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 "heading": "Ian Wilkerson: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "37 settled picks by Ian Wilkerson archived before kick-off across 31 matches, 1 Sep 2024 – 27 Apr 2026: −8.0% reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 37 settled archived picks by Ian Wilkerson from copies archived before kick-off, across 31 matches between 1 September 2024 and 27 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −8.0% on the total staked. Recorded by us before kick-off: 2 predictions, 2 with a checked outcome, 1 won. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Ian Wilkerson, 2 were recorded by us before kick-off, 72 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 61 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−8.0%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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  "live_count": 0,
  "restored_count": 69,
  "of_them_archived": 36
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79",
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 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/index.json",
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  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
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 ],
 "modules": {
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  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
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  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
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 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79",
  "public_name": "Ian Wilkerson",
  "tracker_number": 1494,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
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   "until": "2026-10-30"
  },
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    "medium": "website",
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 },
 "headline_number": {
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   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
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  "odds_from_author": null,
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 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000,
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  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
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  "accepted": 94,
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  "predictions_restored": 133,
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   "quote_text": "Bournemouth\n1pt 23-20 Betfair",
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   "source_info": {
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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   "observation_id": "n-7607720d9aece2b96c929f2d",
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   "fragment_from": 3458,
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   "source_info": {
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   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   },
   "settlements": [],
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    "closing": "3.1550",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    {
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "observation_id": "n-149ddfec8f25c2ea2ee117cb",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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   "published_at": "2024-09-28T14:03:19.000Z",
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   "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
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    "closing": "1.8300",
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   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
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   "provenance": "restored_archive",
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   "dates": {
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Aston Villa over 1.5"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Ipswich Town 2-2 Aston Villa."
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   "settlements": [
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Aston Villa over 1.5",
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     "status": "confirmed",
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    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/ipswich-vs-aston-villa-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a1Bmn2U0v4N6/",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-1dd4554a8319a04e537e824a",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/8/#pick-n-1dd4554a8319a04e537e824a",
   "quote_text": "Aston Villa\n2pts 19-20 bet365",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240928170349id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/ipswich-vs-aston-villa-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a1Bmn2U0v4N6/",
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    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
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   },
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   },
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   "author_claim": {
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    "in_words": "Draw no bet: Aston Villa at 1.95"
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     "site_simulation": true,
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  {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8c065eaf2f8849ea702f36ff",
   "quote_text": "Match prediction & best bet\n\nChelsea-Chelsea double result\n1pt 5-4 bet365",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/8/#pick-n-9ee3b8caf021b12a98411130",
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241005143211id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/chelsea-vs-nottingham-forest-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a3f2a1A86Z6y/",
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   },
   "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
   "outcome_label": "Chelsea win, both teams to score: yes",
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    "closing": "2.8700",
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   },
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 2 Oct 2026",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "Chelsea win, both teams to score: yes",
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    "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Chelsea win, both teams to score: yes"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
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    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/chelsea-vs-nottingham-forest-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-a3f2a1A86Z6y/",
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   },
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  },
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   "quote_text": "Pays out at 6-1 with Paddy Power",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-4cc62a445caad41b8faabeef",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-aad1237a7f38dde4783dce91",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:32.256Z",
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   "dates": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "quote_text": "Fulham 21-20\nBrentford 5-2\nDraw 14-5",
   "fragment_from": 1812,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-e32a82da600e6b7e5954c2d7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e32a82da600e6b7e5954c2d7",
   "quote_text": "Place any bet on Fulham vs Brentford with Sky Bet and claim £40 in free football bets.",
   "fragment_from": 1090,
   "fragment_to": 1176,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "observation_id": "n-6d4dc2ce96f41896657a51fb",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/7/#pick-n-6d4dc2ce96f41896657a51fb",
   "quote_text": "Under 4.5 Brentford corners\nBrentford have forced an average of just 3.25 corners per away game, the lowest figure in the Premier League",
   "fragment_from": 5647,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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  },
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   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/7/#pick-n-994c2434dc0c5c08f2b86fce",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6d2407dbb3f49767add301fd",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/7/#pick-n-6d2407dbb3f49767add301fd",
   "quote_text": "Over 2.5 goals\nThere have been at least three goals in seven of Brentford's last eight games and this pattern looks set to continue",
   "fragment_from": 5355,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241103232807id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/fulham-vs-brentford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aGZE90D5NYwD/",
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   "published_at": "2024-11-03T14:01:06.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:32.256Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.417Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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    "competition_name": "Premier League",
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    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": "1.7200",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 7200,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-03T23:28:07.000Z",
   "dates": {
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:32.256Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
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    "market_key": "total",
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    "line": "2.5",
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   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fulham 2-1 Brentford."
