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 "heading": "Italo Verde: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 51 settled picks by Italo Verde recorded before kick-off across 33 matches, 15 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −5.0% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 51 settled live picks by Italo Verde before kick-off across 33 matches between 15 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −5.0% on the total staked. Of the 178 predictions we hold for Italo Verde, 70 are linked to matches: 70 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−5.0%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "id": "e-163b984fd43241bfc1e90387",
  "public_name": "Italo Verde",
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   "ci_high": "18.0227",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
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   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
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  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 51 settled live picks by Italo Verde before kick-off across 33 matches between 15 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −5.0% on the total staked. Of the 178 predictions we hold for Italo Verde, 70 are linked to matches: 70 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/italo-verde/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 178,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 108,
   "proven_predictions": 70,
   "proven_checked": 60,
   "proven_measured": 51,
   "proven_dates": 15,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 70,
     "checked": 60,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 51,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 33,
      "net_points_hundredths": -25474,
      "staked_hundredths": 510000,
      "return_percent": "-4.99",
      "interval_low": "-29.47",
      "interval_high": "18.02",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.3",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 10
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 51,
       "return_main_percent": "-4.99",
       "return_other_percent": "-4.41",
       "settled_excluding_void": 51,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -25474,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -22500,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 42,
       "return_main_percent": "1.23",
       "return_other_percent": "3.56",
       "settled_excluding_void": 42,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 5176,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 14961,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 60,
      "priced": 51
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 51,
      "won": 29,
      "won_percent": "56.9",
      "implied_percent": "57.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 14,
        "picks": 27,
        "implied_percent": "56.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 12,
        "implied_percent": "60.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "57.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "64.1"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 2,
      "right": 2,
      "wrong": 0,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-7456c49a65c2ff1ff1b89ef4",
   "n-76a230c02de3c9f53df29569",
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   "n-99ab9c69a0571591d33c2f03",
   "n-99fe5d216ec6c819193cd1ba",
   "n-9ce3883fb295eacf467a5b35",
   "n-a57747253d9ae86a66fedbc4",
   "n-a65921e25ccf7d0ffc73e6ed",
   "n-b218131aa22e2389abc821d9",
   "n-b97a63e12f034e7a2e71ad4a",
   "n-b99dbaca7f8d4d821a7e22c0",
   "n-c533ed8c059996eaf2f98a99",
   "n-e224d117e991e3f7f1c77ba1",
   "n-e284963469e472f6ffdb4c02",
   "n-e9fa6a642410dd0603191c95",
   "n-ea65b0d3281b2b01e1e22890",
   "n-ec09c4d41afd0ecbd85ca177",
   "n-f01dcd065a59917adb8d0e93",
   "n-f35b50c95901d22e9f4ddbdb",
   "n-f81777ca1e318dd0aafb38e0",
   "n-f8ba02ac807132573043d257"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-29.47",
  "interval_high": "18.02",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 15 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-14",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-a57747253d9ae86a66fedbc4",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/picks/9/#pick-n-a57747253d9ae86a66fedbc4",
   "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 43.5,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München at 1.33",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3279,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.33",
   "settled_price": "1.3279",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T18:53:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T19:00:30.609Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "1.3279",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 3279,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a57747253d9ae86a66fedbc4",
    "quote_text": "Juega ya Bundesliga | 1×2: Bayern Múnich – Cuota 1.33 (-300)",
    "fragment_from": 1064,
    "fragment_to": 1124,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://blog.masterbets365.com/mainz-05-vs-bayern-munich-pronostico-bundesliga-datos-jornada-9-cuotas-juego-de-futbol-apuestas/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Italo Verde",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "12643fa60d31e890aa55788056e8135ccda60c2f3fddd9fcc1b91aa342f18e2f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T18:53:31.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:00:30.609Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:20:33.380Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-103350a1ffb8",
     "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.33",
     "our_snapshot": "1.3279",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T18:56:10.235Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3279,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T18:53:31.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T18:53:31.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:00:30.609Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "FC Bayern München",
     "author_odds": "1.33",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München at 1.33"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 FC Bayern München."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München",
      "decimal_odds": "1.33",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3300,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:20:25.453Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "66b3afc16d1ec875583b149ee4bcdfbd83fb2b0733ac942998d9d98c15189c3c",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3279",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3279,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:20:33.380Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Italo Verde",
     "publisher": "MasterBets365 Blog — Pronósticos",
     "forecaster": "Italo Verde",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://blog.masterbets365.com/mainz-05-vs-bayern-munich-pronostico-bundesliga-datos-jornada-9-cuotas-juego-de-futbol-apuestas/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Bayern München to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-02c86a04e99a80e82f89366c",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/picks/9/#pick-n-02c86a04e99a80e82f89366c",
