{
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 "heading": "Marc Gallon: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Marc Gallon archived before kick-off across 1 match, 7 Mar 2026: won 1 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Gallon from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 7 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 95 predictions we hold for Marc Gallon, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 69 from the source’s own history and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "1",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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  "live_count": 0,
  "restored_count": 78,
  "of_them_archived": 1
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-a557572aac76f12e5bcf877e",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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 ],
 "exports": [
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  },
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 ],
 "modules": {
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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 },
 "page_links": {
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  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-a557572aac76f12e5bcf877e",
  "public_name": "Marc Gallon",
  "tracker_number": 2769,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
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 },
 "headline_number": {
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   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
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  "odds_from_author": null,
  "odds_from_snapshot": null
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": 0,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
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  "recognised": 95,
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  "executed": 84,
  "calculated": 78,
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 },
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  "not_predictions": {
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  "settled_picks_restored": 78,
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   "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/6/#pick-n-115d882ab40661686ebcb620",
   "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\ngering\n\n1.62 bei Betano",
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    "url": null,
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   },
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   },
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   "authorship": {
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   "quote_text": "City trifft 1. HZ\n\nmittel\n\n1.78 bei Merkur Bets",
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   },
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   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
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     "choice": "Manchester City over 0.5",
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   "authorship": {
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   "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
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   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "choice": "Newcastle United over 1.5",
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    "market_key": "team_total",
    "choice_key": "1-over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "1.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Newcastle United over 1.5 at 2.27"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
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   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "choice": "",
    "author_odds": "1.5",
    "market_key": "player_to_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "player_goals",
    "in_words": "Player to score at 1.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "unknown",
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "524582a4fdfeebea24c7317bf8e394766072be6d2ed4041d8f9a28e7e9e94f85",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "",
     "decimal_odds": "1.5",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": "unknown",
     "result_words": "Pending",
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.388Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Marc Gallon",
    "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
    "forecaster": "Marc Gallon",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8c9a1c2075402def0565d0f5",
   "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/5/#pick-n-8c9a1c2075402def0565d0f5",
   "quote_text": "Wir tippen auch in unserer Inter Mailand gegen Almaty Prognose auf einen erneuten Sieg der Italiener und das in beiden Halbzeiten, wie bereits in den ersten drei CL-Gruppenspielen.",
   "fragment_from": 5353,
   "fragment_to": 5533,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Gallon",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "621f1e656c6f85e44a3b29f5dab1d9d3823194f37ebb499d400e5d93ff0829e3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3862148e371b1b411bef0a37",
   "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/5/#pick-n-3862148e371b1b411bef0a37",
   "quote_text": "erwarten wir von Inter wieder mindestens vier Tore, um im Inter Mailand gegen Almaty Tipp mit einem Handicap von 0:3 noch zu gewinnen.",
   "fragment_from": 4857,
   "fragment_to": 4991,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Gallon",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "621f1e656c6f85e44a3b29f5dab1d9d3823194f37ebb499d400e5d93ff0829e3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:26.869Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Inter v FC Kairat Almaty",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2025-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 4.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.1000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 4.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "4.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: over 4.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Inter 2-1 FC Kairat Almaty."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "16725eb0a01194e9db790693963d0bbc8c356b886bb512ff5457faffc3eeb1c4",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 4.5",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1000",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:26.869Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Marc Gallon",
    "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
    "forecaster": "Marc Gallon",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a90b84f8bdb7440cbbfd1292",
   "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/5/#pick-n-a90b84f8bdb7440cbbfd1292",
   "quote_text": "Inter gewinnt (0:3 Handicap) zu 2.05",
   "fragment_from": 3864,
   "fragment_to": 3900,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Marc Gallon",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "621f1e656c6f85e44a3b29f5dab1d9d3823194f37ebb499d400e5d93ff0829e3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:26.863Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Inter v FC Kairat Almaty",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2025-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "European handicap -3",
   "outcome_label": "Inter -3",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.05",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.8200",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "European handicap -3",
    "choice": "Inter -3",
    "author_odds": "2.05",
    "market_key": "handicap_european",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "-3",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "European handicap -3: Inter -3 at 2.05"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Inter 2-1 FC Kairat Almaty."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "dfa5ded4debbae914fed296edc2f653bf63b319d32518fbc5e02195cb2cf65f8",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "European handicap -3",
