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 "heading": "Jonas Meyer: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 111 settled picks by Jonas Meyer recorded before kick-off across 64 matches, 9 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −9.9% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 111 settled live picks by Jonas Meyer before kick-off across 64 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −9.9% on the total staked. Of the 683 predictions we hold for Jonas Meyer, 346 are linked to matches: 260 were recorded by us before kick-off and 86 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
  "series_key": "market_price",
  "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 2083,
  "recognised": 683,
  "accepted": 321,
  "executed": 173,
  "calculated": 160,
  "gaps": [
   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 215
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 133
   },
   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 118
   },
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 25
   },
   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 15
   },
   {
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "cause": "National-team matches",
    "figure": 2
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 },
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "statements": 2083,
  "of_them_restored": 267,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 370,
   "not_about_a_match": 945,
   "unclassified": 0
  },
  "predictions": 683,
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  "matches": 118,
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  "qualifying_picks": 173,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 34,
  "settled_picks": 160,
  "settled_picks_restored": 28,
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "market_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": false,
    "qualifying_picks": 118,
    "settled_picks": 111,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 7,
    "matches": 64,
    "operations_settled": 111,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    "settled_picks": 129,
    "void": 3,
    "pending_picks": 7,
    "matches": 71,
    "operations_settled": 129,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.1",
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 8,
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 1,
    "matches": 4,
    "operations_settled": 7,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 27,
    "settled_picks": 25,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 2,
    "matches": 10,
    "operations_settled": 25,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 32,
    "settled_picks": 26,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 6,
    "matches": 10,
    "operations_settled": 26,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 215
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 133
   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 118
   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 25
   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 15
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_admitted",
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "code_name": "outside_coverage",
    "cause": "National-team matches",
    "figure": 2
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {
   "ads": 44
  },
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
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   "observation_id": "n-36886bfeb03902c5c59aafda",
   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/36/#pick-n-36886bfeb03902c5c59aafda",
   "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nEredivisie\n\nHeute\n18:45\n\nADO Den Haag\n\nVS\n\nSparta Rotterdam\n\nNS\n\n1,57",
   "fragment_from": 6072,
   "fragment_to": 6156,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/ado-den-haag-sparta-rotterdam-prognose-07-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:06:59.450Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:56:47.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:06:59.450Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ef384574b7ce8971f72193a4",
   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/36/#pick-n-ef384574b7ce8971f72193a4",
   "quote_text": "Sparta Rotterdam oder Unentschieden\n\nEredivisie\n\nHeute\n18:45\n\nADO Den Haag\n\nVS\n\nSparta Rotterdam\n\nNS\n\n1,50",
   "fragment_from": 7496,
   "fragment_to": 7602,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/ado-den-haag-sparta-rotterdam-prognose-07-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Jonas Meyer",
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    "bundle_id": "1aa263fcea2e6933ea49d8efc7c30180bb521d436824950ebc730f935bfbb1df",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T09:56:47.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:06:59.450Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
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   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T09:56:47.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:56:47.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:06:59.450Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-768721202a65da4111cddcd8",
   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/36/#pick-n-768721202a65da4111cddcd8",
   "quote_text": "Unentschieden\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n3,60",
   "fragment_from": 3804,
   "fragment_to": 3847,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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    "bundle_id": "1aa263fcea2e6933ea49d8efc7c30180bb521d436824950ebc730f935bfbb1df",
    "material_removed": false
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T15:06:59.450Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "quote_text": "Juanmi und Christantus Uche fallen aus, sodass Bordalás im Angriff weniger Möglichkeiten hat",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-aa6a1516c780dbf6ff2c57d4",
   "quote_text": "Auch Alassane Diatta und Juan Foyth stehen nicht zur Verfügung.",
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   "source_info": {
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   "quote_text": "Schon beim 0:1 in La Liga gegen Espanyol war eine andere Schwäche sichtbar geworden",
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  "span_from": "2025-08-07",
  "span_to": "2026-09-15",
  "line_text": "restored history: 28, of which pre-match archive 0",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, League Cup, Champions League and Europa League matches between 7 August 2025 and 15 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 28. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 28. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 28,
   "share": "0.7857"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 24,
    "roi": "30.7500",
    "ci_low": "3.6364",
    "ci_high": "56.0000",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 7,
    "roi": "64.7900",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 26,
    "roi": "34.2500",
    "ci_low": "9.4524",
    "ci_high": "57.0926",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "League Cup",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 12 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 16 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 115,
    "above": 4,
    "above_share_percent": "3.5",
    "below": 5,
    "within": 106,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.0",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   },
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 5,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 5,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.5",
    "not_comparable": 1,
    "disputed": 1,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +1.5% over 5 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/14/#pick-n-86a9175018b42eb4da11d715",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.62",
