{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Goal Wizard — football predictions, page 4 of 6",
 "description": "Predictions 41–60 of 87 by Goal Wizard, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 6 of the predictions by Goal Wizard recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–60 of 87 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "87",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:58:42.516Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "2c2cf418eb644e0d6cb4ce2a432ffc2f8d11988cf0646d8b5818d215380a534d",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-62f0e651eadbab92f74963c1",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-62f0e651eadbab92f74963c1",
  "public_name": "Goal Wizard",
  "tracker_number": 5915,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-25",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-96ee2704a2545ce1a024ef2e",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-96ee2704a2545ce1a024ef2e",
   "match": "Chelsea v Manchester United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 17.8,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5405",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-96ee2704a2545ce1a024ef2e",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes",
    "fragment_from": 956,
    "fragment_to": 993,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3501",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "7afdb2e68c132133c68aa061062707effe850d471f11cca4eac1e6da8d408b14",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:07.592Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c3d02ca4c53b",
     "display_name": "Chelsea — Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.5405",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:41:31.362Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b3970ac5bb24342f72b0858939a162e6add1740f76e206792fd6dc8fbea943b3",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5405",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:07.592Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3501",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fd02f8811c9c433857730096",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-fd02f8811c9c433857730096",
   "match": "Chelsea v Manchester United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 17.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 1887,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.1887",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fd02f8811c9c433857730096",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Over 1.5",
    "fragment_from": 936,
    "fragment_to": 955,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3501",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "7afdb2e68c132133c68aa061062707effe850d471f11cca4eac1e6da8d408b14",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:11.793Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c3d02ca4c53b",
     "display_name": "Chelsea — Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.1887",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:41:31.362Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 1887,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:42:44.528Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "fc77781d1acfd8a10337b3db7184179a57902bcc983462b15acd7eead16b5b4d",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1887",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 1887,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:11.793Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3501",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1024655b3280e2b554607b3c",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-1024655b3280e2b554607b3c",
   "match": "Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 20.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4082",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1024655b3280e2b554607b3c",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Over 2.5",
    "fragment_from": 844,
    "fragment_to": 864,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "215757a3e4491ef9ee469411160fc7c254a5964407949180a297dd5929ac9477",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:02.924Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3a3fd595d5c8",
     "display_name": "Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4082",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:56:48.417Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5e191480d95cb9076652b73719b96388e64530bf5185fb887a2253bae3c30bb6",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4082",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:02.924Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cc5292e4e71bd5be966fa3a0",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-cc5292e4e71bd5be966fa3a0",
   "match": "Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 20.0,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-cc5292e4e71bd5be966fa3a0",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Manchester City 2–1 Brighton",
    "fragment_from": 890,
    "fragment_to": 930,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "215757a3e4491ef9ee469411160fc7c254a5964407949180a297dd5929ac9477",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3a3fd595d5c8",
     "display_name": "Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Manchester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Manchester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "68b78434754f4eef4a8948209305c3754a3095a28f8f25ac993c823410add341",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6993",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T14:05:59.317Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e6e2782daf9007e2178652b8",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-e6e2782daf9007e2178652b8",
   "match": "Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 20.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.1111",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e6e2782daf9007e2178652b8",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Over 1.5",
    "fragment_from": 824,
    "fragment_to": 843,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "215757a3e4491ef9ee469411160fc7c254a5964407949180a297dd5929ac9477",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:04.495Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3a3fd595d5c8",
     "display_name": "Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.1111",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T18:56:48.417Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T18:50:29.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T18:57:46.676Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "850100b9dc0d83577618c78c12ab77ee6fbfd9aecd29791502101f94f1f7ce1e",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1111",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:10:04.495Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3503",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7834382beed212ff0d90e6c4",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-7834382beed212ff0d90e6c4",
   "match": "Liverpool v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 21.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6369",
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7834382beed212ff0d90e6c4",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes",
    "fragment_from": 773,
    "fragment_to": 810,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b0b206fa1e5139af197b3b4c2e9aa45ec813c038dacc598edcbbe8a6d1647b77",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:51:00.920Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f14362e6c2a0",
     "display_name": "Liverpool — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6369",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:31.157Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b8a20b492019a4b288ad0b932e754beae9d9f52bcc05bdfff661d7bff2498db3",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6369",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:51:00.920Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-80244afbd94a3b298bd990bf",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-80244afbd94a3b298bd990bf",
   "match": "Liverpool v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 21.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.2597",
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-80244afbd94a3b298bd990bf",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Over 1.5",
    "fragment_from": 753,
    "fragment_to": 772,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b0b206fa1e5139af197b3b4c2e9aa45ec813c038dacc598edcbbe8a6d1647b77",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:51:03.917Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f14362e6c2a0",
     "display_name": "Liverpool — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.2597",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:31.157Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f4eb164863af1adc0657deacb3f5cbebd06a5a858c787047ca1e2d16f038cdbc",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2597",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:51:03.917Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c8bc3b6b967551d769dda1d4",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-c8bc3b6b967551d769dda1d4",