     "choice": "Inter -3",
     "decimal_odds": "2.05",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:26.849Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "ed6bff16f7fc6dce2d2c0c519881b5d21ebfe401b4ea1ac51c8d0d2d34a608f6",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "European handicap -3",
     "choice": "Inter -3",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8200",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:26.863Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Marc Gallon",
    "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
    "forecaster": "Marc Gallon",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/inter-mailand-vs-almaty-tipp-prognose-quoten-05-11-2025-champions-league",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 1,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 78,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1,
  "found_post_match": 10,
  "of_them_source_reported": 67,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 57,
  "span_from": "2025-05-18",
  "span_to": "2026-05-17",
  "line_text": "restored history: 78, of which pre-match archive 1",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, League Cup, Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, Bundesliga, LaLiga, Ligue 1 and Serie A matches between 18 May 2025 and 17 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 78. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 67. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 10. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 78,
   "share": "0.5256"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 76,
    "roi": "-1.0132",
    "ci_low": "-25.3514",
    "ci_high": "23.6081",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 3,
    "roi": "41.0800",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 77,
    "roi": "-2.7662",
    "ci_low": "-24.5688",
    "ci_high": "21.9545",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "League Cup",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "Bundesliga",
   "LaLiga",
   "Ligue 1",
   "Serie A"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 3 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 75 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 3,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 2,
    "within": 1,
    "median_difference_percent": "-6.8",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median −6.8% over 3 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/2/#pick-n-78f3afd92407bf831e604830",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.00",
    "market": "2.28",
    "difference_percent": "-12.3"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/marc-gallon/picks/2/#pick-n-6bb9fede5002a22edba11169",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "1.82",
    "market": "1.95",
    "difference_percent": "-6.8"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "wettbasis.com",
   "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/newcastle-vs-manchester-city-tipp-prognose-quoten-13-01-2026-efl-cup"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-16",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 7250,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "72.50",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-03-07",
  "period_to": "2026-03-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Gallon from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 7 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 95 predictions we hold for Marc Gallon, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 69 from the source’s own history and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+72.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+72.5%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 69 predictions dated by the source. 66 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-03-07",
    "period_to": "2026-03-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 7250,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-03-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7250,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-03-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7250,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-03-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7250,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Marc Gallon from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 7 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 95 predictions we hold for Marc Gallon, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 69 from the source’s own history and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marc-gallon/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 95,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7250,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "72.50",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-03-07",
      "period_to": "2026-03-07",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "72.50",
       "return_other_percent": "86.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 7250,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 8600,
       "period_from": "2026-03-07",
       "period_to": "2026-03-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "58.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "58.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 25,
     "checked": 10,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 10,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 6,
      "net_points_hundredths": -38600,
      "staked_hundredths": 100000,
      "return_percent": "-38.60",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-08-25",
      "period_to": "2026-03-04",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 8,
       "return_main_percent": "-47.12",
       "return_other_percent": "-52.25",
       "settled_excluding_void": 8,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -37700,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -41800,
       "period_from": "2025-08-25",
       "period_to": "2026-03-04"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 3,
       "return_main_percent": "41.00",
       "return_other_percent": "41.08",
       "settled_excluding_void": 3,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 12300,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 12324,
       "period_from": "2025-08-25",
       "period_to": "2026-03-04"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 10,
      "priced": 10
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 10,
      "won": 3,
      "won_percent": "30.0",
      "implied_percent": "49.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "50.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "49.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "41.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "European handicap",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "54.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "50.9"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 69,
     "checked": 67,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 66,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 66,
      "net_points_hundredths": 10050,
      "staked_hundredths": 660000,
      "return_percent": "1.52",
      "interval_low": "-22.73",
      "interval_high": "24.77",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-05-18",
      "period_to": "2026-05-17",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 66,
       "return_main_percent": "1.52",
       "return_other_percent": "2.48",
       "settled_excluding_void": 66,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 10050,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 16400,
       "period_from": "2025-05-18",
       "period_to": "2026-05-17"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 67,
      "priced": 66
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 66,
      "won": 36,
      "won_percent": "54.5",