    "market": "1.43",
    "difference_percent": "13.3"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/16/#pick-n-05c71b8c508a3b465be1e6f4",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.85",
    "market": "3.10",
    "difference_percent": "-8.1"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportwetten.bild.de",
   "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/ado-den-haag-sparta-rotterdam-prognose-07-11-2026/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 111,
  "matches": 64,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -109477,
  "staked_hundredths": 1110000,
  "return_percent": "-9.86",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-09",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 111 settled live picks by Jonas Meyer before kick-off across 64 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −9.9% on the total staked. Of the 683 predictions we hold for Jonas Meyer, 346 are linked to matches: 260 were recorded by us before kick-off and 86 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "111",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "64",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−1,094.77 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−9.9%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −31.8% to +14.0%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-09",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30867,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24223,
    "n": 21
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14223,
    "n": 22
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35777,
    "n": 27
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -40427,
    "n": 29
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50427,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60427,
    "n": 31
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -96127,
    "n": 36
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60923,
    "n": 38
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55723,
    "n": 50
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100723,
    "n": 56
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -85523,
    "n": 58
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -83638,
    "n": 63
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60429,
    "n": 65
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -77229,
    "n": 70
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -51251,
    "n": 86
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -58251,
    "n": 89
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -88251,
    "n": 92
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -101330,
    "n": 95
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -111330,
    "n": 96
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -96027,
    "n": 104
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -109477,
    "n": 111
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 111,
    "matches": 64,
    "match_dates": 22,
    "period_from": "2026-10-09",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -109477,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -111330,
     "after_picks": 96
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24223,
     "after_picks": 21
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30867,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24223,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 16
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14223,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35777,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -40427,
      "n": 29,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50427,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60427,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -96127,
      "n": 36,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60923,
      "n": 38,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55723,
      "n": 50,
      "picks": 12
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100723,
      "n": 56,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -85523,
      "n": 58,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -83638,
      "n": 63,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60429,
      "n": 65,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -77229,
      "n": 70,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -51251,
      "n": 86,
      "picks": 16
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -58251,
      "n": 89,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -88251,
      "n": 92,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -101330,
      "n": 95,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -111330,
      "n": 96,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -96027,
      "n": 104,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -109477,
      "n": 111,
      "picks": 7
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 111 settled live picks by Jonas Meyer before kick-off across 64 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −9.9% on the total staked. Of the 683 predictions we hold for Jonas Meyer, 346 are linked to matches: 260 were recorded by us before kick-off and 86 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jonas-meyer/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 683,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 337,
   "proven_predictions": 260,
   "proven_checked": 246,
   "proven_measured": 111,
   "proven_dates": 24,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 260,
     "checked": 246,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 111,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 64,
      "net_points_hundredths": -109477,
      "staked_hundredths": 1110000,
      "return_percent": "-9.86",
      "interval_low": "-31.77",
      "interval_high": "14.04",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.4",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 31
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 108,
       "return_main_percent": "-10.97",
       "return_other_percent": "-11.32",
       "settled_excluding_void": 108,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -118472,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -122300,
       "period_from": "2026-10-09",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 91,
       "return_main_percent": "-12.47",
       "return_other_percent": "-8.53",
       "settled_excluding_void": 91,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -113477,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -77584,
       "period_from": "2026-10-09",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 246,
      "priced": 111
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 111,
      "won": 49,
      "won_percent": "44.1",
      "implied_percent": "48.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 21,
        "picks": 35,
        "implied_percent": "58.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 25,
        "implied_percent": "29.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 21,
        "implied_percent": "52.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 12,
        "picks": 19,
        "implied_percent": "48.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "48.6"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 107,
      "right": 43,
      "wrong": 62,
      "other": 2
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 86,
     "checked": 55,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 26,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 10,
      "net_points_hundredths": 89050,
      "staked_hundredths": 260000,
      "return_percent": "34.25",
      "interval_low": "8.98",
      "interval_high": "57.48",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-08-07",
