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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e62e71d54578fb76fe33baec", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Bulgaria to Score First at 5/6 (1.83) | Likelihood: Probable", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T22:49:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.838Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ff72e5cbea6f25d82df5eff7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Under 2.5 Goals at 23/20 (2.15) | Likelihood: Possible", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T21:24:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.897Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-44d89f62a3d12c5e24b726f3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 1.5 Goals for Romania at 5/4 (2.25)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-25T21:47:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T04:02:24.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-78711c788ce9b85a42c9c66a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Dennis Man to Score at 12/5 (3.4)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-25T21:47:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T04:02:24.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c561f73a7a3ff3157a25afdd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Under 1.5 Goals for Bosnia-Herzegovina at 4/11 (1.36)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-25T21:47:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T04:02:24.301Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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}, { "observation_id": "n-d703e51339e85300b202c89d", "quote_text": "We say: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hamburger SV", "fragment_from": 4356, "fragment_to": 4400, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/eintracht-frankfurt/preview/frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-prediction-team-news-lineups_608069.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60ae0f041aa91fa488d43800d08a245eabd4be33d3f6536dc65c5a83ea4f22b2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T16:47:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:10:33.074Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hamburger SV", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T16:47:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T16:47:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:10:33.074Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hamburger SV", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hamburger SV" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "19ef0f390d2735009d9fbe868f9213c9d21954a09954de97d4211effae198f65", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "1.5800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5800, "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:45.852Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/eintracht-frankfurt/preview/frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-prediction-team-news-lineups_608069.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hamburger SV" }, { "observation_id": "n-cb412190d8edb7b4ac065c45", "quote_text": "We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Werder Bremen", "fragment_from": 3897, "fragment_to": 3940, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/dfb-pokal/preview/dortmund-vs-werder-bremen-prediction-team-news-lineups_607685.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20b717767a593efe8946b4424839974d7717235cae9808913e3ba830b207df83", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T23:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T00:10:03.623Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bedc4eb5df27", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Werder Bremen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T23:46:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T23:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T00:10:03.623Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Werder Bremen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Werder Bremen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e3bdc3da843b11248a588f9faef07c19e6437d23631a2a203348c8e8cee67c44", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.3600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3600, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T10:26:21.661Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/dfb-pokal/preview/dortmund-vs-werder-bremen-prediction-team-news-lineups_607685.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Werder Bremen" }, { "observation_id": "n-5d78445149757955d4474d60", "quote_text": "We say: Freiburg 2-4 Bayern Munich", "fragment_from": 1785, "fragment_to": 1819, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bayern-munich/bundesliga-title-race/feature/title-fight-and-champions-league-race-sundays-bundesliga-predictions_607659.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "756065354a03dbf8f4f817fcf4a441e22811a5d5d5cf6d10985b5736f39286c0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T01:51:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T02:12:16.106Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-215f38fae182", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Bayern München", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "1-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T01:51:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T01:51:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T02:12:16.106Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-4", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f10c2f1c8551b45df627ef3b78e6cb7cfd0ed0f768372f8477ee04ec8cda75e3", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Bayern München", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bayern-munich/bundesliga-title-race/feature/title-fight-and-champions-league-race-sundays-bundesliga-predictions_607659.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "SC Freiburg 2-4 FC Bayern München" }, { "observation_id": "n-c5e3f48f63cf241421ccc225", "quote_text": "We say: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt", "fragment_from": 4044, "fragment_to": 4093, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/bundesliga-title-race/preview/dortmund-vs-frankfurt-prediction-team-news-lineups_607479.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "aaee9ae6d9a5463d02e63af005020bec8c3563557886bccc9b92ab8138f8955a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T22:21:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T16:05:45.104Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": { "event_id": "s-a8c176cf39fa", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T22:21:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T22:21:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T16:05:45.104Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "335bfb5f0052fca1959613b1db4f5a8fa63a6b85b435f1382860f5d50a6bb979", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/bundesliga-title-race/preview/dortmund-vs-frankfurt-prediction-team-news-lineups_607479.