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   "settlements": [
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     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.7200",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
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     "status": "confirmed",
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     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.417Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "publisher": "racingpost.com",
    "forecaster": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/fulham-vs-brentford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aGZE90D5NYwD/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-690c79a6ee2860c73cfc28e3",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/7/#pick-n-690c79a6ee2860c73cfc28e3",
   "quote_text": "Over 3.5 goals\n1pt 13-8 Hills",
   "fragment_from": 1471,
   "fragment_to": 1500,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
   "published_at": "2024-11-03T14:01:06.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:32.256Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:36.408Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.7800",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
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   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   "dates": {
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:32.256Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-03T23:28:07.000Z",
    "flags": [],
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "quote_text": "Place any bet on Sheffield United vs Sheffield Wednesday with Sky Bet and claim £40 in free football",
   "fragment_from": 1169,
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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  {
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   "author_claim": {
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/aston-villa-vs-brentford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-tc999-aGYjU2g2R7n9/",
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     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "observation_id": "n-99dec5d2804ebc91fe2d96f7",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/6/#pick-n-99dec5d2804ebc91fe2d96f7",
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   "fragment_from": 1336,
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   "source_info": {
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-75886c2dd0267871ac8caf0e",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/6/#pick-n-75886c2dd0267871ac8caf0e",
   "quote_text": "Manchester City Women to win & both teams to score vs Hammarby Women\nDAZN, 5.45pm Thursday\n1pt 7-5 bet365",
   "fragment_from": 1229,
   "fragment_to": 1334,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/womens-champions-league/thursdays-womens-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-abfy44e9FLcA/",
    "display_name": null,
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:41:06.797Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:41:06.797Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1a2796e2400e6f966c61e025",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1a2796e2400e6f966c61e025",
   "quote_text": "Five of the last six meetings have featured fewer than three goals",
   "fragment_from": 3593,
   "fragment_to": 3659,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/sheffield-united-vs-watford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-auJ6M8E3qxLl/",
    "display_name": null,
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:53.731Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4f4a700cde04b5eca4b60c6d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4f4a700cde04b5eca4b60c6d",
   "quote_text": "Daniel Jebbison could be involved after joining on loan from Bournemouth but Imran Louza and Kevin Keben have been ruled out.",
   "fragment_from": 3786,
   "fragment_to": 3911,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:53.731Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-5d2d1e87b71a1ac6a3e0f141",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5d2d1e87b71a1ac6a3e0f141",
   "quote_text": "The Blades will be without Femi Seriki and Jamie Shackleton",
   "fragment_from": 3717,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/sheffield-united-vs-watford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-auJ6M8E3qxLl/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
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   },
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:53.731Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-bcb829672ff0d8e7b97f569d",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/6/#pick-n-bcb829672ff0d8e7b97f569d",
   "quote_text": "A draw would be a good result and as this fixture tends to feature tight matches, it would not be a shock if honours ended even.",
   "fragment_from": 3453,
   "fragment_to": 3581,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/sheffield-united-vs-watford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-auJ6M8E3qxLl/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
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    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "344f8aefc719a8a285d58fb26075d2acce6a81092d66dddf1e3cead4f9ce9272",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:53.731Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:52.204Z",
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Sheffield United v Watford",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2024-09-01T14:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-0"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "draw",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "3.8000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-08-31T15:47:39.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-08-31T14:39:10.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:53.731Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-08-31T15:47:39.000Z",
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "draw",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "X",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sheffield United 1-0 Watford."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "67138c5ed53e9e7b312c518c5b8a147e6eaedd2a95123447f51b93a6ffb22e63",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.8000",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:52.204Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "publisher": "racingpost.com",
    "forecaster": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/sheffield-united-vs-watford-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-auJ6M8E3qxLl/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e85e8292f913e69c127531f4",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/6/#pick-n-e85e8292f913e69c127531f4",
