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 "heading": "Joshua Ojele: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 18 settled picks by Joshua Ojele recorded before kick-off across 10 matches, 30 Sep 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: −14.8% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by Joshua Ojele before kick-off across 10 matches between 30 September and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.8% on the total staked. Of the 121 predictions we hold for Joshua Ojele, 75 are linked to matches: 75 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-84614fb1573b61f7c9c0e310",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-84614fb1573b61f7c9c0e310",
   "quote_text": "while a goal range of 2-4 goals sits at 53/100 (1.53).",
   "fragment_from": 4882,
   "fragment_to": 4936,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/monaco-vs-freiburg-prediction-22-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Joshua Ojele",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "9ceb01db3d0b0cb07ca674591c9079fd8ab73c742d6ba25be535754a71db16fd",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-21T06:44:17.235Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-21T06:35:16.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-21T06:44:17.235Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "service": 0,
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 "standing": {
  "titles": [
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "display_name": "Exact score 2–1 · Academico Viseu v Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
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    "bucket_code": "all",
    "bucket": "Exact score called",
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    "ci_low": null,
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    "fact": "Exact score 2–1 · Academico Viseu v Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026",
    "rationale": "Correct score 2–1 called before the match; 4 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 2 right. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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    "alt": "Joshua Ojele · Exact score 2–1 · Academico Viseu v Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joshua-ojele/#title-exact-score-called\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/cs-10-all-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Joshua Ojele · Exact score 2–1 · Academico Viseu v Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"827\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
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    "window_words": "On show until 30 Jan 2027",
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    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "earned_at": "2026-11-01",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02",
    "visible_until": "2027-01-30",
    "badge_label": "Exact score 2–1 · 1 Nov",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-068f2226d929517145ce",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
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      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Academico Viseu v Rio Ave",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Rio Ave",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 2 right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/6/#pick-n-ccb8808e1a37c9e3000ac3d8"
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    "badge": {
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       "url": "/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/cs-10-all-event-l-light.svg"
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     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
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    "embed_anchor": "title-exact-score-called"
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   {
    "code_name": "P-01",
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    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
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    "bucket_code": "w-c4392fb341",
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    "n_bets": 6,
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    "fact": "5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 6 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 52.2% of the time. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "valid_until": null,
    "anchor_id": "standing-p-01-w-c4392fb341-event",
    "alt": "Joshua Ojele · 5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joshua-ojele/#title-week-record\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/p-01-w-c4392fb341-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Joshua Ojele · 5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"730\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
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    "window_words": "On show until 22 Feb 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
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    "status": "active",
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    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-25",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26",
    "visible_until": "2027-02-22",
    "badge_label": "5/6 · week of 19 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-c4392fb341fcded380fb",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
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      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "AFC Ajax v Atalanta",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 3 named draw, 1 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/4/#pick-n-779400daa4b2cc0b045de835"
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     {
      "nid": "n-2b24af3becc0b764cea0856e",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Monaco v SC Freiburg",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Monaco at 2.2",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 2.3,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (5 named draw, 3 named home win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/4/#pick-n-2b24af3becc0b764cea0856e"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-175a3480aafac7a87761819d",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Casa Pia",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-175a3480aafac7a87761819d"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-94227a5b3b1e3031f139004c",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Gil Vicente v FC Porto",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Gil Vicente 1-3 FC Porto at 13",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "evidence_price": 1.45,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win, 1 named draw)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-94227a5b3b1e3031f139004c"
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     {
      "nid": "n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord",
      "said_text": "Correct score: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Feyenoord",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "evidence_price": 4.1,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (3 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0cf3430fcca3bfbab3d61007",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Sparta Rotterdam v AFC Ajax",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 1.44",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 1.46,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-0cf3430fcca3bfbab3d61007"
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    ],
    "evidence_total": 6,
    "badge": {
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       "theme": "light",
       "width": 992,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/p-01-w-c4392fb341-event-l-light.svg"
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       "theme": "light",
       "width": 730,
       "height": 28,
       "url": "/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/p-01-w-c4392fb341-event-m-light.svg"
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       "url": "/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/p-01-w-c4392fb341-event-s-light.svg"
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    "profile_anchor": "title-c4392fb341fc",
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     "hits": 3,
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     "log10": -0.28,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-week-record"
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   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "display_name": "Draw at 4.10 · PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord · 25 Oct 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
    "type_code": null,
    "bucket_code": "all",
    "bucket": "Long-price call",
    "measure": null,
    "place": null,
    "out_of": null,
    "n_bets": 1,
    "n_events": null,
    "amount": null,
    "ci_low": null,
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    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "Draw at 4.10 · PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord · 25 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "Draw called correctly at 4.10 (our pre-match price). 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (3 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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    "measure_words": null,
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    "status_reason": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-25",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26",
    "visible_until": "2027-01-23",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 4.10 · 25 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-1c5af07215f8ae3fb3c0",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord",
      "said_text": "Correct score: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Feyenoord",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "evidence_price": 4.1,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (3 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91"
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    "evidence_total": 1,
    "badge": {
     "variants": [
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       "url": "/b/e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19/e-07-all-event-l-light.svg"
