{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/higuain/", "canonical": "/authors/higuain/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Higuain: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Higuain: 49 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 49 statements by Higuain, including 15 predictions. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Higuain, 5 are linked to matches: 5 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "49", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 0, "date_count": 3, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:05:46.210Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "f18e45125411410c7cde3a6592344e1f37d3ba2af61d68c069e431d6e58174ed", "dependency_group": "author:e-a13de1c28156cdfa1ad09726", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/higuain/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/higuain/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a13de1c28156cdfa1ad09726", "public_name": "Higuain", "tracker_number": 5519, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-21", "until": "2026-10-29" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a13de1c28156cdfa1ad09726-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:05:46.210Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 49, "recognised": 15, "accepted": 5, "executed": 0, "calculated": 0, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 10 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 49, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 23, "not_about_a_match": 11, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 15, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 4, "admitted": 5, "qualifying_picks": 0, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 0, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 10 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-187a8f41fc0cbc24972ca301", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-187a8f41fc0cbc24972ca301", "quote_text": "Jeg tror, vi får en målrig kamp", "fragment_from": 2434, "fragment_to": 2465, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/hik-vs-nykoebing-fc-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8489dae2cea12d427ff1f83e7c6143fb2fc0386bb9632d59b31065e27443174e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-286fda69870b4478dafb9815", "url": "/authors/higuain/#pick-n-286fda69870b4478dafb9815", "quote_text": "Jeg tror, vi får en målrig kamp, og oddset er ret flot på over 2,5 og mål til begge mandskaber. Spilbar ned til 1,85.", "fragment_from": 2434, "fragment_to": 2551, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/hik-vs-nykoebing-fc-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8489dae2cea12d427ff1f83e7c6143fb2fc0386bb9632d59b31065e27443174e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8ff0bffcaace802b6bba342b", "url": "/authors/higuain/#pick-n-8ff0bffcaace802b6bba342b", "quote_text": "Jeg tror, vi får en målrig kamp, og oddset er ret flot på over 2,5 og mål til begge mandskaber. Spilbar ned til 1,85.", "fragment_from": 2434, "fragment_to": 2551, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/hik-vs-nykoebing-fc-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8489dae2cea12d427ff1f83e7c6143fb2fc0386bb9632d59b31065e27443174e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-50e1cb564ed8a34028efaf4d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-50e1cb564ed8a34028efaf4d", "quote_text": "Trods overtag mod Frem fik man blot 1-1, mens man tabte til Ishøj", "fragment_from": 1107, "fragment_to": 1172, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/helsingoer-vs-ringsted-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "95ff8950850f7c9dda39599d58ea09f21cdacac1d85e84857168c4779df9f8ec", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-788b733aab138f485e7c0a18", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-788b733aab138f485e7c0a18", "quote_text": "det ligner at Kisum er tilbage, mens Bror Blume også bør kunne spille flere kampminutter igen", "fragment_from": 736, "fragment_to": 829, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/helsingoer-vs-ringsted-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "95ff8950850f7c9dda39599d58ea09f21cdacac1d85e84857168c4779df9f8ec", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-1d47c1b21e8d92862b59577b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1d47c1b21e8d92862b59577b", "quote_text": "Alexander Pætreus er i karantæne, hvilket er en svækkelse af Helsingør-offensiven", "fragment_from": 649, "fragment_to": 730, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/helsingoer-vs-ringsted-30-okt-1900/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "95ff8950850f7c9dda39599d58ea09f21cdacac1d85e84857168c4779df9f8ec", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-28b51ce77b786984c1003f87", "url": "/authors/higuain/#pick-n-28b51ce77b786984c1003f87", "quote_text": "Sofia scorer mange mål i den hjemlige liga, men ligger kun nr. 2, fordi man også indkasserer en del. 27-9 i målscore for 11 kampe. De tabte seneste udekamp i Europa med 3-0 til OFI Kreta. En svær udebane og generelt har Sofia på stats været nedspillet i de fleste udekampe i europæisk regi.\n\nFCN kan godt dække linjen selv med deres giftige offensiv på den hurtige hjemmebane, men oven på en weekend, hvor man indkasserede tre gange mod Lyngby, så sikrer jeg mig mod mål i egen ende frem for handicaplinjen.", "fragment_from": 1485, "fragment_to": 1992, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/fc-nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-22-okt-1845/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ecd9907a7b8b1c5f78b3f17161227ab7862e42a4197cf266fab2f18bd9f55467", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:59:43.535Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-573dc7a531e0", "display_name": "Nordsjælland — CSKA Sofia", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:59:43.535Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nordsjælland 2-2 CSKA Sofia." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "25b630f1b032253682a0de4dcfd9467972dc83152dff7ecdc28239545fae249e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Higuain", "publisher": "SpilXperten", "forecaster": "Higuain", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/fc-nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-22-okt-1845/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "spilxperten.com", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/hik-vs-nykoebing-fc-30-okt-1900/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-21", "observed_to": "2026-10-29", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "10 predictions are in other markets and 5 predictions are unstaked", "reasons": [ { "code": "not_supported", "predictions": 10, "words": "other market" }, { "code": "not_checked", "predictions": 5, "words": "unstaked" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 49 statements by Higuain, including 15 predictions. