{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "canonical": "/authors/liam-flin/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Liam Flin: Football Prediction Record", "description": "58 settled picks by Liam Flin archived before kick-off across 44 matches, 12 Aug 2024 – 3 May 2025: −19.2% reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 58 settled archived picks by Liam Flin from copies archived before kick-off, across 44 matches between 12 August 2024 and 3 May 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −19.2% on the total staked. Of the 201 predictions we hold for Liam Flin, 139 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 62 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−19.2%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 58, "date_count": 36, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 105, "of_them_archived": 73 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "355cb5baa49b3a0561b8a57764992192978deab28f94ac7d17d77364266457cf", "dependency_group": "author:e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "public_name": "Liam Flin", "tracker_number": 1496, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-10-17" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 568, "recognised": 201, "accepted": 121, "executed": 121, "calculated": 104, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 48 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 32 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 568, "of_them_restored": 568, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 124, "not_about_a_match": 243, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 201, "predictions_restored": 201, "matches": 0, "admitted": 121, "qualifying_picks": 121, "qualifying_picks_restored": 121, "settled_picks": 104, "settled_picks_restored": 104, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 6, "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 6, "operations_settled": 6, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 81, "settled_picks": 69, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 12, "matches": 65, "operations_settled": 69, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 98, "settled_picks": 87, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 11, "matches": 65, "operations_settled": 87, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 48 }, { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 32 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "ads": 26, "service": 4 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-e66c8be8154a76c32a899255", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-e66c8be8154a76c32a899255", "quote_text": "Burnley or draw double chance", "fragment_from": 5366, "fragment_to": 5395, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240811164132id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/luton-vs-burnley-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-ak3dj4s7bpem/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e853d7e09728e3e4fc31f37201270ae9f22b9a7d382f8df0d2fdfbcdec54eeb2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-11T13:50:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-490dcb5511e1142e29be7659", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-490dcb5511e1142e29be7659", "quote_text": "Burnley (4-2-3-1): Hladky; Roberts, Esteve, O'Shea, Vitinho; Cullen, Brownhill; Koleosho,", "fragment_from": 4782, "fragment_to": 4871, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240811164132id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/luton-vs-burnley-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-ak3dj4s7bpem/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e853d7e09728e3e4fc31f37201270ae9f22b9a7d382f8df0d2fdfbcdec54eeb2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-11T13:50:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f65d4be304caaf497749e5b9", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f65d4be304caaf497749e5b9", "quote_text": "Luton (3-4-1-2): Kaminski; Walters, Holmes, Johnson; Ogbene, Clark, Baptiste, Doughty; Chong;", "fragment_from": 4596, "fragment_to": 4689, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240811164132id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/luton-vs-burnley-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-ak3dj4s7bpem/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e853d7e09728e3e4fc31f37201270ae9f22b9a7d382f8df0d2fdfbcdec54eeb2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-11T13:50:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:38.872Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-953c1d24debadd788b312823", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-953c1d24debadd788b312823", "quote_text": "Ryan Gravenberch to commit two or more fouls", "fragment_from": 6043, "fragment_to": 6087, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240831165345id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/man-utd-vs-liverpool-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a8Q0W5G4AGuM/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e22f1a89193fd208c794152e3ebf190dda10d6cd443f81446eb499a1d8d41825", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:53:32.034Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:13:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:53:32.034Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-df80de5d1aff359dea1d612f", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-df80de5d1aff359dea1d612f", "quote_text": "Paddy Power are offering 100-1 on Man Utd and 50-1 on Liverpool to win.", "fragment_from": 1093, "fragment_to": 1164, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240831165345id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/man-utd-vs-liverpool-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a8Q0W5G4AGuM/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e22f1a89193fd208c794152e3ebf190dda10d6cd443f81446eb499a1d8d41825", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:53:32.034Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:13:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:53:32.034Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3d314031de60f67d785dd9b3", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-3d314031de60f67d785dd9b3", "quote_text": "Joelinton to commit two or more fouls\nThe Newcastle midfielder has already been cautioned twice and made ten fouls in this season's Premier League and he could go into the book against Wolves.\n\nPays out at 5-1 with bet365", "fragment_from": 5954, "fragment_to": 6175, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240914160417id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/wolves-vs-newcastle-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-arNFb0p5G6jS/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "782c2b0ca524cc7ded2e3b374ee679e8b32fe76a6c62219f4be7603d1df9e59f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:52:58.388Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-14T13:46:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:52:58.388Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f05d07d30e878bfec64f8fe9", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-f05d07d30e878bfec64f8fe9", "quote_text": "Atletico Madrid to win & both teams to score vs Leipzig\n1pt 23-10 Betfair, Hills", "fragment_from": 1525, "fragment_to": 1605, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240918154002id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/thursdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aRCNT3i1dDfK/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5d063252ef759e9df831f4542491a673da07e2b292ba4fc8268cd9f7803cde07", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-18T14:46:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:52:04.166Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Atlético Madrid v RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-19T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.3", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.6200", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-18T15:40:02.