{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/mafia-bet-betfair/", "canonical": "/authors/mafia-bet-betfair/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR: Football Prediction Record", "description": "MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR: 548 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 548 statements by MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR, including 356 predictions. Of the 356 predictions we hold for MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR, 27 are linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off and 26 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-7528aff06d6b47d275ca26fe", "public_name": "MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR", "tracker_number": 5954, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-25", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-7528aff06d6b47d275ca26fe-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:00:07.552Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 548, "recognised": 356, "accepted": 26, "executed": 0, "calculated": 0, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 289 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 66 }, { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 548, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 192, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 356, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 25, "admitted": 26, "qualifying_picks": 0, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 0, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 289 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 66 }, { "code_name": "outside_coverage", "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "service": 11 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-e90007fb12a09d6ab5a761d2", "url": "/authors/mafia-bet-betfair/picks/19/#pick-n-e90007fb12a09d6ab5a761d2", "quote_text": "▪️ Stake (Match Odds) on the 1\n▪️ Odd:2.14", "fragment_from": 94, "fragment_to": 136, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/betfair_betwatch/41945", "display_name": null, "speaker": "MAFIA.BET - BETFAIR", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ecf9f0ebb4188c5a5fd21dacbf43db714dffd70b472659df695da45adf108ffa", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T19:00:41.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T19:08:01.861Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T19:00:41.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T19:00:41.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T19:08:01.861Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 11, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "t.me", "url": "https://t.me/betfair_betwatch/41945" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "289 predictions are in other markets; 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