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 "heading": "Marcel Niesner — football predictions, page 3 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 21–40 of 630 by Marcel Niesner, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
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  "body": "Page 3 of 33 of the predictions by Marcel Niesner recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 630 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
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   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/3/#pick-n-5b18f87b621abac3ec76cbde",
   "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
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   "competition": "Premier League",
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   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.72",
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   "author_price": "1.72",
   "settled_price": "1.7800",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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    "quote_text": "Infolgedessen liefert der Chelsea vs. Bournemouth Tipp auf Unter 3.5 Tore zu Quoten in Höhe von 1.72 einen sehr attraktiven Value.",
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      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
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    "authorship": {
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     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
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   "quote": "Mein Liverpool vs. Manchester United Tipp zielt auf das doppelte Ergebnis HT1/FT1 ab. Für die Halbzeitführung gepaart mit dem nächsten Dreier winkt bei Betano eine 1.70 in der Spitze.",
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   "quote": "Mein Aston Villa vs. Leicester Tipp zielt daher auf den Heimsieg ab.",
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   "published_at": "2025-01-05T12:00:51.000Z",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter dem Strich erhalte ich bei Betano eine 1.87",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Eine Wette auf einen Handicap-Erfolg der Hausherren (-1) scheint indes ebenso rentabel wie das Über 2.5",
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   "quote": "Eine Wette auf einen Handicap-Erfolg der Hausherren (-1) scheint indes ebenso rentabel wie das Über 2.5",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wie in den letzten sechs PL-Spielen glaube ich an maximal ein Tor in der ersten Halbzeit (1.50 @Interwetten Deutschland)",
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   "published_at": "2025-01-06T06:32:26.000Z",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "und gebe zu einer Quote von 3.05 in der Betano App auch den nächsten „Zu-Null“-Erfolg des Gastgebers in die Diskussion",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "empfehle ich zwischen Bournemouth und Everton demnach einen Tipp auf das 1X & Unter 3.5, für das bei Bwin eine 1.70 in der Spitze angeboten wird",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wer an den nächsten Erfolg der Postecoglou-Elf glaubt, kann bei Intertops dafür eine satte 2.51 abstauben.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:43:00.374Z",
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