   "match": "Benfica v Lech Poznań",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 22.6,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 2.5: Benfica over 2.5 at 1.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5589,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.55",
   "settled_price": "1.5589",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T21:11:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T21:21:28.778Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-02c86a04e99a80e82f89366c",
    "quote_text": "Jugada recomendada Europa League | Benfica total de goles: Más de 2.5 – Cuota 1.55 (-180)",
    "fragment_from": 1291,
    "fragment_to": 1380,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://blog.masterbets365.com/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-pronostico-deportivo-europa-league-datos-jornada-4-cuotas-fase-de-liga-apuestas-juego-de-futbol-hoy/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Italo Verde",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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     "bundle_id": "97f4498e98926f1922fde5d8bcb5007c84034a3bfe6a3e8c70a9b4ce570f34b6",
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    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T21:11:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T21:21:28.778Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-04T21:32:24.825Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-4766d0504814",
     "display_name": "Benfica — Lech Poznań",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
    "outcome_label": "Benfica over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.55",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5589",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T21:18:39.782Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5589,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T21:11:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T21:21:28.778Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
     "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.55",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 2.5: Benfica over 2.5 at 1.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5919276ad685c81357f488b15db79234efe0366ad98222f9812250150bb86f0a",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
      "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-14T23:08:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T23:10:02.684Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d7f0b1f6126fddfeb393204b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jugada recomendada MLB | Hits totales por jugador: 1+ Jackson Chourio – Cuota 1.50 (-200)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T22:03:35.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T22:10:03.079Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d009b96616ac25a0beb32d1d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Juega ya MLB | Totales: Menos de 7.5 – Cuota 1.80 (-125)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T22:03:35.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T22:10:03.079Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2046294b48e183d5aa786522",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jugada recomendada Primera Argentina | Primer gol: River Plate – Cuota 1.50 (-200)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:11:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:16.698Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-abd0e69488e5512c4f03f12b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Juega ya Primera Argentina | 1×2: Sarmiento vs. River Plate – Cuota 1.71 (-140)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:11:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:16.698Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 70,
  "before_kickoff": 70,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 70,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 28.2,
  "min_hours": 18.2,
  "max_hours": 57.8,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
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  "picks": 41,
  "settled_picks_all": 51,
  "excluded": {
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   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 410000,
  "author_net_hundredths": 13287,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 25723,
  "difference_hundredths": -12436,
  "author_return_percent": 3.24,
  "favourite_return_percent": 6.27,
  "author_hit_rate": 61.0,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 63.4,
  "picked_favourite_share": 82.9,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
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    "staked_hundredths": 230000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -10048,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 10252,
    "author_hits": 13,
    "favourite_hits": 14,
    "picked_favourite": 22,
    "author_return_percent": -4.37,
    "favourite_return_percent": 4.46
   },
   {
    "market_code": "both_teams_score",
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    "staked_hundredths": 120000,
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    "picked_favourite": 10,
    "author_return_percent": -5.83,
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   },
   {
    "market_code": "total",
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    "staked_hundredths": 60000,
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    "picked_favourite": 2,
    "author_return_percent": 50.56,
    "favourite_return_percent": -20.61
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
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   },
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   {
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-25T00:00:00.000Z",
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   {
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   },
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   },
   {
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   },
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z",
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 31015
   },
   {
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 10008,
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13287,
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   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 178,
  "pages": 10,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/2/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/3/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/4/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/5/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/6/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/7/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/8/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/9/",
   "/authors/italo-verde/picks/10/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 54,
   "pending": 8,
