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 "heading": "Lapadula: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Lapadula recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 2 Nov 2026: won 1 of 1 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Lapadula before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 67 predictions we hold for Lapadula, 10 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "1",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 1,
  "date_count": 1,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:51:47.978Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "41e8721a7541a50f1cf94920100cad17c65d3a90bf8b0f3ec96ad33b70f3d9c8",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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   "type_code": "Organization",
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   "type_code": "Person",
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 "exports": [
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  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks.csv",
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
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 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90",
  "public_name": "Lapadula",
  "tracker_number": 6075,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-25",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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   "metric_id": "p-e-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "20.0000",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 1,
   "n_events": 1,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:51:47.978Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_uid": null,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 1 settled pick across 1 match",
  "average_odds": "1.25",
  "odds_from_author": 1,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 0
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 "history": [],
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  "series_uid": "sr-a24ad3cc1e30b971817b56e2",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 1002000,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": 2000,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:06.317Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1002000,
    "profit_hundredths": 2000,
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  "top_ups": [],
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 },
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  "recognised": 67,
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  "executed": 1,
  "calculated": 1,
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    "cause": "other reading",
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    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 1
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  "of_them_restored": 0,
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   "opinions": 6,
   "not_about_a_match": 164,
   "unclassified": 0
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  "predictions": 67,
  "predictions_restored": 0,
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    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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  ],
  "gaps": [
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   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
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   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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   "quote_text": "Фрозіноне: Пальмізані – А. Ойоно, Кальвані, Чіттадіні/Монтерізі, Бракалья – Кало, Мазіні – Ґеджеміс",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-08069ead70e71d11257fde21",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-08069ead70e71d11257fde21",
   "quote_text": "Кальярі: Капріле – Зе Педру, Дейола, Кофлер, Родріґес – Романо, Вінкс, Адопо – Трепі/Фацціні",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-852fba183828890fa9ccbd58",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Кальярі виграв один з останніх 7 матчів проти новачків Серії А.",
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   "quote_text": "Сассуоло не виграє в гостях 11 матчів поспіль: 3 нічиї, 8 поразок.",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:12:34.629Z",
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   "quote_text": "Сассуоло виграв 2 з 24 матчів проти Роми в Серії А.",
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   "quote_text": "Рома має 24 очки, на чотири менше за лідера. У Сассуоло – вісім.",
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   "quote_text": "АПЛ, Бундесліга, EFL та UFC — відеотрансляції та повтори на BETKING в плеєрі Setanta",
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   "quote_text": "Не пропусти матчі 10 туру АПЛ на BETKING! Вводь промокод LAPADULA та отримай фрібет",
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   "quote_text": "Здається, найочевидніший матч туру з явним переможцем та прогнозованим результатом.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Кальярі програв останні 4 матчі чемпіонату.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Фрозіноне може вперше в історії виграти 3 матчі Серії А поспіль.",
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   "quote_text": "Кальярі має 13 очок, Фрозіноне – 20.",
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   "quote_text": "Удінезе має п’ять очок та проводить перший матч під керівництвом нового тренера Пало Дзанетті.",
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   "quote_text": "Ференцварош: Дібуш – О. Надь, Ґомес, Зохоре, Одовда – Мадараш, А. Надь – Арзані, Закаріассен, Бирманчевич – Юсуф",
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   "quote_text": "Мілан: Торріані – Терраччано, Де Вінтер, Діавара, Бартезаґі/Еступіньян – Гатчінсон, Муса, Яшарі, Сіссе – Рабйо – Рамуш",
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   "quote_text": "▪️АЗ забив у 5 з останніх 6 матчів удома.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️АЗ програв один з останніх 6 матчів удома.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️В останніх 3 матчах Ювентуса забила в одна команда.",
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   "quote_text": "АЗ має шість очок, Ювентус – сім.",
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   "quote_text": "Обережна ставка: АЗ заб’є – 1.41 (BETKING)",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e59fdefe47d12508ef3c1b94",
   "quote_text": "🌐 Лападула ставить",
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   "quote_text": "Орієнтовні склади\n\nАталанта: Карнезеккі – Іделе, Скальвіні, Обрич, Бернасконі – Елмас, Пашалич – Сулемана/",
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   "observation_id": "n-7b895a725d9a985ca08bec0a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7b895a725d9a985ca08bec0a",
   "quote_text": "Статистика\n\n▪️Аталанта не виграє 5 матчів: 2 нічиї, 2 поразки.\n\n▪️Аталанта виграла 2 з останніх",
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   "observation_id": "n-a5ea987ec4099c6e30099b1e",
   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/#pick-n-a5ea987ec4099c6e30099b1e",
   "quote_text": "Смілива ставка: Аталанта, пенальті в матчі – 3.20 (BETKING)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ef8207a2f75d6fa7c318659e",
   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/#pick-n-ef8207a2f75d6fa7c318659e",
