "checked": 54, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 24, "void": 0, "matches": 21, "net_points_hundredths": -43504, "staked_hundredths": 240000, "return_percent": "-18.13", "interval_low": "-62.88", "interval_high": "27.20", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 6 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 24, "return_main_percent": "-18.13", "return_other_percent": "-18.25", "settled_excluding_void": 24, "net_main_points_hundredths": -43504, "net_other_points_hundredths": -43800, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 17, "return_main_percent": "-21.38", "return_other_percent": "-21.98", "settled_excluding_void": 17, "net_main_points_hundredths": -36354, "net_other_points_hundredths": -37366, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 54, "priced": 24 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 24, "won": 11, "won_percent": "45.8", "implied_percent": "59.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 4, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "54.6" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 4, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "62.2" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 2, "picks": 6, "implied_percent": "62.2" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "57.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 16, "right": 8, "wrong": 8, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-08308550c0a1b09e295deb7c", "n-1f5964e53551581b1e62a9d5", "n-21aaabc6a9aff88692753085", "n-2f31fc423afe8b9b8e2193e5", "n-3110954fa063ff70e9d25253", "n-39c05e6fcdee2cf10ddd0bad", "n-4c718b3cdafd3e739c5ec2a7", "n-4f395949676ac6ac79155038", "n-5695cfff7b56c8c676998100", "n-6864da0dd0550c01f32a7f10", "n-6ab1dee81425fc0003fef622", "n-7e7c70b3abcb3efedbd049ae", "n-7f83aa5980461d31a42f625d", "n-8510f2996dbe41c5bf0a7ecc", "n-8d3f1aec2059f1ecb5bf0b09", "n-9a4dd20c59d53596fc178d90", "n-a5c8eb272b5f464417247724", "n-aefdd64b087a42f2c4945a77", "n-bf38cb476ebae3dbaf7da430", "n-d96608ade5c91047bae5779d", "n-df9a75cb969541cf2be883e4", "n-ed24244b778e54778c95f603", "n-f370de923daa9c17fc37c824", "n-f9fb893fa0e3795756efc09e" ], "interval_low": "-62.88", "interval_high": "27.20", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-09", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-df9a75cb969541cf2be883e4", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/7/#pick-n-df9a75cb969541cf2be883e4", "match": "Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia", "match_url": "/football/matches/panathinaikos-vs-cska-sofia-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Panathinaikos at 1.48", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4800, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.48", "settled_price": "1.4800", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T20:42:30.218Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.4800", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4800, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-df9a75cb969541cf2be883e4", "quote_text": "Panathinaikos vince\n\n1.48", "fragment_from": 9885, "fragment_to": 9910, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/panathinaikos-cska-sofia-384976/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "99d23583d8bedcfef07a5e05eadfac4e5aa11e8e188bba4086d72efc44470ba9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:42:30.218Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:51:35.288Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8ce491096970", "display_name": "Panathinaikos — CSKA Sofia", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/panathinaikos-vs-cska-sofia-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Panathinaikos", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.48", "our_snapshot": "1.4800", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:40:43.357Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4800, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:42:30.218Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Panathinaikos", "author_odds": "1.48", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Panathinaikos at 1.48" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Panathinaikos 2-1 CSKA Sofia." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7f79f6d0fc654dfae75af4d0d1cc6b417b76ac4f2225ec45bdb83f6b1e6f3d85", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Panathinaikos", "decimal_odds": "1.48", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4800, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:51:34.767Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b85886eabcd995d3f6c124e08338498da86d98e39376bb2e4522f35ff8bf4d73", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Panathinaikos", "decimal_odds": "1.4800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4800, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:51:35.288Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "publisher": "sportytrader.it", "forecaster": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/panathinaikos-cska-sofia-384976/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Panathinaikos to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-d96608ade5c91047bae5779d", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/7/#pick-n-d96608ade5c91047bae5779d", "match": "Celtic v Beşiktaş", "match_url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 47.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Beşiktaş at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.1400", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T20:24:47.455Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1400", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d96608ade5c91047bae5779d", "quote_text": "Besiktas vince\n\nQuota\n2.10", "fragment_from": 11244, "fragment_to": 11270, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/celtic-glasgow-besiktas-384772/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5513cedcf6d4e8494c4e0ed344ffaf668d731f78763e47728982f0823502bd0d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:24:47.455Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T01:04:19.543Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-956b3f4d80d8", "display_name": "Celtic — Beşiktaş", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Beşiktaş", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": "2.1400", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:22:34.282Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:24:47.455Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Beşiktaş", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Beşiktaş at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Celtic 3-2 Beşiktaş." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1f6c096d2c90f9a1f41ba18e4f84c3b588f6ad8d399381e14e134544f5de7cd7", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Beşiktaş", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T01:04:16.107Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": 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"series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T15:39:54.854Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9c370591cb867a5a6d89afd3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T15:39:54.854Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d8d80a456438de50d81b0cb0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Under 2.5 gol\n\n1.58", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T12:10:00.760Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match 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null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cb447b7e2d93c3be68cfa217", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\nMultigol 2-4 Casa\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T19:10:37.552Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ffc02386c24e688390aee2ce", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, 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"series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T13:09:48.402Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d8718a62bd4d0c480218be04", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Risultato esatto: 2-2\n\nQuota\n13.