   "match": "Liverpool v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 21.0,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c8bc3b6b967551d769dda1d4",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Liverpool 2–1 Arsenal",
    "fragment_from": 833,
    "fragment_to": 866,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b0b206fa1e5139af197b3b4c2e9aa45ec813c038dacc598edcbbe8a6d1647b77",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f14362e6c2a0",
     "display_name": "Liverpool — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:30.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:27:46.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "11cc02226f98a2d5373df6b7209156454f468f3bc9f3ef68fbff32838c923e95",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8750",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T15:52:28.195Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3504",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2a00d1e8dafb28a88e33379f",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-2a00d1e8dafb28a88e33379f",
   "match": "Juventus v SSC Napoli",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 24.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3 goals: under 3.0",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4400,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4400",
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2a00d1e8dafb28a88e33379f",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Under 3",
    "fragment_from": 812,
    "fragment_to": 831,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "617c19af2d9ec43586582292dcccd0552c2d53d60a76e73f108d44d1e9192932",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:50:53.983Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b380ecd591fd",
     "display_name": "Juventus — SSC Napoli",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.0",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4400",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T19:40:50.403Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4400,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.0",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.0",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3 goals: under 3.0"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Juventus 2-0 SSC Napoli."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "07385391ff46cd6cac215ec7ec80a56902f8bebe6fe7be39f24f1a7936c6b507",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.0",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4400",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4400,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:50:53.983Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.0 (Over/Under 3 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3917f88279e5ce310cffaf3b",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-3917f88279e5ce310cffaf3b",
   "match": "Juventus v SSC Napoli",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 24.0,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Juventus 1-1 SSC Napoli",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3917f88279e5ce310cffaf3b",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Juventus 1–1 Napoli",
    "fragment_from": 861,
    "fragment_to": 892,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "617c19af2d9ec43586582292dcccd0552c2d53d60a76e73f108d44d1e9192932",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b380ecd591fd",
     "display_name": "Juventus — SSC Napoli",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Juventus 1-1 SSC Napoli",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Juventus 1-1 SSC Napoli",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Juventus 1-1 SSC Napoli"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Juventus 2-0 SSC Napoli."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "354ee7af577ab28c3bcec71debad03b8c4f636dffda288d0d91de5f2e2c4b5c7",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T18:30:22.117Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Juventus 1-1 SSC Napoli"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b549626db72fc9b53a28e5db",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-b549626db72fc9b53a28e5db",
   "match": "Juventus v SSC Napoli",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 24.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 871,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.0871",
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b549626db72fc9b53a28e5db",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Under 4.5",
    "fragment_from": 791,
    "fragment_to": 811,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "617c19af2d9ec43586582292dcccd0552c2d53d60a76e73f108d44d1e9192932",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:50:55.459Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b380ecd591fd",
     "display_name": "Juventus — SSC Napoli",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/juventus-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 4.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.0871",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T19:52:23.453Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 871,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T19:34:32.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T19:42:48.572Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 4.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Juventus 2-0 SSC Napoli."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "54698806f250a3dc207d92bcb68d0e9367987b9b9fb9597331a1df477ee567c0",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 4.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.0871",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 871,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:50:55.459Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3505",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-72ecb564278282fcc1328c4c",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-72ecb564278282fcc1328c4c",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 25.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5714",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-72ecb564278282fcc1328c4c",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes",
    "fragment_from": 884,
    "fragment_to": 921,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "219eedaf4fb3256279f157f5d374bafd9ae591e525d092806ff3f13279310c5f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:45:00.987Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2ded8bcaf47e",
     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.5714",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T18:55:44.076Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a87557957c90b4767da826a97b681a3842185d7412f4bfb2b6950061fb0a2abd",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5714",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:45:00.987Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cc5d3ce25d6c4af1dd54c5e5",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-cc5d3ce25d6c4af1dd54c5e5",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 25.0,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 2-1 Everton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-cc5d3ce25d6c4af1dd54c5e5",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Newcastle 2–1 Everton",
    "fragment_from": 945,
    "fragment_to": 978,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "219eedaf4fb3256279f157f5d374bafd9ae591e525d092806ff3f13279310c5f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2ded8bcaf47e",
     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United 2-1 Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Newcastle United 2-1 Everton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Newcastle United 2-1 Everton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "94556f35bd92ca2bb57add9908d2240bf06c34629bacaa7aedef230cd857bffa",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United 2-1 Everton"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-efaa83efd1a17a633da64940",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-efaa83efd1a17a633da64940",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 25.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.2083",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-efaa83efd1a17a633da64940",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Over 1.5",
    "fragment_from": 864,
    "fragment_to": 883,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "219eedaf4fb3256279f157f5d374bafd9ae591e525d092806ff3f13279310c5f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:45:01.121Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2ded8bcaf47e",
     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.2083",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T18:55:44.076Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T18:44:24.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:57:44.149Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "23905eb3024be346649facf192fdc764567f0abe1518dfb62a2ee17a9eafe5aa",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2083",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:45:01.121Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3506",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a821e49a678ba71413ac76e",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-0a821e49a678ba71413ac76e",
