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 "heading": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 26 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026.",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2efe27a63b7fe8a902c9c29e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2efe27a63b7fe8a902c9c29e",
   "quote_text": "Nell'ultima settimana di 5 pronostici solo 1 è risultato vincente (quello di Ligue 1)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   },
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-2801c5b9c6056dfa61de679c",
   "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-2801c5b9c6056dfa61de679c",
   "quote_text": "Quota: 1,39\nStake: 6%\nPuntata: 30€\nBankroll: 500€",
   "fragment_from": 118,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-15T09:03:32.000Z",
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   "executed_at": null,
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ed4f146a8d8c136bcba8b114",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ed4f146a8d8c136bcba8b114",
   "quote_text": "degli 8 di Serie A solo 4 sono risultati vincenti...",
   "fragment_from": 605,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-0758869e83d9c42fad05e819",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0758869e83d9c42fad05e819",
   "quote_text": "le restanti 44 stringhe attive avranno una puntata di 2€",
   "fragment_from": 265,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "added_on": null,
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  }
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   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 2,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "100.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 0,
    "median_difference_percent": "8.0",
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    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
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   {
    "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-1457a2f92ed6610ca3bfbc38",
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    "stated": "1.44",
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    "difference_percent": "10.0"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-88a760c7e7e70dc65cee8666",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.40",
    "market": "1.32",
    "difference_percent": "6.1"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
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   "url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3832"
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  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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  "status": "calculated",
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  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor before kick-off across 2 matches between 26 and 27 October 2026. Won 2 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 26 predictions we hold for Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor, 4 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
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    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+62.87 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+31.4%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
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     }
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  "cite": {
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   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/",
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   "proven_dates": 4,
   "parts": [
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     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
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     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
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      "method_version": "2.2",
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     },
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     },
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      "implied_percent": "76.1",
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        "implied_percent": "75.8"
       },
       {
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        "implied_percent": "76.4"
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      ]
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      "wrong": 0,
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     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
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     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
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     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
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  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 26–27 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
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   "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-1457a2f92ed6610ca3bfbc38",
   "match": "AS Roma v Cagliari",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-cagliari-2026-10-27/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 9.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: AS Roma at 1.44",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3087,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.44",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-27T10:03:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T10:06:16.597Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.3087",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 3087,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1457a2f92ed6610ca3bfbc38",
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    "fragment_from": 49,
    "fragment_to": 109,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3808",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
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     "bundle_id": "dedf7b8d60d32acccc175ca53fd14c72decda18e9d35165c2fd5db484dcc253d",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-27T10:06:16.597Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-27T10:11:46.811Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
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     "url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-cagliari-2026-10-27/",
     "scoreline": "4-2",
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     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3087,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-27T10:03:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-27T10:06:16.597Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
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    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "AS Roma",
     "author_odds": "1.44",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
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    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "scoreline": "4-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari."
    },
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      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
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      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
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      "decimal_odds": "1.44",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
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      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
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     {
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      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "AS Roma",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3087",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3087,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-27T10:11:46.811Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3808",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "AS Roma to win"
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   "record_id": "n-88a760c7e7e70dc65cee8666",
   "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-88a760c7e7e70dc65cee8666",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-26T18:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": 8.4,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Galatasaray or draw at 1.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3200,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.4",
   "settled_price": "1.3200",
   "published_at": "2026-10-26T10:05:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T10:06:16.983Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-88a760c7e7e70dc65cee8666",
    "quote_text": "Galatasaray - Fenerbahce 1X\n\nBookmaker: Bet365\nQuota: 1,40",
    "fragment_from": 61,
    "fragment_to": 119,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3807",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8222054d468d11d08750decd17b948d3649de15b5ede0c9bf0614ad36e8a9cfe",
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    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-26T10:05:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-26T10:06:16.983Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-26T13:32:41.333Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-56c621576d2d",
     "display_name": "Galatasaray — Fenerbahçe",
     "competition_name": "Süper Lig",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-26T18:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/galatasaray-vs-fenerbahce-2026-10-26/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Galatasaray or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.4",
     "our_snapshot": "1.3200",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T10:03:51.669Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3200,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T10:05:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T10:05:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-26T10:06:16.983Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Galatasaray or draw",
     "author_odds": "1.4",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Galatasaray or draw at 1.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Galatasaray 2-1 Fenerbahçe."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Galatasaray or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-26T13:32:40.628Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "95e6e08d9fe06dfbb50b635ca4bf2370b31e66bd6b2a594643d16d47cae0c5a8",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Galatasaray or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3200",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3200,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-26T13:32:41.333Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3807",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Galatasaray or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c6b42b11194d1c25b504bde0",
   "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/3/#pick-n-c6b42b11194d1c25b504bde0",
   "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 33.9,
   "market_code": "multi",
   "author_said": "Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 3 legs: AZ Alkmaar under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + Juventus under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + …",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T10:03:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T10:06:17.176Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c6b42b11194d1c25b504bde0",
    "quote_text": "Az - Juventus Under 2,5 Casa + Under 2,5 Ospite",
    "fragment_from": 61,
    "fragment_to": 108,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3824",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6ee1249872f57b418fe9191e4400505fe80bb4e4f7b72257bcc899c1d8489e2c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T10:06:17.176Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a705d07502db",
     "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 3 legs",
    "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + …",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T10:03:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T10:06:17.176Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 3 legs",
     "choice": "AZ Alkmaar under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + Juventus under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + …",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "multi",
     "choice_key": "multi",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 3 legs: AZ Alkmaar under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + Juventus under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5) + …",
     "legs": [
      {
       "seq": 1,
       "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
       "choice": "AZ Alkmaar under 0.5",
       "result": "loss"
      },
      {
       "seq": 2,
       "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
       "choice": "Juventus under 0.5",
       "result": "loss"
      },
      {
       "seq": 3,
       "market_label": "1X2, match result",
       "choice": "Atalanta",
       "result": "loss"
      }
     ]
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Luigi Sallusti Financial Betting Advisor",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/luigisallusti/3824",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a 3-leg combined pick",
    "legs": [
     {
      "market": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "selection": "AZ Alkmaar under 0.5",
      "outcome": "Lost"
     },
     {
      "market": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "selection": "Juventus under 0.5",
      "outcome": "Lost"
     },
     {
      "market": "1X2, match result",
      "selection": "Atalanta",
      "outcome": "Lost"
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-40513a0f7bdd2618cff07e08",
   "url": "/authors/luigi-sallusti-financial-betting-advisor/picks/2/#pick-n-40513a0f7bdd2618cff07e08",
   "match": "FC Porto v SSC Napoli",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 33.9,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: FC Porto or draw at 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
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   "group": "excluded",
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