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 "heading": "Marek Hansen: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 13 settled picks by Marek Hansen recorded before kick-off across 13 matches, 13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +8.7% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 13 settled live picks by Marek Hansen before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.7% on the total staked. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Marek Hansen, 28 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "+8.7%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "settled_count": 13,
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:03:45.881Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-8f8f8a4ada32f24b84678693",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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   "type_code": "csv",
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 ],
 "modules": {
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "restrictions": {
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-8f8f8a4ada32f24b84678693",
  "public_name": "Marek Hansen",
  "tracker_number": 3143,
  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
   "until": "2026-11-05"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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 "headline_number": {
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   "metric_id": "p-e-8f8f8a4ada32f24b84678693-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
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   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "8.6723",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 13,
   "n_events": 13,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-28.1469",
   "ci_high": "39.8492",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:03:45.881Z",
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 13 settled picks across 13 matches",
  "average_odds": "1.79",
  "odds_from_author": 13,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 0
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 "history": [],
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-13T21:19:48.870Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1007519,
    "profit_hundredths": 7519,
    "outcome_id": "ish-4509f4fdacc7ae6a048858dc"
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    "at": "2026-10-21T00:41:06.696Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 997519,
    "profit_hundredths": -2481,
    "outcome_id": "ish-5dd066a807817662013741b2"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-21T00:41:06.712Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 987519,
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    "outcome_id": "ish-241f64376331aa2f62ecc9d2"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-21T21:05:40.752Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 989940,
    "profit_hundredths": -10060,
    "outcome_id": "ish-bb9118bb7b2527959a823c0a"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-21T21:05:40.800Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 995068,
    "profit_hundredths": -4932,
    "outcome_id": "ish-c67215f63c41525b1cdceb77"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.933Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 998502,
    "profit_hundredths": -1498,
    "outcome_id": "ish-14bc74a989d5030f7645ad26"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T17:22:18.155Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1013252,
    "profit_hundredths": 13252,
    "outcome_id": "ish-a80e11b1deacb5703f9f3173"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:05.766Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1019066,
    "profit_hundredths": 19066,
    "outcome_id": "ish-601d411c20bb9608d7db6393"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:00.964Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1009066,
    "profit_hundredths": 9066,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f0d79182b64f62b6db28a526"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:06.409Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 999066,
    "profit_hundredths": -934,
    "outcome_id": "ish-09cd13a8f15ecf512fffb878"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:24.075Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1001966,
    "profit_hundredths": 1966,
    "outcome_id": "ish-008bf5d88aed27d65804d040"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:24.200Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1004066,
    "profit_hundredths": 4066,
    "outcome_id": "ish-c9a3cb0491d8b193cac74fc1"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:24.397Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1008571,
    "profit_hundredths": 8571,
    "outcome_id": "ish-e4f97ae947a061092ba3601d"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:35.815Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1011274,
    "profit_hundredths": 11274,
    "outcome_id": "ish-175f7a8b1dc296dc9494fb7b"
   }
  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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  "detected": 286,
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   {
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   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
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   },
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 1
   },
   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 1
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  ]
 },
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   "opinions": 48,
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  },
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    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
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   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
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   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
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    "figure": 1
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  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
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   "observation_id": "n-23701623d5f0f7996f81a815",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-23701623d5f0f7996f81a815",
   "quote_text": "Beliebte Ratgeber",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1107/leipzig-vs-augsburg/",
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    "speaker": "Marek Hansen",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-43a747b4f7f10a82b311bce6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-43a747b4f7f10a82b311bce6",
   "quote_text": "Dortmund – Elversberg Wett-Tipps, Prognose & Wettquoten",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1107/leipzig-vs-augsburg/",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:59:56.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T10:39:48.189Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9e41f43fa2e2e2bd232b4103",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9e41f43fa2e2e2bd232b4103",
   "quote_text": "Mainz – Bayern Wett-Tipps, Prognose & Wettquoten",
   "fragment_from": 7269,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1107/leipzig-vs-augsburg/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marek Hansen",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:59:56.000Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-749313999d62bae92c974494",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c878ff3fac6052469d40a547",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c878ff3fac6052469d40a547",
   "quote_text": "Ebenfalls interessant",
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   "source_info": {
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   "source_info": {
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    "display_name": null,
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    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "e143dcfc2289e67edf3bf0461dc1688875a4d19f1a8fe655e8cbc2c9adac542f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:12.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:39:05.752Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:26.538Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-06d250442f56",
    "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV",
    "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.65",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5814",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T11:35:54.106Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 5814,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:12.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:12.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:39:05.752Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
    "author_odds": "1.65",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.65"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "decimal_odds": "1.65",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 6500,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:24.829Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "eb8a9305c789b582240dc356eeed1a10731717bdd5225e902d4740aac16a3feb",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "decimal_odds": "1.5814",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 5814,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:26.538Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Marek Hansen",
    "publisher": "Wetten.com",
    "forecaster": "Marek Hansen",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1101/frankfurt-vs-hamburg/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4293be2cfbde8cf734e4da63",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4293be2cfbde8cf734e4da63",
   "quote_text": "Der deutliche Ausgang im Pokal spricht zunächst gegen die Gastgeber, doch die Bundesliga liefert eine andere Grundlage.",
   "fragment_from": 6390,
   "fragment_to": 6509,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1101/union-berlin-vs-koeln/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marek Hansen",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "cfd4122b94a661779b66fdbcea4f5cfdecd90f24047c3e757558fce2dceab3a0",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