      "implied_percent": "52.2",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 13,
        "picks": 23,
        "implied_percent": "47.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 10,
        "picks": 20,
        "implied_percent": "51.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 15,
        "implied_percent": "57.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 8,
        "implied_percent": "57.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-f0cc71821cb86cada1de4565"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 7 March 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-05-18",
  "record_to": "2026-05-17"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ef29efd8c898ed2cde89d4e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Manchester United v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-17T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3560.8,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Manchester United over 1.5 at 1.57",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.57",
   "settled_price": "1.4700",
   "published_at": "2026-05-17T05:52:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:18:14.431Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6e4a3d76c0e18add6ce8a230",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Genoa v AC Milan",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-17T10:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -3562.3,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: AC Milan under 1.5 at 1.9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.9",
   "settled_price": "1.8300",
   "published_at": "2026-05-17T05:42:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:18:22.384Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8331c9970ea240dfb7e2debb",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-11T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3697.3,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 2.52",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.52",
   "settled_price": "2.6150",
   "published_at": "2026-05-11T05:54:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:19:01.903Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-08386b5a70b80543efb56322",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3727.3,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Nottingham Forest under 1.5 at 1.63",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4650,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.63",
   "settled_price": "1.4650",
   "published_at": "2026-05-10T05:52:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:19:09.869Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-26f41b77906ffaa676ebd44e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Everton v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-04T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3865.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.5",
   "settled_price": "1.5550",
   "published_at": "2026-05-04T05:54:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:21:00.978Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7550c90501447726581a7ff3",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4177.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.5",
   "settled_price": "1.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-04-21T05:52:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:22:58.429Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e5132cb65eef005f6fb68a2d",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Aston Villa v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4231.4,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Aston Villa under 1.5 at 1.95",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.95",
   "settled_price": "1.8950",
   "published_at": "2026-04-18T22:53:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:23:29.329Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a667a9d0b1d9d771515edb18",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4399.4,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Sunderland under 1.5 at 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5550,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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   "correction": null
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    },
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     "choice_key": "yes",
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    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "data_status": "unknown",
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     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
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      "site_simulation": true,
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     "status": "not_named",
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Player to score"
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir tippen auch in unserer Inter Mailand gegen Almaty Prognose auf einen erneuten Sieg der Italiener und das in beiden Halbzeiten, wie bereits in den ersten drei CL-Gruppenspielen.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Für ein 5:0 könntet ihr euch in der NEO.bet App eine Quote von 8.00 sichern.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
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   "correction": null
  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Inter gewinnt beide Halbzeiten\n\ngering\n\n1.50 bei Winamax",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "correction": null
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   "quote": "Inter gewinnt (0:3 Handicap)\n\nmittel\n\n2.05 bei Interwetten",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Tipp\n\nHakan Calhanoglu trifft\n\nNEO.bet\n\n2.50",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:15:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T01:28:55.889Z",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "für einen erneuten frühen Gegentreffer vor der Pause bieten euch die Buchmacher Newcastle gegen Athletic Bilbao Quoten in Höhe von 1.60.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:13:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:22.685Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir tippen in unserer Newcastle gegen Athletic Bilbao Prognose auf den nächsten Treffer des Engländers.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:13:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:22.685Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Gordon trifft",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
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   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:13:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:22.685Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f97b0e926a14b3438ee39735",
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Newcastle trifft 1. HZ",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:22.685Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Aufgrund dieser Statistiken geht unser Newcastle vs. Athletic Bilbao Tipp auf die Gastgeber aus England.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-11-05T07:13:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:22.685Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d8047b98c3cceda190567ad1",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen + über 2,5 Tore\n\nbet365\n\n1.69",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-05-04T23:29:58.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:30:06.812Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
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 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 84,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 84,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 95,
  "pages": 6,
  "page_urls": [
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  "groups": {
   "settled": 78,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 17
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