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On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 51.1% of the time. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-p-01-w-e33d366641-event", "alt": "James Kelbrick · 4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"James", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 8 Feb 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-11", "evidence_through": "2026-10-11", "earned_at": "2026-10-25", "published_at": "2026-10-26", "visible_until": "2027-02-08", "badge_label": "4/5 · week of 5 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-e33d366641ac79835808", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0a3cd63cab46e1f48485704c", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Ipswich Town v Fulham", "said_text": "Correct score: Ipswich Town 3-2 Fulham", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "evidence_price": 2.65, "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (6 named draw, 3 named away win, 2 named home win)", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-0a3cd63cab46e1f48485704c" }, { "nid": "n-f39e41d274711aa9e6096231", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth", "said_text": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Bournemouth", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win, 6 named draw)", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/2/#pick-n-f39e41d274711aa9e6096231" }, { "nid": "n-18ab31f5c35df92ab983e86c", "data": "2026-10-11", "match": "Hull City v Everton", "said_text": "Correct score: Hull City 0-0 Everton", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "evidence_price": 3.3, "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named draw, 9 named away win, 1 named home win)", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-18ab31f5c35df92ab983e86c" }, { "nid": "n-148b643ef0e8d14a85072226", "data": "2026-10-11", "match": "Liverpool v Manchester City", "said_text": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-2 Manchester City at 11", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "32 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named draw, 12 named away win, 8 named home win)", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-148b643ef0e8d14a85072226" }, { "nid": "n-df28a686d077aa4e068bfb1d", "data": "2026-10-06", "match": "England v Czechia", "said_text": "Correct score: England 3-1 Czechia", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win)", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/2/#pick-n-df28a686d077aa4e068bfb1d" } ], "evidence_total": 5, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1003, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1003, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 738, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 738, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 575, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 575, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b/p-01-w-e33d366641-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-e33d366641ac", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "at_least", "priced": 2, "unpriced": 3, "hits": 0, "probability": 1.0, "one_in": 1, "log10": 0.0, "words": "about even", "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-week-record" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-e33d366641ac79835808", "code_name": "P-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "4/5 · week of 5 Oct", "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e33d366641ac", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/#zk-e33d366641ac79835808" }, { "title_id": "zk-54d48e3ead5288bbcda3", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–2 · 31 Oct", "body": "Exact score 2–2 · Hull City v Ipswich Town · 31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-54d48e3ead52", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" }, { "title_id": "zk-d2aede43026499dd0621", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 1–1 · 25 Oct", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Hull City v Brentford · 25 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-d2aede430264", "event_at": "2026-10-25", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" } ], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "live", "n": 34, "body": "34 recorded before kick-off · since 6 Oct 2026" } ], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "P-01", "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e33d366641ac" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–2 · Hull City v Ipswich Town · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-54d48e3ead52" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Hull City v Brentford · 25 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-25", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-d2aede430264" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Arsenal v Everton · 24 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-afd01c24fbcf" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Correct score · 16 matches", "details_words": "Correct score 3/16 (16 matches); Match result (1X2) 3/6 (6 matches); Both teams to score 4/5 (5 matches); Goals over/under 1/3 (3 matches); Bet-builder combos 1/2 (2 matches); Goalscorer picks 0/1 (1 match); Team goals and win to nil 1/1 (1 match)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 3/16", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "C-01", "body": "Minority calls · 1/2", "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Minority calls", "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 4.00 · 25 Oct 2026", "details_words": "Hull City v Brentford · Draw at 4.00 (our pre-match price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Hull City 1-1 Brentford", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/4/#pick-n-c50c4aa253d83a58421e80f3", "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" } ], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "footyaccumulators.com", "url": "https://footyaccumulators.com/predictions/premier-league/ipswich-town-vs-bournemouth-preview-prediction-and-betting-tips" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 14737, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "13.40", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by James Kelbrick before kick-off across 7 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +13.4% on the total staked. Of the 97 predictions we hold for James Kelbrick, 38 are linked to matches: 38 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "11", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "7", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+147.37 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+13.4%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5900, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14809, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8637, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14737, "n": 11 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "match_dates": 4, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 14737, "low": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14809, "after_picks": 8 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14737, "after_picks": 11 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5900, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14809, "n": 8, "picks": 7 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8637, "n": 10, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14737, "n": 11, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by James Kelbrick before kick-off across 7 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +13.4% on the total staked. Of the 97 predictions we hold for James Kelbrick, 38 are linked to matches: 38 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/james-kelbrick/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 97, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 59, "proven_predictions": 38, "proven_checked": 35, "proven_measured": 21, "proven_dates": 10, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 38, "checked": 35, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 11, "void": 0, "matches": 7, "net_points_hundredths": 14737, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "13.40", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 8, "return_main_percent": "4.86", "return_other_percent": "4.57", "settled_excluding_void": 8, "net_main_points_hundredths": 3887, "net_other_points_hundredths": 3656, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-04" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 10, "exact_hits": 3, "exact_rate": 30.0, "outcome_checked": 10, "outcome_hits": 7, "outcome_rate": 70.0, "baseline_matches": 8, "baseline_distinct_matches": 8, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 5, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 62.5, "favourite_hits": 3, "favourite_rate": 37.5, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 1, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "3 of 10 score forecasts named the exact score (30.0%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 5 of 8 matches; the market favourite was right in 3 of the same 8 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 8 of 10 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 35, "priced": 11 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 11, "won": 6, "won_percent": "54.5", "implied_percent": "50.