{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/",
 "canonical": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Joe Casey — football predictions, page 16 of 23",
 "description": "Predictions 281–300 of 427 by Joe Casey, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 16 of 23 of the predictions by Joe Casey recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 281–300 of 427 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "427",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "465c5bc2faf8f3a2cda7c33cd888694345f057c276538a42df5e8828269c27a4",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0",
  "public_name": "Joe Casey",
  "tracker_number": 1521,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-ad6df9f726d9d75720f71b23",
   "url": null,
   "match": "VfB Stuttgart v Celtic",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-26T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -5191.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3300",
   "published_at": "2026-02-26T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:46:16.539Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e234ec22f98e33b09482b23c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bilal El Khannous anytime goalscorer\n\nThe former Leicester man was a persistent thorn in Celtic's side in the first leg and has five goals in eight Europa League matches.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-02-26T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:46:16.539Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-170a786c48d0b6f9fd4c664b",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8213.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 1600,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.1600",
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-63f5a14d31bc04a4aac92ee9",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-63f5a14d31bc04a4aac92ee9",
   "match": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8213.8,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Tomi Horvat to score at 8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 70000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "8",
   "settled_price": "8",
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-63f5a14d31bc04a4aac92ee9",
    "quote_text": "Tomi Horvat anytime goalscorer\n7-1 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 2063,
    "fragment_to": 2104,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251022230944id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c649aec69b0e5aa51e46d97460cdd9414bb916c4eb8a00be61e7f830c5970dcb",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.211Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Tomi Horvat to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 70000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Tomi Horvat to score",
     "author_odds": "8",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Tomi Horvat to score at 8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Celtic 2-1 Sturm Graz."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "432fa7b584903083861e1ab191b07edff6aeb886d062c7de3134afc993f313cb",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Tomi Horvat to score",
      "decimal_odds": "8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 70000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.211Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Tomi Horvat to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9a1e11eb45e4b59c3a840664",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Kelechi Iheanacho to have two or more shots on target",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a113a03b1a1addea2ffa0ff9",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-a113a03b1a1addea2ffa0ff9",
   "match": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8213.8,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Toki Chukwuani to be carded at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a113a03b1a1addea2ffa0ff9",
    "quote_text": "Toki Chukwuani to be shown a card\n9-4 bet365, BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1994,
    "fragment_to": 2051,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251022230944id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c649aec69b0e5aa51e46d97460cdd9414bb916c4eb8a00be61e7f830c5970dcb",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "not_supported",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Toki Chukwuani to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Toki Chukwuani to be carded",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Toki Chukwuani to be carded at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "16160b6edb25cf4c4e218cde6502b836fabadacd33077e7e3ed1d09774de6443",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Toki Chukwuani to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: not settled",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.183Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Toki Chukwuani to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e7b4ee52a4781e4fd20f9d99",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-e7b4ee52a4781e4fd20f9d99",
   "match": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8213.8,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Sturm Graz at 2.6",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.6",
   "settled_price": "2.9000",
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e7b4ee52a4781e4fd20f9d99",
    "quote_text": "Sturm Graz or draw double chance\n2pts 8-5 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1925,
    "fragment_to": 1978,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251022230944id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c649aec69b0e5aa51e46d97460cdd9414bb916c4eb8a00be61e7f830c5970dcb",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.172Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Celtic v Sturm Graz",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Sturm Graz",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.6",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.9000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-22T13:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:49:01.029Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-10-22T23:09:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Sturm Graz",
     "author_odds": "2.6",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Sturm Graz at 2.6"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Celtic 2-1 Sturm Graz."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "99cae8f471a97da55f8c0c663af6ca5959ec6d81c9fc15dc29c41237a685cd02",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Sturm Graz",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.166Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "8b8466d26a1762647b4a41c27fd6a02ed2bbe146a1debb48a250bc352667209b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Sturm Graz",
      "decimal_odds": "2.9000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.172Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-sturm-graz-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-anpp26J7oXq5/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Sturm Graz"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-906e4cf575dd9bcb1d7dcd59",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-906e4cf575dd9bcb1d7dcd59",
   "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-03-06T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -13759.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.2000",
   "published_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-906e4cf575dd9bcb1d7dcd59",
    "quote_text": "Tottenham\n2pts 11-10 Coral",
    "fragment_from": 1374,
    "fragment_to": 1400,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250306012334id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/az-alkmaar-vs-tottenham-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a5zBp0d3hIfa/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9174ebb4a6ac16ed573286d3ff852ab9b69eeed49d6c11e4820b01fcc0f95500",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.158Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-03-06T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Tottenham Hotspur",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-03-06T01:23:34.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-03-06T01:23:34.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "99a59d705753a79049b71fedd62208a5669828a68047b845c3c909ed9fcb52ca",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.151Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7448c0e26b383188c09b94a8241c6c672db59aea6ab6c31ab4a4074ada8d4e26",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:26.158Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/az-alkmaar-vs-tottenham-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a5zBp0d3hIfa/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Tottenham Hotspur to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a969fd91de746e0f3adcfc25",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-a969fd91de746e0f3adcfc25",
