{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Marcel Niesner — football predictions, page 4 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 41–60 of 630 by Marcel Niesner, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 33 of the predictions by Marcel Niesner recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–60 of 630 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "630",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "78ce0af197c3ada98e6e1d6ea54c61a267d1815c3d0696798fd365b5d005d9b4",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
  "public_name": "Marcel Niesner",
  "tracker_number": 2766,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-ae3527681cbde4afd460edbd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Exakt deshalb ist es in unseren Augen sinnvoll, einen Punktgewinn der Glasner-Elf mit maximal drei Toren im Spielverlauf zu kombinieren.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:08.477Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d1c0cb5d6fa5485aa9abdf7e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Als Neukunde habt ihr zudem das Anrecht auf den Oddset Willkommensbonus von bis zu 100 zusätzlichen Euros auf eure erste Einzahlung.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:08.477Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ea132a87e9a2e6b0805cd493",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tendenziell sehen wir die Toffees vor heimischer Kulisse noch mehr unter Druck, weshalb wir tendenziell zwischen Everton und Crystal Palace eher eine Prognose auf den Auswärtssieg empfehlen würden.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:08.477Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fcda3f22577fd2ab2f5c517a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Stattdessen versuchen wir es zwischen Everton und Crystal Palace mit dem Tipp auf das X2 in Verbindung mit maximal einem Tor in der ersten Halbzeit. Als Höchstquote haben wir bei Oddset eine 2.05…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:08.477Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9156097b8ade98d40a40661a",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/#pick-n-9156097b8ade98d40a40661a",
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Stattdessen sehen wir den ansprechendsten Value zwischen Liverpool und Bournemouth im Tipp darauf, dass maximal drei Treffer im Spielverlauf fallen. Zum einen wird das Unter 3.5 mit einer 1.82 in…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:34.233Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.692Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9156097b8ade98d40a40661a",
    "quote_text": "Stattdessen sehen wir den ansprechendsten Value zwischen Liverpool und Bournemouth im Tipp darauf, dass maximal drei Treffer im Spielverlauf fallen. Zum einen wird das Unter 3.5 mit einer 1.82 in der Spitze sehr spannend quotiert.",
    "fragment_from": 7817,
    "fragment_to": 8047,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-21-09-2024",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "0d247b7d9d872ba573e4d55e910e25a907485e69686b9d3786a4ee9657c0c401",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:34.233Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "too_late",
    "event": null,
    "market_label": null,
    "outcome_label": null,
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": null,
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": null,
     "fragment_basis": "no",
     "source_page_at": "2024-09-22T05:16:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:48:34.233Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [
      "long_before_detection",
      "not_fragment_date"
     ],
     "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.692Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5",
      "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.692Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-633ab22ea33a5440b96c3e04",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Für das X2 & Unter 3.5 wird eine 2.08 bei NEObet angeboten.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:51:33.225Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-adfb6ce6a441fce8a09ae9b6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Mehr als drei Tore im Spielverlauf halten wir daher für eher unwahrscheinlich.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:51:33.225Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b296513ef4d2b6d718e36c9a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Tipp\n\n1X & Unter 3.5\n\nOddset\n\n1.75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:21:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:52:05.153Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-12dafa7f462b5cc7ed00c1e5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Tipp\n\nBeide treffen\n\nbet365\n\n1.72",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-03-10T13:16:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:52.759Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-26a3ebaf229bf22f856a6aa5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Da wir – auch in Anbetracht der inzwischen ordentlich funktionierenden Abwehr – nicht von einem Torfestival ausgehen, prüfen wir vor der Partie der AS Rom gegen Dynamo Kiew die Quoten für einen…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:57.470Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f53961243f44514c103f0a16",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Ohne weiteren Zusatz entscheiden wir uns deshalb zwischen AS Rom und Dynamo Kiew für den Tipp auf den Heimerfolg, der beim Buchmacher Sportwetten.de zu einer Quote von 1.50 angespielt werden kann.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:57.470Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-193793605c46c7f515e8b18d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "sind wir der Auffassung, dass zwischen Athletic Bilbao und Slavia Prag der Tipp auf Über 2.5 Tore durchaus Value mit sich bringt. Die 1.87 in der Spitze haben wir in der Sunmaker App gefunden.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:15:55.905Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5ad1f2277f29df11efad769e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "geht auch diesmal im Spiel von Athletic Bilbao gegen Slavia Prag unsere Prognose in Richtung Heimsieg.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:15:55.905Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-680136a98e5031588aafe2f7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Verbindet man den Dreier der Gastgeber noch mit Torerfolgen beider Teams, kann bei Betano sogar eine 3.60 als Höchstquote angespielt werden.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:15:55.905Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bec16a8c9f99d5aabb844843",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "In immerhin sechs der vergangenen acht Pflichtspiele hätte sich eine Wette auf „Beide treffen“ bezahlt gemacht",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:15:55.905Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-707a5389915e8914ca808d02",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir versuchen es deshalb zwischen Barcelona und den Young Boys mit einem Tipp darauf, dass Lewandowski, Yamal und Co. schon zur Halbzeit mit zwei oder mehr Toren Unterschied führen. In der Bet365…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:18:36.107Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-844f4bfa5c0ebc643215fd9b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beim seriösen Anbieter Winamax Sportwetten wird immerhin eine 2.25 für einen Yamal-Treffer angeboten.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:18:36.107Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0f4f27e8a726ade7b993f942",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/#pick-n-0f4f27e8a726ade7b993f942",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14357.3,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -2: FC Bayern München -2 at 2.02",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0f4f27e8a726ade7b993f942",
