{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "author",
 "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/",
 "canonical": "/authors/marc-modinger/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Marc Mödinger: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Marc Mödinger archived before kick-off across 1 match, 13 Sep 2025: won 1 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Mödinger from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 13 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 104 predictions we hold for Marc Mödinger, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 66 from the source’s own history and 37 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "1",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 1,
  "date_count": 1,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2,
  "live_count": 0,
  "restored_count": 73,
  "of_them_archived": 1
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "fe4876eefc40de8ffd967b1d3c9e3708d7bbbd7266ade0e2f4715522b6ddc752",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Person",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks.csv",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab",
  "public_name": "Marc Mödinger",
  "tracker_number": 2774,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
  "average_odds": null,
  "odds_from_author": null,
  "odds_from_snapshot": null
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_key": null,
  "series_label": "No level stake placed",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": 0,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 224,
  "recognised": 104,
  "accepted": 84,
  "executed": 84,
  "calculated": 73,
  "gaps": [
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 14
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 6
   }
  ]
 },
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "statements": 224,
  "of_them_restored": 224,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 23,
   "not_about_a_match": 97,
   "unclassified": 0
  },
  "predictions": 104,
  "predictions_restored": 104,
  "matches": 3,
  "admitted": 84,
  "qualifying_picks": 84,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 84,
  "settled_picks": 73,
  "settled_picks_restored": 73,
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 74,
    "settled_picks": 70,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 4,
    "matches": 66,
    "operations_settled": 70,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 80,
    "settled_picks": 71,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 9,
    "matches": 64,
    "operations_settled": 71,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 14
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 6
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {
   "ads": 11
  },
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b1063624486fab0c9737c54f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b1063624486fab0c9737c54f",
   "quote_text": "Lieblings-Wettanbieter: Betano",
   "fragment_from": 11189,
   "fragment_to": 11219,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2d59b8dd94732368953ffb3e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2d59b8dd94732368953ffb3e",
   "quote_text": "Nationalität: Deutschland",
   "fragment_from": 11163,
   "fragment_to": 11188,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "event": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-08f6c1d8c82c713ddf460e5e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-08f6c1d8c82c713ddf460e5e",
   "quote_text": "Alter: 43",
   "fragment_from": 11153,
   "fragment_to": 11162,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c89223ebe7fdb0952bf46eb5",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c89223ebe7fdb0952bf46eb5",
   "quote_text": "Hier bei Bet365 wetten",
   "fragment_from": 11114,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a6c99338ceaa7c1b89aa0240",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a6c99338ceaa7c1b89aa0240",
   "quote_text": "Wettquoten Stand: 30.07.2024, 19:00",
   "fragment_from": 11077,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-bf4556124c0b7c34cbdc86c4",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-bf4556124c0b7c34cbdc86c4",
   "quote_text": "NEIN: 2.20 @Bet365",
   "fragment_from": 11057,
   "fragment_to": 11075,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
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   },
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-923130be70075c6f80969f3a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-923130be70075c6f80969f3a",
   "quote_text": "JA: 1.58 @Bet365",
   "fragment_from": 11039,
   "fragment_to": 11055,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-410aff9637d495e7a4531d5f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-410aff9637d495e7a4531d5f",
   "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen",
   "fragment_from": 11018,
   "fragment_to": 11037,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b56e0184d215bba8590c836d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b56e0184d215bba8590c836d",
   "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore: 2.35 @Bet365",
   "fragment_from": 10988,
   "fragment_to": 11016,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6de03b328c2d88d200f463d6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6de03b328c2d88d200f463d6",
   "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore: 1.54 @Bet365",
   "fragment_from": 10959,
   "fragment_to": 10986,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-44d88a9fd8a9808006807508",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-44d88a9fd8a9808006807508",
   "quote_text": "Über / Unter 2,5 Tore",
   "fragment_from": 10936,
   "fragment_to": 10957,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8f9dc2c01e06fb13c35d38d3",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8f9dc2c01e06fb13c35d38d3",
   "quote_text": "Quoten-Wahrscheinlichkeiten für Sieg Vojvodina / Unentschieden / Sieg Ajax Amsterdam:",
   "fragment_from": 10738,
   "fragment_to": 10823,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-769068cb68c411172ebad6e9",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-769068cb68c411172ebad6e9",
   "quote_text": "Sieg Ajax Amsterdam: 1.70 @Betano",