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": 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"record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4312434970f3176b76333e15", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ecco dunque il nostro pronostico Betis Barcellona: Gol + Over 2.5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T16:39:52.616Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-580b744b4c121d66bbec3732", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 54.69% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Barcellona vs Betis con una quota di 1.43 su Sportbet.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T16:39:52.616Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a33c26165d35e231a7304b30", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico della partita tra Betis e Barcellona è: Gol + Over 2.5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T16:39:52.616Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-86ec2198a995900d94df7c1f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico della partita tra Betis e Barcellona è: Gol + Over 2.5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T16:39:52.616Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-493ae8f6029baeffc417a543", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 2.5 gol\n\n1.85", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T19:09:53.500Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-06c73d1d91619f311ac0b472", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano? No\n\n2.15", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T17:09:41.948Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-01736ecba8c036271ad8b531", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Altri pronostici per scommettere su Stade Rennes FC - OFI Creta\n\nStade Rennes FC vince\n\nQuota\n1.24", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.473Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f7e31b8f2b3c4b32cd6368e3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Vittoria OFI Creta vs Stade Rennes FC con una quota di 12 su Bet365", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.473Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ebd20ea52add6110b6aed8a6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "pronostico Pareggio tra Stade Rennes FC e OFI Creta è del 23.76% con una quota di 6.4 su Stake", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.473Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-67dad812130096d61b20af14", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ecco dunque il nostro pronostico Rennes OFI Crete: esito Under 3.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nUnder 3.5 gol\n\n1.64", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.473Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b038d3eb96f9419904dac590", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "AFC Bournemouth vince\n\nQuota\n1.19", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:39:46.054Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-013bb3c903e9d8b9575b3870", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 27.4% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria SK Sturm Graz vs AFC Bournemouth con una quota di 15 su Bet365.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:39:46.054Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8ac968943a01f19a535cb432", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra AFC Bournemouth e SK Sturm Graz è del 19.43% con una quota di 7.6 su Stake.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:39:46.054Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d373b19880afab94f610633b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico della partita tra AFC Bournemouth e SK Sturm Graz è: esito Over 2.5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:39:46.054Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9127bd575655ba72a17e0b85", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Pareggio\n\nQuota\n3.25\n\nCome opzione secondaria optiamo per il pareggio: segno X.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:45.977Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-dcbdcbcdf15d0f821941cffa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "consigliamo la doppia chance X2.\n\nEcco dunque il nostro pronostico Copenhagen Braga: vittoria Braga o pareggio.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nX o Sporting Braga\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:45.977Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-068d17f6a07d1573c3ea560c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "1 + No Gol\n\n2.05", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:09:45.906Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-086c0ce5b9a103573453c0bc", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T19:56:41.437Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-165222efac80e1bdb5fe7cd7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\n1 + NO GOL\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:05:37.685Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c1271326089c800a96d17594", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "X2 + GOL\n\n1.98", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:55.392Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-38a7bb4efb14fe6be9c56c47", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 2.5 gol\n\n1.37", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:58:33.928Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 55, "before_kickoff": 55, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 55, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 47.8, "min_hours": 3.2, "max_hours": 48.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 15, "settled_picks_all": 24, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 3, "no_recorded_line": 6, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 150000, "author_net_hundredths": -35658, "favourite_net_hundredths": -69587, "difference_hundredths": 33929, "author_return_percent": -23.77, "favourite_return_percent": -46.39, "author_hit_rate": 40.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 33.3, "picked_favourite_share": 80.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 7, "staked_hundredths": 70000, "author_net_hundredths": -2248, "favourite_net_hundredths": -17248, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": -3.21, "favourite_return_percent": -24.64 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 6, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "author_net_hundredths": -13410, "favourite_net_hundredths": -32339, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": -22.35, "favourite_return_percent": -53.9 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -20000, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 0, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -100.0 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4048, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 4881, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 31881, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -24048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 21881, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -34048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 11881, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -44048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-27T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1881, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -32048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8119, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -42048 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T23:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4758, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -38687 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14758, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -48687 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -24758, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -58687 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20458, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -54387 