{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "history", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/", "canonical": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Joe Casey — football predictions, page 14 of 23", "description": "Predictions 241–260 of 427 by Joe Casey, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Page 14 of 23 of the predictions by Joe Casey recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 241–260 of 427 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. 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"affiliate_block": null, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "public_name": "Joe Casey", "tracker_number": 1521, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-b23f7b092267f8abc601439b", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/#pick-n-b23f7b092267f8abc601439b", "match": "VfB Stuttgart v AC Sparta Praha", "match_url": null, "kickoff": 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the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.85", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.85" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "44165a450ea7aa36067d73df6c44b43119a0c76ffcc43f75734f56fba0ef37ca", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.85", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.708Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "724b794e466367e2d6371d4549aa17e6c9bbdee6b31e565fd89988ffbdf2d8b5", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4400", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:20.539Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Joe Casey", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Joe Casey", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aXziO2u1aGri/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d52e7979aa7f1809677a7527", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/#pick-n-d52e7979aa7f1809677a7527", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v AC Milan", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2024-10-01T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -17501.6, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.38", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.375", "settled_price": "2.1550", "published_at": "2024-09-30T15:10:43.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:48.600Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d52e7979aa7f1809677a7527", "quote_text": "Over 3.5 goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs Milan\n1pt 11-8 Betfair", "fragment_from": 1653, "fragment_to": 1713, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aXziO2u1aGri/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73b71f33e1c6b2a292436cec9dc4991fe90bd47070b4e88b8afb00043ce0b494", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-30T15:10:43.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:48.600Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:45.921Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v AC Milan", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-01T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.375", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.1550", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-30T15:10:43.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-30T15:10:43.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:48.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.375", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.38" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "34ecfce1d13eafc3ded343dac6bd2158c66174036fb79ddba588a5763df6275e", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.375", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:45.915Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "50cfbc5a8b15e80522549244aea2cb657ec9293a33fea15d9184b223aeae03c2", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1550", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:45.921Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Joe Casey", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Joe Casey", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/tuesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aXziO2u1aGri/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-5a028e961c3154effb34b7bf", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/#pick-n-5a028e961c3154effb34b7bf", "match": "Shakhtar Donetsk v Atalanta", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2024-10-02T16:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -17479.8, "market_code": "result_and_total", "author_said": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals: Atalanta to win and over 1.5 goals at 1.95", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8600, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.95", "settled_price": "1.8600", "published_at": "2024-10-01T16:52:20.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:35:57.572Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-5a028e961c3154effb34b7bf", "quote_text": "Atalanta to win & over 1.5 goals\n2pts 20-21", "fragment_from": 1580, "fragment_to": 1623, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": 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1.5 goals", "choice": "Atalanta to win and over 1.5 goals", "author_odds": "1.95", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "2-over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals: Atalanta to win and over 1.5 goals at 1.95" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 0-3 Atalanta." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5827bc284d9b26499795082c770291b5d7946c6408b3b38e113ee976d914653c", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals", "choice": "Atalanta to win and over 1.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.95", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:45.994Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e70c3acf9eac850e8294eb92f0e4e1aa416c3cfc1848f2bd4d49be403825244c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals", "choice": "Atalanta to win and over 1.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.8600", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8600, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:46.000Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { 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