   "fragment_from": 10703,
   "fragment_to": 10736,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4554340c7e4bb8103d12f55d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4554340c7e4bb8103d12f55d",
   "quote_text": "Unentschieden: 4.15 @Betano",
   "fragment_from": 10674,
   "fragment_to": 10701,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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    "material_removed": false
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ed21b8ff115d3b379f280a92",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ed21b8ff115d3b379f280a92",
   "quote_text": "Sieg Vojvodina: 4.20 @Bet365",
   "fragment_from": 10644,
   "fragment_to": 10672,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "added_on": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-87b40f6dc630c6f06498c557",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-87b40f6dc630c6f06498c557",
   "quote_text": "Vojvodina vs. Ajax Amsterdam – beste Quoten Europa League Qualifikation",
   "fragment_from": 10571,
   "fragment_to": 10642,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
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   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8d7fbf097fe785e559e1c3c6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8d7fbf097fe785e559e1c3c6",
   "quote_text": "Rapid Wien vs. Wisla Krakau, 01.08.2024 – Wettbasis.com Analyse",
   "fragment_from": 10506,
   "fragment_to": 10569,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-fd35b181d9e0919dfa1ac07f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-fd35b181d9e0919dfa1ac07f",
   "quote_text": "Bringt Rapid den Vorsprung über die Zeit?",
   "fragment_from": 10463,
   "fragment_to": 10504,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a191968788cae8621fda9596",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a191968788cae8621fda9596",
   "quote_text": "Der noch fehlende Spielrhythmus könnte eine Erklärung dafür sein, warum der hohe Favorit das Hinspiel nur",
   "fragment_from": 8253,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-12cd66a00be5a6024e503435",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-12cd66a00be5a6024e503435",
   "quote_text": "Denn während die serbischen Gäste bereits das erste nationale Ligaspiel absolviert hatten, kam Ajax direkt",
   "fragment_from": 8124,
   "fragment_to": 8230,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9786c8ddcccacc27ef33277d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9786c8ddcccacc27ef33277d",
   "quote_text": "Der Kaltstart war dem niederländischen Rekordmeister am vergangenen Donnerstag anzumerken.",
   "fragment_from": 8033,
   "fragment_to": 8123,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "cause_code": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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   "fragment_from": 7554,
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   "fragment_from": 7414,
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   },
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   "dates": {
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   "dates": {
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-37f994c8fe669c72b0349f4d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-37f994c8fe669c72b0349f4d",
   "quote_text": "Damals gewann Ajax beide Spiele gegen das auf europäischer Ebene weitestgehend unbekannte Team Borak Čačak",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e7f53606e188aafebeb5eea9",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e7f53606e188aafebeb5eea9",
   "quote_text": "Die vorherigen beiden Duelle gehen auf die Europa League-Saison 2008/09 zurück.",
   "fragment_from": 7041,
   "fragment_to": 7120,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c5daa3f7cc6ce236e9bd53e9",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c5daa3f7cc6ce236e9bd53e9",
   "quote_text": "Trotz langer Europapokalhistorie war das Aufeinandertreffen im Hinspiel das erst dritte Duell des niederländischen",
   "fragment_from": 6883,
   "fragment_to": 6997,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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    "closing_source": null
   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2509d1547e7a112ea9eb7154",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2509d1547e7a112ea9eb7154",
   "quote_text": "Vojvodina – Ajax Amsterdam Direkter Vergleich / H2H-Bilanz",
   "fragment_from": 6823,
   "fragment_to": 6881,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9fec629fc3c80df3f162f7b5",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9fec629fc3c80df3f162f7b5",
   "quote_text": "Letzte Spiele von Ajax Amsterdam:",
   "fragment_from": 6711,
   "fragment_to": 6744,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "cause_code": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-55eb3aea1b32378367203da6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-55eb3aea1b32378367203da6",
   "quote_text": "Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Ajax Amsterdam:",
   "fragment_from": 6658,
   "fragment_to": 6709,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-541b3444e037b7b37f4b2552",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-541b3444e037b7b37f4b2552",
   "quote_text": "Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Ajax Amsterdam:",
   "fragment_from": 6513,
   "fragment_to": 6561,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a214bcd3d1262552fb694d45",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a214bcd3d1262552fb694d45",
   "quote_text": "Sollte Amsterdam auch im Stadion Karadjordje zu Null bestehen, sind für diesen Vojvodina gegen Ajax Amsterdam",
   "fragment_from": 6348,
   "fragment_to": 6457,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-cf3eaa2350ff1cada8519d5f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cf3eaa2350ff1cada8519d5f",
   "quote_text": "dennoch waren die jüngsten Ergebnisse zwei knappe 1:0-Siege.",
   "fragment_from": 6287,
   "fragment_to": 6347,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "dates": {
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  },
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7b20d3646c76d74f9e112ee8",
   "quote_text": "Am offensiv ausgerichteten, in Holland üblichen 4-3-3-System hat Farioli zwar nichts verändert",