   "quote_text": "Over 3.5 goals in Manchester United v Bournemouth\n1pt 6-4 Hills",
   "fragment_from": 1541,
   "fragment_to": 1604,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-predictions-football-betting-tips-and-free-bets-for-sundays-2pm-kick-offs-tc999-aJ6jl3Q557iF/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "unknown",
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    "bundle_id": "360f27ee20dc7bdc14cec034d38cd2e6f22f84cf2733ae64e662a3c4dfbd48ca",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2024-12-21T16:39:24.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:11.633Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:48.993Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth",
    "competition_name": "Premier League",
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     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:47.738Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Racing Post Sport Staff",
    "publisher": "racingpost.com",
    "forecaster": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "matches_source",
    "status_words": "Named in the source as the tipster",
    "status_note": null,
    "evidence_fragment": "Verdict by Ian Wilkerson",
    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-match-predictions-odds-tips-a0NtG4q7OaCN/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "verdict_line": "Racing Post, verdict by Ian Wilkerson"
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d1eb034eeb41d3ad17939d3c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d1eb034eeb41d3ad17939d3c",
   "quote_text": "Tottenham boosted their own chances as they recovered to beat Aston Villa 4-1 in yesterday’s earlier kick-off.",
   "fragment_from": 2401,
   "fragment_to": 2511,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-aQGGu3n4dhEa/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "36becbb3871f971e3fd76f030a0157d48fd46d484ea003c51b4a9815eea7feb1",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-03T19:12:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a237da768027957f93291a2a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a237da768027957f93291a2a",
   "quote_text": "Yesterday’s stalemate at Old Trafford, in which Bruno Fernandes scored from the spot before a Moises Caicedo equaliser",
   "fragment_from": 1802,
   "fragment_to": 1920,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-aQGGu3n4dhEa/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "36becbb3871f971e3fd76f030a0157d48fd46d484ea003c51b4a9815eea7feb1",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-03T19:12:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-78196706072125d8e38f6b59",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-78196706072125d8e38f6b59",
   "quote_text": "Champions City remain 6-4 favourites despite their 2-1 loss at Bournemouth",
   "fragment_from": 1648,
   "fragment_to": 1722,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-aQGGu3n4dhEa/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "36becbb3871f971e3fd76f030a0157d48fd46d484ea003c51b4a9815eea7feb1",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-03T19:12:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ea65398bd99b786a79d6f4ad",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ea65398bd99b786a79d6f4ad",
   "quote_text": "Chelsea missed the opportunity to put themselves firmly in the Premier League title race yesterday when they settled for a 1-1 draw at Manchester United.",
   "fragment_from": 1193,
   "fragment_to": 1346,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-aQGGu3n4dhEa/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "36becbb3871f971e3fd76f030a0157d48fd46d484ea003c51b4a9815eea7feb1",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-03T19:12:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:52.823Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9733683105e4c059303e2987",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9733683105e4c059303e2987",
   "quote_text": "They are 5-4 from 11-8 to retain their title, while Liverpool can be backed at 5-2 as they leapfrogged",
   "fragment_from": 1884,
   "fragment_to": 1986,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-acevF2x4iHuA/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "2b002ae5af0a80e69c9b50181c4a020c4a071c817cbfe81b42c08cd0ecf2d036",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:51.663Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-27T19:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:51.663Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-06d75f422157ccb437be265f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-06d75f422157ccb437be265f",
   "quote_text": "The Gunners have been pushed out to 11-4 from 2-1 for the title by bet365 as a key opportunity",
   "fragment_from": 1399,
   "fragment_to": 1493,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-latest-news-odds-and-reaction-acevF2x4iHuA/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "2b002ae5af0a80e69c9b50181c4a020c4a071c817cbfe81b42c08cd0ecf2d036",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:51.663Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-27T19:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:39:51.663Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 20,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": {
  "titles": [],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 2,
    "body": "2 recorded before kick-off · since 31 Oct 2026"
   },
   {
    "portion": "archived",
    "n": 40,
    "body": "40 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2026"
   },
   {
    "portion": "found_after",
    "n": 34,
    "body": "34 found after the match"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 12 matches",
    "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 6/12 (12 matches); Goals over/under 7/12 (11 matches); Bet-builder combos 0/5 (5 matches); Team goals and win to nil 4/6 (5 matches); Both teams to score 1/3 (3 matches); Corners and cards 1/2 (2 matches); Correct score 0/1 (1 match); Double chance and draw no bet 0/1 (1 match)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-01",
    "body": "Exact scores · 0/1",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "display_name": "Exact scores",
    "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-01",
    "body": "Minority calls · 0/1",
    "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Minority calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 2.07 · 7 Nov 2024",
    "details_words": "Galatasaray v Tottenham Hotspur · Home win at 2.07 (archive closing price)",
    "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/8/#pick-n-4ca887f5b06b21cc71deae64",
    "provenance": "archived",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   }