   "excluded": 116
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
  "current": true
 },
 "title_tag": "Italo Verde Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
  "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=51&odds=1.83&roi=-5.0&src=record",
  "n": 51,
  "odds": "1.83",
  "roi": "-5.0",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price"
 },
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-163b984fd43241bfc1e90387",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Italo Verde",
  "main_entity": "e-163b984fd43241bfc1e90387",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-163b984fd43241bfc1e90387",
    "medium": "MasterBets365 Blog — Pronósticos",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "blog.masterbets365.com",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "Italo Verde",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 296,
     "predictions": 178,
     "settled_picks": 51,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -4.99,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-14",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 51,
   "matches": 33,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-15",
   "period_to": "2026-11-07",
   "composition_hash": "9a9a7d6f8bdaf0a6871f8544af50e96ccda772d1c05d6ec087387b9ba99940b3"
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  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-d33519c1ee45ce741623",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.75",
    "settled_picks": 50,
    "matches": 32,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2935bc97a05fe534a43c0e2ae87e2390612a51f76a45cd9593b703a25737f748",
    "text": "−5.75% on 50 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "-4.99",
    "settled_picks": 51,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "9a9a7d6f8bdaf0a6871f8544af50e96ccda772d1c05d6ec087387b9ba99940b3",
    "text": "−4.99% on 51 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
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   },
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  },
  {
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   "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "-7.45",
    "settled_picks": 48,
    "matches": 31,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6d88604d433a7e980c8d941770eaf64250180b371163564f4907813d18ed1452",
    "text": "−7.45% on 48 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.75",
    "settled_picks": 50,
    "matches": 32,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2935bc97a05fe534a43c0e2ae87e2390612a51f76a45cd9593b703a25737f748",
    "text": "−5.75% on 50 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-6ed6da2a2c02d2c82411",
   "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.2",
    "return_percent": "-8.55",
    "settled_picks": 43,
    "matches": 28,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "5cea2f23d32060db417b583b1fef3db49f389caa9d9ceb9555e2fe4bc40ef28d",
    "text": "−8.55% on 43 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
    "return_percent": "-7.45",
    "settled_picks": 48,
    "matches": 31,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6d88604d433a7e980c8d941770eaf64250180b371163564f4907813d18ed1452",
    "text": "−7.45% on 48 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 5,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-246ded1b34a11d8313fb",
   "at": "2026-11-02T06:35:47.812Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-02.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
    "return_percent": "-11.73",
    "settled_picks": 42,
    "matches": 27,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "112ff280ce0605c9dfc0fa89498d9cd1cc45c019be51444a5bdb3b9631821aea",
    "text": "−11.73% on 42 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.2",
    "return_percent": "-8.55",
    "settled_picks": 43,
    "matches": 28,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "5cea2f23d32060db417b583b1fef3db49f389caa9d9ceb9555e2fe4bc40ef28d",
    "text": "−8.55% on 43 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-f19a25aa4ba50fa06c96",
   "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
    "return_percent": "-9.58",
    "settled_picks": 41,
    "matches": 26,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fb4684db8e1324ce058f8f34789b28684b95c2c6034187db8c34a5628de15173",
    "text": "−9.58% on 41 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
    "return_percent": "-11.73",
    "settled_picks": 42,
    "matches": 27,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "112ff280ce0605c9dfc0fa89498d9cd1cc45c019be51444a5bdb3b9631821aea",
    "text": "−11.73% on 42 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-432ac19f7f02d570c26c",
   "at": "2026-11-01T06:32:40.816Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-9.93",
    "settled_picks": 37,
    "matches": 24,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dca2154b096c49f4ac8bae9dfa5c5927829b19df5682508d48ba4be171d56ffb",
    "text": "−9.93% on 37 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
    "return_percent": "-9.58",
    "settled_picks": 41,
    "matches": 26,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fb4684db8e1324ce058f8f34789b28684b95c2c6034187db8c34a5628de15173",
    "text": "−9.58% on 41 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-712073e8f361bb847fd6",
   "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-8.47",
    "settled_picks": 33,
    "matches": 22,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dae30ffa17f5c681b149cceaa9e36be6f927ed048510e6c34084cea98cdeaca1",
    "text": "−8.47% on 33 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-9.93",
    "settled_picks": 37,
    "matches": 24,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dca2154b096c49f4ac8bae9dfa5c5927829b19df5682508d48ba4be171d56ffb",
    "text": "−9.93% on 37 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-a2816769d385f6c54d77",
   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.58",
    "settled_picks": 30,
    "matches": 20,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "b514ca71a05158c7d158ceb622a01c1a3e4a02f373a4e61fc476463caf34d437",
    "text": "−13.58% on 30 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-8.47",
    "settled_picks": 33,
    "matches": 22,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dae30ffa17f5c681b149cceaa9e36be6f927ed048510e6c34084cea98cdeaca1",
    "text": "−8.47% on 33 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-3d57f646af1169dfa4ef",
   "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "-14.74",
    "settled_picks": 29,
    "matches": 19,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "b436ad4ba829d71a64d7c0efb0c9b2ab9d16774e2fc4a7027d89205608defae0",
    "text": "−14.74% on 29 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.58",
    "settled_picks": 30,
    "matches": 20,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "b514ca71a05158c7d158ceb622a01c1a3e4a02f373a4e61fc476463caf34d437",
    "text": "−13.58% on 30 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-30da5c7912a95a8288b7",
   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-6.37",
    "settled_picks": 19,
