{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
 "canonical": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Marcel Niesner — football predictions, page 26 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 481–500 of 630 by Marcel Niesner, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 26 of 33 of the predictions by Marcel Niesner recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 481–500 of 630 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "630",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "09f912508c0ef123e4886d632a6adcb1e23b52230b673c2876d6f7af61828ab8",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
  "public_name": "Marcel Niesner",
  "tracker_number": 2766,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-70483565d5ae842e243b4da8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Porto zu 0\n\nmittel\n\n1.96 bei NEO.bet",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:40.954Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7e44b7136d2c0115c95e4213",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/#pick-n-7e44b7136d2c0115c95e4213",
   "match": "FC Porto v Rangers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-01-29T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -6223.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers at 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:40.954Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7e44b7136d2c0115c95e4213",
    "quote_text": "1:0, 2:0 oder 3:0\n\nhoch\n\n2.50 bei Winamax",
    "fragment_from": 3543,
    "fragment_to": 3584,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/porto-vs-glasgow-rangers-tipp-prognose-quoten-29-01-2026-europa-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6272fcb216443b4fd1d604de965ad45a42b339038d8b89dc03279883fa01d371",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:40.954Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Porto v Rangers",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-01-29T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:40.954Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers",
     "author_odds": "2.5",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-0/2-0/3-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers at 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "08359d0699dbce4348600849d580163c5d6dcadacd02387bea575d4c09116e9a",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:02.570Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/porto-vs-glasgow-rangers-tipp-prognose-quoten-29-01-2026-europa-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Porto 1-0/2-0/3-0 Rangers"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-822c75f34199c846b63e1335",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Porto & Unter 4.5\n\nBetano\n\n1.57",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:40.954Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-038bc11825901da034d86824",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Man United & BTS\n\n4.54",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:47.127Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-13f6103af588bd5df8d60197",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir forcieren daher zwischen Porto und Manchester United den Tipp auf Über 2.5 Tore. Die 1.81 in der Sunmaker App spielen wir mit sechs Units an",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:47.127Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1841784bdc28b7dfb989139c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "versprechen zwischen Porto und Manchester United die Wettquoten in Höhe von 1.81 auf Über 2.5 Tore bei Sunmaker einen veritablen Value",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:47.127Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e4b372d0f1f82a95ede9d098",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tor in beiden HZ\n\n1.70",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:05:47.127Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1a7eb5f91b236d1fb853c11a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Im Endeffekt traue ich Erling Haaland und Co. in der französischen Hauptstadt sogar einen Dreier zu.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-23T05:53:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:42.290Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-479ba8e7f567ed96fe7244ec",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Man City trifft in beiden HZ\n\n3.25",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-23T05:53:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:42.290Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-703bd4e59fbefa51e3ed33d2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Schlussendlich zielt mein PSG vs. Manchester City Tipp also auf wenigstens zwei Tore ab Minute 46 ab. Die Höchstquote beläuft sich bei Betano auf eine 1.75 und wird mit sechs Units als Einsatz…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-23T05:53:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:42.290Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7f300971308b309ad7d4aab5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 1.5 (2.HZ)\n\n1.75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-23T05:53:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:42.290Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8a0f06845af9fcae87ae7530",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide treffen: Ja\n\n1.49",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-23T05:53:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:42.290Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4ee7c4b6250ca36eb9e99646",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/#pick-n-4ee7c4b6250ca36eb9e99646",
   "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4ee7c4b6250ca36eb9e99646",
    "quote_text": "Sieg Juve zu 3.00",
    "fragment_from": 4065,
    "fragment_to": 4082,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/psv-eindhoven-vs-juventus-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "228712b4f4b445a47635cc57d96ad8d13a2e1c746fbbb88797e13cba51754083",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Juventus",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.1000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Juventus",
     "author_odds": "3",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5c2674edef627e2780eea15228abeffe5c312bb79b8240ab1c71a6342bdf0fdb",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Juventus",
      "decimal_odds": "3",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.646Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "c65032576134fdd3e1db3c3fba077251a47d0a722357dd339cd10fd2ed1bd568",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Juventus",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:13.636Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/psv-eindhoven-vs-juventus-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Juventus to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-840d41bf2319b11acdc909d1",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "X2 & Unter 4.5\n\n1.87",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b45d46e8ff0d1f1b76b8008f",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/#pick-n-b45d46e8ff0d1f1b76b8008f",
   "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Kolo Muani to score at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.1",
   "settled_price": "3.1",
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b45d46e8ff0d1f1b76b8008f",
    "quote_text": "Kolo Muani trifft\n\n3.10",
    "fragment_from": 2162,
    "fragment_to": 2185,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/psv-eindhoven-vs-juventus-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "228712b4f4b445a47635cc57d96ad8d13a2e1c746fbbb88797e13cba51754083",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.702Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Kolo Muani to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Kolo Muani to score",
     "author_odds": "3.1",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Kolo Muani to score at 3.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Juventus."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ba0200de062f0bc6477280bddad68673dfc1fff71224b685455e774e3ce5e7a5",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Kolo Muani to score",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:47.702Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/psv-eindhoven-vs-juventus-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Kolo Muani to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-be4e4b7a43ba30db2ce0a070",
   "url": null,
   "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap -0.25: Juventus -0.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e47dcbf4f6e7490c388cd6ea",
   "url": null,
   "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Juventus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: PSV Eindhoven or draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:07:52.025Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0c3a3dcb097f5bbd4c81b0ca",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "gewinnt vor dem Duell Rapid Wien gegen Wisla Krakau die Prognose auf Unter-Tore erneut an Bedeutung",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:15.664Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-26c1c52c6f50e6588f0972d9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Das Handicap (+1,5) zugunsten der Polen findet in unserer Top-Tipp-Tabelle ebenfalls Platz.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:15.664Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2a4a30aeb94dac99e79bfff8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "halten wir ein Unentschieden nach 90 Minuten für durchaus möglich.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:15.664Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 630,
  "pages": 33,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/2/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/3/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/5/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/6/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/7/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/8/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/9/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/10/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/11/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/12/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/13/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/14/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/15/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/16/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/17/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/18/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/19/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/20/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/21/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/22/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/24/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/25/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/27/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/28/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/29/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/30/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/31/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/32/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/33/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 262,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 368
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 26,
  "first": 481,
  "last": 500,
  "author_url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
 "source_revision": 34
}
