{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/joe-champion/", "canonical": "/authors/joe-champion/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Joe Champion: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Joe Champion: 28 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 28 statements by Joe Champion, including 1 prediction. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Joe Champion, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-7147854f395b097dc3d2b79b", "public_name": "Joe Champion", "tracker_number": 1588, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-10-01" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-7147854f395b097dc3d2b79b-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 28, "recognised": 1, "accepted": 0, "executed": 0, "calculated": 0, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 28, "of_them_restored": 28, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 3, "not_about_a_match": 24, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 1, "predictions_restored": 1, "matches": 0, "admitted": 0, "qualifying_picks": 0, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 0, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "ads": 3, "service": 1 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-ba5bb70a4c387cda9f3cbfb4", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ba5bb70a4c387cda9f3cbfb4", "quote_text": "Slot's machine look poised to post another victory but will United have other ideas?", "fragment_from": 2435, "fragment_to": 2519, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250104214617id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-man-utd-betting-offer-get-40-1-on-liverpool-or-100-1-for-man-utd-with-paddy-power-tc999-a774K2v8LTvV/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Champion", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2ddec7f1c0962a58e2a697c2b756c70fe6841f368254c8021908577d455e273f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:02:30.698Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, 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"https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/nottingham-forest-vs-liverpool-betting-offer-get-50-1-on-liverpool-to-win-with-paddy-power-tc999-awWro9E4cjCO/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Champion", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6989c2374625545436835c1522f39c8fffac6e24f6e8a1a2c0d7de9409d21ee5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-01-14T13:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:47.754Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": 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date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-04-20T18:01:03.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-04-20T18:01:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:16:06.357Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7530f168f690140150742e53", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7530f168f690140150742e53", "quote_text": "Liverpool close in on the Premier League title as forlorn Foxes fall through the trapdoor", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 89, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-close-in-on-the-premier-league-title-as-forlorn-foxes-fall-through-the-trapdoor-aLJ1H6x4yiqy/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Champion", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e93d4a787f233c7de43bba81e23bcb153be2bb6629822398b7d9b4e05b69dcff", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-04-20T18:01:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:16:06.357Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-04-20T18:01:03.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-04-20T18:01:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:16:06.357Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 3, "service": 1, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "racingpost.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250822174633id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/football-bet-of-the-day-a-13-8-premier-league-selection-on-saturday-al6SK5x1VCD6/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-10-01", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "1 prediction is in other markets", "reasons": [ { "code": "not_supported", "predictions": 1, "words": "other market" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 28 statements by Joe Champion, including 1 prediction. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Joe Champion, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "28", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 28 statements by Joe Champion, including 1 prediction. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Joe Champion, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joe-champion/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 1, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 1, "proven_checked": 0, "proven_measured": 0, "proven_dates": 0, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2025-08-22", "record_to": "2025-08-22" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-1e6a4eaeca51c866e83fcb17", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Odds: 13-8 @ William Hill", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-08-22T17:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:05:48.521Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 0, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": null, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. 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