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 "heading": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "3 settled picks by Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill archived before kick-off across 2 matches, 9 Apr 2026 – 9 May 2026: won 1 of 3.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 3 settled archived picks by Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 9 April and 9 May 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 3 settled archived picks. Of the 33 predictions we hold for Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 30 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "authorship": {
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   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8e73ed8cc064ba987cc38f0f",
   "url": "/authors/jimmy-the-punt-cantrill/picks/2/#pick-n-8e73ed8cc064ba987cc38f0f",
   "quote_text": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
   "fragment_from": 227,
   "fragment_to": 261,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/champions-league-tips-gunning-for-arsenal/234178",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "8293327ba512ef3a42e9475676607787d08accd23c57b517ccefae2ac000df8f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:34.592Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:53.735Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-b87fb733afb8",
    "display_name": "SSC Napoli v Arsenal",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
    "scoreline": "0-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.8500",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 8500,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:34.592Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
    "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "result_and_total",
    "choice_key": "2-under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "4.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "0-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was SSC Napoli 0-1 Arsenal."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "7943b98ae3b5e415be61d6cf8a939615199055aa6217a083d32d77bedcd3a386",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8500",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 8500,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:53.735Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "publisher": "Sporting Life",
    "forecaster": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/champions-league-tips-gunning-for-arsenal/234178",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ea2ede26c6519cfedcb59d0e",
   "url": "/authors/jimmy-the-punt-cantrill/picks/2/#pick-n-ea2ede26c6519cfedcb59d0e",
   "quote_text": "Both teams to score",
   "fragment_from": 261,
   "fragment_to": 280,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/chelsea-vs-djurgardens-tips-consolation/225414",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "173e04b264f1731a52547dccc77a417515a9a88dc1f4595e1b1631bb718f8b09",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-05-07T09:13:55.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-11T22:08:21.332Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:44.832Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Chelsea v Djurgården",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
    "starts_at": "2025-05-08T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-0"
   },
   "market_label": "Both teams to score",
   "outcome_label": "yes",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.8800",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-05-07T09:13:55.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-05-07T09:13:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T22:08:21.332Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 11 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "choice": "yes",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "both_teams_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Chelsea 1-0 Djurgården."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "aa9e84422b1425684c82c86abe9595c821477da1c23a37da7586529b66b25513",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8800",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:44.832Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "publisher": "Sporting Life",
    "forecaster": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/chelsea-vs-djurgardens-tips-consolation/225414",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 29,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 3,
  "found_post_match": 0,
  "of_them_source_reported": 26,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 24,
  "span_from": "2025-03-05",
  "span_to": "2026-09-09",
  "line_text": "restored history: 29, of which pre-match archive 3",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, League Cup, Champions League, Europa League, League One, EFL Trophy, Conference League and International Soccer matches between 5 March 2025 and 9 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 29. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 3. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 26. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 29,
   "share": "0.4828"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 1,
    "roi": "-100.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 29,
    "roi": "4.6552",
    "ci_low": "-38.9815",
    "ci_high": "52.6833",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "League Cup",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "League One",
   "EFL Trophy",
   "Conference League",
   "International Soccer"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 29 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportinglife.com",
   "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/go-against-the-flow-at-riverside/231937"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-12",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 3,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -10100,
  "staked_hundredths": 30000,
  "return_percent": "-33.67",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-04-09",
  "period_to": "2026-05-09",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 3 settled archived picks by Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 9 April and 9 May 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 3 settled archived picks. Of the 33 predictions we hold for Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 30 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "3",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−101 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "−33.7%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 30 predictions dated by the source. 26 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2026-04-09",
    "period_to": "2026-05-09",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -10100,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-05-09",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10100,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-04-09",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-04-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-05-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10100,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 3 settled archived picks by Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 9 April and 9 May 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 3 settled archived picks. Of the 33 predictions we hold for Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 30 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jimmy-the-punt-cantrill/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 33,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 3,
   "proven_checked": 3,
   "proven_measured": 3,
   "proven_dates": 2,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10100,
      "staked_hundredths": 30000,
      "return_percent": "-33.67",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-04-09",
      "period_to": "2026-05-09",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 3,
      "priced": 3
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 3,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "33.3",
      "implied_percent": "46.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "50.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "57.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Win to nil",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "31.4"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 30,
     "checked": 26,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 26,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 24,
      "net_points_hundredths": 23600,
      "staked_hundredths": 260000,
      "return_percent": "9.08",
      "interval_low": "-38.66",
      "interval_high": "59.32",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-03-05",
      "period_to": "2026-09-09",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "period_from": "2026-02-18",
       "period_to": "2026-02-18"
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     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 26,
      "priced": 26
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 26,
      "won": 13,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "46.1",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "57.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "33.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "53.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "50.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Win to nil",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "41.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "37.8"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-0edbf3e126adc849bc582846",
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   "n-99999dadf460e242ee05ca64"
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  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 9 April – 9 May 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-03-05",
  "record_to": "2026-09-09"
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 "recorded_picks": [
  {
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   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
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   "points_hundredths": 8500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.8500",