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-18T14:46:23.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-18T14:46:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:52:04.166Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-18T15:40:02.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 2 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "3.3", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 3.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", 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statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5cd38fb3ecb36c97b5e0c44a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5cd38fb3ecb36c97b5e0c44a", "quote_text": "Tymur Puzankov is out but Danylo Sikan came off the bench against Kolos on Friday", "fragment_from": 4745, "fragment_to": 4826, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021160014id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/arsenal-vs-shakhtar-donetsk-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aRfMU5w7VlbN/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9ef992c4d35fb599cede2084176ecf2763f30ae50617cae3316f35110f9b236f", "material_removed": false }, 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"correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-334d2b77f2fe6cfd9a1f33c7", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-334d2b77f2fe6cfd9a1f33c7", "quote_text": "Taras Stepanenko to commit two or more fouls", "fragment_from": 5979, "fragment_to": 6023, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021160014id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/arsenal-vs-shakhtar-donetsk-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aRfMU5w7VlbN/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9ef992c4d35fb599cede2084176ecf2763f30ae50617cae3316f35110f9b236f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:16.288Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, 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"result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-67444349b0be8da34053861c", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-67444349b0be8da34053861c", "quote_text": "Arsenal to win to nil", "fragment_from": 5712, "fragment_to": 5733, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021160014id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/arsenal-vs-shakhtar-donetsk-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aRfMU5w7VlbN/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9ef992c4d35fb599cede2084176ecf2763f30ae50617cae3316f35110f9b236f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-10-21T15:42:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:16.288Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.748Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Shakhtar Donetsk", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "To win to nil", "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", 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"methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "afb6b56a457005697752f5eb9cf36f51bae12f587cb89d4befbac797d170173c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "To win to nil", "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil", "decimal_odds": "1.7500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.748Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Liam Flin", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Liam Flin", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/arsenal-vs-shakhtar-donetsk-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aRfMU5w7VlbN/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4b6c4aa432707d7bc5d327ba", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4b6c4aa432707d7bc5d327ba", "quote_text": "they look a solid pick against Stuttgart", "fragment_from": 2972, "fragment_to": 3012, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021162239id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aInot1u4ns0g/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee0465b136ef9160a52bd4f28ec1901fdb60912deac851c0d9dde827c55d2461", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-21T16:09:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d45d24d816d98717c0e3275f", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d45d24d816d98717c0e3275f", "quote_text": "FREE BETS\nCheck out all our Offers on our Free Bets pages", "fragment_from": 114, "fragment_to": 171, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021162239id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aInot1u4ns0g/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee0465b136ef9160a52bd4f28ec1901fdb60912deac851c0d9dde827c55d2461", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-21T16:09:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be 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"market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-21T16:09:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-455dbdfa9cf59140042f2666", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/#pick-n-455dbdfa9cf59140042f2666", "quote_text": "they could also struggle to contain Sporting CP.", "fragment_from": 3267, "fragment_to": 3315, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241021162239id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aInot1u4ns0g/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee0465b136ef9160a52bd4f28ec1901fdb60912deac851c0d9dde827c55d2461", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-10-21T16:09:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:12.109Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.696Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Sturm Graz v Sporting CP", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Sporting CP", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.4100", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", 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"scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sturm Graz 0-2 Sporting CP." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d0a2cb63207fa457293a40e49536c989fa2d14563657a7368300333cd074096a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sporting CP", "decimal_odds": "1.4100", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4100, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.696Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Liam Flin", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Liam Flin", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aInot1u4ns0g/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5d43ae56b9a586cbb9b4c9b1", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5d43ae56b9a586cbb9b4c9b1", "quote_text": "it could be a gritty affair", "fragment_from": 3164, "fragment_to": 3191, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241023142323id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/rangers-vs-fcsb-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aIwOn7O95mk2/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97211d04369ca4a80058beb7c2e3afcd18fa64323fd73f547b7375da07ca8d70", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:17.384Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-23T13:18:29.000Z", "detected_at": 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null }, { "observation_id": "n-b8bcf141915e4ef10bb29da0", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/10/#pick-n-b8bcf141915e4ef10bb29da0", "quote_text": "Julian Alvarez to score first in Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava\n1pt 16-5 Betfair, Hills, Paddy Power", "fragment_from": 1964, "fragment_to": 2070, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241211083914id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-tc999-a2QMB3p0c4NU/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ad2659523d566014acbd625ed1f289c00a8de719ebec30de5047800285228cb0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-12-10T17:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:46.953Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": 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"restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-11T15:08:26.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-12-11T13:54:02.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-12-11T13:54:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:34.254Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-11T15:08:26.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Elfsborg", "author_odds": "2.55", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Elfsborg at 2.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Elfsborg 1-0 Qarabag." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5dc12b91e6a4f29d8510a67065b2685d370d8b0ad6019df4e708eff50240d475", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Elfsborg", "decimal_odds": "2.55", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 15500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.380Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6ced3fb617cb81605b49fc05f72545174636b763a2eeaf04ca9287cb8bb6d066", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Elfsborg", "decimal_odds": "2.5000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 15000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.386Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Liam Flin", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Liam Flin", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/thursdays-europa-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aHd911c9CWcG/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-eb25d0fb487077f395a617ba", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/10/#pick-n-eb25d0fb487077f395a617ba", "quote_text": "Lyon to beat Eintracht Frankfurt\n1pt 11-10 general", "fragment_from": 1315, "fragment_to": 1365, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241211150826id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/thursdays-europa-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aHd911c9CWcG/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f1ddbad555e619ecaa0dd252e09b0b0156a8ba30fefc3e367b590cbf884a32c2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-12-11T13:54:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:34.254Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.373Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Olympique Lyonnais v Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2024-12-12T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Olympique Lyonnais", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9800", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 9800, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-11T15:08:26.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-12-11T13:54:02.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-12-11T13:54:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:34.254Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-11T15:08:26.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Olympique Lyonnais at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Olympique Lyonnais 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9cd48444b990e9a91177bf8be40bf24913dcd819d7e455e76e6c146da70d3f9f", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.368Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8a6d7b783130ae90fe6d867dee56fb36a66cafcdf284a7ef0320adaa992e3823", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "decimal_odds": "1.9800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9800, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.373Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Liam Flin", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Liam Flin", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/thursdays-europa-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aHd911c9CWcG/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-48eef1846eae03ed53074a83", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-48eef1846eae03ed53074a83", "quote_text": "Emerson is suspended while Michail Antonio has undergone surgery on a lower limb fracture", "fragment_from": 4906, "fragment_to": 4995, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241215124821id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/bournemouth-vs-west-ham-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-tc999-aguDi4U1RFMm/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c5181dcf2a25c49d6b77983bc967bfc0902b6c412acc2ed067ba7b70ccfc0dfc", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-12-15T11:15:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-1ce04df54c95f3fdfbf6f6e0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1ce04df54c95f3fdfbf6f6e0", "quote_text": "The Cherries will be without Marcos Senesi and Marcus Tavernier but Tyler Adams is available again.", "fragment_from": 4796, "fragment_to": 4895, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241215124821id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/bournemouth-vs-west-ham-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-tc999-aguDi4U1RFMm/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c5181dcf2a25c49d6b77983bc967bfc0902b6c412acc2ed067ba7b70ccfc0dfc", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-12-15T11:15:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b5e0d69cc8f3d2cd985d2586", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b5e0d69cc8f3d2cd985d2586", "quote_text": "Place any bet on Bournemouth vs West Ham with Sky Bet and claim £40 in free football bets.", "fragment_from": 1099, "fragment_to": 1189, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241215124821id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/bournemouth-vs-west-ham-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-tc999-aguDi4U1RFMm/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Liam Flin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c5181dcf2a25c49d6b77983bc967bfc0902b6c412acc2ed067ba7b70ccfc0dfc", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-12-15T11:15:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:27.318Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 26, "service": 4, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "archived", "n": 