  ],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Home win at 4.28 · Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester United · 26 Dec 2024 · archive record · removed 19 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-19",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 46,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 27,
  "found_post_match": 19,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 28,
  "span_from": "2024-09-01",
  "span_to": "2026-05-03",
  "line_text": "restored history: 46, of which pre-match archive 27",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, Champions League and Europa League matches between 1 September 2024 and 3 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 46. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 27. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 19. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 45,
   "share": "0.4222"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 28,
    "roi": "-36.0746",
    "ci_low": "-72.3214",
    "ci_high": "6.7308",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 15,
    "roi": "16.5573",
    "ci_low": "-38.2114",
    "ci_high": "68.8993",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 40,
    "roi": "-10.4375",
    "ci_low": "-40.6750",
    "ci_high": "19.7674",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 31 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 15 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 7,
    "above": 3,
    "above_share_percent": "42.9",
    "below": 3,
    "within": 1,
    "median_difference_percent": "2.2",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +2.2% over 7 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/2/#pick-n-743a0215f5ef3a5ac66538c7",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "3.25",
    "market": "2.75",
    "difference_percent": "18.2"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/2/#pick-n-73d6abb4ec6f2c9fb007bfce",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.05",
    "market": "1.86",
    "difference_percent": "10.3"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "racingpost.com",
   "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-match-predictions-odds-tips-aPtfd6P96lUj/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-30",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 37,
  "matches": 31,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -29650,
  "staked_hundredths": 370000,
  "return_percent": "-8.01",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2024-09-01",
  "period_to": "2026-04-27",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 37 settled archived picks by Ian Wilkerson from copies archived before kick-off, across 31 matches between 1 September 2024 and 27 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −8.0% on the total staked. Recorded by us before kick-off: 2 predictions, 2 with a checked outcome, 1 won. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Ian Wilkerson, 2 were recorded by us before kick-off, 72 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 61 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "37",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "31",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−296.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "−8.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −40.5% to +23.1%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "This page combines Ian Wilkerson across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Ian Wilkerson publishes”.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2024-09-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-09-14",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-09-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21050,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-09-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12750,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-10-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13350,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -16150,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5450,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-11-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15450,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-12-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6050,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2024-12-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1050,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-01-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11050,
    "n": 15
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-02-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -31050,
    "n": 17
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-02-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -41050,
    "n": 18
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-03-09",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18550,
    "n": 20
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-03-16",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10300,
    "n": 21
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-04-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20300,
    "n": 22
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-05-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15450,
    "n": 25
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-05-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25450,
    "n": 26
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-09-14",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35450,
    "n": 27
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-09-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55450,
    "n": 29
   },
   {
    "date": "2025-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23700,
    "n": 32
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-01-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -33700,
    "n": 33
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-02-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -39450,
    "n": 35
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-04-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35550,
    "n": 36
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-04-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -29650,
    "n": 37
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 37,
    "matches": 31,
    "match_dates": 25,
    "period_from": "2024-09-01",
    "period_to": "2026-04-27",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -29650,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-09-28",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55450,
     "after_picks": 29
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2024-12-29",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1050,
     "after_picks": 14
