{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/", "canonical": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Jonathan O'Shea: Football Prediction Record", "description": "1 settled pick by Jonathan O'Shea recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 1 Nov 2026: won 0 of 1 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Jonathan O'Shea before kick-off across 1 match on 1 November 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 75 predictions we hold for Jonathan O'Shea, 60 are linked to matches: 60 were recorded by us before kick-off. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-4a4c3d0d1d8abc763e97c466", "public_name": "Jonathan O'Shea", "tracker_number": 1844, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-25", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-4a4c3d0d1d8abc763e97c466-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-100.0000", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": 1, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "0.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:54:46.357Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 1 settled pick across 1 match", "average_odds": "11.50", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-5fcbed51b88ab7550f54cb06", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-11-01T16:27:38.855Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-6c27b0c943721a7100e7ea91" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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"quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/parma/preview/parma-vs-bologna-prediction-team-news-lineups_608506.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "348f3071c0ba2f67d4e3a1b0a6fa059943293b7db2b6dbc0eda22b1ca1725d23", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:44:24.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:10:08.826Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-ac3eac283d4a", "display_name": "Parma — Bologna", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/parma-vs-bologna-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "no_result" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Parma 0-2 Bologna", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, 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null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-83a68e0a03c38b5cfbc9b72b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-83a68e0a03c38b5cfbc9b72b", "quote_text": "Marin Sverko, Bartol Franjic and Andrea Adorante are still ruled out for Venezia", "fragment_from": 2602, "fragment_to": 2682, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": 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"/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-c8b4a6749c89ccb7329dcb91", "quote_text": "We say: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "fragment_from": 4451, "fragment_to": 4482, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/europa-league/preview/az-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_608333.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e7feb49641d2db5c1391c5ff72c547129b3e9e8938ebfda3d33290ba35bace58", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T16:54:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T17:10:12.296Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T16:54:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T16:54:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T17:10:12.296Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Juventus" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "48cf1a8bd361cd14ea656ae5c6a0306b1ba50d331e71d37df0b939a014ed0b90", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T21:33:46.164Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/europa-league/preview/az-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_608333.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-19b79cf78cc8680c4d52a266", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-19b79cf78cc8680c4d52a266", "quote_text": "Ferencvaros possible starting lineup:\n\nRadnoti; O. Nagy, Zohore, Gomez, O'Dowda; Maiga, A. 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"n-831f028fa7b79f22b13717a3", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-831f028fa7b79f22b13717a3", "quote_text": "AC Milan possible starting lineup:\n\nTorriani; Gila, De Winter, Pavlovic, Bartesaghi; Hutchinson, Musah, Jashari, Cisse; Pulisic, Ramos", "fragment_from": 4427, "fragment_to": 4561, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/preview/ac-milan-vs-ferencvaros-prediction-team-news-lineups_608327.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20b568047e9487c1331a2b16152a22034f1dc0b10cf1810d30a3632e053c9164", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:10:11.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, 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was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-45bc547323625630383ab3a0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-45bc547323625630383ab3a0", "quote_text": "Injured quintet Fikayo Tomori, Samuel Chukwueze, Mattia Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers and Ruben Loftus-Cheek are still unavailable", "fragment_from": 3845, "fragment_to": 3973, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/preview/ac-milan-vs-ferencvaros-prediction-team-news-lineups_608327.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20b568047e9487c1331a2b16152a22034f1dc0b10cf1810d30a3632e053c9164", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:10:11.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": 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"data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-fa9a2d8804072537e8187917", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-fa9a2d8804072537e8187917", "quote_text": "We say: AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvaros", "fragment_from": 4702, "fragment_to": 4734, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/europa-league/preview/ac-milan-vs-ferencvaros-prediction-team-news-lineups_608327.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20b568047e9487c1331a2b16152a22034f1dc0b10cf1810d30a3632e053c9164", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:10:11.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:10:11.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this 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"361c64f48c3d1a194f250811884b3aa3b0e4de16d11323d81b1dd69de084ebb9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T17:13:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:10:17.438Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9588ca212aad", "display_name": "FC Porto — SSC Napoli", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "4-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "FC Porto 2-1 SSC Napoli", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T17:13:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T17:13:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:10:17.438Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FC Porto 2-1 SSC Napoli", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FC Porto 2-1 SSC Napoli" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "4-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Porto 4-1 SSC Napoli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ddd633f90e41669bee7af531ec0c5559db734ca75353c15009b585a5392b8bf4", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Porto", "decimal_odds": "2.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-02T21:15:54.854Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so 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is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-940f7683d2f63f1bb383c9e6", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-940f7683d2f63f1bb383c9e6", "quote_text": "We say: Lens 1-2 Como", "fragment_from": 4560, "fragment_to": 4581, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/lens/champions-league/preview/lens-vs-como-prediction-team-news-lineups_608269.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": 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"recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T15:38:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T15:38:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T16:10:33.091Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "RC Lens 1-2 Como", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: RC Lens 1-2 Como" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-9", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was RC Lens 1-9 Como." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9aa9b4aed4774ecd3c7ce74975b2944021a25d07417a460d7b957105242f2476", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Como", "decimal_odds": "2.1600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11600, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T04:09:18.144Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/lens/champions-league/preview/lens-vs-como-prediction-team-news-lineups_608269.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7c6e65eefe5ddae3d5d4f100", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-7c6e65eefe5ddae3d5d4f100", "quote_text": "We say: Feyenoord 2-2 Inter Milan", "fragment_from": 5505, "fragment_to": 5538, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/feyenoord/champions-league/preview/feyenoord-vs-inter-milan-prediction-team-news-lineups_608200.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ede8df4432ec024811051dcc537b4ec6e50e12ed85a6ba16eaa9e85f14612f91", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:50:00.000Z", 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"2026-10-26T10:26:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T11:10:22.851Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Monza 1-2 SSC Napoli", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Monza 1-2 SSC Napoli" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Monza 1-4 SSC Napoli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2d31362ea5a6c9e955c2e0371f965b1a62e4fdfcf79573e9aebf397b8c053999", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted 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"choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.6600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T19:20:58.332Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/genoa/preview/genoa-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_607716.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, 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null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T16:22:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T16:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T22:10:12.615Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be 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"event_at": "2026-10-25", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-bfed54ad671d" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · AS Roma v Genoa · 17 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-17", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e06667ecdfd8" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Celta Vigo v Juventus · 15 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-15", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-5420b2b1f7c6" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 3–0 · Inter v Parma · 10 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-10", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-0a48f8d8b5d0" } ], "record_details": [], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportsmole.co.uk", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/genoa/preview/genoa-vs-ac-milan-prediction-team-news-lineups_608592.html" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-11-01", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Jonathan O'Shea before kick-off across 1 match on 1 November 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 75 predictions we hold for Jonathan O'Shea, 60 are linked to matches: 60 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−100 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−100.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Jonathan O'Shea across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Jonathan O'Shea publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-11-01", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -10000, "low": { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Jonathan O'Shea before kick-off across 1 match on 1 November 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 75 predictions we hold for Jonathan O'Shea, 60 are linked to matches: 60 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jonathan-o-shea/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 75, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 15, "proven_predictions": 60, "proven_checked": 54, "proven_measured": 54, "proven_dates": 26, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 60, "checked": 54, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-11-01", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 53, "exact_hits": 4, "exact_rate": 7.5, "outcome_checked": 53, "outcome_hits": 28, "outcome_rate": 52.8, "baseline_matches": 43, "baseline_distinct_matches": 43, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 22, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 51.2, "favourite_hits": 33, "favourite_rate": 76.7, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 6, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "4 of 53 score forecasts named the exact score (7.5%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 22 of 43 matches; the market favourite was right in 33 of the same 43 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 43 of 53 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 54, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 0, "won_percent": "0.0", "implied_percent": "8.7", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "8.7" } ] } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-b867a100044b339ea830dacd" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 1 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-25", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-b867a100044b339ea830dacd", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/4/#pick-n-b867a100044b339ea830dacd", "match": "Lazio v Cagliari", "match_url": "/football/matches/lazio-vs-cagliari-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Lazio 3-1 Cagliari", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "11.5000", "published_at": "2026-10-30T16:50:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T17:10:28.037Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b867a100044b339ea830dacd", "quote_text": "We say: Lazio 3-1 Cagliari", "fragment_from": 4026, "fragment_to": 4052, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/lazio/preview/lazio-vs-cagliari-prediction-team-news-lineups_608091.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1de35358f28dcea4eaa3009c3904a48806cbfb4ecf6a7da5408db765f30921ec", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T16:50:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:10:28.037Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-01T11:16:55.664Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-440b743ba853", "display_name": "Lazio — Cagliari", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/lazio-vs-cagliari-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Lazio 3-1 Cagliari", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "11.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T17:09:32.146Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T16:50:29.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T16:50:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:10:28.037Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Lazio 3-1 Cagliari", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Lazio 3-1 Cagliari" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Lazio 2-1 Cagliari." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b95262f193afe2345690b09dcf3f5f759be0079e7e2599a18d3aa6a6b699c815", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Lazio 3-1 Cagliari", "decimal_odds": "11.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-01T11:16:55.664Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "217369ce4d24c78f75f5749f61ba6b3f378bd592cb2a906527433226655dea8c", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lazio", "decimal_odds": "1.4400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4400, "executed_at": "2026-11-01T11:16:57.054Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/lazio/preview/lazio-vs-cagliari-prediction-team-news-lineups_608091.