{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
 "canonical": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Marcel Niesner — football predictions, page 23 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 421–440 of 630 by Marcel Niesner, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 23 of 33 of the predictions by Marcel Niesner recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 421–440 of 630 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "630",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "123a06768d03906c2c9a497a090507ea29da9898cc8def9e91b807a762b45b7e",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-b832253b722962f4be645c74",
  "public_name": "Marcel Niesner",
  "tracker_number": 2766,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-1ff46f7c58656029e815bf37",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "darf auch leise darüber nachgedacht werden, zwischen Liverpool und Leverkusen die hohen Quoten auf eine Punkteteilung ins Auge zu fassen.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-30f1d862aa6e7a6a36421602",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "0:0 (1. HZ)\n\n3.50",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-76f7505d1efcfe7a4029e536",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Zwei Clean Sheets in Folge im DFB Pokal und in der Bundesliga sowie auch schon zwei weißen Westen an den ersten drei CL-Spieltagen stützen demnach unsere Liverpool vs. Leverkusen Prognose auf…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a28ab98f24a280716a70f578",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "geht die Tendenz hin zu einer kombinierten Wette auf das 1X & Unter 1.5 (1. HZ)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a2c0b2a69dde05eecd10190b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "im Spitzenspiel Liverpool vs. Leverkusen einen kombinierten Tipp auf das 1X & Unter 1.5 (1. HZ) abzugeben.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e5cc08e72dd564356b4328a8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1X & Unter 1.5 (1. HZ)\n\n2.00",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:59:49.751Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0fc1c2f10d25b328d52cf591",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/#pick-n-0fc1c2f10d25b328d52cf591",
   "match": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8262.0,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Real Madrid over 1.5 at 1.77",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0fc1c2f10d25b328d52cf591",
    "quote_text": "Für über 1.5 Real-Tore könnt ihr in der Bet365 App Notierungen in Höhe von 1.77 abstauben.",
    "fragment_from": 6671,
    "fragment_to": 6761,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9008881a6ec7353f79135465cdb8bdb38f0b70417c20982807c359a9e6a45c33",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Real Madrid over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.77",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8200",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Real Madrid over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.77",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "2-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Real Madrid over 1.5 at 1.77"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "59ff3a0b1bad4c0bca9cf60bf92425724afb6d47e5dd10fd871f88034d0495f4",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Real Madrid over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.77",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:57.906Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "920f7b744910a423146efe0f2701017058380a4dccdc01db7da2349ca497f5c9",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Real Madrid over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:07.519Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Madrid over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3e36d10c03cd34aa28145fae",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1. Tor: Mbappe\n\nhoch\n\n4.75 bei bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6250fee9ebf4775a46d649ff",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/#pick-n-6250fee9ebf4775a46d649ff",
   "match": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8262.0,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap 0: Real Madrid 0 at 1.84",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-6250fee9ebf4775a46d649ff",
    "quote_text": "dennoch probiere ich es im Vorfeld der Partie Liverpool gegen Real Madrid mit dem Tipp auf den Auswärtssieg von Real +0 AHC. Im Falle eines Unentschiedens gäbe es den Einsatz in Höhe von fünf Units zurück. Die bei Bet365 angebotene Quote beläuft sich auf 1.84.",
    "fragment_from": 11633,
    "fragment_to": 11893,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9008881a6ec7353f79135465cdb8bdb38f0b70417c20982807c359a9e6a45c33",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Asian handicap 0",
    "outcome_label": "Real Madrid 0",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.84",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0450",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Asian handicap 0",
     "choice": "Real Madrid 0",
     "author_odds": "1.84",
     "market_key": "handicap_asian",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "0",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Asian handicap 0: Real Madrid 0 at 1.84"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "14bf64136bee27b68f4fee313e700c3a86a12d4f8ab32244e4ca6df3a1358cd9",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 0",
      "choice": "Real Madrid 0",
      "decimal_odds": "1.84",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.052Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4ab157a0d47aa7fd9ba37349543af0d0ef5c5935db97b2046eabfbfc9cc57fae",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 0",
      "choice": "Real Madrid 0",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0450",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:14.603Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Madrid 0"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-962edac3b9ac06d391e625b7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Risikoaffine Tipper können indes darauf setzen, dass der Angreifer sein Team mit 1:0 in Führung bringt. Die dafür offerierte 4,75 kann guten Gewissens mit dem Bet365 Aktionscode verknüpft werden.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-96d7e8bbac0f67f4a25cc744",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Es gibt demnach ausreichend Argumente, um auch zwischen Liverpool und Real Madrid die Quoten auf eine Mbappé-Treffer ins Auge zu fassen.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-af56e549f5367bad89b58884",
   "url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/#pick-n-af56e549f5367bad89b58884",
   "match": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8262.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-af56e549f5367bad89b58884",
    "quote_text": "Den womöglich ansprechendsten Value liefert aber die 2.50 auf den LFC-Heimsieg, da die künstliche Intelligenz, genannt „BETSiE“, dem Erfolg der Roten eine höhere Wahrscheinlichkeit einräumt als die besten Sportwettenanbieter.\n\nKI Prognose Liverpool vs. Real Madrid:\n\nSieg Liverpool zu 2.50",
    "fragment_from": 4537,
    "fragment_to": 4826,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marcel Niesner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9008881a6ec7353f79135465cdb8bdb38f0b70417c20982807c359a9e6a45c33",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Real Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.3800",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "author_odds": "2.5",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d7241355fc75f6c4f3d3b0cfefca3b12a721406f6847c7cb7575972af11faa61",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.659Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5c99d5ddeb612705f26f68b8d577f8041185ba0e657ab638ca620f191f15581c",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:20.431Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Marcel Niesner",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Marcel Niesner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-04-11-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d54f4e8afbf0446b1d6d76a5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1. Tor: Mbappe",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e491cf861e529235ad1432c5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Offensiv haben Salah, Gakpo und Co. darüber hinaus derart viel Qualität, dass ich für das Match Liverpool gegen Real Madrid die kombinierten Wettquoten auf Treffer beider Teams mit Über 2.5 Toren…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-04T08:25:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:00:56.071Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5e3d9eada30b98e69c3528db",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Liverpool -1 (1.HZ)\n\n3.10",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-61df6f944c7d8ecc4b58b6d8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 4.5 Tore\n\n1.50",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-74c483793ea835c2f70484fb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1/1\n\n1.53",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-76f1b6e87db34a1d2db41e1d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Obwohl die Offensive um Son oder Kulusevski immer für Torerfolge gut ist, bin ich der Überzeugung, dass die Londoner an der Anfield Road überfordert sein werden.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7a619763f872d6ff8e2d569d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über das Halbzeit-Handicap (-1) darf ebenfalls nachgedacht werden, zumal die Top-Quote in Höhe von 3.10 auch mit dem Verwenden des Betano Bonus verknüpft werden kann.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ffb0921eb16454fccefe34e5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "offeriert Interwetten eine 1.55",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-07T06:05:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:02:29.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 630,
  "pages": 33,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/2/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/3/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/4/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/5/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/6/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/7/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/8/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/9/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/10/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/11/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/12/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/13/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/14/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/15/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/16/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/17/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/18/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/19/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/20/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/21/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/22/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/24/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/25/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/26/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/27/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/28/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/29/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/30/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/31/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/32/",
   "/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/33/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 262,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 368
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 23,
  "first": 421,
  "last": 440,
  "author_url": "/authors/marcel-niesner/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/marcel-niesner/picks/23/",
 "source_revision": 39
}