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2024-09-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-09-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-09-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21050,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-09-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12750,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-10-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13350,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -16150,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5450,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15450,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-12-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6050,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-12-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1050,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11050,
      "n": 15,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-02-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -31050,
      "n": 17,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-02-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -41050,
      "n": 18,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-03-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18550,
      "n": 20,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-03-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10300,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-04-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20300,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-05-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15450,
      "n": 25,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-05-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25450,
      "n": 26,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35450,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55450,
      "n": 29,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23700,
      "n": 32,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-01-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -33700,
      "n": 33,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -39450,
      "n": 35,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35550,
      "n": 36,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -29650,
      "n": 37,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 37 settled archived picks by Ian Wilkerson from copies archived before kick-off, across 31 matches between 1 September 2024 and 27 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −8.0% on the total staked. Recorded by us before kick-off: 2 predictions, 2 with a checked outcome, 1 won. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Ian Wilkerson, 2 were recorded by us before kick-off, 72 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 61 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 135,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 74,
   "proven_checked": 42,
   "proven_measured": 37,
   "proven_dates": 27,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 2,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null,
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 2,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 72,
     "checked": 40,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 37,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 31,
      "net_points_hundredths": -29650,
      "staked_hundredths": 370000,
      "return_percent": "-8.01",
      "interval_low": "-40.54",
      "interval_high": "23.12",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2024-09-01",
      "period_to": "2026-04-27",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 24,
       "return_main_percent": "-30.31",
       "return_other_percent": "-32.54",
       "settled_excluding_void": 24,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -72750,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -78100,
       "period_from": "2024-09-14",
       "period_to": "2026-02-11"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 9,
       "return_main_percent": "30.44",
       "return_other_percent": "30.09",
       "settled_excluding_void": 9,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 27400,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 27080,
       "period_from": "2025-02-01",
       "period_to": "2026-04-27"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 40,
      "priced": 37
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 37,
      "won": 18,
      "won_percent": "48.6",
      "implied_percent": "46.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 12,
        "implied_percent": "54.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "43.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "50.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "35.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "54.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "38.3"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 61,
     "checked": 35,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 28,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 27,
      "net_points_hundredths": -68750,
      "staked_hundredths": 280000,
      "return_percent": "-24.55",
      "interval_low": "-61.93",
      "interval_high": "16.09",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2024-08-31",
      "period_to": "2026-05-03",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 24,
       "return_main_percent": "-20.52",
       "return_other_percent": "-16.17",
       "settled_excluding_void": 24,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -49250,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -38809,
       "period_from": "2024-08-31",
       "period_to": "2026-03-21"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 6,
       "return_main_percent": "7.42",
       "return_other_percent": "6.44",
       "settled_excluding_void": 6,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 4450,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 3866,
       "period_from": "2025-02-15",
       "period_to": "2026-05-03"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 35,
      "priced": 28
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 28,
      "won": 10,
      "won_percent": "35.7",
      "implied_percent": "42.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "43.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "35.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "45.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "42.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "58.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "39.1"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": {
   "predictions": 2,
   "checked": 2,
   "settled": 0,
   "won": 0,
   "void": 0,
   "checked_won": 1,
   "checked_settled": 2,
   "threshold": 10,
   "text": "Recorded by us before kick-off: 2 predictions, 2 with a checked outcome, 1 won."
