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 "heading": "Guillaume Issner: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "9 settled picks by Guillaume Issner recorded before kick-off across 8 matches, 17 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026: won 6 of 9 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Guillaume Issner before kick-off across 8 matches between 17 October and 6 November 2026. Won 6 of 9 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 70 predictions we hold for Guillaume Issner, 22 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "quote_text": "Pronostic 1N2 du match Angers Nice\nÀ venir. Pronostic à suivre",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d03951b49f60964168484da2",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d03951b49f60964168484da2",
   "quote_text": "10€ GRATUITEMENT, SANS AUCUN DÉPÔT NÉCESSAIRE, SANS CB + 1er Pari de 100€ remboursé en CASH si perdant",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-6998157a3e973eab42e21dd4",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6998157a3e973eab42e21dd4",
   "quote_text": "La victoire d'Arthur Fils a une probabilité de 67%.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "observation_id": "n-c36d86a11f662ef71aef0d06",
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   "observation_id": "n-bd512d253fd88a9505feb1c6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-bd512d253fd88a9505feb1c6",
   "quote_text": "Meilleures cotes Bayer Leverkusen OM\n\nVotre pronostic\n\nBayer Leverkusen\n\n1.41",
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   "observation_id": "n-becf12545c6201184db3101e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-becf12545c6201184db3101e",
   "quote_text": "La composition probable du Bayer Leverkusen :\nÀ venir.\nAbsents : À venir.\nIncertain : À venir.",
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  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 8,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 4,
    "within": 4,
    "median_difference_percent": "-4.6",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/guillaume-issner/picks/4/#pick-n-210abd54ad7730249fb3a32d",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.68",
    "market": "1.91",
    "difference_percent": "-11.9"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/guillaume-issner/picks/4/#pick-n-5f5b4bc8084d6012150f601d",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.70",
    "market": "3.00",
    "difference_percent": "-10.0"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "ruedesjoueurs.com",
   "url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/casper-ruud-nuno-borges-6565976.html"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-17",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-06",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 9,
  "matches": 8,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 21432,
  "staked_hundredths": 90000,
  "return_percent": "23.81",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-17",
  "period_to": "2026-11-06",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Guillaume Issner before kick-off across 8 matches between 17 October and 6 November 2026. Won 6 of 9 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 70 predictions we hold for Guillaume Issner, 22 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "9",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "8",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+214.32 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+23.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 8,
    "match_dates": 7,
    "period_from": "2026-10-17",
    "period_to": "2026-11-06",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 21432,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-17",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31432,
     "after_picks": 8
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3094,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17094,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31094,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24896,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31432,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21432,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Guillaume Issner before kick-off across 8 matches between 17 October and 6 November 2026. Won 6 of 9 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 70 predictions we hold for Guillaume Issner, 22 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/guillaume-issner/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 70,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 48,
   "proven_predictions": 19,
   "proven_checked": 18,
   "proven_measured": 9,
   "proven_dates": 8,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 19,
     "checked": 18,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 9,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 8,
      "net_points_hundredths": 21432,
      "staked_hundredths": 90000,
      "return_percent": "23.81",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
      "period_to": "2026-11-06",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.3",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 4
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 7,
       "return_main_percent": "39.47",
       "return_other_percent": "36.29",
       "settled_excluding_void": 7,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 27630,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 25400,
       "period_from": "2026-10-18",
       "period_to": "2026-11-06"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 8,
       "return_main_percent": "9.29",
       "return_other_percent": "7.76",
       "settled_excluding_void": 8,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 7432,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 6207,
       "period_from": "2026-10-17",
       "period_to": "2026-11-06"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 18,
      "priced": 9
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 9,
      "won": 6,
      "won_percent": "66.7",
      "implied_percent": "55.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "51.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "61.6"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 7,
      "right": 2,
      "wrong": 5,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-210abd54ad7730249fb3a32d",
   "n-4052debff275ca5623fff0ad",
   "n-5030f502093911eefc436e9e",
   "n-5b5dea13c85ce2947621d579",
   "n-7fe0834564d1be9029ad3175",
   "n-9ea4594e6027661bc626bd1e",
   "n-a0186d92ff831af81d596cbe",
   "n-b221b5210970d7cce3646173",
   "n-e3a9e9c18c9afcce39ec4e13"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 17 October – 6 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-17",
  "record_to": "2026-11-06"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-9ea4594e6027661bc626bd1e",
   "url": "/authors/guillaume-issner/picks/5/#pick-n-9ea4594e6027661bc626bd1e",
   "match": "Toulouse v RC Strasbourg",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/toulouse-vs-rc-strasbourg-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": 57.6,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or RC Strasbourg at 1.59",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.59",
   "settled_price": "1.7500",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T07:21:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T10:09:57.503Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9ea4594e6027661bc626bd1e",
    "quote_text": "Misez par exemple sur le pari \"Nul ou Strasbourg\" (cote à 1,59)",
    "fragment_from": 5132,
    "fragment_to": 5195,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/toulouse-strasbourg-5802989.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Guillaume Issner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "43d07d520422018cb63074a0272b7be1eeb8f9f56afe9d9b0936721f04920a17",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T07:21:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T10:09:57.503Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-04T10:36:20.979Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2313515db49a",
     "display_name": "Toulouse — RC Strasbourg",
     "competition_name": "Ligue 1",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/toulouse-vs-rc-strasbourg-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or RC Strasbourg",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.59",
     "our_snapshot": "1.7500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T10:05:52.336Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T07:21:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T07:21:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T10:09:57.503Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or RC Strasbourg",
     "author_odds": "1.59",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or RC Strasbourg at 1.59"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Toulouse 3-1 RC Strasbourg."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "819f917ded7a6d78ebbadf3e0f89f8e2381ba266e5e44278b108da0eca536552",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or RC Strasbourg",
      "decimal_odds": "1.59",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T10:36:04.001Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or RC Strasbourg",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T10:36:20.979Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Guillaume Issner",
     "publisher": "ruedesjoueurs.com",
     "forecaster": "Guillaume Issner",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/toulouse-strasbourg-5802989.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or RC Strasbourg"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5b5dea13c85ce2947621d579",
   "url": "/authors/guillaume-issner/picks/4/#pick-n-5b5dea13c85ce2947621d579",
   "match": "Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/stade-rennais-vs-olympiakos-piraeus-2026-11-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 50.3,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Olympiakos Piraeus at 1.61",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6536,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.61",
   "settled_price": "1.6536",
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:34:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T13:10:46.163Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5b5dea13c85ce2947621d579",
    "quote_text": "Misez par exemple sur le pari \"Nul ou Olympiakos\" (cote à 1,61)",
    "fragment_from": 6106,
    "fragment_to": 6169,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/rennes-olympiakos-piree-6112306.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Guillaume Issner",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "18b9d05f5aa1bdad4c3b80382c88e53fd09e7b2b866efceda67ca758bcee5e62",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:34:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T13:10:46.163Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-03T03:12:18.683Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2e0c5f836ca1",
     "display_name": "Stade Rennais — Olympiakos Piraeus",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-04T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/stade-rennais-vs-olympiakos-piraeus-2026-11-04/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Olympiakos Piraeus",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.61",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6536",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T13:05:56.726Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
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 "title_tag": "Guillaume Issner Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
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    "source_info": "ruedesjoueurs-com",
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}
