{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "canonical": "/authors/ivanna/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Ivanna: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 46 settled picks by Ivanna recorded before kick-off across 35 matches, 17 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +1.6% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 46 settled live picks by Ivanna before kick-off across 35 matches between 17 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.6% on the total staked. Of the 401 predictions we hold for Ivanna, 187 are linked to matches: 168 were recorded by us before kick-off and 19 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-8af1f5750d744b5cc0268731", "public_name": "Ivanna", "tracker_number": 2942, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-8af1f5750d744b5cc0268731-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": 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While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 1153, "recognised": 401, "accepted": 159, "executed": 71, "calculated": 61, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 180 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 63 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 48 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 15 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 14 }, { "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 10 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 1153, "of_them_restored": 31, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 130, "not_about_a_match": 599, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 401, "predictions_restored": 19, "matches": 80, "admitted": 159, "qualifying_picks": 71, "qualifying_picks_restored": 5, "settled_picks": 61, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 49, "settled_picks": 46, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 3, "matches": 35, "operations_settled": 46, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 51, "settled_picks": 46, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 5, "matches": 41, "operations_settled": 46, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "derived_series", "derived": true, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 4, "settled_picks": 4, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 4, "operations_settled": 4, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 5, "settled_picks": 0, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 5, "matches": 0, "operations_settled": 0, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 180 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 63 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 48 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 15 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 14 }, { "code_name": "no_price_at_capture", "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 10 } ], "duplicates": 21, "junk": { "service": 18 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-8b498980b65274b29c070307", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8b498980b65274b29c070307", "quote_text": "Tschechien - Spanien Tipp\n\nFSV Mainz - FC Bayern Tipp", "fragment_from": 9367, "fragment_to": 9420, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/bulgarien-island-2026-11-13-tipp-prognose-275404", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ivanna", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46c1c07abcb663989de49b48dc2114cabe5a2a402ca4d43411a5b77ea6f663c0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T18:42:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:00:55.259Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T18:42:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T18:42:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:00:55.259Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; 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failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 30, "above": 4, "above_share_percent": "13.3", "below": 0, "within": 26, "median_difference_percent": "-0.5", "not_comparable": 1, "disputed": 1, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/17/#pick-n-54b2b4bc56b3faaa94424746", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.90", "market": "1.63", "difference_percent": "16.6" }, { "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/9/#pick-n-3cabe8edea51782f3ec9f950", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.45", "market": "2.15", "difference_percent": "14.0" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "wettformat.com", "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/bulgarien-island-2026-11-13-tipp-prognose-275404" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 46, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 7180, "staked_hundredths": 460000, "return_percent": "1.56", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 46 settled live picks by Ivanna before kick-off across 35 matches between 17 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.6% on the total staked. Of the 401 predictions we hold for Ivanna, 187 are linked to matches: 168 were recorded by us before kick-off and 19 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "46", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "35", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+71.80 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+1.6%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −50.3% to +66.7%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18100, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25900, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21163, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4937, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14937, "n": 14 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7063, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22937, "n": 25 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25039, "n": 31 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83470, "n": 35 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23470, "n": 41 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7180, "n": 46 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 46, "matches": 35, "match_dates": 11, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 7180, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25039, "after_picks": 31 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83470, "after_picks": 35 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18100, "n": 3, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25900, "n": 7, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21163, "n": 9, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4937, "n": 13, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14937, "n": 14, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7063, "n": 20, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22937, "n": 25, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25039, "n": 31, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83470, "n": 35, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23470, "n": 41, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7180, "n": 46, "picks": 5 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 46 settled live picks by Ivanna before kick-off across 35 matches between 17 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.6% on the total staked. Of the 401 predictions we hold for Ivanna, 187 are linked to matches: 168 were recorded by us before kick-off and 19 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ivanna/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 401, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 214, "proven_predictions": 168, "proven_checked": 162, "proven_measured": 56, "proven_dates": 23, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 168, "checked": 162, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 46, "void": 0, "matches": 35, "net_points_hundredths": 7180, "staked_hundredths": 460000, "return_percent": "1.56", "interval_low": "-50.27", "interval_high": "66.69", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 8 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 30, "return_main_percent": "-11.63", "return_other_percent": "-11.47", "settled_excluding_void": 30, "net_main_points_hundredths": -34892, "net_other_points_hundredths": -34400, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 36, "return_main_percent": "-15.42", "return_other_percent": "-17.28", "settled_excluding_void": 36, "net_main_points_hundredths": -55520, "net_other_points_hundredths": -62205, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 10, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 10, "outcome_hits": 2, "outcome_rate": 20.0, "baseline_matches": 3, "baseline_distinct_matches": 3, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 0.0, "favourite_hits": 1, "favourite_rate": 33.3, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 10 score forecasts named the exact score (0.0%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 3 matches; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same 3 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 3 of 10 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 162, "priced": 46 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 46, "won": 18, "won_percent": "39.1", "implied_percent": "47.7", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 8, "picks": 19, "implied_percent": "52.8" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 5, "picks": 13, "implied_percent": "41.5" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 4, "picks": 9, "implied_percent": "57.5" }, { "market": "Correct score", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "7.2" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "55.5" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 75, "right": 24, "wrong": 49, "other": 2 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 19, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-029a4dba9e298d8271529ede", "n-0b021fde9d0c9154bc83ea9e", "n-155b8374483d65ce1a740e5a", "n-18f09fda20d20eec4f4a1a18", "n-1ef4da56560527df65b1ee90", "n-2526723afb29b67684e6744f", "n-258882fa706acf6a00dcd66c", "n-31ce98bca255fe5406047ee1", "n-3565204e10a4fc62a04d088c", "n-36afb4a1e9fcc6a3e9c24108", "n-3cabe8edea51782f3ec9f950", "n-3d488a7c23ff79b2518038fb", "n-40262b6c1b3c4155b0585a0c", "n-4250edf563bbc0befdf90147", "n-4791ef02cd8be35d9e1927e1", "n-54b2b4bc56b3faaa94424746", "n-55ab222ba915e77287d02fd3", "n-56a58c154daa2889aaab894b", "n-664d4051d591484fb60eafa0", "n-67f7f04b7184998a982f4dc9", "n-6c93e9c03cfe0891e72f1ec2", "n-74436be4579ed9342961ef82", "n-7690a41331e3b5df6343b200", "n-7a50da42235ab1c8c4d8bfb9", "n-7da91adcf26311c4deef1f9a", "n-7de5129a22a861d33dbee1fd", "n-856074dc1f315de58eaeece2", "n-8c511d39411b2e4bb54f33a7", "n-8cd2308d6e27b96d53764d01", "n-92a41983b83ac0191fbedd40", "n-96574eb4b14570eb187f35f2", "n-9823a50ad52e339122555a1d", "n-a0c4c0a408a4a7191ceba466", "n-a77e8b587d64dd8fb54e8fa7", "n-afddee514b88ec669acbbc2a", "n-b1da671a7b80212ab826065e", "n-bedb995b12f3ee55f932d74d", "n-c15a782fc97a2a457a42abf2", "n-c59a200cba7a8f03cf9d14fe", "n-c6024c763fdcc457f9176c45", "n-c6cac69e4733e488ac867f17", "n-d8b22b3c81526abfbd86d5fe", "n-da317f815f3bec9bcb1efae9", "n-dc16c9182afc7adc0e6d35af", "n-dcb325ce5cd863fbb50c8ef9", "n-e63d3e41624486f4bad7ffa2" ], "interval_low": "-50.27", "interval_high": "66.69", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 17 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-11", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-dcb325ce5cd863fbb50c8ef9", "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/20/#pick-n-dcb325ce5cd863fbb50c8ef9", "match": "Arsenal v Hull City", "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 68.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "2.2100", "published_at": "2026-11-04T17:44:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T18:39:43.108Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "under", "price": "1.6389", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 6389, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-dcb325ce5cd863fbb50c8ef9", "quote_text": "Über 3,5 Tore", "fragment_from": 8608, "fragment_to": 8621, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-hull-city-2026-11-07-tipp-prognose-275178", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ivanna", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "437d135727876dbd8aa9125fc7b045132e0927438e9a0e274924074cb3b9ef7e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T17:44:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T18:39:43.108Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T18:40:54.828Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-db14ccc3b614", "display_name": "Arsenal — Hull City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "2.2100", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T18:35:46.271Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T17:44:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T17:44:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T18:39:43.108Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Hull City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4bd2eccec869aff98e7b379c27dd556277f415a6c406fa77e4c47279367b7edc", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.2100", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T18:40:54.828Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ivanna", "publisher": "Wettformat", "forecaster": "Ivanna", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-hull-city-2026-11-07-tipp-prognose-275178", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c59a200cba7a8f03cf9d14fe", "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/20/#pick-n-c59a200cba7a8f03cf9d14fe", "match": "RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-fc-augsburg-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 