    "quote_text": "Für die Bayern vs. Celtic Glasgow KI Prognose auf den FCB (-2) wird eine solide 2.02 bei Betano angeboten.",
    "fragment_from": 2090,
    "fragment_to": 2196,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "03958dc88aefcc132d71914cb578892427a6799aee95c78441254d333d8ddffd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap -2",
    "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München -2",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.02",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap -2",
     "choice": "FC Bayern München -2",
     "author_odds": "2.02",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-2",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap -2: FC Bayern München -2 at 2.02"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9b70b3d8394a61a0c0203d8b380c7196da8258558bd410101df197bb4c433e97",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -2",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München -2",
      "decimal_odds": "2.02",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:57.899Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "03ffca16ed0077d9f01a646879ec4ed7bc9ecace0da935bcd929768bf7b51ec3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -2",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München -2",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:07.496Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Bayern München -2"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b0260a19ed073212fb135090",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/#pick-n-b0260a19ed073212fb135090",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14357.3,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score at 3.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b0260a19ed073212fb135090",
    "quote_text": "Bringt Kane seine Mannschaft am Dienstagabend mit 1:0 in Führung, kann dafür in der Bet365 App eine 3.40 abgestaubt werden.",
    "fragment_from": 4929,
    "fragment_to": 5052,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "03958dc88aefcc132d71914cb578892427a6799aee95c78441254d333d8ddffd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "",
     "author_odds": "3.4",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score at 3.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6a533d63949349e61b5ac353ca6258c6a850174df09d3e2d72540a3c7b038978",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "",
      "decimal_odds": "3.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.673Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Player to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-eb00078dc5f6c9f4e9334f4b",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/#pick-n-eb00078dc5f6c9f4e9334f4b",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14357.3,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes at 2.34",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-eb00078dc5f6c9f4e9334f4b",
    "quote_text": "Bei NEO.bet findet ihr für die Bayern vs. Celtic Glasgow Prognose auf den Favoritensieg mit Treffern beider Teams immerhin eine 2.34 in der Spitze.",
    "fragment_from": 7535,
    "fragment_to": 7682,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "03958dc88aefcc132d71914cb578892427a6799aee95c78441254d333d8ddffd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Bayern München v Celtic",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.34",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.4750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-18T07:25:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:19:04.718Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "2.34",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes at 2.34"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5b94b5e438ab316c4280f411dfdc2971bcbf9dcb0206bb7a458a289462bdea89",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.34",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.872Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "c0e68f9c8a20e4d07baeb7e54697d920bb2a788d7eb4f590d7efb1f654ab4830",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:47.840Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/bayern-vs-celtic-glasgow-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-18-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Bayern München win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 630,
  "pages": 33,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/2/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/3/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/5/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/6/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/7/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/8/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/9/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/10/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/11/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/12/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/13/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/14/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/15/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/16/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/17/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/18/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/19/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/20/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/21/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/22/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/24/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/25/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/27/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/28/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/29/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/30/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/31/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/32/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/33/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 262,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 368
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 60,
  "author_url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 43
}