   "fragment_from": 6191,
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "authorship": null,
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-ea85c0565d006c92deeaee23",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ea85c0565d006c92deeaee23",
   "quote_text": "Italienischer Catenaccio trifft bei Ajax also auf niederländischen Offensivfußball.",
   "fragment_from": 6107,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   },
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   "dates": {
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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    ],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
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   "added_on": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-0f2ff2dd9e18f16c560a10a1",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0f2ff2dd9e18f16c560a10a1",
   "quote_text": "Zuletzt blieb der niederländische Rekordmeister aber zweimal in Serie ohne Gegentor",
   "fragment_from": 5911,
   "fragment_to": 5994,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-538bca790a25bc4c10835a2a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-538bca790a25bc4c10835a2a",
   "quote_text": "Auf europäischer Ebene gelang dies in der vergangenen Saison in elf von zwölf Spielen nicht",
   "fragment_from": 5710,
   "fragment_to": 5801,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
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   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1b1c0c4aef30e4e0305e768f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1b1c0c4aef30e4e0305e768f",
   "quote_text": "Immerhin blieben die „Godenzonen“ diesmal ohne Gegentreffer.",
   "fragment_from": 5649,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1b54438bc19652186f3c9753",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1b54438bc19652186f3c9753",
   "quote_text": "Sicherlich war Ajax Amsterdam im Hinspiel in jeder Hinsicht überlegen.",
   "fragment_from": 5316,
   "fragment_to": 5386,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
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   },
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ad66393b100b3620efdf8e85",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ad66393b100b3620efdf8e85",
   "quote_text": "Allerdings zeigen die Vojvodina gegen Ajax Amsterdam Quoten von Bookies wie Sunmaker Deutschland,",
   "fragment_from": 5055,
   "fragment_to": 5152,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a706d91dafa63cb225e35770",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a706d91dafa63cb225e35770",
   "quote_text": "Das knappe 1:0 birgt ein gewisses Risiko für das Rückspiel in Novi Sad.",
   "fragment_from": 4983,
   "fragment_to": 5054,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "3e2209e06c0c82a71314bab9dfe9e14c2547be603b21fe53487ea213d38ab4a2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "observation_id": "n-73b8f93eba872c6e148b4117",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-73b8f93eba872c6e148b4117",
   "quote_text": "Ajax Amsterdam – Statistik & aktuelle Form",
   "fragment_from": 4748,
   "fragment_to": 4790,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "dates": {
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   "authorship": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-3ba75016df13efa0192bc022",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3ba75016df13efa0192bc022",
   "quote_text": "Letzte Spiele von Vojvodina:",
   "fragment_from": 4718,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "dates": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0f13a5bbc959f4cd778436fa",
   "quote_text": "Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Vojvodina:",
   "fragment_from": 4670,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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    ],
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-1ea43be86c1e493ac200bf8c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1ea43be86c1e493ac200bf8c",
   "quote_text": "Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Vojvodina:",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-8da06910739a5dc378b87e8a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8da06910739a5dc378b87e8a",
   "quote_text": "Sichere Dir mit dem Code „wett10“ 10€ zum Testen bei Neobet",
   "fragment_from": 2941,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
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    "material_removed": false
   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7f6bb60c4b1ee54566888a34",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/7/#pick-n-7f6bb60c4b1ee54566888a34",
   "quote_text": "Tendenziell gehen wir im Rückspiel von mehr Treffern als am vergangenen Donnerstag aus.",
   "fragment_from": 9649,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
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   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2754cca5645ec0cdbb4f9366",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/7/#pick-n-2754cca5645ec0cdbb4f9366",
   "quote_text": "Über 2.5\n\n1.54",
   "fragment_from": 2278,
   "fragment_to": 2292,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
    "display_name": null,
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-812ca994dc909934970d341a",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/7/#pick-n-812ca994dc909934970d341a",
   "quote_text": "Aber ein Treffer ist dem Außenseiter aus Serbien im eigenen Stadion sicherlich zuzutrauen, auch wenn dieser nach drei Duellen gegen niederländische Teams noch immer auf sich warten lässt. Sollte sich bei Vojvodina gegen Ajax Amsterdam eine Prognose auf beidseitige Torerfolge bewahrheiten",
   "fragment_from": 9309,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-2bc6d3d59153dd164ced0cfe",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/7/#pick-n-2bc6d3d59153dd164ced0cfe",
   "quote_text": "Dennoch rechnen wir damit, dass sich Ajax Amsterdam gegen den individuell doch weit unterlegenen Gegner am Ende durchsetzen wird.",
   "fragment_from": 8817,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-03T06:21:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:13:35.714Z",
