{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/",
 "canonical": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Joe Townsend — football predictions, page 2 of 11",
 "description": "Predictions 1–20 of 199 by Joe Townsend, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 2 of 11 of the predictions by Joe Townsend recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 199 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "199",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "3409b01e8881f84a5c0e3b7818aa3ec4d6a9c608080e0d4bac960272c21e1f73",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-3f54b4e41ee5a00fa7f17af7",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3f54b4e41ee5a00fa7f17af7",
  "public_name": "Joe Townsend",
  "tracker_number": 1973,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-12318ce3184a323175b76915",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1pt Leeds U21-Draw vs Barnsley (19:00) at 11/4 (Sky Bet)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:08.964Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a9acf62f5376e8ca1866552c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1pt Newcastle U21-Draw vs Bradford (19:30) at 3/1 (Sky Bet)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:08.964Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cffd58d47a677d9e15a8f203",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "0.5pt Leeds U21-Draw & Newcastle U21-Draw at 14/1 (Sky Bet)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:08.964Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a2dd07748d76e7ada3ba740",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "0.5pt Bassey 1+ shots on target outside the box at 25/1 (bet365)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-209e5447a6ea1ebdf79a4e32",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-209e5447a6ea1ebdf79a4e32",
   "match": "Fulham v Manchester United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-manchester-united-2026-09-20/",
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -197.6,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Bruno Fernandes to score at 3.3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-209e5447a6ea1ebdf79a4e32",
    "quote_text": "1.5pts Fernandes to score anytime at 23/10 (Coral, Ladbrokes)",
    "fragment_from": 617,
    "fragment_to": 678,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/super-sunday-tips-captain-fantastic/234346",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cf17a75228005a655d0733cbb3232c547100dd738d12070012bd23fd0b5bb762",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7a6d7c16443e",
     "display_name": "Fulham — Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-manchester-united-2026-09-20/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Bruno Fernandes to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to score",
     "author_odds": "3.3",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Bruno Fernandes to score at 3.3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2360388a31994f450d97b66b97da20d207bb2a0e05093167e32922fb1d1ae341",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to score",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a1cb44013a8d36531743f35f742b8eb295734b3758df6e509c734630b4df5e54",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to score",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/super-sunday-tips-captain-fantastic/234346",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Bruno Fernandes to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8d34e410d59abb2adc704c15",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-8d34e410d59abb2adc704c15",
   "match": "Fulham v Manchester United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-manchester-united-2026-09-20/",
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -197.6,
   "market_code": "player_shots",
   "author_said": "Player shots on target over/under 1: Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target at 10",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8d34e410d59abb2adc704c15",
    "quote_text": "0.5pt Calvin Bassey 1+ shots on target at 9/1 (bet365)",
    "fragment_from": 680,
    "fragment_to": 734,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/super-sunday-tips-captain-fantastic/234346",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cf17a75228005a655d0733cbb3232c547100dd738d12070012bd23fd0b5bb762",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7a6d7c16443e",
     "display_name": "Fulham — Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-manchester-united-2026-09-20/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 1",
    "outcome_label": "Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "10",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 1",
     "choice": "Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target",
     "author_odds": "10",
     "market_key": "player_shots",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1",
     "subject": "shots",
     "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 1: Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target at 10"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the result data received so far does not include the player shot counts this market needs",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player shot counts this market needs."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "38fe8ac0400c9e2e1289889716e70c434006a563172e99d7796ddf1c01f750ad",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 1",
      "choice": "Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "30cee92174ae51ad502f0458d2a54455cb1df21cc97d361d1872835804bb1bbb",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 1",
      "choice": "Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/super-sunday-tips-captain-fantastic/234346",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Calvin Bassey over 1 shot on target"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9036d325a2b181646820315d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1.5pts Bruno Fernandes 1+ assists at 5/2 (General)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-17T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:03:54.079Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2e5404028c3b48dff3faaf53",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Haaland to score a hat-trick at 10/1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-29T13:02:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T14:23:02.300Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-35084b7f4d299c4978a35cea",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "0.5pt No goalscorer in West Ham vs Palace at 11/1 (Betfred)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-421f93c90487e43fa3687827",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-421f93c90487e43fa3687827",
   "match": "Reading v Stockport County",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL League One",
   "lead_hours": -14880.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Reading at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.25",
   "settled_price": "3.5750",
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-421f93c90487e43fa3687827",
    "quote_text": "1pt Reading to beat Stockport at 9/4 (Betfred)",
    "fragment_from": 426,
    "fragment_to": 472,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250117115315id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4bd07dd6630ec963014b85568f800cd3990019d24237747e6d1fea9c21ca2a2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.224Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Reading v Stockport County",
     "competition_name": "EFL League One",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-3"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Reading",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.5750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Reading",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Reading at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Reading 1-3 Stockport County."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1b30a35fb35edfbc1c3aa4b9343407d14ff151ad9fd911208d5c92bae0548450",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Reading",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.218Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4a96f3716ae233729e01ed26704ab423ca94aa95471a536a1b8ac3881862b83f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Reading",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.224Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Reading to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-95229d9826e7ab5d4a5e1178",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-95229d9826e7ab5d4a5e1178",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Southampton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-19T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14857.0,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Murillo to score at 17",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "17",
   "settled_price": "17",
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-95229d9826e7ab5d4a5e1178",
    "quote_text": "0.5pt Murillo to score anytime at 16/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power)",
    "fragment_from": 677,
    "fragment_to": 738,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250117115315id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4bd07dd6630ec963014b85568f800cd3990019d24237747e6d1fea9c21ca2a2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.246Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Southampton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-19T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Murillo to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "17",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Murillo to score",
     "author_odds": "17",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Murillo to score at 17"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 3-2 Southampton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6a4ff53c0563cfdf1675df68263d5c16fa186497eb8efd7bf52eebe4f3f6b6b6",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Murillo to score",