   "match": "Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 24.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 2210,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.2210",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0a821e49a678ba71413ac76e",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Under 3.5",
    "fragment_from": 782,
    "fragment_to": 802,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cab31440987d1ddf248164c1c6106b86da7a423a29332f9f8b53bb13782cb567",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:44:56.482Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-63ceb4f9956a",
     "display_name": "Deportivo de A Coruña — Osasuna",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.2210",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:53.370Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 2210,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Deportivo de A Coruña 2-1 Osasuna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e38736028b6941f14f8f37135011dd9fa22ddec202b831660eb310dfde08ba78",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2210",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 2210,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:44:56.482Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-181b5e4f268a6356c1e649a0",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-181b5e4f268a6356c1e649a0",
   "match": "Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 24.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6579",
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-181b5e4f268a6356c1e649a0",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Under 2.5",
    "fragment_from": 803,
    "fragment_to": 824,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cab31440987d1ddf248164c1c6106b86da7a423a29332f9f8b53bb13782cb567",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:44:56.362Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-63ceb4f9956a",
     "display_name": "Deportivo de A Coruña — Osasuna",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6579",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:53.370Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Deportivo de A Coruña 2-1 Osasuna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "77fa4e4041bd20072d0a2bf10c6b602ae11018b42e546a85db7f416e1a89566d",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6579",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:44:56.362Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c732ee3fca5d45dfaa448ea4",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-c732ee3fca5d45dfaa448ea4",
   "match": "Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 24.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.1500",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 11500,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c732ee3fca5d45dfaa448ea4",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Deportivo 1–1 Osasuna",
    "fragment_from": 852,
    "fragment_to": 885,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "cab31440987d1ddf248164c1c6106b86da7a423a29332f9f8b53bb13782cb567",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-63ceb4f9956a",
     "display_name": "Deportivo de A Coruña — Osasuna",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T19:10:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T19:13:00.688Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Deportivo de A Coruña 2-1 Osasuna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5f147c5ee929507c5ab81c4a4390a6394480898bd2676448f79f944e0734c80a",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2250",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-02T07:22:26.729Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3507",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-12fb1cf756b17d1f8e4959eb",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-12fb1cf756b17d1f8e4959eb",
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 25.3,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4348",
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-12fb1cf756b17d1f8e4959eb",
    "quote_text": "Value Pick: Over 2.5",
    "fragment_from": 834,
    "fragment_to": 854,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3eacb0c52a72d0581e4dd7f75b809aa2b7be4daa570fa5edad0bdfdd1d88c2cc",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:39:07.078Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-13be466edde6",
     "display_name": "Atlético Madrid — FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4348",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T18:41:26.042Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Atlético Madrid 0-2 FC Bayern München."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "67cb5589bed78ed76376b3be91f0c3c3e986fe2a929e55e2d2f54df765473bae",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4348",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:39:07.078Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-29d316dbe47c0e400d4f09fd",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-29d316dbe47c0e400d4f09fd",
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 25.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Bayern München",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.3800",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 13800,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-29d316dbe47c0e400d4f09fd",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Atlético Madrid 2–1 Bayern Munich",
    "fragment_from": 877,
    "fragment_to": 922,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3eacb0c52a72d0581e4dd7f75b809aa2b7be4daa570fa5edad0bdfdd1d88c2cc",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-13be466edde6",
     "display_name": "Atlético Madrid — FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Bayern München",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Bayern München",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Bayern München"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Atlético Madrid 0-2 FC Bayern München."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "fefe8619b71d79a7ce99cc1787d2e3d728576dc8bf1c65ce369f62538cc5659a",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Atlético Madrid",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6700",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-02T18:44:38.998Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Bayern München"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f2e44da17e5d47fa7be721bc",
   "url": "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/#pick-n-f2e44da17e5d47fa7be721bc",
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 25.3,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 1224,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.1224",
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f2e44da17e5d47fa7be721bc",
    "quote_text": "Safe Pick: Over 1.5",
    "fragment_from": 814,
    "fragment_to": 833,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Goal Wizard",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3eacb0c52a72d0581e4dd7f75b809aa2b7be4daa570fa5edad0bdfdd1d88c2cc",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:39:07.224Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-13be466edde6",
     "display_name": "Atlético Madrid — FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-03/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.1224",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T18:41:26.042Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 1224,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T18:30:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:42:47.646Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Atlético Madrid 0-2 FC Bayern München."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2643570f3550a209f5ed02b0597d983038b5131285675a1b2aab547e186e7abc",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1224",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 1224,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:39:07.224Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Goal Wizard",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Goal Wizard",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/Goal_Wizard/3508",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 87,
  "pages": 6,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/goal-wizard/",
   "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/2/",
   "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/3/",
   "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/",
   "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/5/",
   "/authors/goal-wizard/picks/6/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 40,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 45
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 60,
  "author_url": "/authors/goal-wizard/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/goal-wizard/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 17
}