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 "heading": "Jason Ence: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "4 settled picks by Jason Ence recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 4 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026: won 2 of 4 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by Jason Ence before kick-off across 2 matches between 4 October and 2 November 2026. Won 2 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 16 predictions we hold for Jason Ence, 15 are linked to matches: 9 were recorded by us before kick-off and 6 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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 "modules": {
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   "observation_id": "n-7ceb6ab5e188a512ab6a0f69",
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     {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   },
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    "closing": "1.9762",
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   "author_claim": {
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   },
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   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
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   "quote_text": "The next wave of young American soccer stars look to make a statement as the USMNT opens their international",
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   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   },
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e162206fb4f34afd6aa14241",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e162206fb4f34afd6aa14241",
   "quote_text": "USA: Christian Pulisic FW (Out), Folarin Balogun FW (Out), Weston Mckennie CM (Out)",
   "fragment_from": 3299,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/usa-vs-peru-predictions-picks-sept-26-2026",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-5571bba1c0d661a01b49cc08",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-5571bba1c0d661a01b49cc08",
   "quote_text": "I'm expecting a 3-1 win for Pochettino's side.",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/usa-vs-peru-predictions-picks-sept-26-2026",
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    "speaker": "Jason Ence",
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   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "too_late",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T23:41:15.203Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-25337a5f8e54501549722a58",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-25337a5f8e54501549722a58",
   "quote_text": "Over 2.5",
   "fragment_from": 966,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/usa-vs-peru-predictions-picks-sept-26-2026",
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   "detected_at": "2026-09-28T23:41:15.203Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T23:41:15.203Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-391890077cabae7a7c593882",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-391890077cabae7a7c593882",
   "quote_text": "Both Teams to Score — Yes",
   "fragment_from": 934,
   "fragment_to": 959,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/usa-vs-peru-predictions-picks-sept-26-2026",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Jason Ence",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "397dc885734dbf3b941a3f51c2d373fe75e575dbd783d099f19dd76f86e7b47c",
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   "published_at": "2026-09-25T21:45:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-09-28T23:41:15.203Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "too_late",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-09-25T21:45:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T23:41:15.203Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 5,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 2,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0,
  "found_post_match": 2,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 4,
  "date_count": 1,
  "span_from": "2026-09-20",
  "span_to": "2026-09-20",
  "line_text": "restored history: 2, of which pre-match archive 0",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League matches on 20 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 2. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 2. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 2,
   "share": "0.0"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 2,
    "roi": "-100.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 2,
    "roi": "-100.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 2 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "covers.com",
   "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-picks-nov-2-2026"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-29",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-01",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 4,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 3146,
  "staked_hundredths": 40000,
  "return_percent": "7.87",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-04",
  "period_to": "2026-11-02",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by Jason Ence before kick-off across 2 matches between 4 October and 2 November 2026. Won 2 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 16 predictions we hold for Jason Ence, 15 are linked to matches: 9 were recorded by us before kick-off and 6 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "4",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+31.46 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+7.9%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2026-10-04",
    "period_to": "2026-11-02",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 3146,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3146,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23146,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23146,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3146,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by Jason Ence before kick-off across 2 matches between 4 October and 2 November 2026. Won 2 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 16 predictions we hold for Jason Ence, 15 are linked to matches: 9 were recorded by us before kick-off and 6 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jason-ence/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 16,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 1,
   "proven_predictions": 9,
   "proven_checked": 9,
   "proven_measured": 5,
   "proven_dates": 3,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 9,
     "checked": 9,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": 3146,
      "staked_hundredths": 40000,
      "return_percent": "7.87",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-04",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2026-11-02",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 1,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 1,
      "outcome_hits": 1,
      "outcome_rate": 100.0,
      "baseline_matches": 1,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 1,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 100.0,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": 0.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.",
       "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 0 of the same match.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 9,
      "priced": 4
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 4,
      "won": 2,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "50.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "55.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "40.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "49.5"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 2,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 6,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-09-20",
      "period_to": "2026-09-20",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2026-09-20",
       "period_to": "2026-09-20"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "won_percent": "0.0",
      "implied_percent": "56.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "49.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "62.7"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-0ed02eba71e7af1fade93d07",
   "n-29426819ac7ee6e40aa56b40",
   "n-5eceb05a0e767b89876655d9",
   "n-aa57a7ca2d8cc46dc9ff9169"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 4 October – 2 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-09-20",
  "record_to": "2026-11-02"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-0ed02eba71e7af1fade93d07",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-0ed02eba71e7af1fade93d07",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 29.9,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7143",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:54:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "over",
    "price": "1.7143",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0ed02eba71e7af1fade93d07",
    "quote_text": "Over 2.5\n\n57%",
    "fragment_from": 1053,
    "fragment_to": 1066,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-picks-nov-2-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Jason Ence",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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     "bundle_id": "a5020b12dd4702b0f43b16cc246242e74c6da305fa780df9370a4a50d6107d67",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:54:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:02:12.750Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
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    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot": "1.7143",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T14:06:35.605Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
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    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T13:54:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7143",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:02:12.750Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Jason Ence",
     "publisher": "covers.com",
     "forecaster": "Jason Ence",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-picks-nov-2-2026",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-29426819ac7ee6e40aa56b40",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-29426819ac7ee6e40aa56b40",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 29.9,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Newcastle United over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.0200",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:54:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-29426819ac7ee6e40aa56b40",
    "quote_text": "Top pick: Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals\n\n46%",
    "fragment_from": 1012,
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-picks-nov-2-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Jason Ence",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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     "bundle_id": "a5020b12dd4702b0f43b16cc246242e74c6da305fa780df9370a4a50d6107d67",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:54:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:02:10.707Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
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    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "2.0200",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T14:06:35.605Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
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    "executed_by": "ours",
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    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
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     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:07:11.980Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Newcastle United over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Newcastle United over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Newcastle United over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0200",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:02:10.707Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
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     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Jason Ence",
     "publisher": "covers.com",
     "forecaster": "Jason Ence",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.covers.com/soccer/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-picks-nov-2-2026",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aa57a7ca2d8cc46dc9ff9169",
   "url": "/authors/jason-ence/#pick-n-aa57a7ca2d8cc46dc9ff9169",
   "match": "USA v Mexico",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/usa-vs-mexico-2026-10-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-04T02:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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