  },
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  "interval_low": "-40.54",
  "interval_high": "23.12",
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 1 September 2024 – 27 April 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2024-08-31",
  "record_to": "2026-10-30"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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    "field": "line sign",
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    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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   "kickoff": "2025-05-11T13:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
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   "author_said": "Over/Under 9.5 corners: under 9.5",
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   "group": "settled",
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     "choice": "under 9.5",
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     {
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      "field_name": "line sign",
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      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
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    ],
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     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-21T15:42:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:12.180Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d1e666b61d89ffb491d080e4",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bayern Munich to win & over 2.5 goals\n2pts 5-6 BoyleSports",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-21T15:42:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:12.180Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 94,
  "before_kickoff": 2,
  "after_kickoff": 92,
  "at_least_2h": 2,
  "share_2h_plus": 2.1,
  "median_hours": 21.7,
  "min_hours": 21.7,
  "max_hours": 21.7,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 135,
  "pages": 8,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/4/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/5/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/6/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/7/",
   "/authors/ian-wilkerson/picks/8/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 75,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 60
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Ian Wilkerson Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Ian Wilkerson",
  "main_entity": "e-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79",
  "identity": {
   "status": "verified_identity",
   "is_verified": true,
   "when": "2026-10-11",
   "source_list": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
     "what": "«Ian Wilkerson has tipped on sport for the Racing Post since 2006 covering football, NFL and golf primarily…» До этого — футбольный репортёр Watford Observer, Swindon Advertiser, Nottingham Post, писа"
    }
   ]
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79",
    "medium": "Racing Post",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "racingpost.com",
    "source_info": "racing-post",
    "byline": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "url": "/sources/racing-post/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 364,
     "predictions": 127,
     "settled_picks": 33,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
     "return_percent": -14.76,
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-10-30"
    }
   },
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-4d9fc1492a1d2bba801667fc",
    "medium": "LiveScore",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "livescore.com",
    "source_info": "livescore",
    "byline": "Ian Wilkerson",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 23,
     "predictions": 8,
     "settled_picks": 4,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
     "return_percent": 47.62,
     "headline_part": "archived",
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 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
  "updated": "2026-11-03",
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  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
  "sample": {
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 },
 "number_changes": [
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    "text": "−7.01% on 38 settled picks across 32 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
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    "text": "−8.01% on 37 settled picks across 31 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
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    "text": "−0.17% on 42 settled picks across 36 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "8b8861507de560275141cd58b5101fd274a3dd9432fc6c789fb0a938f8605d69",
    "text": "−7.01% on 38 settled picks across 32 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.",
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    "composition_hash": "8b8861507de560275141cd58b5101fd274a3dd9432fc6c789fb0a938f8605d69",
    "text": "−7.01% on 38 settled picks across 32 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
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   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
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    "composition_hash": "b39f143640ebce4db3d4db5a01026dbf2853b6ddc645228503e579239d401605",
    "text": "−2.49% on 43 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
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   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "8b8861507de560275141cd58b5101fd274a3dd9432fc6c789fb0a938f8605d69",
    "text": "−7.01% on 38 settled picks across 32 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.",
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    "composition_hash": "62087febdf0a09ceda95c1c26f3f366135a021855a71423588ea555b288e2e57",
    "text": "+9.91% on 32 settled picks across 26 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "b39f143640ebce4db3d4db5a01026dbf2853b6ddc645228503e579239d401605",