69, "body": "69 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2025" }, { "portion": "found_after", "n": 34, "body": "34 found after the match" } ], "recent_record": [], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 20 matches", "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 10/20 (20 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 5/13 (12 matches); Goals over/under 5/10 (10 matches); Both teams to score 5/8 (8 matches); Bet-builder combos 2/6 (6 matches); Goalscorer picks 2/5 (5 matches); Team goals and win to nil 1/4 (4 matches); Correct score 0/2 (2 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "archived", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 0/2", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "archived", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.32 · 27 Nov 2024", "details_words": "Bologna v Lille · Away win at 3.32 (archive closing price)", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/10/#pick-n-634a2b55b4aea7fd1abfb0ee", "provenance": "archived", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" } ], "history": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 15 Mar–9 Apr 2025 · archive record", "event_at": "2025-04-09", "status": "historical", "cause": "120 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.16 · Everton v West Ham United · 15 Mar 2025 · archive record", "event_at": "2025-03-15", "status": "historical", "cause": "90 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Away win at 3.32 · Bologna v Lille · 27 Nov 2024 · archive record", "event_at": "2024-11-27", "status": "historical", "cause": "90 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" } ] }, "retro": { "restored_total": 97, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 69, "found_post_match": 28, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 47, "span_from": "2024-08-12", "span_to": "2025-05-05", "line_text": "restored history: 97, of which pre-match archive 69", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, League Cup, Champions League, Europa League and UEFA Super Cup matches between 12 August 2024 and 5 May 2025 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 97. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 69. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 28. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 95, "share": "0.4632" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 58, "roi": "-4.6050", "ci_low": "-38.1795", "ci_high": "30.3421", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 5, "roi": "-12.3080", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 80, "roi": "-11.7375", "ci_low": "-35.1712", "ci_high": "12.6392", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Championship", "League Cup", "Champions League", "Europa League", "UEFA Super Cup" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 18 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 79 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "closing", "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)", "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)", "compared": 2, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 2, "median_difference_percent": "1.0", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated", "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +1.0% over 2 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately." } ], "examples": [], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "racingpost.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240811164132id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/luton-vs-burnley-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-ak3dj4s7bpem/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-10-17", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 44, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -111550, "staked_hundredths": 580000, "return_percent": "-19.23", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2024-08-12", "period_to": "2025-05-03", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 58 settled archived picks by Liam Flin from copies archived before kick-off, across 44 matches between 12 August 2024 and 3 May 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −19.2% on the total staked. Of the 201 predictions we hold for Liam Flin, 139 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 62 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "58", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "44", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−1,115.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "−19.2%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −46.7% to +8.7%" } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Liam Flin across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Liam Flin publishes”.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2024-08-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15100, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2024-09-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24500, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2024-09-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21100, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2024-09-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36400, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2024-09-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16400, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2024-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25950, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2024-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15950, "n": 16 }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10650, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2024-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 650, "n": 19 }, { "date": "2024-11-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23850, "n": 22 }, { "date": "2024-12-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3850, "n": 24 }, { "date": "2024-12-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6150, "n": 25 }, { "date": "2024-12-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -16150, "n": 26 }, { "date": "2024-12-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8650, "n": 28 }, { "date": "2024-12-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1350, "n": 29 }, { "date": "2024-12-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11350, "n": 30 }, { "date": "2025-01-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21350, "n": 31 }, { "date": "2025-01-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27150, "n": 33 }, { "date": "2025-01-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37150, "n": 34 }, { "date": "2025-01-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -39150, "n": 36 }, { "date": "2025-02-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -59150, "n": 38 }, { "date": "2025-02-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53850, "n": 39 }, { "date": "2025-02-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73850, "n": 41 }, { "date": "2025-02-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -93850, "n": 43 }, { "date": "2025-03-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -113850, "n": 45 }, { "date": "2025-03-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -129350, "n": 48 }, { "date": "2025-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -107750, "n": 49 }, { "date": "2025-03-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92050, "n": 51 }, { "date": "2025-04-08", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -80100, "n": 53 }, { "date": "2025-04-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -71550, "n": 54 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81550, "n": 55 }, { "date": "2025-04-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -91550, "n": 56 }, { "date": "2025-04-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -101550, "n": 57 }, { "date": "2025-05-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -111550, "n": 58 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 44, "match_dates": 34, "period_from": "2024-08-12", "period_to": "2025-05-03", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -111550, "low": { "date": "2025-03-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -129350, "after_picks": 48 }, "high": { "date": "2024-09-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36400, "after_picks": 6 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2024-08-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15100, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-09-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24500, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-09-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21100, "n": 4, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-09-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36400, "n": 6, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-09-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16400, "n": 8, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25950, "n": 15, "picks": 7 }, { "date": "2024-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15950, "n": 16, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10650, "n": 18, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 650, "n": 19, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-11-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23850, "n": 22, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2024-12-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3850, "n": 24, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-12-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6150, "n": 25, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -16150, "n": 26, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8650, "n": 28, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2024-12-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1350, "n": 29, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11350, "n": 30, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-01-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21350, "n": 31, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-01-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27150, "n": 33, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-01-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37150, "n": 34, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-01-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -39150, "n": 36, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-02-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -59150, "n": 38, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-02-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53850, "n": 39, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-02-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73850, "n": 41, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-02-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -93850, "n": 43, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-03-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -113850, "n": 45, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-03-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -129350, "n": 48, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -107750, "n": 49, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92050, "n": 51, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-08", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -80100, "n": 53, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -71550, "n": 54, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81550, "n": 55, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -91550, "n": 56, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -101550, "n": 57, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-05-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -111550, "n": 58, "picks": 1 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 58 settled archived picks by Liam Flin from copies archived before kick-off, across 44 matches between 12 August 2024 and 3 May 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −19.2% on the total staked. Of the 201 predictions we hold for Liam Flin, 139 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 62 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/liam-flin/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 201, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 139, "proven_checked": 69, "proven_measured": 58, "proven_dates": 36, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 139, "checked": 69, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 58, "void": 0, "matches": 44, "net_points_hundredths": -111550, "staked_hundredths": 580000, "return_percent": "-19.23", "interval_low": "-46.71", "interval_high": "8.65", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2024-08-12", "period_to": "2025-05-03", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 33, "return_main_percent": "-24.50", "return_other_percent": "-20.75", "settled_excluding_void": 33, "net_main_points_hundredths": -80850, "net_other_points_hundredths": -68459, "period_from": "2024-08-12", "period_to": "2025-05-03" }, { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 5, "return_main_percent": "-1.40", "return_other_percent": "-0.31", "settled_excluding_void": 5, "net_main_points_hundredths": -700, "net_other_points_hundredths": -154, "period_from": "2025-02-15", "period_to": "2025-03-16" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 69, "priced": 58 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 58, "won": 25, "won_percent": "43.1", "implied_percent": "50.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 10, "picks": 20, "implied_percent": "45.5" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 5, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "58.8" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 5, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "64.0" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 2, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "55.6" }, { "market": "Result and total goals", "won": 2, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "47.0" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 1, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "37.0" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 62, "checked": 35, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 29, "void": 1, "matches": 24, "net_points_hundredths": 10300, "staked_hundredths": 280000, "return_percent": "3.68", "interval_low": "-38.98", "interval_high": "48.67", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2024-08-13", "period_to": "2025-04-13", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 20, "return_main_percent": "5.55", "return_other_percent": "4.65", "settled_excluding_void": 