      "decimal_odds": "17",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.246Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Murillo to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9a7d9e5aa4505d4aa4c86608",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "0.5pt Murillo to score from outside the box at 70/1 (William Hill)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9bfc2479510acc4427b1d06f",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-9bfc2479510acc4427b1d06f",
   "match": "West Ham United v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14880.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: under 1.5 at 4.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "4.2",
   "settled_price": "3.3000",
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9bfc2479510acc4427b1d06f",
    "quote_text": "1pt Under 1.5 goals in West Ham vs Palace at 16/5 (Betfair, Unibet)",
    "fragment_from": 296,
    "fragment_to": 363,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250117115315id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4bd07dd6630ec963014b85568f800cd3990019d24237747e6d1fea9c21ca2a2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.211Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Ham United v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "4.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.3000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 1.5",
     "author_odds": "4.2",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: under 1.5 at 4.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Ham United 0-2 Crystal Palace."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7c129e3a6b448a75ef22f0d6405b15f6302745aecfc02c3b8efb95e0d2e53710",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "4.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.206Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ca42249b2b05038b8eeaa78a1af2fe3e247f9386da3c4b4f47e2a47325cf40df",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.211Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9cefe86f83c3433574eacc84",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-9cefe86f83c3433574eacc84",
   "match": "Bristol Rovers v Barnsley",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL League One",
   "lead_hours": -14880.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Barnsley at 1.85",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.85",
   "settled_price": "1.7500",
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9cefe86f83c3433574eacc84",
    "quote_text": "2pts Barnsley to beat Bristol Rovers at 17/20 (William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral)",
    "fragment_from": 474,
    "fragment_to": 552,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250117115315id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4bd07dd6630ec963014b85568f800cd3990019d24237747e6d1fea9c21ca2a2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.236Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Bristol Rovers v Barnsley",
     "competition_name": "EFL League One",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-18T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Barnsley",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.85",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Barnsley",
     "author_odds": "1.85",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Barnsley at 1.85"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "30d471aaa190aa0b485bb46a34feb2a70ff6ddacebdbf26324f9f51c2519af76",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Barnsley",
      "decimal_odds": "1.85",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.231Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7002b7aff083dd329e512ea1b43baa6f6386cf2317d98416f4bb0fb56acf6651",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Barnsley",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.236Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Barnsley to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c1fdaac60d5224d068922948",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2pts Swindon to beat Barrow at 29/20 (888Sport)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fe5867dfeb06ef4d9823b550",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-fe5867dfeb06ef4d9823b550",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Southampton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-19T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14857.0,
   "market_code": "player_shots",
   "author_said": "Player shots on target over/under 2 at 4.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fe5867dfeb06ef4d9823b550",
    "quote_text": "1pt Murillo 2+ total shots in Forest vs Southampton (14:00) at 16/5 (Ladbrokes, Coral)",
    "fragment_from": 589,
    "fragment_to": 675,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250117115315id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4bd07dd6630ec963014b85568f800cd3990019d24237747e6d1fea9c21ca2a2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Southampton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-19T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2",
    "outcome_label": "",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "4.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-17T09:56:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:47.400Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-17T11:53:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2",
     "choice": "",
     "author_odds": "4.2",
     "market_key": "player_shots",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.0",
     "subject": "shots",
     "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 2 at 4.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "babbdf6af478172c920bee31edbff508a678f8c02ca2bb3a76017668cd299765",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2",
      "choice": "",
      "decimal_odds": "4.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:05.266Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-18-and-19-january/223157",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Player shots on target over/under 2"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0870dcbb977f723a5ac58534",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2pts Fleetwood to beat Carlisle at 10/11 (William Hill)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8f511801b9c10abd04370685",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2pts Notts County to beat Bromley at 10/11 (Ladbrokes, Coral)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c598bbf6a8ef22f65e5886e9",
   "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/#pick-n-c598bbf6a8ef22f65e5886e9",
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-25T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14712.0,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Murillo to score at 26",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "26",
   "settled_price": "26",
   "published_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c598bbf6a8ef22f65e5886e9",
    "quote_text": "1pt Murillo to score anytime in Bournemouth vs Forest at 25/1 (General)",
    "fragment_from": 220,
    "fragment_to": 291,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250124161711id_/https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-25-january/223321",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Townsend",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "f29eeccff9ae0f8366d54eda4d7db84de8826dbfbbb6009ff93588a8342d84e3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.195Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-25T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Murillo to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "26",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-24T16:17:11.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-24T16:17:11.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Murillo to score",
     "author_odds": "26",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Murillo to score at 26"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3ff82396dbffe6aba5cbb23fb42829d29fe4fc4a869579107f5667313db680cd",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Murillo to score",
      "decimal_odds": "26",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:02.195Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Townsend",
     "publisher": "sportinglife.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Townsend",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/any-other-bets-premier-league-and-efl-tips-for-25-january/223321",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Murillo to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ede1512593f509fdf061ea4b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1pt Fleetwood, Crewe and Notts all to win at 5.9/1 (Coral)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-24T12:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.455Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sporting Life, author pages",
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 199,
  "pages": 11,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/joe-townsend/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/3/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/4/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/5/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/6/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/7/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/8/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/9/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/10/",
   "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/11/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 83,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 114
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 2,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/joe-townsend/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/joe-townsend/picks/2/",
 "source_revision": 57
}