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   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ec66cb8d242691742db2e697",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ec66cb8d242691742db2e697",
   "quote_text": "Ob sich der Aufwärtseindruck aus dem Pokal auf das Ligaspiel übertragen lässt, ist keineswegs sicher.",
   "fragment_from": 5303,
   "fragment_to": 5404,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1101/union-berlin-vs-koeln/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marek Hansen",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "cfd4122b94a661779b66fdbcea4f5cfdecd90f24047c3e757558fce2dceab3a0",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
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   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1571896f9f03af5462e1627d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1571896f9f03af5462e1627d",
   "quote_text": "Heimsieg 1\n\n39.2%\n\n2.55",
   "fragment_from": 1196,
   "fragment_to": 1219,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1101/union-berlin-vs-koeln/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marek Hansen",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "cfd4122b94a661779b66fdbcea4f5cfdecd90f24047c3e757558fce2dceab3a0",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T08:34:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T11:11:28.871Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 11,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 13,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 13,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.7",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "wetten.com",
   "url": "https://wetten.com/wett-tipps/2026/1107/leipzig-vs-augsburg/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-05",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 13,
  "matches": 13,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 11274,
  "staked_hundredths": 130000,
  "return_percent": "8.67",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-13",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 13 settled live picks by Marek Hansen before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.7% on the total staked. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Marek Hansen, 28 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "13",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "13",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+112.74 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+8.7%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −28.1% to +39.9%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-13",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7519,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2481,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5068,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1498,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11498,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -934,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11274,
    "n": 13
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 13,
    "match_dates": 7,
    "period_from": "2026-10-13",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 11274,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11498,
     "after_picks": 7
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11274,
     "after_picks": 13
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-13",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7519,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2481,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5068,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1498,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11498,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -934,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11274,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 4
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 13 settled live picks by Marek Hansen before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.7% on the total staked. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Marek Hansen, 28 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marek-hansen/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 52,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 24,
   "proven_predictions": 27,
   "proven_checked": 27,
   "proven_measured": 13,
   "proven_dates": 14,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 27,
     "checked": 27,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 13,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 13,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11274,
      "staked_hundredths": 130000,
      "return_percent": "8.67",
      "interval_low": "-28.15",
      "interval_high": "39.85",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-13",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "8.67",
       "return_other_percent": "10.69",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 11274,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 13900,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "8.67",
       "return_other_percent": "9.19",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 11274,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 11942,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 27,
      "priced": 13
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 13,
      "won": 10,
      "won_percent": "76.9",
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     "code": "archived",
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     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 13 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Köln 2\n\n2.45",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-09-17T05:39:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:23.180Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
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  "before_kickoff": 27,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 27,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
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  "min_hours": 5.8,
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  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
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  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
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  "settled_picks_all": 13,
  "excluded": {
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  "by_market": [
   {
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    "author_net_hundredths": 13159,
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    "favourite_return_percent": 21.93
   },
   {
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    "picks": 1,
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    "picked_favourite": 1,
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   },
   {
    "market_code": "total",
    "picks": 1,
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    "picked_favourite": 1,
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    "favourite_return_percent": 21.0
   }
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7519
   },
   {
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    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2481,
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   },
   {
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   },
   {
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   },
   {
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   {
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17487
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 20387,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 20387
   }
  ],
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 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 52,
  "pages": 4,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/marek-hansen/",
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   "pending": 0,
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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  "author_url": "/authors/marek-hansen/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Marek Hansen Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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    "byline": "Marek Hansen",
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     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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 },
 "data_revision": {
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  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "sample": {
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 },
 "number_changes": [
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    "text": "+8.67% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "text": "+132.52 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+190.66 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "composition_hash": "7630425210fa896b6ad2c7550f2b69e825ccd712611a5e8a06651f58a2cdde3e",
    "text": "+85.02 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "text": "+132.52 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "composition_hash": "04cbff96607c1d46cec78465dea10dfca718a6c51a705fa39a3cf6e0c8e81639",
    "text": "+75.19 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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    "total_check": true,
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     {
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     },
     {
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     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
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      "settled_picks": 9,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
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      "league_markets": [
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
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        "small_sample": true,
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       },
       {
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