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Lazio 3-1 Cagliari" } }, { "record_id": "n-899d535e11191854cccd9f45", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-899d535e11191854cccd9f45", "match": "Fiorentina v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 57.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T09:07:24.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:10:23.260Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-899d535e11191854cccd9f45", "quote_text": "We say: Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus", "fragment_from": 4573, "fragment_to": 4604, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fiorentina/preview/fiorentina-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_608565.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6455813b60c839361cd39f8f7067cac1c5b9a37dba8af6d9746b8d670d7216cb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T09:07:24.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T10:10:23.260Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-12ced2b8a607", "display_name": "Fiorentina — Juventus", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T09:07:24.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T09:07:24.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T10:10:23.260Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:45 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:45 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e62a47959cdb6d9fa49beb53d018d92529f438f4e2e633fa999edda49014f0f7", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "2.0500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T20:18:30.213Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fiorentina/preview/fiorentina-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_608565.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Fiorentina 1-2 Juventus" } }, { "record_id": "n-7c512f352135c046fa2722b9", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/5/#pick-n-7c512f352135c046fa2722b9", "match": "Inter v Como", "match_url": "/football/matches/inter-vs-como-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 47.7, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Inter 2-3 Como", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T16:55:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:16:13.056Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7c512f352135c046fa2722b9", "quote_text": "We say: Inter Milan 2-3 Como", "fragment_from": 5099, "fragment_to": 5127, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/inter-milan/preview/inter-milan-vs-como-prediction-team-news-lineups_608620.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ad74f69c24256e96915f879850df634a4451bb0fd19e69d62a29547f94e110f1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T16:55:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T17:16:13.056Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3f437b15dcb4", "display_name": "Inter — Como", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/inter-vs-como-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Inter 2-3 Como", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T16:55:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T16:55:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T17:16:13.056Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Inter 2-3 Como", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Inter 2-3 Como" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 17:00 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 17:00 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3d750f34031413850896ea18e28e3c2fd10a7cee6ec003344a5e23dbe471dfbb", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Como", "decimal_odds": "3.6000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T17:25:48.648Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": 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"match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Genoa 1-2 Juventus" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Genoa 2-0 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e3cd6577aacfa01704295d994a66d508b979740193c146aec533a9e4ecc0e21f", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.6600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T19:20:58.332Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/genoa/preview/genoa-vs-juventus-prediction-team-news-lineups_607716.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Genoa 1-2 Juventus" } }, { "record_id": "n-187886a83c8361a61817e49e", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/4/#pick-n-187886a83c8361a61817e49e", "match": "AC Milan v Bologna", "match_url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-bologna-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 50.3, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: AC Milan 1-0 Bologna", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-4", "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T14:01:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T15:09:55.851Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.6200", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-187886a83c8361a61817e49e", "quote_text": "We say: AC Milan 1-0 Bologna", "fragment_from": 4136, "fragment_to": 4164, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/preview/ac-milan-vs-bologna-prediction-team-news-lineups_607749.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ffa1e3b34e964681433e0e860eb97b42481079454c27b06773657aecaeede096", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T14:01:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T15:09:55.851Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-47b09d7cb13a", "display_name": "AC Milan — Bologna", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-bologna-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "2-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AC Milan 1-0 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"choice_key": "1-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AC Milan 1-0 Bologna" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AC Milan 2-4 Bologna." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b0b02a752aa5190910d512ab7e283a65f568c0e437a15f3ea24a96310bef0ee3", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AC Milan", "decimal_odds": "1.6200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T02:28:02.699Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Jonathan O'Shea", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Jonathan O'Shea", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/preview/ac-milan-vs-bologna-prediction-team-news-lineups_607749.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "AC Milan 1-0 Bologna" } }, { "record_id": "n-167d6214464312c7b5d773cf", "url": "/authors/jonathan-o-shea/picks/4/#pick-n-167d6214464312c7b5d773cf", "match": "Venezia v Inter", "match_url": "/football/matches/venezia-vs-inter-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie 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"quote_text": "We say: Venezia 0-3 Inter Milan", "fragment_from": 3928, "fragment_to": 3959, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/venezia/preview/venezia-vs-inter-milan-prediction-team-news-lineups_607740.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Jonathan O'Shea", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "587d59431ac0b58a61588bb44ffe3bdb396be0d9bbfd494d49f8697b00e311d0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T12:11:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T14:10:02.656Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-6ce1a04a3c7d", "display_name": "Venezia — Inter", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/venezia-vs-inter-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": 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"choice_key": "0-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Venezia 0-3 Inter" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Venezia 0-2 Inter." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e78de7c079a0829553f03cde06b05bde2ed192120d74f346a7c94dedabb57e55", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Inter", "decimal_odds": "1.3400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3400, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T05:16:57.327Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], 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