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 "heading": "Marc Mödinger — football predictions, page 2 of 7",
 "description": "Predictions 1–20 of 104 by Marc Mödinger, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
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  "body": "Page 2 of 7 of the predictions by Marc Mödinger recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 104 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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   "quote": "Deshalb setzen wir vier Units darauf, dass Leicester Punkte aus dem Duell mitnimmt",
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   "quote": "und zudem einige Treffer fallen könnten",
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   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen & Über 2.5-Tore zu 1.75",
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   "quote": "Interessanter scheint uns jedenfalls die asiatische Handicap-Wette +1 für die Gastgeber",
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   "quote": "spielen die asiatische Wette auf Unter 3.25-Tore mit einem moderaten Einsatz an",
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    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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   "evidence": {
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    "source_info": {
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    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
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     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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   "quote": "Gelingt ihm zum Champions-League-Auftakt ebenfalls ein Tor gegen die Schwaben?",
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   "quote": "Mit einer sehr wahrscheinlichen Führung im Rücken dürfte Madrid sicherlich etwas die Luft aus der Partie nehmen.",
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   "quote": "Letzten Endes dürfte der Favorit sein erstes CL-Heimspiel wohl souverän nach Hause schaukeln, auch wenn wir anders als die Wettanbieter nicht von einem hohen Kantersieg ausgehen.",
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   "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Heidenheim",
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   "kickoff": "2026-03-14T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
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   "author_price": "1.55",
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   "published_at": "2026-03-13T23:57:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T22:05:28.783Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
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  },
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   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/2/#pick-n-64c93380d1406a51b32095f2",
   "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
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   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: AFC Bournemouth over 1.5 at 2.55",
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   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
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   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.55",
   "settled_price": "2.6800",
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/chelsea-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-10-10-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:07:12.342Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:05.380Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "5-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.6800",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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