19, "net_main_points_hundredths": 10550, "net_other_points_hundredths": 8840, "period_from": "2024-08-13", "period_to": "2025-04-13" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 35, "priced": 29 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 28, "won": 14, "won_percent": "50.0", "implied_percent": "48.8", "left_out": 1, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 5, "picks": 11, "implied_percent": "45.6" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "67.6" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "33.5" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "61.7" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "52.7" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 3, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "46.4" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-010def08bf732e6b0e1b4140", "n-0351125ad47a588894c5fc49", "n-09cf471828fb77182b508714", "n-10022d6d2f7191056e5aade9", "n-157a478f3d99fbaf5a83fb32", "n-17e26efb3501a6259150d40b", "n-29887f9cf1ec14c2df6a5165", "n-2a0602343b9d928c6d66b8ae", "n-2aa2ace7a61b4653e408c1d6", "n-310b649978d9835b55980174", "n-31f9f735b826eb33db8bc9d8", "n-3b49f05fdf7358f734995fe8", "n-4552ca81daabd291fffc6196", "n-455dbdfa9cf59140042f2666", "n-4e361ec83a9d81641a2043be", "n-4e8a7871bd9c24354229b86d", "n-514301a1b35ee336b382f10b", "n-56dee07ae4a8ed451ae9428f", "n-5d739674cc4d42a6fb3fb6a4", "n-60e872dbc6619ed9a827fa52", "n-634a2b55b4aea7fd1abfb0ee", "n-64be8b50f6f73ac765625974", "n-65067f629a8db21aa42d6e83", "n-67444349b0be8da34053861c", "n-699c746436e19f6e59062b38", "n-77fb5f68259b6a7aeef40e4b", "n-79ee928ee3ebe5b95ae30d89", "n-7aa92bf682369562f87cf84f", "n-802e38358480e1328a88a4ae", "n-821210708ebe215ab8180d5f", "n-84685bea283e75f1d33c2285", "n-880177b5cf5bb1f3c3d719ab", "n-8ea78ef1559693f1e5a786e9", "n-8ecf69abf4ba5810398ccd05", "n-91cf0f74fcc6d08756162743", "n-9b32f4ae64c5b5e2a853c7e2", "n-9dc9d9989c8fcaa6e01ac715", "n-9e5755832397e5bb4af5dd0b", "n-a52e60811753b3091710850a", "n-aa21e9ab4f8dcc8d17c36222", "n-aaaafd12e4070a02cb2c0b6e", "n-b1616d151979b4c1826a5909", "n-b56287218152263155c69187", "n-b66cfb256f9d70a4a0ebfb32", "n-b87dd5ee2583471fe9ffc3f1", "n-b91e61186d8babbd591ea2f8", "n-bb025573f8c24af80d65d088", "n-c84a5658881807509f4c1a4d", "n-cc82625419b4ebb9893ef8af", "n-cf21473f12ed90e30bececae", "n-d1e2995ee14044b535abac4e", "n-d4deb1752a6df91c037f2c1f", "n-e15425993fd4f8a31b2f7286", "n-e5939edc34b4e040e3f3e383", "n-eb25d0fb487077f395a617ba", "n-ee83a95810ba7c242946c3eb", "n-f5d2be869bf5d4af33eab72f", "n-fc8fead3f65841945cf94796" ], "interval_low": "-46.71", "interval_high": "8.65", "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 12 August 2024 – 3 May 2025 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1", "record_from": "2024-08-12", "record_to": "2025-05-05" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-2d593923f0d6ef8b21f56c47", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/picks/2/#pick-n-2d593923f0d6ef8b21f56c47", "match": "Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-05-05T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -12262.2, "market_code": "player_card", "author_said": "Player to be carded: Daniel Munoz to be carded at 4.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 35000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "4.5", "settled_price": "4.5", "published_at": "2025-05-04T14:21:35.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:10:40.305Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2d593923f0d6ef8b21f56c47", "quote_text": "Daniel Munoz to be carded\n1pt 7-2 bet365", "fragment_from": 1512, "fragment_to": 1552, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250504154609id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/crystal-palace-vs-nottingham-forest-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-amBLY0V83dIq/", "display_name": 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"origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-69cddb2242ed36d3b3bd159f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Under 3.5 goals", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-29T15:18:37.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:34.327Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-057e6be25b16a88593b8310f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Atletico Madrid to beat Salzburg @ 1-3 with Sky Bet", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-28T17:00:47.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:18.505Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3c4bad6f6b6e9053890b45b2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Achraf Hakimi to commit at least one foul", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-21T15:24:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:33.117Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c16f62a8ba21a24c54f29d5f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Phil Foden to score", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-21T15:24:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:33.117Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b646d1f6597f5ec86ac74d8a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Bologna or draw double chance vs Borussia Dortmund @ 4-6 with Betfair", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-20T14:23:30.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:58.262Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-997870200b6d037b8cc0cc62", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Liam Delap to commit two or more fouls\nIpswich striker Liam Delap is not afraid to get stuck into challenges and has committed 39 fouls in the top flight this term.\n\nPays out at 4-1 with bet365", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-15T13:19:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:02:05.838Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ba725f29bb1882a9120c56e2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sasa Lukic to be carded", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-13T14:57:11.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:16:57.026Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f614e53255456eb7586820a3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Raul Jimenez to score", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-13T14:57:11.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:16:57.026Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a877dacce8889cd322321005", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Alexander Isak to score\nAlexander Isak was in exceptional form in December, scoring in all six of his team's league fixtures, and he can net against leaky Spurs.