79.7, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "5-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "12.0000", "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:28:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T06:50:27.953Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c59a200cba7a8f03cf9d14fe", "quote_text": "Ergebnistipp\n\n2:0\n\nZunächst einmal stehen die Bullen daheim bei 18:0 Toren, weshalb wir bei Augsburg die Null im Ergebnis für nicht ausgeschlossen halten. Dann ist die Leipzig-Offensive zu mehr imstande, als nur einen einzigen Treffer. Wir setzen auf den 2:0-Heimsieg.", "fragment_from": 906, "fragment_to": 1174, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/rb-leipzig-fc-augsburg-2026-11-07-tipp-prognose-275211", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ivanna", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4fdf8f86427d9804bd7b336478dd808d4ab07aa910ad0f03c27408957fe3d34d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:28:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:50:27.953Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:29:59.475Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-33101de1421d", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — FC Augsburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-fc-augsburg-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "5-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "12.0000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T06:49:52.681Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T06:28:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:28:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:50:27.953Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "5-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3958d3c6a702e5b8df8d0e5a67387051aa8a08c03b4e214b517a91e0c76fd9d8", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg", "decimal_odds": "12.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": 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"url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unsere erste Empfehlung, dass über 2,5 Tore fallen,", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T15:49:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T02:21:32.699Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2b226ef4b54ed4af07c3fd2a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, 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"excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T15:29:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:30.579Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3b189c596490dab1f85266dd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp 2\n\n2.59", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T15:29:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:30.579Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-454c6e108d996d517e5765ca", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Doppelte Chance Tipp X/2\n\n1.50", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T15:29:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:30.579Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-97f7435a21dc313ae3c065aa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ergebnistipp\n\n2:1", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-07-04T20:49:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T03:01:22.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fc8fc67618bcf66145ce9a14", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp X\n\n3.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-07-04T20:49:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T03:01:22.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d43e2e6fc78556f481a33737", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen - ja\n\n1.58", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-07-04T20:49:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T03:01:22.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 173, "before_kickoff": 173, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 173, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 80.4, "min_hours": 9.5, "max_hours": 132.6, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 35, "settled_picks_all": 47, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 5, "no_recorded_line": 7, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 350000, "author_net_hundredths": -95320, "favourite_net_hundredths": -71340, "difference_hundredths": -23980, "author_return_percent": -27.23, "favourite_return_percent": -20.38, "author_hit_rate": 37.1, "favourite_hit_rate": 48.6, "picked_favourite_share": 54.3, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "total", "picks": 14, "staked_hundredths": 140000, "author_net_hundredths": -47493, "favourite_net_hundredths": -33404, "author_hits": 5, "favourite_hits": 7, "picked_favourite": 6, "author_return_percent": -33.92, "favourite_return_percent": -23.86 }, { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 12, "staked_hundredths": 120000, "author_net_hundredths": -27999, "favourite_net_hundredths": -38899, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 4, "picked_favourite": 8, "author_return_percent": -23.33, "favourite_return_percent": -32.42 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 9, "staked_hundredths": 90000, "author_net_hundredths": -19828, "favourite_net_hundredths": 963, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 6, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": -22.03, "favourite_return_percent": 1.07 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12300, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2300, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -7700, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12509 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 6100, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1291 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 11363, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6554 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1363, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3446 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8637, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2104 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4737, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6004 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14737, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3996 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-26T19:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -24737, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4604 