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     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   },
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-061d99dba645c21945345053",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-061d99dba645c21945345053",
   "quote_text": "Klare Sache für den Favoriten?",
   "fragment_from": 10701,
   "fragment_to": 10731,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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   },
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a8c22d300f2af3446cafee40",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a8c22d300f2af3446cafee40",
   "quote_text": "Ebenfalls historisch im Europapokal wäre ein zweiter Heimerfolg in Serie für den aserbaidschanischen Meister",
   "fragment_from": 10500,
   "fragment_to": 10608,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7d6828fe0f8d868791b8b577",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7d6828fe0f8d868791b8b577",
   "quote_text": "In der Historie verloren die Blues erst einmal vier Auswärtspartien in Serie in der Champions League (2004/05).",
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   "fragment_to": 10499,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ffa241b17402187186158507",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ffa241b17402187186158507",
   "quote_text": "Eine vierte Auswärtsniederlage in Serie in diesem Wettbewerb soll gegen Qarabag unter allen Umständen vermieden werden.",
   "fragment_from": 10268,
   "fragment_to": 10387,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-57f49a37e56461d0231ee8dd",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-57f49a37e56461d0231ee8dd",
   "quote_text": "Die letzten drei Auswärtsspiele in der Champions League verlor Chelsea.",
   "fragment_from": 10196,
   "fragment_to": 10267,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3ab5e81f7dbf50d1cbb9af98",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3ab5e81f7dbf50d1cbb9af98",
   "quote_text": "Und trotz der geringen Quote für den Auswärtssieg findet die Qarabag FC gegen Chelsea KI Prognose sogar noch Value auf dem Dreiweg-Markt.",
   "fragment_from": 3496,
   "fragment_to": 3633,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/qarabag-fc-vs-chelsea-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
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    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
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    "bundle_id": "aafd628dcb7b39356088900a8f6189ee767cdf1f0524b79e4b8f3397e9c9425a",
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   },
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
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   "quote_text": "Hol dir bei Betano mit dem Code BETMAX deine 20€ Freebet ohne Einzahlung",
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   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/lazio-rom-vs-viktoria-pilsen-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-13-03-2025-europa-league",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "5d250de219b045f8361cd70eb63e4db38c918fea1624085c16b1d06e83b83f60",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-03-13T07:39:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-14T02:03:52.064Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-03-13T07:39:28.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-03-13T07:39:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-14T02:03:52.064Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 11,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 73,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1,
  "found_post_match": 8,
  "of_them_source_reported": 64,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 63,
  "span_from": "2025-03-13",
  "span_to": "2026-10-10",
  "line_text": "restored history: 73, of which pre-match archive 1",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, Bundesliga, LaLiga, Ligue 1, International Soccer and Serie A matches between 13 March 2025 and 10 October 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 73. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 64. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 8. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 73,
   "share": "0.5068"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 70,
    "roi": "-11.7857",
    "ci_low": "-35.1818",
    "ci_high": "10.8108",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 71,
    "roi": "-12.4014",
    "ci_low": "-34.4844",
    "ci_high": "7.1987",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "Bundesliga",
   "LaLiga",
   "Ligue 1",
   "International Soccer",
   "Serie A"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 73 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "wettbasis.com",
   "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/vojvodina-vs-ajax-amsterdam-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-08-2024-europa-league-quali"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-16",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 6000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "60.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2025-09-13",
  "period_to": "2025-09-13",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Mödinger from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 13 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 104 predictions we hold for Marc Mödinger, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 66 from the source’s own history and 37 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+60 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+60.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 66 predictions dated by the source. 62 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2025-09-13",
    "period_to": "2025-09-13",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 6000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-09-13",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-09-13",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-09-13",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Mödinger from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 13 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 104 predictions we hold for Marc Mödinger, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 66 from the source’s own history and 37 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marc-modinger/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 104,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6000,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "60.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-09-13",