   "published_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:34.592Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
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    "fragment_to": 261,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/champions-league-tips-gunning-for-arsenal/234178",
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     "speaker": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
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    "published_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
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    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:53.735Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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     "event_id": "s-b87fb733afb8",
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     "url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
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    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
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     "closing": "1.8500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "source_reported_history",
    "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-07T23:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:34.592Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
    "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was SSC Napoli 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7943b98ae3b5e415be61d6cf8a939615199055aa6217a083d32d77bedcd3a386",
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      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:53.735Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
     "publisher": "Sporting Life",
     "forecaster": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/champions-league-tips-gunning-for-arsenal/234178",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals"
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   "record_id": "n-2bfd22c8ca7bdc773517bb54",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Bristol City v Walsall",
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   "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
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   "author_said": "To win to nil: Bristol City to win to nil",
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   "group": "settled",
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   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.2500",
   "published_at": "2026-08-04T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:42.291Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ce56878245d9b73f2a299f41",
   "url": null,
   "match": "England v Costa Rica",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-06-10T21:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": -2975.2,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: England to win and under 3.5 goals",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9250,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.9250",
   "published_at": "2026-06-08T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:46.299Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4368ea9549ff5c03e539d144",
   "url": null,
   "match": "England v New Zealand",
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   "kickoff": "2026-06-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": -3072.2,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: England to win and under 3.5 goals",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10250,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.0250",
   "published_at": "2026-06-04T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:46.401Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-946d3411b7968b2c877c28b4",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Everton",
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   "kickoff": "2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3389.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.4800",
   "published_at": "2026-05-21T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:48.640Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4fad61f69b28ce92e2ff27d8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v Burnley",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-18T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3529.2,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 11000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.1000",
   "published_at": "2026-05-14T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:48.847Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8e304e93466458eeba9bb76a",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-11T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3697.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 27500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.7500",
   "published_at": "2026-05-07T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:11:50.496Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8c8045e8b9f1de3862c54e1b",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Middlesbrough v Southampton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-09T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -3753.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7500",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:15:56.399Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1ee059fea81fae693edd9ac8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Chelsea v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-12T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4397.1,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Manchester City to win to nil",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 30000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "4.0000",
   "published_at": "2026-04-10T08:51:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:38:14.350Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9afc37e8db6b3304007dd887",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Chelsea v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-12T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4397.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9400,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.9400",
   "published_at": "2026-04-10T08:51:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:38:14.350Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
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   "record_id": "n-99999dadf460e242ee05ca64",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Bologna v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-09T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -4466.2,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Aston Villa to win to nil",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.1800",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:14:26.231Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0edbf3e126adc849bc582846",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Bologna v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
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   "quote": "Wrexham draw no bet",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "origin": "Source-reported history",
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  {
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   "quote": "Wrexham draw no bet",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "origin": "Source-reported history",
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  {
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   "quote": "Middlesbrough draw no bet",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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 "baseline": {
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  "picked_favourite_share": null,
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  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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 "title_tag": "Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill Predictions: Verified Record",
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    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
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    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
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    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
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      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/",
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      "league_markets": [
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 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 33 predictions · last change 12 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jimmy-the-punt-cantrill/",
  "s": "2026-10-11",
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  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-12",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jimmy-the-punt-cantrill/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 33 predictions · last change 12 October 2026</a>"
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  "days": 31,
  "weeks": 2,
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 "colleagues": [
  {
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 "author_type": "Pundit",
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  "records_corrected": 0,
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 "related": [
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-d54f692ed33daf3c7ff56835-bank/",
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  {
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   "where": "origin",
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  {
   "set": "profile.checked.live",
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  },
  {
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   "value": 3,
   "where": "origin-archived",
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  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked",
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   "value": 3,
   "where": "trust-level",
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   "label": true
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 ]
}