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T23:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -34737, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -5396 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -44737, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -15396 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -36437, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -7096 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -46437, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -17096 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -28937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27096 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -37096 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -48937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -47096 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -58937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -42596 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -68937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -52596 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -58937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -62596 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -68937, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -72596 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -59036, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -62695 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -69036, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -72695 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -54536, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -82695 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -51039, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -79198 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -61039, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -89198 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -41039, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -99198 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -37530, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -95689 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47530, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -105689 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -57530, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -99739 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -67530, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -90639 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -77530, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -84339 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -75320, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -82129 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -85320, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -77729 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -95320, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -71340 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 401, "pages": 22, "page_urls": [ "/authors/ivanna/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/2/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/3/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/4/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/5/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/6/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/7/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/8/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/9/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/10/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/11/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/12/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/13/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/14/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/15/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/16/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/17/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/18/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/19/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/20/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/21/", "/authors/ivanna/picks/22/" ], "groups": { "settled": 60, "pending": 3, "excluded": 338 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/ivanna/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Ivanna Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=46&odds=3.08&roi=1.6&src=record", "n": 46, "odds": "3.08", "roi": "1.6", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "person": { "person_id": "o-8af1f5750d744b5cc0268731", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Ivanna", "main_entity": "e-8af1f5750d744b5cc0268731", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-8af1f5750d744b5cc0268731", "medium": "Wettformat", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "wettformat.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "Ivanna", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 1153, "predictions": 401, "settled_picks": 46, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 1.56, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 46, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "acada19d1e3c180f8ae391be467997b5789151d56e2fa3a08d6383d89efb98c1" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-8a652a9763f2de055f45", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "4.54", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fedde8d8e94978c4fa07facfaae6365a7df1818d5bce78d1e1d938156a7c5ccb", "text": "+4.54% on 38 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "1.56", "settled_picks": 46, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "acada19d1e3c180f8ae391be467997b5789151d56e2fa3a08d6383d89efb98c1", "text": "+1.56% on 46 settled picks across 35 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 5 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 8, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-8c1c2052ed60c816a13f", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "20.38", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3c392f4981255053b7f9ba88d17519e96077b06c0470840d8669abf1b3064329", "text": "+20.38% on 33 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "4.54", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fedde8d8e94978c4fa07facfaae6365a7df1818d5bce78d1e1d938156a7c5ccb", "text": "+4.54% on 38 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-1103b021631038f0d934", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-14.22", "settled_picks": 29, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0886378aac7da9bba640ebadf91f5ffc82663b4ad0b6d2d8db4faae1f9020c1b", "text": "−14.22% on 29 