      "period_to": "2025-09-13",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "60.00",
       "return_other_percent": "58.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 6000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 5800,
       "period_from": "2025-09-13",
       "period_to": "2025-09-13"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "62.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "62.5"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 37,
     "checked": 8,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 8,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 3,
      "net_points_hundredths": 44100,
      "staked_hundredths": 80000,
      "return_percent": "55.12",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-03-13",
      "period_to": "2026-08-06",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 5,
       "return_main_percent": "76.20",
       "return_other_percent": "75.40",
       "settled_excluding_void": 5,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 38100,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 37700,
       "period_from": "2025-11-04",
       "period_to": "2026-08-06"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "2 score forecasts are waiting for a final score."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 8,
      "priced": 8
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 8,
      "won": 6,
      "won_percent": "75.0",
      "implied_percent": "54.4",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "55.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "59.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "47.5"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 66,
     "checked": 64,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 62,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 62,
      "net_points_hundredths": -138150,
      "staked_hundredths": 620000,
      "return_percent": "-22.28",
      "interval_low": "-42.82",
      "interval_high": "-2.13",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-03-13",
      "period_to": "2026-10-10",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 62,
       "return_main_percent": "-22.28",
       "return_other_percent": "-19.68",
       "settled_excluding_void": 62,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -138150,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -122000,
       "period_from": "2025-03-13",
       "period_to": "2026-10-10"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 64,
      "priced": 62
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 62,
      "won": 29,
      "won_percent": "46.8",
      "implied_percent": "58.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 12,
        "picks": 23,
        "implied_percent": "57.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 12,
        "implied_percent": "60.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "59.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "62.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "55.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "55.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-8a37c490be252679c28c1962"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 13 September 2025 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-03-13",
  "record_to": "2026-10-10"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-64c93380d1406a51b32095f2",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/2/#pick-n-64c93380d1406a51b32095f2",
   "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -54.1,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: AFC Bournemouth over 1.5 at 2.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.55",
   "settled_price": "2.6800",
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T22:53:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:07:12.342Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-64c93380d1406a51b32095f2",
    "quote_text": "Bournemouth Über 1.5 Tore\n\nhoch\n\n2.55",
    "fragment_from": 1708,
    "fragment_to": 1745,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/chelsea-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-10-10-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "459aed63ca9ff4a378b0a601f4463afba470ed704d4e8714a9c6c9bf772e2305",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T22:53:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:07:12.342Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:05.380Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b2dcb02259fa",
     "display_name": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "5-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.6800",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Chelsea & Unter 4.5-Tore\n\nmittel\n\n1.83 bei Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:14:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:05.890Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-641c6352568fb15dbeb10061",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance 1X & Unter 3.5-Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-03-13T07:39:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T02:03:52.064Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8c48d897b4b0c28704aee91c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Lazio & Unter 4.5-Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-03-13T07:39:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T02:03:52.064Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f0236271c4c6871f331ad780",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "und zudem einige Treffer fallen könnten",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-22T01:10:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:53.682Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5053621e36be82b92467e6a2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Deshalb setzen wir vier Units darauf, dass Leicester Punkte aus dem Duell mitnimmt",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-22T01:10:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:53.682Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f8fde425914bd89e0aa84bfd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen & Über 2.5-Tore zu 1.75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-22T01:10:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:53.682Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-839a77dc7df01a5096aea887",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/2/#pick-n-839a77dc7df01a5096aea887",