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-03T13:17:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:18:27.100Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9365341de7a16e5ca86c5ebd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Newcastle to finish in top four\n2pts 11-4 Betfair, Hills, Paddy Power", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-02T15:32:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:01.091Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 121, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 121, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 201, "pages": 12, "page_urls": [ "/authors/liam-flin/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/2/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/3/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/4/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/5/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/6/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/7/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/8/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/9/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/10/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/11/", "/authors/liam-flin/picks/12/" ], "groups": { "settled": 104, "pending": 0, "excluded": 97 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Liam Flin Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Liam Flin", "main_entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "identity": { "status": "verified_identity", "is_verified": true, "when": "2026-10-11", "source_list": [ { "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/football-accumulator-tips-and-predictions-for-wednesday-september-18-aqhKq9h9zRvV/", "what": "«Racing Post football expert Liam Flin has picked:»; «top tipster Liam Flin marked the return of Europe's premier club competition by landing a 15-2 acca» (судя по содержанию, сентябрь 2024 года)" }, { "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/authors/liam-flin/", "what": "HTTP 404 — страницы автора на racingpost.com по этому адресу нет" }, { "url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/author/liam-flin/", "what": "Страница автора есть, подпись «Journalist», биографии в тексте нет" } ] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "medium": "Racing Post", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "racingpost.com", "source_info": "racing-post", "byline": "Liam Flin", "url": "/sources/racing-post/", "summary": { "statements": 545, "predictions": 196, "settled_picks": 57, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": -17.82, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-10-02" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-132e3f1611c086eb9e06ac65", "medium": "LiveScore", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "livescore.com", "source_info": "livescore", "byline": "Liam Flin", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 23, "predictions": 5, "settled_picks": 1, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": -100.0, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-10-17" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "updated": "2026-11-03", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "sample": { "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 44, "void": 0, "period_from": "2024-08-12", "period_to": "2025-05-03", "composition_hash": "5774200d3d62331ee42d5bd2ac4f30b6bf8d43f274febf7135eaca5b70e011ff" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-833023ba7c1e4d09adae", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "return_percent": "-21.94", "settled_picks": 63, "matches": 46, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "01d211fe8c01c5afc0799bce7178ae23e4f3714e0e8010d911427e8344dbc7f9", "text": "−21.94% on 63 settled picks across 46 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "-19.23", "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 44, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "5774200d3d62331ee42d5bd2ac4f30b6bf8d43f274febf7135eaca5b70e011ff", "text": "−19.23% on 58 settled picks across 44 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 5, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-de1c920135ad8f898764" }, { "id": "zc-227224780ee05e2ddfea", "at": "2026-10-22T09:54:30.278Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "return_percent": "-20.89", "settled_picks": 68, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "a4fc7c09d4742cfd047c3c007b09df843e9171c3ab77ed2a24cb5f1a5db9a3ae", "text": "−20.89% on 68 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "return_percent": "-21.94", "settled_picks": 63, "matches": 46, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "01d211fe8c01c5afc0799bce7178ae23e4f3714e0e8010d911427e8344dbc7f9", "text": "−21.94% on 63 settled picks across 46 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 5, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-f7c5c6e90ba2cc496254" }, { "id": "zc-832df31f178ced524cd8", "at": "2026-10-22T05:56:36.122Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-21.94", "settled_picks": 63, "matches": 46, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "01d211fe8c01c5afc0799bce7178ae23e4f3714e0e8010d911427e8344dbc7f9", "text": "−21.94% on 63 settled picks across 46 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "return_percent": "-20.89", "settled_picks": 68, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "a4fc7c09d4742cfd047c3c007b09df843e9171c3ab77ed2a24cb5f1a5db9a3ae", "text": "−20.89% on 68 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-153eb95dbb3850f24054", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 67, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d943d8d328403b4c0f398626e8d32ae3968de9942a28f50c99ab4b6a52168af4", "text": "−24.84% on 67 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-21.94", "settled_picks": 63, "matches": 46, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "01d211fe8c01c5afc0799bce7178ae23e4f3714e0e8010d911427e8344dbc7f9", "text": "−21.94% on 63 settled picks across 46 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 4, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-816527885e7097753707" }, { "id": "zc-296d853c71c0e8e29cc7", "at": "2026-10-18T04:18:28.335Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "return_percent": "-20.67", "settled_picks": 72, "matches": 50, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f6de8c00fdc1ed1ad40ffcb16e391526bfb87816ecb12fb40a0019f4c3c34416", "text": "−20.67% on 72 settled picks across 50 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 67, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d943d8d328403b4c0f398626e8d32ae3968de9942a28f50c99ab4b6a52168af4", "text": "−24.84% on 67 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-3ae840705e607c176136" }, { "id": "zc-8841d032f7be326b7c55", "at": "2026-10-18T03:29:01.089Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.1", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 67, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d943d8d328403b4c0f398626e8d32ae3968de9942a28f50c99ab4b6a52168af4", "text": "−24.84% on 67 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "return_percent": "-20.67", "settled_picks": 72, "matches": 50, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f6de8c00fdc1ed1ad40ffcb16e391526bfb87816ecb12fb40a0019f4c3c34416", "text": "−20.67% on 72 settled picks across 50 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4ad6e85f31da29b17069", "at": "2026-10-16T17:26:36.835Z", "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.4", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "return_percent": "-27.35", "settled_picks": 65, "matches": 45, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "851708e4c6c44f3538cd4d2f2fc67842bff11381cc4126ad38b40044c58c4713", "text": "−27.35% on 65 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 67, "matches": 48, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d943d8d328403b4c0f398626e8d32ae3968de9942a28f50c99ab4b6a52168af4", "text": "−24.84% on 67 settled picks across 48 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 3 picks added.