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "20.38", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3c392f4981255053b7f9ba88d17519e96077b06c0470840d8669abf1b3064329", "text": "+20.38% on 33 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-1e46862ae7d61775ee97", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-17.02", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c79d3f1e46acda5d2cb92c50777ffa219f8dfe782d8855f0da5181d6a210b2a0", "text": "−17.02% on 23 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-14.22", "settled_picks": 29, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0886378aac7da9bba640ebadf91f5ffc82663b4ad0b6d2d8db4faae1f9020c1b", "text": "−14.22% on 29 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 6, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f4283394e2b460b7f53a", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-14.57", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2daaab436c10a130adfee7f22707e77e6760b80a7f97081884d2ed15e68b3ec6", "text": "−14.57% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-17.02", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c79d3f1e46acda5d2cb92c50777ffa219f8dfe782d8855f0da5181d6a210b2a0", "text": "−17.02% on 23 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-95175eb70f11fded4c5b", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-5.08", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bb5ad0231d374592c4cc1f90c5cab86dd6018536d0c287f2455f058c704cc974", "text": "−5.08% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-14.57", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2daaab436c10a130adfee7f22707e77e6760b80a7f97081884d2ed15e68b3ec6", "text": "−14.57% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-5367aa83ad6cc4404b31", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-10.67", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e4336b91218701348714e06636d69faa056c2862e05b0040df2a77abdba7bf2e", "text": "−10.67% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-5.08", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bb5ad0231d374592c4cc1f90c5cab86dd6018536d0c287f2455f058c704cc974", "text": "−5.08% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a17eac9c10c84231d55a", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "23.51", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e66a272a4062c3751c1b6683744922b0688cdf2ddccf7cf2e74639f75fd3e0fb", "text": "+211.63 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-10.67", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e4336b91218701348714e06636d69faa056c2862e05b0040df2a77abdba7bf2e", "text": "−10.67% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-af45e7b248f70af28fea", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "-34.90", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "647c30875f42914c646fb8b47945fc989268dc34cbf833b27eeeb2abab329f8b", "text": "−209.37 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "23.51", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e66a272a4062c3751c1b6683744922b0688cdf2ddccf7cf2e74639f75fd3e0fb", "text": "+211.63 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: line sign (2 picks); 3 picks added.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-1b956826b56dc136f114" }, { "id": "zc-1861603baa92dcc241e2", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-21.87", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "87d9ee632a31eb4d87f438f31dbb612d03d9da26d6753dab4df38d2ba021bbff", "text": "−109.37 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "-34.90", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "647c30875f42914c646fb8b47945fc989268dc34cbf833b27eeeb2abab329f8b", "text": "−209.37 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c58ddb2c332007d47feb", "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "-20.67", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5b3bd8ae5ced1afc7268ee9c2e97acf5e03d517f96b691d8fb3a2a3db799dc35", "text": "−62.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-21.87", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "87d9ee632a31eb4d87f438f31dbb612d03d9da26d6753dab4df38d2ba021bbff", "text": "−109.37 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-68b6b2c219e2d4feea6c", "at": "2026-10-20T21:29:02.148Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a0142a8d87c5794c8b5ec14592ba9fefa30288e59a526183cb0d6b32a749d54d", "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "-20.67", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5b3bd8ae5ced1afc7268ee9c2e97acf5e03d517f96b691d8fb3a2a3db799dc35", "text": "−62.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6152273e0092d8c59b0c", "at": "2026-10-20T19:39:34.694Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.6", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cdb236620d15116dedf9a2641079fc3ad316c631dc12060de79989290c348fc6", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a0142a8d87c5794c8b5ec14592ba9fefa30288e59a526183cb0d6b32a749d54d", "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a1eae234b7091cf5e449", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "-29.08", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c1d7fa54ea1d5c749d0d88dbc97c0ad85335e678177bbcdb8b56145c136bedb7", "text": "−58.16 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cdb236620d15116dedf9a2641079fc3ad316c631dc12060de79989290c348fc6", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-8284ad3db68627d36491" }, { "id": "zc-6d19c0a583fc65f821e1", "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z", "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.3", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "-29.08", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c1d7fa54ea1d5c749d0d88dbc97c0ad85335e678177bbcdb8b56145c136bedb7", "text": "−58.16 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 1, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-b3d82de6fd6d58e7e9944f27", "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/21/#pick-n-b3d82de6fd6d58e7e9944f27", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Hannover 96", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-hannover-96-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "author_said": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 2.07", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:19:50.628Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 46, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 19, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -26193, "return_percent": "-13.8", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.07", "odds_from_author": 13, "odds_from_snapshot": 6 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 13, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -1799, "return_percent": "-1.4", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.60", "odds_from_author": 10, "odds_from_snapshot": 3 }, { "code_name": 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