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Higuain, 5 are linked to matches: 5 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "49", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "15", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 49 statements by Higuain, including 15 predictions. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Higuain, 5 are linked to matches: 5 were recorded by us before kick-off. 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"result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Higuain", "publisher": "SpilXperten", "forecaster": "Higuain", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/esbjerg-vs-fredericia-24-okt-1330/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Fredericia to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-28b51ce77b786984c1003f87", "url": "/authors/higuain/#pick-n-28b51ce77b786984c1003f87", "match": "Nordsjælland v CSKA Sofia", "match_url": "/football/matches/nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-2026-10-22/", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "lead_hours": 20.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T19:59:43.535Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-28b51ce77b786984c1003f87", "quote_text": "Sofia scorer mange mål i den hjemlige liga, men ligger kun nr. 2, fordi man også indkasserer en del. 27-9 i målscore for 11 kampe. De tabte seneste udekamp i Europa med 3-0 til OFI Kreta. En svær udebane og generelt har Sofia på stats været nedspillet i de fleste udekampe i europæisk regi.\n\nFCN kan godt dække linjen selv med deres giftige offensiv på den hurtige hjemmebane, men oven på en weekend, hvor man indkasserede tre gange mod Lyngby, så sikrer jeg mig mod mål i egen ende frem for handicaplinjen.", "fragment_from": 1485, "fragment_to": 1992, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/fc-nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-22-okt-1845/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Higuain", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ecd9907a7b8b1c5f78b3f17161227ab7862e42a4197cf266fab2f18bd9f55467", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:59:43.535Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-573dc7a531e0", "display_name": "Nordsjælland — CSKA Sofia", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-21T19:52:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:59:43.535Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nordsjælland 2-2 CSKA Sofia." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "25b630f1b032253682a0de4dcfd9467972dc83152dff7ecdc28239545fae249e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Higuain", "publisher": "SpilXperten", "forecaster": "Higuain", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/fc-nordsjaelland-vs-cska-sofia-22-okt-1845/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-286fda69870b4478dafb9815", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Jeg tror, vi får en målrig kamp, og oddset er ret flot på over 2,5 og mål til begge mandskaber. Spilbar ned til 1,85.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8ff0bffcaace802b6bba342b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Jeg tror, vi får en målrig kamp, og oddset er ret flot på over 2,5 og mål til begge mandskaber. Spilbar ned til 1,85.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:46:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T22:39:38.965Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6e9299201fa6aae4c14581e7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Jeg forestiller mig en mere sikker sejr her og har den spilbar ned til 1,68.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T21:26:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T21:29:38.048Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e8ecca88e4c09421ceb6aa84", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Spilbar ned til 2,00.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-27T10:12:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T10:57:38.368Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2a1973d7a73f00b11118038a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "En gentagelse på resultat er ikke utænkelig, og oddset er i den flotte ende. Spilbar ned til 2,75.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-27T09:34:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T09:49:35.850Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7245e7c22fe09480ef95e20b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Jeg går med handicaplinjen, som er endnu bedre i disse cupkampe, hvor man nede med en enkelt skal satse hele butikken.\n\nSpilbar ned til 2,15.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T21:00:15.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T22:09:50.710Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-614b5842439175ecc5407fba", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Spilbar ned til 1.58.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-25T21:11:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T21:49:34.180Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b99d7e9ba62d28365d6b82b1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Spilbar ned til 1,62.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T21:04:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T21:09:45.624Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7a6dc8454d2a6e055f94a0f1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Markedet er ret uenigt, men en del ligger i lejet omkring odds 2, og det er ganske enkelt for højt. Spilbar ned til 1,80.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T20:47:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T21:09:44.627Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c389efc64fb9befa2bc0c011", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Spilbar ned til 2,28.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T20:46:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T21:09:37.109Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 5, "before_kickoff": 5, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 5, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 14.2, "min_hours": 13.2, "max_hours": 20.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. 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