      "period_to": "2026-09-15",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 22,
       "return_main_percent": "31.84",
       "return_other_percent": "33.55",
       "settled_excluding_void": 22,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 70050,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 73800,
       "period_from": "2025-08-07",
       "period_to": "2026-09-15"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 7,
       "return_main_percent": "63.79",
       "return_other_percent": "64.79",
       "settled_excluding_void": 7,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 44650,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 45353,
       "period_from": "2025-10-25",
       "period_to": "2025-11-08"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "1 score forecast is waiting for a final score."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 55,
      "priced": 26
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 26,
      "won": 21,
      "won_percent": "80.8",
      "implied_percent": "61.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 8,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "58.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "57.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "71.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "61.9"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-03a5af443d6a3c7dc797f072",
   "n-05c71b8c508a3b465be1e6f4",
   "n-075a000e90bc6c3aac6fa451",
   "n-078c81204a694401e50aaa4c",
   "n-101e692eb47ee356b2561333",
   "n-16d4dd8657a99f3eb2636dec",
   "n-201c3e4e12a114eacfb979ae",
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2025-08-07",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "evidence": {
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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 "title_tag": "Jonas Meyer Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
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    "text": "−5.14% on 86 settled picks across 52 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
    "return_percent": "-4.49",
    "settled_picks": 83,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "31320e7a7080473cd715d0eaafe1bbd70556074796a051f8d596eda99e59ce5d",
    "text": "−4.49% on 83 settled picks across 49 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  },
  {
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   "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
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    "composition_hash": "9a1f7b9d86f69f1b93ca3ca95f20f018f3ee2bc5fe0b5543f71caa3e722ed13d",
    "text": "−9.47% on 67 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-3.07",
    "settled_picks": 78,
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    "composition_hash": "ab171f2f3b4d20afac4c8e8703ace794d04d3dccfa7c3c06239d5849278f4eeb",
    "text": "−3.07% on 78 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "11 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
   "category": "new_results",
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    "return_percent": "-7.52",
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    "composition_hash": "6bf1a8b909d6f62cc3ebc8f8ed7e87051befad7440c6dfc56dde0ce2bfb7385c",
    "text": "−7.52% on 62 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-9.47",
    "settled_picks": 67,
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    "composition_hash": "9a1f7b9d86f69f1b93ca3ca95f20f018f3ee2bc5fe0b5543f71caa3e722ed13d",
    "text": "−9.47% on 67 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
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    "return_percent": "-10.43",
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    "text": "−10.43% on 61 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-7.52",
    "settled_picks": 62,
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    "composition_hash": "6bf1a8b909d6f62cc3ebc8f8ed7e87051befad7440c6dfc56dde0ce2bfb7385c",
    "text": "−7.52% on 62 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
   "category": "new_results",
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    "text": "−11.70% on 56 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-10.43",
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    "text": "−10.43% on 61 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
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    "text": "−4.32% on 48 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-11.70",
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    "text": "−11.70% on 56 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 7 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "return_percent": "-4.32",
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    "text": "−4.32% on 48 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "data_version": "2026-10-25.2",
    "return_percent": "-5.47",
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    "text": "−5.47% on 47 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-25T03:14:21.528Z",
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
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    "composition_hash": "f4281a91373a7c57f510d11acabd797d06467bb951782a3b5b8e33a95bae16c2",
    "text": "−3.46% on 44 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-3.42",
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    "composition_hash": "b706fc4686ca6862f55683c61afa428faf7157603da2ccf649ae5b0c756b9508",
    "text": "−3.42% on 46 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "e4603b2ef33b05298cfcfa5695637d7a2c2c22b6a0053e2f7ad39b5e60e990be",
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    "composition_hash": "f4281a91373a7c57f510d11acabd797d06467bb951782a3b5b8e33a95bae16c2",
    "text": "−3.46% on 44 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "text": "−15.01% on 40 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "2026deb4196f5b783b86e0c984c009008a23a0ebf19302bc39d681b5d961db80",
    "text": "−20.04% on 33 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.3",
    "return_percent": "-8.84",
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    "composition_hash": "10792f56b6fba648fc1888ef5e585a117c5fb5fe658068a213ca17c6638f0580",
    "text": "−8.84% on 35 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/",
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   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "2026deb4196f5b783b86e0c984c009008a23a0ebf19302bc39d681b5d961db80",
    "text": "−20.04% on 33 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 5,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-6369f32a2a00a6e1c0a2296e",
    "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/35/#pick-n-6369f32a2a00a6e1c0a2296e",
    "match": "Houston Dynamo v St.Louis City",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/houston-dynamo-vs-st-louis-city-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "MLS",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: under 1.5 at 1.53",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T06:42:30.740Z",
    "platform": null
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    "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/35/#pick-n-d6f06a0c9031d887e0b583d2",
    "match": "Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/real-salt-lake-vs-la-galaxy-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "MLS",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 4",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T06:42:33.152Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-1103be9c88aab008fefa06dc",
    "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/31/#pick-n-1103be9c88aab008fefa06dc",
    "match": "1. FC Köln v Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Bundesliga",
    "author_said": "Double chance: 1. FC Köln or draw at 1.98",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T06:42:20.204Z",
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