    "matches": 13,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8d026df8e0547bdb3e6475e6ae3358abe921d692d3f092520530b41d301df113",
    "text": "−6.37% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "-14.74",
    "settled_picks": 29,
    "matches": 19,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "b436ad4ba829d71a64d7c0efb0c9b2ab9d16774e2fc4a7027d89205608defae0",
    "text": "−14.74% on 29 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "10 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 10,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-85259f5b0aa8f33a959b",
   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-25.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.93",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e35fa213456d026b4e817e8c83600b4df7e4662f16a45257e9eb2a1825fcbc11",
    "text": "−10.93% on 14 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-6.37",
    "settled_picks": 19,
    "matches": 13,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8d026df8e0547bdb3e6475e6ae3358abe921d692d3f092520530b41d301df113",
    "text": "−6.37% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 5,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-6a1edac16e80824667ec",
   "at": "2026-10-25T03:14:21.528Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-25.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-1.27",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2040550ab2a6f14cf4aed55bd471a258171228f3a9c12a7fa55e80031b22999b",
    "text": "−1.27% on 11 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-25.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.93",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e35fa213456d026b4e817e8c83600b4df7e4662f16a45257e9eb2a1825fcbc11",
    "text": "−10.93% on 14 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-42101bd946aa1e608b9a",
   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "-33.81",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c7beb943e0c46306f01ac8a87572ba21ffb52e49e625607158265f56a4401899",
    "text": "−270.45 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-1.27",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2040550ab2a6f14cf4aed55bd471a258171228f3a9c12a7fa55e80031b22999b",
    "text": "−1.27% on 11 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-40d2bbb22b2ee883b1aa",
   "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
    "return_percent": "-40.16",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f61ac034a50973b6d4c7faed800c37d97a242cedf0a1cfad11c1385fb7e5a0d9",
    "text": "−240.95 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "-33.81",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c7beb943e0c46306f01ac8a87572ba21ffb52e49e625607158265f56a4401899",
    "text": "−270.45 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-de2c5378c5cd630c4fa9",
   "at": "2026-10-22T18:00:17.739Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-28.19",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ddc814c89549ae2a24e4402f9cc914cf7775b5751339583e34380e9cadb2bb38",
    "text": "−140.95 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
    "return_percent": "-40.16",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f61ac034a50973b6d4c7faed800c37d97a242cedf0a1cfad11c1385fb7e5a0d9",
    "text": "−240.95 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-cd6140565e3e9f977058",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.2",
    "return_percent": "-10.24",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "57763141602f132ef6e27dde5bc7ac8f2d86c92c4853eac89fdba9898b3d9b48",
    "text": "−40.95 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-28.19",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ddc814c89549ae2a24e4402f9cc914cf7775b5751339583e34380e9cadb2bb38",
    "text": "−140.95 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-ab0b9811f20e9c7f13c1",
   "at": "2026-10-22T05:56:36.122Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
   "url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
    "return_percent": "-48.65",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "f13352039b9f66b8b646377c63cd1e70e5a5292d573e3b0f2ba12b2d06d8418b",
    "text": "−145.95 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "text": "−40.95 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−45.95 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−145.95 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "f3887c8461e69f0152eee07c689274975605e6afcc151bf212e263d8f22fbbca",
    "text": "+54.05 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "text": "−45.95 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "composition_hash": "f3887c8461e69f0152eee07c689274975605e6afcc151bf212e263d8f22fbbca",
    "text": "+54.05 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "current_predictions": {
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  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
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    "match": "Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "MLS",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.43",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:31:12.962Z",
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-eac7f104af9cfcdc78c9be69",
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    "match": "Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "MLS",
    "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Columbus Crew at 1.66",
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   {
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T03:10:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Liga MX",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.5",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:31:14.486Z",
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-5d8f4933ef1d48c1d2be6533",
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    "match": "U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Club America",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T03:10:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Liga MX",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: Club America at 2.12",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "match": "Elche v Real Betis",
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    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Betis at 2.12",
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   {
    "record_id": "n-90147cdc1332d9b490898ab9",
    "url": "/authors/italo-verde/picks/10/#pick-n-90147cdc1332d9b490898ab9",
    "match": "Ñublense v Colo-Colo",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/nublense-vs-colo-colo-2026-11-08/",
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    "competition": "Primera División (Chile)",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
    "record_id": "n-8a73ea4a555145534df787a0",
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    "match": "Univ. Concepción v O'Higgins",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T23:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Primera División (Chile)",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
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    ],
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