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 3, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "49.6" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "53.5" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "38.6" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "62.9" }, { "market": "Player to score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "63.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 12, "right": 5, "wrong": 7, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-039074fa2fa1f5e1fcd7faca", "n-0442aea03b061879076d8ae8", "n-19d08ee374cc504ca4f8a6b3", "n-241b4af6b5d4467b23e6f4fb", "n-48f84562811d938c5093da4a", "n-4e3ffe82f9676fa75f7d6e48", "n-5e95470fa642e92fb44bc07a", "n-5f6be26ed9d6de07b894fb88", "n-649430e1e589f31ed1483905", "n-6c578e667a1b91a9ac3e05f7", "n-ae699728166a5ef89fab3e99" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-28", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-241b4af6b5d4467b23e6f4fb", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/6/#pick-n-241b4af6b5d4467b23e6f4fb", "match": "Getafe v Brighton & Hove Albion", "match_url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "lead_hours": 80.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 6100, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.6100", "published_at": "2026-11-02T11:07:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T11:34:37.375Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "1.6100", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 6100, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-241b4af6b5d4467b23e6f4fb", "quote_text": "The visitors have form in their favour, and we're backing a Brighton win in Madrid this week.", "fragment_from": 1192, "fragment_to": 1285, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://footyaccumulators.com/predictions/europa-conference-league/getafe-vs-brighton-hove-albion-preview-prediction-and-betting-tips", "display_name": null, "speaker": "James Kelbrick", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7fc4845a88f03b8870f7b3ce10dd57df3d467c1dc9917e0fc5ec2b69769ffbd6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T11:07:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:34:37.375Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T00:12:44.128Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-acfd1cf99e26", "display_name": "Getafe — Brighton & Hove Albion", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.6100", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T11:32:55.519Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 6100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T11:07:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T11:07:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:34:37.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Getafe 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "927007daf83d3f62f4eb08f544d3c886e0162a81d6e144b084dfe797bea0ffd5", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.6100", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6100, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T00:12:44.128Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "James Kelbrick", "publisher": "footyaccumulators.com", "forecaster": "James Kelbrick", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footyaccumulators.com/predictions/europa-conference-league/getafe-vs-brighton-hove-albion-preview-prediction-and-betting-tips", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-6c578e667a1b91a9ac3e05f7", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/6/#pick-n-6c578e667a1b91a9ac3e05f7", "match": "RB Leipzig v Manchester City", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 56.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8696, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.8696", "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:49:12.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T11:14:32.701Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.8696", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 8696, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6c578e667a1b91a9ac3e05f7", "quote_text": "have backed over 3.5 to be scored before the final whistle blows.", "fragment_from": 1500, "fragment_to": 1565, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://footyaccumulators.com/predictions/champions-league/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-preview-prediction-and-betting-tips", "display_name": null, "speaker": "James Kelbrick", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1432ac5da539707e54911d7b7b43efcf8c8ce80bfe4a8dffcde1fb942548dfad", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:49:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:14:32.701Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-02T21:39:22.498Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fe8ca41c5ed3", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Manchester City", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.8696", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T11:13:10.536Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8696, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T10:49:12.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T10:49:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:14:32.701Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ebd4dbc5c2bcf7aaed2bf90612c70e95dec10c84cef192914b4aa6e77392049b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8696", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8696, "executed_at": "2026-11-02T21:39:22.498Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "James Kelbrick", "publisher": "footyaccumulators.com", "forecaster": "James Kelbrick", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footyaccumulators.com/predictions/champions-league/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-preview-prediction-and-betting-tips", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-5f6be26ed9d6de07b894fb88", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/6/#pick-n-5f6be26ed9d6de07b894fb88", "match": "RB Leipzig v 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{ "entity_ref": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "medium": "footyaccumulators.com", "channel": "author pages", "domain": "footyaccumulators.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "James Kelbrick", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 236, "predictions": 97, "settled_picks": 11, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 13.4, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "9f54f1dcf341aeca8d0d1656682e99f6950b7c671c7e35c78814a13f2af97974" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-97c1d86caca0293d7087", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "8.64", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4e6bae1cf878d960a3a72c07bc6159a6a35d9f894fb82cf345e84565321219c0", "text": "+8.64% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "13.40", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9f54f1dcf341aeca8d0d1656682e99f6950b7c671c7e35c78814a13f2af97974", "text": "+13.40% on 11 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e8e6ceef51c83ede6f9b", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-18.51", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ece27748352774e7e67489e4daff3a9129c5ad668ab79e548900407ca28c0b57", "text": "−148.09 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "8.64", "settled_picks": 10, 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"composition_hash": "4a39c9e82fb56f87f21a2008f4920ba80e383bcf3146ebccde6d6dce39f51b56", "text": "+59.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-18.51", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ece27748352774e7e67489e4daff3a9129c5ad668ab79e548900407ca28c0b57", "text": "−148.09 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "7 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 7, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fcc2a48c581fdbf77fc1", "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3", "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/", 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"url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 5900, "return_percent": "59.0", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-10", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "code_name": "player_to_score", "in_words": "Player to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.57", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Premier League", "in_words": "Premier League", "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/", "settled_picks": 8, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -14809, "return_percent": "-18.5", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.20", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 8, "league_markets": [ { 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point — James Kelbrick", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/for-authors/james-kelbrick/", "name": "Your record on Forecast Record: James Kelbrick", "detail": null, "source_group": "for_authors" } ], "number_sets": [ { "set": "profile.settled", "entity": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "value": 11, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "value": 97, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "value": 97, "where": "picks", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.live", "entity": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "value": 11, "where": "origin", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.archived", "entity": "e-abc73de216b88e7b4556a31b", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.found_after", "entity": 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