   "quote_text": "Обережна ставка: 2-5 голів у матчі – 1.33 (BETKING)",
   "fragment_from": 490,
   "fragment_to": 541,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-33c08b1cba78920aa15f6322",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-33c08b1cba78920aa15f6322",
   "quote_text": "▪️Мілан забив і пропустив в останніх 3 матчах удома.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "published_at": "2026-11-05T15:28:01.000Z",
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-41c7756e89ca64094c8d9666",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-41c7756e89ca64094c8d9666",
   "quote_text": "▪️Мілан забив щонайменше двічі у 5 з останніх 6 матчів удома.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-05T15:28:01.000Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-ce95ea3d76de2a4f296bd8f7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ce95ea3d76de2a4f296bd8f7",
   "quote_text": "▪️Мілан виграв 3 з останніх 4 матчів удома.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-24bc4d02cda85d6b4b6f37c7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-24bc4d02cda85d6b4b6f37c7",
   "quote_text": "Мілан має три очки, Ференцварош – дев’ять.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/#pick-n-5ddf29f061eba508360c6fda",
   "quote_text": "Обережна ставка: Ференцварош заб’є – 1.58 (BETKING)",
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   "observation_id": "n-7c1856967a3ed17dde4efe28",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Комо виграв останні 5 матчів, забивши 11 голів.",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
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   "quote_text": "▪️Ланс пропустив у всіх 8 домашніх матчах цього сезону.",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-de7f5b7c427fb9fce84aae25",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-de7f5b7c427fb9fce84aae25",
   "quote_text": "Наполі пропустив в останніх 6 матчах.",
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   },
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T21:28:11.905Z",
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   },
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f32bffb1e882be9c594d8f13",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f32bffb1e882be9c594d8f13",
   "quote_text": "Наполі не забив в одному з останніх 4 матчів.",
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   "quote_text": "Порту пропустив 6 голів у 3 матчах Ліги чемпіонів.",
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  {
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   "quote_text": "▪️Комо виграв останні 2 матчі в гостях, забивши по 2 голи.",
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  {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b6e1e40e88c7869ff1bf2a15",
   "quote_text": "Комо має шість очок за три тури, у Ланса – три.",
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  {
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   "quote_text": "▪️Наполі пропустив в останніх 6 матчах.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Наполі не забив в одному з останніх 4 матчів.",
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   "quote_text": "▪️Порту пропустив 6 голів у 3 матчах Ліги чемпіонів.",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-dcda7520244886fbb3a666c3",
   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/#pick-n-dcda7520244886fbb3a666c3",
   "quote_text": "Смілива ставка: нічия – 4.05 (BETKING)",
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   "fragment_to": 593,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T13:48:53.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T13:58:06.179Z",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T13:58:06.179Z",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-6d0fc5f84825b3f8f7c0b962",
   "url": "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/#pick-n-6d0fc5f84825b3f8f7c0b962",
   "quote_text": "Обережна ставка: перемога Ланса з форою (+1.5) – 1.33 (BETKING)",
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   "fragment_to": 553,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T13:58:06.179Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "observation_id": "n-2eaeafc4b7353a0c8ad496a3",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2eaeafc4b7353a0c8ad496a3",
   "quote_text": "▪️Рома програла один з 13 матчів цього сезону: 8 перемог, 4 нічиї.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-32e2fa357f1e69b51f1a5eae",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-32e2fa357f1e69b51f1a5eae",
   "quote_text": "▪️МЮ не виграє 9 матчів поспіль у всіх турнірах: 3 нічиї, 6 поразок.",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-6a5dae56a95288de6b399256",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6a5dae56a95288de6b399256",
   "quote_text": "▪️МЮ виграв усі 4 домашні матчі проти Роми в єврокубках.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-63e30dc523f18b8bb5aba399",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-63e30dc523f18b8bb5aba399",
   "quote_text": "МЮ має три очки, Рома – чотири.",
   "fragment_from": 18,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "quote_text": "Інтер: Мартінес – Біссек, Аканджі, Карлос Авґусто – Спенс, Барелла/Сучич, Чалханоґлу, Желінський/Мхітарян, Дімарко – Еспозіто, Тюрам",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "published_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "quote_text": "Феєнорд: Ернст – Рід, Мармоль, Ватанабе, Лопес – Вангутт, Тарґалінн, Зехіл – Мусса, Феррі, Валенте",
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-160730261b64ac3e533e9789",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-160730261b64ac3e533e9789",
   "quote_text": "▪️Інтер пропустив у 4 з останніх 5 матчів у гостях.",
   "fragment_from": 201,
   "fragment_to": 252,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4218",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "091ecab824cc12ad3e26c0bb6b4ae6c19b294316845a5ee0d20d328843589ca2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-70d93201cda7b541b5fad0fb",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-70d93201cda7b541b5fad0fb",
   "quote_text": "▪️Феєнорд не програє вдома в цьому сезоні: 3 перемоги, 3 нічиї.",
   "fragment_from": 136,
   "fragment_to": 199,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4218",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "091ecab824cc12ad3e26c0bb6b4ae6c19b294316845a5ee0d20d328843589ca2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3049ed2c22d876798540557c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3049ed2c22d876798540557c",
   "quote_text": "▪️Інтер програв 2 останні матчі ЛЧ у гостях.",
   "fragment_from": 90,
   "fragment_to": 134,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4218",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "091ecab824cc12ad3e26c0bb6b4ae6c19b294316845a5ee0d20d328843589ca2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f7a79a684ca2d567aeb0eb8a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f7a79a684ca2d567aeb0eb8a",
   "quote_text": "Обидві команди мають по три очки після трьох матчів.",
   "fragment_from": 24,
   "fragment_to": 76,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4218",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "091ecab824cc12ad3e26c0bb6b4ae6c19b294316845a5ee0d20d328843589ca2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T12:30:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:58:08.122Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7396e10ab505cf4a01042145",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7396e10ab505cf4a01042145",