   "match": "Ipswich Town v Southampton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14554.0,
   "market_code": "player_shots",
   "author_said": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5: Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target at 2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a969fd91de746e0f3adcfc25",
    "quote_text": "Julio Enciso to have three or more shots\n3pm Saturday\n3pts Evs Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1289,
    "fragment_to": 1368,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250131205311id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "0e6756896a65a273406a90909cf4e380680c496d8cb16ed93c92c59a07565ecd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "not_supported",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Ipswich Town v Southampton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5",
    "outcome_label": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5",
     "choice": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target",
     "author_odds": "2",
     "market_key": "player_shots",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "shots",
     "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5: Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target at 2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "02979820b7e9e31ed686986b4bf4c43502dc342bf8f80adf45f14a3eefac5bd7",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5",
      "choice": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target",
      "decimal_odds": "2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: not settled",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-09T11:35:04.360Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d3c7ea0ffe135c4f14fbbcad",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-d3c7ea0ffe135c4f14fbbcad",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-01T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14551.5,
   "market_code": "player_goal_or_assist",
   "author_said": "Player to score or assist: Jacob Ramsey to score or assist at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.25",
   "settled_price": "3.25",
   "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d3c7ea0ffe135c4f14fbbcad",
    "quote_text": "Jacob Ramsey to score or assist\nSky Sports Main Event & Premier League, 5.30pm Saturday\n1pt 9-4 Betfair, Paddy Power",
    "fragment_from": 1439,
    "fragment_to": 1555,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250131205311id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "0e6756896a65a273406a90909cf4e380680c496d8cb16ed93c92c59a07565ecd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.837Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-01T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
    "outcome_label": "Jacob Ramsey to score or assist",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
     "choice": "Jacob Ramsey to score or assist",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "player_goal_or_assist",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to score or assist: Jacob Ramsey to score or assist at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7f4d36c156b00ff2039ebe81cdd694c10e88adcab61e4d92e2dd1b1284a6662a",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
      "choice": "Jacob Ramsey to score or assist",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.837Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Jacob Ramsey to score or assist"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ee81564f5095fac3615d8f7b",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-ee81564f5095fac3615d8f7b",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14554.0,
   "market_code": "cards_over_under",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 cards: over 4.5 at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "1.9000",
   "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ee81564f5095fac3615d8f7b",
    "quote_text": "Over 4.5 cards in Newcastle vs Fulham\n3pm Saturday\n2pts 11-10 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 1370,
    "fragment_to": 1437,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250131205311id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "0e6756896a65a273406a90909cf4e380680c496d8cb16ed93c92c59a07565ecd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.827Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards",
    "outcome_label": "over 4.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards",
     "choice": "over 4.5",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "cards_over_under",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.5",
     "subject": "bookings",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 cards: over 4.5 at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "fca40a400ba5be26bca031b6e11115c51d8321a7ac84b9a8a5780ff26600746b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards",
      "choice": "over 4.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 11000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.821Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3b5b58bff617e64abb219e738b021eb5e9cb874242c802f83cd8033708da2211",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards",
      "choice": "over 4.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.827Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 cards)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c8aef03c53fc256af4a9bcda",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-c8aef03c53fc256af4a9bcda",
   "match": "Everton v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14554.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Everton at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.8",
   "settled_price": "1.9500",
   "published_at": "2025-01-31T14:50:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:36.578Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": "Racing Post, verdict by Joe Casey",
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c8aef03c53fc256af4a9bcda",
    "quote_text": "Everton to beat Leicester\n1pt 4-5 general",
    "fragment_from": 1223,
    "fragment_to": 1264,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250131224727id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturday-premier-league-3pm-match-predictions-asRUh5r0rMSZ/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fe69a886a8ca578172682c9a5ed9f532838d263c184699abebb3da222d57da64",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-31T14:50:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:36.578Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.709Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Everton v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9091",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9091,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T22:47:27.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-31T14:50:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-31T14:50:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:36.578Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T22:47:27.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Everton",
     "author_odds": "1.8",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Everton at 1.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "4-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Everton 4-0 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3392764e696f47f77790d4d5274a57310c71db6bd4e81ce01aa5f1fcb631127b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.703Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "9be540070a42a3351f3c87a1cc6a6d87cad7472e20ea113f91ff91435009e7a2",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9091",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9091,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.709Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "31a4fa874b6c2efa4b968a4676030f6795f8d4236a6208e8f31d503932bca5f7",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.715Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Racing Post Sport Staff",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "matches_source",
     "status_words": "Named in the source as the tipster",
     "status_note": null,
     "evidence_fragment": "Verdict by Joe Casey",
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturday-premier-league-3pm-match-predictions-asRUh5r0rMSZ/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": "Joe Casey",