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     "probability": 0.243902,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.61,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "display_name": "Exact score 3–1 · Atalanta v Pafos · 15 Oct 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
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    "bucket_code": "z-7fed09a2c8",
    "bucket": "Exact score called",
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    "n_bets": 1,
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    "amount": null,
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    "fact": "Exact score 3–1 · Atalanta v Pafos · 15 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "Correct score 3–1 called before the match; 1 other tipster named an exact score on this match, 0 right. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
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    "window_words": "On show until 13 Jan 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
    "amount_words": null,
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "status": "active",
    "status_reason": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-15",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-15",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-15",
    "published_at": null,
    "visible_until": "2027-01-13",
    "badge_label": "Exact score 3–1 · 15 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-7fed09a2c880959d1f81",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-7af182ecfb36904b3bfc3330",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Atalanta v Pafos",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Atalanta 3-1 Pafos at 11",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "evidence_price": null,
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    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Academico Viseu v Rio Ave · 1 Nov 2026",
    "tier": null,
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    "badge_label": "Correct at 4.10 · 25 Oct",
    "body": "Draw at 4.10 · PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord · 25 Oct 2026",
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    "body": "Exact score 3–1 · Atalanta v Pafos · 15 Oct 2026",
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    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-7fed09a2c880"
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   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
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    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-c216068fdce5"
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    "code_name": "M-11",
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    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
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   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
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 "price_vs_market": {
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   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 16,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 16,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.4",
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    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
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  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
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  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "footballwhispers.com",
   "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/cambuur-vs-psv-eindhoven-prediction-08-11-2026/"
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  "matches": 10,
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  "net_points_hundredths": -26580,
  "staked_hundredths": 180000,
  "return_percent": "-14.77",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-09-30",
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  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by Joshua Ojele before kick-off across 10 matches between 30 September and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.8% on the total staked. Of the 121 predictions we hold for Joshua Ojele, 75 are linked to matches: 75 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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    "value": "18",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
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   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "10",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
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   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−265.80 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−14.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −59.2% to +28.4%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "This page combines Joshua Ojele across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Joshua Ojele publishes”."
  ],
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  "return_over_time": [
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11681,
    "n": 2
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   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25286,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5286,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23420,
    "n": 13
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3420,
    "n": 15
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6580,
    "n": 16
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -26580,
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    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 10,
    "match_dates": 7,
    "period_from": "2026-09-30",
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    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -26580,
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    "high": {
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     "after_picks": 7
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    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
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      "picks": 2
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     {
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      "n": 7,
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     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5286,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23420,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3420,
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     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6580,
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      "picks": 1
     },
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      "picks": 2
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   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by Joshua Ojele before kick-off across 10 matches between 30 September and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.8% on the total staked. Of the 121 predictions we hold for Joshua Ojele, 75 are linked to matches: 75 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joshua-ojele/",
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   "method_version": "2.2"
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   "under_review": 0,
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   "proven_checked": 71,
   "proven_measured": 27,
   "proven_dates": 16,
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     "checked": 71,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "return_percent": "-14.77",
      "interval_low": "-59.22",
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      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.3",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 12
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      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 16,
       "return_main_percent": "-24.99",
       "return_other_percent": "-24.50",
       "settled_excluding_void": 16,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -39985,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -39200,
       "period_from": "2026-09-30",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 11,
       "return_main_percent": "-15.99",
       "return_other_percent": "-15.77",
       "settled_excluding_void": 11,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -17587,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -17344,
       "period_from": "2026-09-30",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
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     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 9,
      "exact_hits": 1,
      "exact_rate": 11.1,
      "outcome_checked": 9,
      "outcome_hits": 4,
      "outcome_rate": 44.4,
      "baseline_matches": 7,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 7,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 3,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 42.9,
      "favourite_hits": 4,
      "favourite_rate": 57.1,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "1 of 9 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 3 of 7 matches; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 7 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 7 of 9 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
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     },
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      "won": 10,
      "won_percent": "55.6",
      "implied_percent": "62.6",
      "left_out": 0,
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       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "66.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "65.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "67.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "37.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "56.7"
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   "published_at": "2026-10-15T23:21:55.000Z",
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   "quote": "> Goal range – 2-4 goals at 57/100 (1.57) | Likelihood: Possible",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-13T22:42:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T22:54:14.445Z",
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   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "Atalanta to win + BTTS – Yes at 187/100 (2.87) is a safe high-value option",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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  },