   "quote_text": "Рома програла один з 13 матчів цього сезону: 8 перемог, 4 нічиї.",
   "fragment_from": 193,
   "fragment_to": 257,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4220",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "86ec7bd87033810df00df23d7a057c2dcf1051cbe8c05496ba0625f7edd355fd",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:28:05.147Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:28:05.147Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c60f45487fcf7eb6cde91f09",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c60f45487fcf7eb6cde91f09",
   "quote_text": "МЮ не виграє 9 матчів поспіль у всіх турнірах: 3 нічиї, 6 поразок.",
   "fragment_from": 123,
   "fragment_to": 189,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4220",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Lapadula",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "86ec7bd87033810df00df23d7a057c2dcf1051cbe8c05496ba0625f7edd355fd",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:28:05.147Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:25:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:28:05.147Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 1,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 1,
    "median_difference_percent": "4.2",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "t.me",
   "url": "https://t.me/lapadulabet/4232"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-25",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 2000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "20.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-11-02",
  "period_to": "2026-11-02",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Lapadula before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 67 predictions we hold for Lapadula, 10 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+20 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+20.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-11-02",
    "period_to": "2026-11-02",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 2000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Lapadula before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 67 predictions we hold for Lapadula, 10 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/lapadula/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 67,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 57,
   "proven_predictions": 3,
   "proven_checked": 3,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 2000,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "20.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-11-02",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "20.00",
       "return_other_percent": "25.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 2000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 2500,
       "period_from": "2026-11-02",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "20.00",
       "return_other_percent": "27.50",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 2000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 2750,
       "period_from": "2026-11-02",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 3,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "83.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "83.3"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 0,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 7,
     "checked": 7,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 7,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 2 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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 "recorded_picks": [
  {
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   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.25",
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   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.25",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T14:43:09.857Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Обережна ставка: ТМ 4.5 – 1.25 (BETKING)",
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    "quote_allowed": true,
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    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T14:42:23.242Z",
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     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "executed_by": "ours",
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    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 4.5",
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     "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.25"
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      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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      "site_simulation": true,
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 goals)"
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   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
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    },
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    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    ],
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    "choice_words": "Atalanta -1"
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
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   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-08039c52a1645b72abe9f9ae",
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    "fragment_to": 618,
    "quote_allowed": true,
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     "scoreline": "2-4",
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    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
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    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
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    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
     "choice": "Sassuolo over 0.5",
     "author_odds": "1.25",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "0.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Sassuolo over 0.5 at 1.25"
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   "quote": "Обережна ставка: ТМ 3.5 – 1.22 (BETKING) ✅ 1:2",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-01T10:34:04.000Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "Смілива ставка: обидві заб’ють в обох таймах – 5.75 (BETKING)",
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   "quote": "Обережна ставка: ТБ 2.5 – 1.25 (BETKING)",
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   "quote": "Ігорем Цигаником, який прогнозує перемогу «Шахтаря» сьогодні",
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   "quote": "а Олександр Шовковський вважає, що забʼє Мбаппе",