     "verdict_line": "Racing Post, verdict by Joe Casey"
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-31e13d171b9c00cced5c6f1c",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-31e13d171b9c00cced5c6f1c",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-26T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14699.0,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals at 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.5",
   "settled_price": "2.5250",
   "published_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:47.628Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-31e13d171b9c00cced5c6f1c",
    "quote_text": "Tottenham to win & over 3.5 goals\n1pt 6-4 general",
    "fragment_from": 1531,
    "fragment_to": 1580,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125153113id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-leicester-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a5Cov9q63pwk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cca3e2eeed4a47451118bc911b6a621cc8f19de586e163aa2d3278695d4c1e2f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:47.628Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.007Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-26T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.5250",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-25T15:31:13.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:47.628Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-25T15:31:13.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.5",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals at 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6d52251aaed297a4b824ae67b928f69b0b33bfe97912b542a5ff850f6e1ff538",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.000Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "61e3748291a9e26539e818b559d3587c3f84e374dcdfff8e2a867ecce1296e51",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5250",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.007Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-leicester-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a5Cov9q63pwk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Tottenham Hotspur to win and over 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c4dec62056416f0e185c0250",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Richarlison to score at any time",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:47.628Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8f1375ef0f6a176bb8d5b5bc",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-8f1375ef0f6a176bb8d5b5bc",
   "match": "Millwall v Cardiff City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-21T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -14813.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 18000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.1",
   "settled_price": "2.8000",
   "published_at": "2025-01-20T15:37:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:49.856Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8f1375ef0f6a176bb8d5b5bc",
    "quote_text": "Draw\n1pt 21-10 Coral",
    "fragment_from": 1366,
    "fragment_to": 1386,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250120162054id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/millwall-cardiff-predictions-betting-tips-odds-aa3P28h0hB2Q/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "50aaa1a68fd6f805d958343cf637b395a38eb561032cb5a58170f26a8bfdfc89",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-20T15:37:03.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:49.856Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:32.643Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Millwall v Cardiff City",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-01-21T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.8000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 18000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-20T16:20:54.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-01-20T15:37:03.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-01-20T15:37:03.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:49.856Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-20T16:20:54.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.1",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Millwall 2-2 Cardiff City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "cd4c3c5513a6e9916c436f22b936673edd8a9fce004fcae98de5e63d9940494e",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 21000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:32.625Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e066a57a46147085dc206a6992e6de08e6df3a0dc861134c7d51367dab0bc045",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 18000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:32.643Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/millwall-cardiff-predictions-betting-tips-odds-aa3P28h0hB2Q/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-57ca6c81bb1d08a1a2f7646b",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-57ca6c81bb1d08a1a2f7646b",
   "match": "Chelsea v Brentford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15702.1,
   "market_code": "player_goal_or_assist",
   "author_said": "Player to score or assist: Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist at 2.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 18000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.8",
   "settled_price": "2.8",
   "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-57ca6c81bb1d08a1a2f7646b",
    "quote_text": "Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist\n2pts 9-5 Betfair, Paddy Power",
    "fragment_from": 1738,
    "fragment_to": 1799,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241213170043id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bac61f85b9fdfdfa18342c67f510f12bd8f527267dfe052c905e2e02c957bc74",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.065Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Chelsea v Brentford",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
    "outcome_label": "Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 18000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
     "choice": "Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist",
     "author_odds": "2.8",
     "market_key": "player_goal_or_assist",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to score or assist: Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist at 2.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Chelsea 2-1 Brentford."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "c7c6d604cc195bf86b461bdfe644f81843f15229e45f1a882a0cf30165d4f17f",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score or assist",
      "choice": "Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 18000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.065Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-633629a750032f0e7dca8937",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-633629a750032f0e7dca8937",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Ipswich Town",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-14T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15730.1,
   "market_code": "player_assist",
   "author_said": "Player to assist: Leif Davis to assist at 5.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "5.5",
   "settled_price": "5.5",
   "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-633629a750032f0e7dca8937",
    "quote_text": "Leif Davis to register an assist\n1pt 9-2 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1621,
    "fragment_to": 1673,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241213170043id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bac61f85b9fdfdfa18342c67f510f12bd8f527267dfe052c905e2e02c957bc74",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.041Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Ipswich Town",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-14T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to assist",
    "outcome_label": "Leif Davis to assist",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "5.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to assist",
     "choice": "Leif Davis to assist",
     "author_odds": "5.5",
     "market_key": "player_assist",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to assist: Leif Davis to assist at 5.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-2 Ipswich Town."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6bc010ac557f397d9d9887e8251145c61917e4400ee12fd344bdc703d1eabe25",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to assist",
      "choice": "Leif Davis to assist",