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   "quote": "over 2.5 goals at 53/10 (1.53) is our third pick of the game.",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-13T22:42:45.000Z",
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  },
  {
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "we are backing them to carry the day in front of their home supporters, which is currently priced at 9/25 (1.36) by the bookmakers.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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  },
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   "quote": "Sarri’s men have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four games, and BTTS – Yes at 4/5 (1.80) to score is another favourable point",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "We say: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al-Nassr",
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   "quote": "Goal range – 2-4 goals at 57/100 (1.57)",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-09T21:03:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T21:12:16.773Z",
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   "quote": "> Goal range – 2-4 goals at 57/100 (1.57)| Likelihood: Possible",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T22:13:10.243Z",
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   "quote": "we are backing Vieira’s men to come away with a comfortable victory at the Bahir Dar International Stadium on Tuesday.",
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   "published_at": "2026-09-27T22:59:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T23:12:15.391Z",
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   "quote": "We say: Ethiopia 0-3 Senegal",
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 },
 "pagination": {
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 "title_tag": "Joshua Ojele Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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 "person": {
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  "main_entity": "e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-039bcef343c50ba1d22f8e19",
    "medium": "Football Whispers",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "footballwhispers.com",
    "source_info": "football-whispers",
    "byline": "Joshua Ojele",
    "url": "/sources/football-whispers/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 146,
     "predictions": 105,
     "settled_picks": 18,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -14.77,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   },
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-73d6884a35b8a82e8949e24a",
    "medium": "Sports Mole",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk",
    "source_info": "sports-mole",
    "byline": "Joshua Ojele",
    "url": "/sources/sports-mole/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 89,
     "predictions": 16,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-11-06"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "tracked"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 18,
   "matches": 10,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-09-30",
   "period_to": "2026-11-05",
   "composition_hash": "832e83f8d8408e6f1c6530067395faf9311345502b857d87e0742368fa5fa969"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-3d04a1ea8fe326fa83b0",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.14",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f40d9705e112eadbd0258e92c43f55ae006dd05c3ad2f17431f8b8dbf3a71a38",
    "text": "−13.14% on 13 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "-14.77",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "832e83f8d8408e6f1c6530067395faf9311345502b857d87e0742368fa5fa969",
    "text": "−14.77% on 18 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 5,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-035233b9a58156b77f3c",
   "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.90",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a0517aa5682bd3a59b2be2407d1564cab4aeb22371ba26d5d2e9d630fc7be758",
    "text": "−5.90% on 12 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.14",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f40d9705e112eadbd0258e92c43f55ae006dd05c3ad2f17431f8b8dbf3a71a38",
    "text": "−13.14% on 13 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-2cd85e31287063513443",
   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "12.92",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d696116d06b4af40359fbcf09a50f38a6aa51d7430e87a076d4998f089317157",
    "text": "+12.92% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.90",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a0517aa5682bd3a59b2be2407d1564cab4aeb22371ba26d5d2e9d630fc7be758",
    "text": "−5.90% on 12 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-bbadc63f119e4905b9de",
   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "5.87",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "67901737d6d03141a47ed9cb9a1c155b112e8db9cf71e224ed79153d785fbbf4",
    "text": "+52.86 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "12.92",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d696116d06b4af40359fbcf09a50f38a6aa51d7430e87a076d4998f089317157",
    "text": "+12.92% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-7ad5c7e0141152b80a2b",
   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "36.12",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a3786482e7331254be7ad9d1d4d0a40b58a0467cb4d4587f6565093ee45b98ea",
    "text": "+252.86 points on 7 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "5.87",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "67901737d6d03141a47ed9cb9a1c155b112e8db9cf71e224ed79153d785fbbf4",
    "text": "+52.86 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-75ae43f46add0934100e",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "62.72",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2259ee9efccdc9e55c83025f2c3f79d56d8fb586dba7540c8264986a3d8c935f",
    "text": "+250.86 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "36.12",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a3786482e7331254be7ad9d1d4d0a40b58a0467cb4d4587f6565093ee45b98ea",
    "text": "+252.86 points on 7 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-960e66b8c8c8a4ddc460",
   "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3",
   "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "62.72",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2259ee9efccdc9e55c83025f2c3f79d56d8fb586dba7540c8264986a3d8c935f",
    "text": "+250.86 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 4 settled picks.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-658f038a591510a2b166"
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -21993,
      "return_percent": "-31.4",
      "period_from": "2026-09-30",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.55",
      "odds_from_author": 7,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -7495,
      "return_percent": "-15.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.58",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 15274,
      "return_percent": "50.9",
      "period_from": "2026-09-30",
      "period_to": "2026-10-10",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.48",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-30",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.74",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7634,
      "return_percent": "76.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-10-25",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.80",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Eredivisie",
      "in_words": "Eredivisie",
      "url": "/football/competitions/eredivisie/",
      "settled_picks": 8,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11539,
      "return_percent": "14.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.49",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 12505,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-25",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.45",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -16600,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.31",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 7634,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-25",
        "period_to": "2026-10-25",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.80",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 8000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-10",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.80",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Primeira Liga",
      "in_words": "Primeira Liga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/primeira-liga/",
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -29800,
      "return_percent": "-49.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-10-30",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.89",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -12800,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-30",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.72",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-24",
        "period_to": "2026-10-24",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.00",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 3000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-10",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.27",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
        "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-30",
        "period_to": "2026-10-30",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.87",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "International Soccer",
      "in_words": "International Soccer",
      "url": "/football/competitions/international-soccer/",
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11681,
      "return_percent": "58.4",
      "period_from": "2026-09-30",
      "period_to": "2026-09-30",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.55",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 4274,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-09-30",
        "period_to": "2026-09-30",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.38",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 7407,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-09-30",
        "period_to": "2026-09-30",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.72",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
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