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   "quote": "Смілива ставка: перемога Ювентуса, обидві заб’ють – 3.33 (BETKING) ❌ 0:2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T12:06:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T19:13:04.848Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-063d1d2baaa375f18675dba5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Смілива ставка: нічия – 3.51 (BETKING)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T10:05:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T15:58:10.071Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fdea467574f4a89a61503cec",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Обережна ставка: ТБ 1.5 – 1.33 (BETKING)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T10:05:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T15:58:10.071Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b0aa91bc28f1412df6ddd8b6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Смілива ставка: обидві заб’ють 2 чи більше – 3.20 (BETKING) ✅ 4:4",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T09:01:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T15:58:09.332Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ee6ac58abe03ddda877d1286",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Обережна ставка: Фрозіноне заб’є – 1.28 (BETKING) ✅ 4:4",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T09:01:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T15:58:09.332Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
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 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 10,
  "before_kickoff": 3,
  "after_kickoff": 7,
  "at_least_2h": 3,
  "share_2h_plus": 30.0,
  "median_hours": 5.0,
  "min_hours": 2.8,
  "max_hours": 5.0,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 1,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 1,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 67,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
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   "/authors/lapadula/picks/3/",
   "/authors/lapadula/picks/4/",
   "/authors/lapadula/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 1,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 66
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/lapadula/",
  "current": false
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 "title_tag": "Lapadula Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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  "name_shown": "Lapadula",
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  },
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    "medium": "t.me",
    "channel": "Telegram",
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    "byline": "Lapadula",
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    "summary": {
     "statements": 237,
     "predictions": 67,
     "settled_picks": 1,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 20.0,
     "headline_part": "live",
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   }
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  "trust_tier": "probation"
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 "data_revision": {
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  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
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  "sample": {
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   "matches": 1,
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   "period_from": "2026-11-02",
   "period_to": "2026-11-02",
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 "number_changes": [
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   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
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    "matches": 1,
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "ab7ae139a4ff265915ce5a00474036b3cad10b6f4d38b569670bb61bdbe1523c",
    "text": "+20.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
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 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 2000,
      "return_percent": "20.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-02",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.25",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Serie A",
      "in_words": "Serie A",
      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 2000,
      "return_percent": "20.0",
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      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.25",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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        "net_points_hundredths": 2000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-02",
        "period_to": "2026-11-02",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.25",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
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   }
  ],
  "best_slice": null
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 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 25 October 2026 · 67 predictions · last change 7 November 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/lapadula/",
  "s": "2026-10-25",
  "prediction_count": 67,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-11-07",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/lapadula/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 25 October 2026 · 67 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>"
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 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 3,
  "days": 1,
  "weeks": 1,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": false,
  "won_count": 2,
  "first_settled_on": "2026-11-02",
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
   "tracked": {
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    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
   "established": {
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    "min_days": 90
   }
  },
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 "colleagues": null,
 "author_type": "Tipster",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "2 records added on 25 Oct 2026 found after the match; 2 records added on 27 Oct 2026 found after the match; 3 records added on 29 Oct 2026 found after the match. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
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 "entity_id": "person:o-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90",
 "source_revision": 13,
 "related": [
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90-bank/",
   "name": "Bankroll card — Lapadula",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-2b722c64fe438dd40fc38b90-month-following/",
   "name": "A month following Lapadula",
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   "source_group": "cards"
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 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "profile.settled",
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   "where": "coverage",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
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   "where": "coverage",
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  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
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   "value": 67,
   "where": "picks",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.live",
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   "value": 1,
   "where": "origin",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.archived",
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.found_after",
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked.archived",
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked.live",
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   "value": 3,
   "where": "origin",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.window",
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   "label": true
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked",
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   "value": 3,
   "where": "trust-level",
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}