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-c342954b504aee792e36" }, { "id": "zc-bbfc8e9049a3a59f5938", "at": "2026-10-16T12:26:54.015Z", "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.2", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "return_percent": "-24.46", "settled_picks": 69, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1f55a35cf9814a80ffa983ced4d9b2b4310ebc10485b0790aa0e0b7be6e97617", "text": "−24.46% on 69 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "return_percent": "-27.35", "settled_picks": 65, "matches": 45, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "851708e4c6c44f3538cd4d2f2fc67842bff11381cc4126ad38b40044c58c4713", "text": "−27.35% on 65 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 4, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-da7059d2edda549cafb5" }, { "id": "zc-ba471c8ff548dbe31635", "at": "2026-10-15T18:43:19.205Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.4", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-23.34", "settled_picks": 68, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "899a0b82f808f09f85630edb66015bb2924567ded589812cdb01ee2a057b6e7d", "text": "−23.34% on 68 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "return_percent": "-24.46", "settled_picks": 69, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1f55a35cf9814a80ffa983ced4d9b2b4310ebc10485b0790aa0e0b7be6e97617", "text": "−24.46% on 69 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ad14168453eb9737081b", "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "-5.67", "settled_picks": 64, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "fa49252569a90f7524ce57fe714a22c29b8d503fe9d37006fe01c44d9ea4deec", "text": "−5.67% on 64 settled picks across 47 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-23.34", "settled_picks": 68, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "899a0b82f808f09f85630edb66015bb2924567ded589812cdb01ee2a057b6e7d", "text": "−23.34% on 68 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (64 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (68 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 18, "removed": 14, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-6dfc98af0fe0a11868b7" }, { "id": "zc-35591793b1bbaddc9c49", "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "url": "/authors/liam-flin/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "return_percent": "-39.25", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f33c135250db2e74220badbf8c5423585cc5ba0e9897f15382d30239dea48403", "text": "−39.25% on 16 settled picks across 11 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "-5.67", "settled_picks": 64, "matches": 47, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "fa49252569a90f7524ce57fe714a22c29b8d503fe9d37006fe01c44d9ea4deec", "text": "−5.67% on 64 settled picks across 47 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 48 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 48, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 201 predictions · last change 11 October 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/liam-flin/", "s": "2026-09-28", "prediction_count": 201, "refreshed_at": "2026-10-11", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 201 predictions · last change 11 October 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "tracked", "in_words": "Tracked", "settled_count": 69, "days": 267, "weeks": 23, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 31, "first_settled_on": "2024-08-12", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": [ { "source_code": "racing-post", "source_name": "Racing Post", "source_url": "/sources/racing-post/", "label": "Also at Racing Post", "authors_total": 15, "authors": [ { "name": "James Milton", "url": "/authors/james-milton/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 124, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Jack Ogalbe", "url": "/authors/jack-ogalbe/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 44, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Ian Wilkerson", "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 37, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Dan Childs", "url": "/authors/dan-childs/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 24, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Joe Casey", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 19, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Aaron Ashley", "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 15, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "James Mason", "url": "/authors/james-mason/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 14, "return_percent": "16.1", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "4.00", "odds_from_author": 10, "odds_from_snapshot": 4 }, { "name": "Steve Davies", "url": "/authors/steve-davies/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 14, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Jamie Griffith", "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 12, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Tom Hill", "url": "/authors/tom-hill/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 11, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Tom McGarry", "url": "/authors/tom-mcgarry/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 11, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Alex Wrigley", "url": "/authors/alex-wrigley/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 7, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null } ] } ], "author_type": "Pundit", "data_changes": { "added_later": "23 records added on 28 Sep 2026 from archived copies; 38 records added on 1 Oct 2026 from archived copies; 38 records added on 1 Oct 2026 found after the match; 45 more records added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.", "records_corrected": 1, "last_correction_at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "corrections_url": "/corrections/", "text": "1 record shown here has been corrected; the last correction was on 3 November 2026, with its reason in the corrections log." }, "entity_id": "person:o-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "source_revision": 207, "related": [ { "url": "/cards/e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48-bank/", "name": "Bankroll card — Liam Flin", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48-said-vs-happened/", "name": "Said → happened — Liam Flin", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/for-authors/liam-flin/", "name": "Your record on Forecast Record: Liam Flin", "detail": null, "source_group": "for_authors" } ], "number_sets": [ { "set": "profile.settled", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 104, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 201, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 201, "where": "picks", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.live", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.archived", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 58, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.found_after", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 29, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.live", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.archived", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 69, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked", "entity": "e-b745e218c33f80444e58bc48", "value": 69, "where": "trust-level", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "label": true } ] }