    "text": "−2.49% on 43 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 11 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "cf55384c2d13fb103bc3ce86877c5353df8cc2c9f18caae78a659bd8ebcf10b3",
    "text": "+6.58% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.5",
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "62087febdf0a09ceda95c1c26f3f366135a021855a71423588ea555b288e2e57",
    "text": "+9.91% on 32 settled picks across 26 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-14T02:20:02.267Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-14.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.7",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "2.37",
    "settled_picks": 31,
    "matches": 26,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "f43e9ee36e4077491b9bf5e6bd960bc4849eabe403ca0714285e0e938f30a6b4",
    "text": "+2.37% on 31 settled picks across 26 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-14.1",
    "return_percent": "6.58",
    "settled_picks": 33,
    "matches": 27,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "cf55384c2d13fb103bc3ce86877c5353df8cc2c9f18caae78a659bd8ebcf10b3",
    "text": "+6.58% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: line sign (2 picks); 2 picks added.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
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  {
   "id": "zc-fa36675e334ff06bd801",
   "at": "2026-10-13T14:04:45.283Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-13.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.2",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "-4.33",
    "settled_picks": 27,
    "matches": 22,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "56dd35c6f420727009e6bb88c25e3ced00952a73c464ccd8603c23856678a5bd",
    "text": "−4.33% on 27 settled picks across 22 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.3",
    "return_percent": "2.37",
    "settled_picks": 31,
    "matches": 26,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "f43e9ee36e4077491b9bf5e6bd960bc4849eabe403ca0714285e0e938f30a6b4",
    "text": "+2.37% on 31 settled picks across 26 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  },
  {
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   "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
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    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "cd6c29a4966d03bff154bb346c8a24cc7f5192379bb41a9005a5d32ddafb3a71",
    "text": "−19.76% on 39 settled picks across 34 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "-4.33",
    "settled_picks": 27,
    "matches": 22,
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    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "56dd35c6f420727009e6bb88c25e3ced00952a73c464ccd8603c23856678a5bd",
    "text": "−4.33% on 27 settled picks across 22 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (39 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (27 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
   "url": "/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "8a0e8a74f11a6239dee1853557454a88113f3ebb0b733897e1d02dbf54cc950f",
    "text": "+5.27% on 24 settled picks across 20 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-19.76",
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    "matches": 34,
    "void": 0,
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    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "cd6c29a4966d03bff154bb346c8a24cc7f5192379bb41a9005a5d32ddafb3a71",
    "text": "−19.76% on 39 settled picks across 34 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 15 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
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  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 135 predictions · last change 30 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ian-wilkerson/",
  "s": "2026-09-28",
  "prediction_count": 135,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-30",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ian-wilkerson/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 135 predictions · last change 30 October 2026</a>"
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 "colleagues": [
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   "source_name": "Racing Post",
   "source_url": "/sources/racing-post/",
   "label": "Also at Racing Post",
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 ],
 "author_type": "Pundit",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "24 records added on 28 Sep 2026 from archived copies; 23 records added on 28 Sep 2026 found after the match; 18 records added on 1 Oct 2026 found after the match; 44 more records added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 3,
  "last_correction_at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/",
  "text": "3 records shown here have been corrected; the last correction was on 3 November 2026, with its reason in the corrections log."
 },
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 "source_revision": 207,
 "related": [
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   "name": "Bankroll card — Ian Wilkerson",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-bec9826e6a67c6fdbb281f79-said-vs-happened/",
   "name": "Said → happened — Ian Wilkerson",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/for-authors/ian-wilkerson/",
   "name": "Your record on Forecast Record: Ian Wilkerson",
   "detail": null,
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 "number_sets": [
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   "value": 75,
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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  {
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  {
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  },
  {
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   "where": "trust-level",
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 ]
}