      "decimal_odds": "5.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.041Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leif Davis to assist"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ba91a26ad9fa3591cf5d9552",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-ba91a26ad9fa3591cf5d9552",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-14T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15730.1,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Hamza Choudhury to be carded at 2.88",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.875",
   "settled_price": "2.875",
   "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ba91a26ad9fa3591cf5d9552",
    "quote_text": "Hamza Choudhury to be shown a card\n2pts 15-8 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1675,
    "fragment_to": 1736,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241213170043id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bac61f85b9fdfdfa18342c67f510f12bd8f527267dfe052c905e2e02c957bc74",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.052Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-14T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Hamza Choudhury to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.875",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-13T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:17.520Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-13T17:00:43.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Hamza Choudhury to be carded",
     "author_odds": "2.875",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Hamza Choudhury to be carded at 2.88"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "4-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 4-0 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2f9703c04f13c1c5c89a980238517853f3b788a1d913e03f9d133dfc4d34e1a1",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Hamza Choudhury to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "2.875",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:38.052Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-assist-and-card-predictions-tc999-a2gK01Q4ZLbz/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Hamza Choudhury to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-11716649e8f7cdd0008bb376",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-11716649e8f7cdd0008bb376",
   "match": "Millwall v Sheffield United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-11T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -15797.4,
   "market_code": "draw_no_bet",
   "author_said": "Draw no bet: Sheffield United at 1.85",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8500,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "1.85",
   "settled_price": "1.85",
   "published_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-11716649e8f7cdd0008bb376",
    "quote_text": "Sheffield United draw no bet\n2pts 17-20 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 1239,
    "fragment_to": 1284,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241210164512id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/wednesdays-championship-predictions-betting-odds-and-tips-abeMC8u4NWI6/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3e482f189f806357bcac46e1482f0bad9f8835e0f3cebb46517eb2ad913f3bf6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:35.533Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Millwall v Sheffield United",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-11T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
    "outcome_label": "Sheffield United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.85",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-10T16:45:12.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-10T16:45:12.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Draw no bet",
     "choice": "Sheffield United",
     "author_odds": "1.85",
     "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Draw no bet: Sheffield United at 1.85"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Millwall 0-1 Sheffield United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8cd7a0643c80c5c332bf27b55fa6cf7e4786f7d6258cf31499e76294e1fc67c1",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Draw no bet",
      "choice": "Sheffield United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.85",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:35.533Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/wednesdays-championship-predictions-betting-odds-and-tips-abeMC8u4NWI6/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Sheffield United (Draw no bet)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-712a6fdafd64521fec097570",
   "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-712a6fdafd64521fec097570",
   "match": "Hull City v Watford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-11T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -15797.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9150,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.909",
   "settled_price": "1.9150",
   "published_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-712a6fdafd64521fec097570",
    "quote_text": "Under 2.5 goals in Hull vs Watford\n1pt 10-11 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 1286,
    "fragment_to": 1337,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241210164512id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/wednesdays-championship-predictions-betting-odds-and-tips-abeMC8u4NWI6/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Joe Casey",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3e482f189f806357bcac46e1482f0bad9f8835e0f3cebb46517eb2ad913f3bf6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.007Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Hull City v Watford",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2024-12-11T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.909",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9150",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9150,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-10T16:45:12.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-12-10T15:50:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:06:51.168Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-12-10T16:45:12.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.909",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hull City 1-1 Watford."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "cd4f00a9bff07bd75c033eb972dd0159c77e8aa41110ad5587ff295a95ec3be2",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.909",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9090,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:35.561Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "8a86e647ded4d601964d23e3a607e3d2378f728ededb521bf1258c158ebf369a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9150",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9150,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.007Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Joe Casey",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Joe Casey",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/wednesdays-championship-predictions-betting-odds-and-tips-abeMC8u4NWI6/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 427,
  "pages": 23,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/joe-casey/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/2/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/3/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/4/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/5/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/6/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/7/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/8/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/9/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/10/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/11/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/12/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/13/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/15/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/17/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/18/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/19/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/20/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/21/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/22/",
   "/authors/joe-casey/picks/23/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 182,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 245
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 16,
  "first": 281,
  "last": 300,
  "author_url": "/authors/joe-casey/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/",
 "source_revision": 67
}