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -30458, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -64387 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -40458, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -74387 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35658, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -69587 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 129, "pages": 8, "page_urls": [ "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/2/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/3/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/4/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/5/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/6/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/7/", "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/picks/8/" ], "groups": { "settled": 29, "pending": 1, "excluded": 99 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni Predictions: Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "main_entity": "e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-2cf50263ef878f9203592c47", "medium": "SportyTrader.it", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportytrader.it", "source_info": "sportytrader-it", "byline": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "url": "/sources/sportytrader-it/", "summary": { "statements": 706, "predictions": 129, "settled_picks": 24, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -18.13, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "e21b1c31962f9e5fea15caea1e58c058f262309f99912f0503169c980f77bf77" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-9363ebec02b109ea179b", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "-23.22", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "99050e7bc7da4c94b262d57e39459d8d1759cb594106490ecd1cdf8911b81eeb", "text": "−23.22% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-18.13", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e21b1c31962f9e5fea15caea1e58c058f262309f99912f0503169c980f77bf77", "text": "−18.13% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-550a57585cfb4b295b10", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-19.38", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "67291fae540165faf98a3506dc31c517a05d4e5f13868b46045ee6d67197cab2", "text": "−19.38% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "-23.22", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "99050e7bc7da4c94b262d57e39459d8d1759cb594106490ecd1cdf8911b81eeb", "text": "−23.22% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f6d5d213247758a3e805", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-13.86", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ff958bf453bade9a09111996329ec7f466f7efb1acade6798494b20831af43a2", "text": "−13.86% on 17 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-19.38", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "67291fae540165faf98a3506dc31c517a05d4e5f13868b46045ee6d67197cab2", "text": "−19.38% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-404867098569b68baf85", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-17.41", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c2b922e89f4af7c8ef9489de39c8e685574161e03434bdb2ea53d22bebed8925", "text": "−17.41% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-13.86", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ff958bf453bade9a09111996329ec7f466f7efb1acade6798494b20831af43a2", "text": "−13.86% on 17 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4a3bd53994ccbfacf247", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-11.90", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "72004b8048b99c05ac1c47bf8658e828fff6b2e70b5e30ec8d69b6973cd8bd86", "text": "−11.90% on 15 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-17.41", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c2b922e89f4af7c8ef9489de39c8e685574161e03434bdb2ea53d22bebed8925", "text": "−17.41% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-24e874935778dc211e1b", "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-5.61", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ef55671b33e013fc01b89b74a6f36796a1422bb65d082c260a49aee70d0af5a6", "text": "−5.61% on 14 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-11.90", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "72004b8048b99c05ac1c47bf8658e828fff6b2e70b5e30ec8d69b6973cd8bd86", "text": "−11.90% on 15 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-92c62f432d6946b049d4", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "-1.01", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "63efa16838a977b51b93ce90bcb46f2931160e309aedf5f5a242a3c13064ec4f", "text": "−1.01% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-5.61", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ef55671b33e013fc01b89b74a6f36796a1422bb65d082c260a49aee70d0af5a6", "text": "−5.61% on 14 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ad7b76319c930f032b71", "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "18.79", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bdbb3631653df27c785c52ef0c81fbea2a1cca4812ce91643427520e1fde13ce", "text": "+18.79% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "-1.01", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "63efa16838a977b51b93ce90bcb46f2931160e309aedf5f5a242a3c13064ec4f", "text": "−1.01% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4f117790262e0d39f22e", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "49.26", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6f9a44538f7a86b846078de7e6b430cf349b2996f66dee6d301c2c871436524f", "text": "+344.85 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "18.79", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bdbb3631653df27c785c52ef0c81fbea2a1cca4812ce91643427520e1fde13ce", "text": "+18.79% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fe69f12b8c577b6ef5ce", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "74.14", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1c6c2336d39bcb181a8ddb192949c03169ed4c4c4513a06867f6cc86b890ac50", "text": "+444.85 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "49.26", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6f9a44538f7a86b846078de7e6b430cf349b2996f66dee6d301c2c871436524f", "text": "+344.85 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c7732074a1e70b85921a", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "83.37", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c0b4bd80aa095ac2faf01568f355f0eb52913ad26a48a7f8cbd60d0c02d99824", "text": "+416.85 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "74.14", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1c6c2336d39bcb181a8ddb192949c03169ed4c4c4513a06867f6cc86b890ac50", "text": "+444.85 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2daa336d741757fa85d2", "at": "2026-10-11T19:38:24.634Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.5", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e38f544b255c3abdb28b1c2a7653373b592d23d64d93935cd3c9bd2139f37eab", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "83.37", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c0b4bd80aa095ac2faf01568f355f0eb52913ad26a48a7f8cbd60d0c02d99824", "text": "+416.85 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6f208d31ede271333498", "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.1", "composition_hash": "e38f544b255c3abdb28b1c2a7653373b592d23d64d93935cd3c9bd2139f37eab", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e38f544b255c3abdb28b1c2a7653373b592d23d64d93935cd3c9bd2139f37eab", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. Was: −100.00 points (1 settled pick). Now: −100.00 points (1 settled pick).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-9ed622ada5ab99569758" }, { "id": "zc-ee8613509ef009aec9db", "at": "2026-10-10T02:51:03.370Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "url": "/authors/massimiliano-ciancaglioni/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.1", "composition_hash": "e38f544b255c3abdb28b1c2a7653373b592d23d64d93935cd3c9bd2139f37eab", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison 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