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt" }, { "observation_id": "n-d3d1895adb7bf5115394ba8b", "quote_text": "We say: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal", "fragment_from": 4195, "fragment_to": 4227, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/liverpool/champions-league/preview/liverpool-vs-villarreal-prediction-team-news-lineups_607180.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d979b4d123b611a802c26e79580a923c1ac436d751e8da8578d93e826583d8a7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T20:53:15.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T21:10:04.420Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e9ad016f0818", "display_name": "Liverpool — Villarreal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "4-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T20:53:15.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T20:53:15.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T21:10:04.420Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "4-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e2843fcc2b49da0ab47d8b33f9cfc08cc6021edaec3235703ed8656819821b98", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Liverpool", "decimal_odds": "1.4808", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4808, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:10.891Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/liverpool/champions-league/preview/liverpool-vs-villarreal-prediction-team-news-lineups_607180.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal" }, { "observation_id": "n-073f46c2244bfac916670d02", "quote_text": "We say: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 FC Koln", "fragment_from": 4102, "fragment_to": 4141, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/eintracht-frankfurt/preview/frankfurt-vs-fc-koln-prediction-team-news-lineups_606886.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "daf93454e30f4b4bd09f154423554553525fe0b2f4d559d10dd076708cec9d76", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-14T20:49:10.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T21:09:47.119Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-2cffca3d320b", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. 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FC Köln", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T20:49:10.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T20:49:10.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T21:09:47.119Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "cd2379d5bfe911c170d570f01c22e52652d3f7d3302a24b87f628e4d5c7ec16d", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "4.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-14T21:26:09.175Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/eintracht-frankfurt/preview/frankfurt-vs-fc-koln-prediction-team-news-lineups_606886.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln" }, { "observation_id": "n-e261bdeabed910685e86c711", "quote_text": "We say: Freiburg 3-1 Schalke 04", "fragment_from": 3662, "fragment_to": 3693, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/freiburg/preview/freiburg-vs-schalke-prediction-team-news-lineups_606559.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "42476c9384e62d27e31b4d853caab845102861f5aa188bb67a37be32bf3637d8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T15:25:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T04:05:23.122Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-40031903677a", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Schalke 04", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T15:25:26.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T15:25:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T04:05:23.122Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Schalke 04", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Schalke 04" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "395b2b59713b247476c91a21d261e19e00dacb61f069826116dce48d1c239676", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SC Freiburg", "decimal_odds": "1.6135", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6135, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:11:11.653Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/freiburg/preview/freiburg-vs-schalke-prediction-team-news-lineups_606559.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Schalke 04" }, { "observation_id": "n-47ddaa37ef7103fe3794d84b", "quote_text": "We say: Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen", "fragment_from": 3771, "fragment_to": 3808, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/mainz-05/preview/mainz-vs-b-leverkusen-prediction-team-news-lineups_606465.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f1eacba071579b1791436c192798f72d43415404ef0b153bbe570e44bef558d7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T19:57:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T20:09:59.538Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a8db52558700", "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "3-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T19:57:12.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T19:57:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-08T20:09:59.538Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2bb17b02283676a8d779679aa41951a4169124f4ec4a14455498cacfae298965", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "decimal_odds": "2.1700", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11700, "executed_at": "2026-10-17T04:16:38.176Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/mainz-05/preview/mainz-vs-b-leverkusen-prediction-team-news-lineups_606465.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen" }, { "observation_id": "n-06b2fb80fd273df23acb7ba1", "quote_text": "We say: Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands", "fragment_from": 3404, "fragment_to": 3440, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/kazakhstan/uefa-nations-league/preview/kazakhstan-vs-faroe-islands-prediction-team-news-lineups_606212.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Lewis Nolan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "088bcc204b9c9dbcbfd99abf74020b92286d31fe53dc4b02d08ee26ba2eb332f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-04T16:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-05T17:56:20.610Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": { "event_id": "s-02bdb5d13921", "display_name": "Kazakhstan — Faroe Islands", "competition_name": "UEFA Nations League", "starts_at": "2026-10-06T14:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T16:14:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T16:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-05T17:56:20.610Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Kazakhstan 2-2 Faroe Islands." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1d94cb6ecff2a87853f96407ba29a1a320de3e021fc80d738dd92e5120933f09", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Lewis Nolan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Lewis Nolan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/kazakhstan/uefa-nations-league/preview/kazakhstan-vs-faroe-islands-prediction-team-news-lineups_606212.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands" } ] }