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "spielen die asiatische Wette auf Unter 3.25-Tore mit einem moderaten Einsatz an",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:41:09.580Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:01.939Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-839a77dc7df01a5096aea887",
    "quote_text": "spielen die asiatische Wette auf Unter 3.25-Tore mit einem moderaten Einsatz an",
    "fragment_from": 9289,
    "fragment_to": 9368,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/brighton-vs-arsenal-tipp-prognose-quoten-04-01-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Marc Mödinger",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ee15c7c1b4f56ec50397d3d0b6839b8d775828d3e8f8b35f130e5431fccb4af1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:41:09.580Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "too_late",
    "event": null,
    "market_label": null,
    "outcome_label": null,
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": null,
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:41:09.580Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:01.939Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −3.25 goals · under −3.25",
      "now": "Over/Under 3.25 goals · under 3.25",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:01.939Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1d71f69021aeddcc61f5c314",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Interessanter scheint uns jedenfalls die asiatische Handicap-Wette +1 für die Gastgeber",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:41:09.580Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1c610aec107ec9e796fdf2e8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance 1X zu 2.12",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-05T12:01:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:41:09.580Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 86,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 86,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 104,
  "pages": 7,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/marc-modinger/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/2/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/3/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/4/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/5/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/6/",
   "/authors/marc-modinger/picks/7/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 73,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 31
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/marc-modinger/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Marc Mödinger Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Marc Mödinger",
  "main_entity": "e-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-95c26800ed1aaf984ad8a2ab",
    "medium": "Wettbasis",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "wettbasis.com",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "Marc Mödinger",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 224,
     "predictions": 104,
     "settled_picks": 1,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
     "return_percent": 60.0,
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "period_from": "2026-10-09",
     "period_to": "2026-10-16"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
  "updated": "2026-10-13",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 1,
   "matches": 1,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2025-09-13",
   "period_to": "2025-09-13",
   "composition_hash": "baae5f27a5992f76d5809d877056ed111c40e020b752ecc1b49bcdd28b9593a6"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-13bba932009fc694bc82",
   "at": "2026-10-13T20:21:18.065Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.4",
   "url": "/authors/marc-modinger/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
    "return_percent": "60.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "baae5f27a5992f76d5809d877056ed111c40e020b752ecc1b49bcdd28b9593a6",
    "text": "+60.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "archived",
    "title": "Archived before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6000,
      "return_percent": "60.0",
      "period_from": "2025-09-13",
      "period_to": "2025-09-13",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.58",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Bundesliga",
      "in_words": "Bundesliga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6000,
      "return_percent": "60.0",
      "period_from": "2025-09-13",
      "period_to": "2025-09-13",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.58",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-09-13",
        "period_to": "2025-09-13",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.58",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "best_slice": null
   }
  ],
  "best_slice": null
 },
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 104 predictions · last change 16 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marc-modinger/",
  "s": "2026-10-09",
  "prediction_count": 104,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-16",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marc-modinger/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 104 predictions · last change 16 October 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 1,
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  "records_corrected": 1,
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  "corrections_url": "/corrections/",
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