{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "history", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/", "canonical": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Gary Pearson — football predictions, page 3 of 5", "description": "Predictions 21–40 of 80 by Gary Pearson, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Page 3 of 5 of the predictions by Gary Pearson recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 80 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.", "key_number": "80", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 0, "date_count": 0, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "36831675afef6894951c6e752ce598b8ec57a5ba3d165c83cb5546f17c7c47ae", "dependency_group": "author:e-473bb86c3404b9f5794aa196", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/index.json", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": false, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": null, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-473bb86c3404b9f5794aa196", "public_name": "Gary Pearson", "tracker_number": 1508, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-09-30" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-eb25f4bd0471dd39a25ad598", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-eb25f4bd0471dd39a25ad598", "match": "Manchester United v Burnley", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-08-30T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -9458.1, "market_code": "handicap_asian", "author_said": "Asian handicap 1.5: Burnley +1.5 at 1.74", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8550, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.74", "settled_price": "1.8550", "published_at": "2025-08-29T13:57:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:00.996Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.74; returns at the author's price leave it out", "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-eb25f4bd0471dd39a25ad598", "quote_text": "DraftKings offers the best value for Burnley +1.5, with odds of -135.", "fragment_from": 2883, "fragment_to": 2952, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/manchester-united-vs-burnley-prediction-odds-aug-30-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f37196c541efed9910ae9afac8a3a3fb0425f1b5a711050563c42b7859b96a76", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-08-29T13:57:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:00.996Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.488Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Manchester United v Burnley", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-08-30T14:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-2" }, "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "outcome_label": "Burnley +1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.74", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7692", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7692, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-08-29T13:57:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-08-29T13:57:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:00.996Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "choice": "Burnley +1.5", "author_odds": "1.74", "market_key": "handicap_asian", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Asian handicap 1.5: Burnley +1.5 at 1.74" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester United 3-2 Burnley." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "bcef844e196baa1b5169996b9570f9622455faf6e2cb89d2a2952ea74768e623", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "choice": "Burnley +1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.74", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7400, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.475Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2f29fe609ba50e407909c5eb158e26c7b26d08436cd651172aaea74a7e28902a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "choice": "Burnley +1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.7692", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7692, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.488Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4894696ae0df5b0e91364c8424aaa4a288642698838301d27ee162072fada3fd", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5", "choice": "Burnley +1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8550", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8550, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.494Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/manchester-united-vs-burnley-prediction-odds-aug-30-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Burnley +1.5" } }, { "record_id": "n-0f65e6ccf243988ef681626a", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-0f65e6ccf243988ef681626a", "match": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7195.9, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Nick Woltemade to score at 2.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "2.25", "settled_price": "2.25", "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0f65e6ccf243988ef681626a", "quote_text": "Best prop bet: Nick Woltemade anytime goal (+125 via Caesars)", "fragment_from": 1449, "fragment_to": 1510, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "eeffb7b51765834a87b826321af83b1b6071bc609a85299508095d0516eebdf4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.670Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Nick Woltemade to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Nick Woltemade to score", "author_odds": "2.25", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Nick Woltemade to score at 2.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d999552eaad6c75336aad9cacbec215f8f57b0957cbf5684e8b7f7b5961b4f30", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Nick Woltemade to score", "decimal_odds": "2.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.670Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Nick Woltemade to score" } }, { "record_id": "n-1a0ef4af232f03bd1500ddeb", "url": null, "match": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7195.9, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-448a1d085eb517f130674430", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-448a1d085eb517f130674430", "match": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7195.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 1.71", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.71", "settled_price": "1.8500", "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-448a1d085eb517f130674430", "quote_text": "Game prediction: Newcastle ML (-140 via DraftKings)", "fragment_from": 1335, "fragment_to": 1386, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "eeffb7b51765834a87b826321af83b1b6071bc609a85299508095d0516eebdf4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.639Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Newcastle United", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.71", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.8265", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Newcastle United", "author_odds": "1.71", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 1.71" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "341c6096a24a58fb80712777ce56bf078ca1fbb4aa0fc670a681fca9d2dbfcf7", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Newcastle United", "decimal_odds": "1.71", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.632Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5a25151b976049e1599da4b4746ff31ed49225af53d7ef4a11cee89019158e0d", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Newcastle United", "decimal_odds": "1.8265", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.639Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3c35b843102626153b998ca5e6d1cf42c7ec63311ec7f3414d03c1856ef3f186", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Newcastle United", "decimal_odds": "1.8500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.644Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Newcastle United to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-c8eac4543319d45af501bd7a", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-c8eac4543319d45af501bd7a", "match": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7195.9, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 6900, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.72", "settled_price": "1.6900", "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c8eac4543319d45af501bd7a", "quote_text": "Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (-138 via FanDuel)", "fragment_from": 1393, "fragment_to": 1443, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "eeffb7b51765834a87b826321af83b1b6071bc609a85299508095d0516eebdf4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.657Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-02T20:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.72", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.6921", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 6921, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-02T13:14:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:46.707Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.72", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "717a82c815ec14370832334a45c512273bdb0fc4d42100793b34bd41e0148f3d", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.72", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7200, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.650Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e2bec8c95d663ff405e2d8fcdd46f9bc5fd8b2083a8b81f889dacd9a0323077d", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.6921", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6921, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.657Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "105f9fa23a56c21d1424009bd79163897e5f23b7060a309374b6b9811fa7438a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.6900", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6900, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.663Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/newcastle-vs-tottenham-prediction-odds-expert-picks-dec-2-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-04ee39156a3772a41711ea74", "url": null, "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-10T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5516.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Newcastle United", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-10T15:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:47.592Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c3458287097ae2109c43076d", "url": null, "match": "Burnley v Arsenal", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7945.1, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Burnley 0-2 Arsenal", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-10-31T13:12:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:52.580Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-23726f16b70b0e3b1c5458b9", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-23726f16b70b0e3b1c5458b9", "match": "Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7250.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no at 2.38", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-23726f16b70b0e3b1c5458b9", "quote_text": "Aston Villa ML & Wolves not to score (+138 via BetMGM)", "fragment_from": 1329, "fragment_to": 1383, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "da8ef6cfd0cbfa44258dc8fdf31839a976872f3a014e95aedc75ec1409f2fa52", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.38", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.5000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no", "author_odds": "2.38", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "1-no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no at 2.38" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a3fda85a8123f7eb50382eccb2fddf870dc37bbb0486b8103e4ae20bb5a32b6b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no", "decimal_odds": "2.38", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:58.261Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a70f1dfef88896d83a29465bc9d49c52853b5aa04fc045f9f84526686e8372af", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no", "decimal_odds": "2.5000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:09.755Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: no" } }, { "record_id": "n-c6d68d1990e2b1295e4f46ae", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-c6d68d1990e2b1295e4f46ae", "match": "Nottingham Forest v Brighton & Hove Albion", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7250.0, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Danny Welbeck to score at 3.2", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "3.2", "settled_price": "3.2", "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c6d68d1990e2b1295e4f46ae", "quote_text": "Danny Welbeck anytime goal (+220 via FanDuel)", "fragment_from": 1194, "fragment_to": 1239, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "da8ef6cfd0cbfa44258dc8fdf31839a976872f3a014e95aedc75ec1409f2fa52", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.701Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Brighton & Hove Albion", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-2" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Danny Welbeck to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Danny Welbeck to score", "author_odds": "3.2", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Danny Welbeck to score at 3.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1706dbd727a282c0086b5b9b006148feecf7b584594b69fb735e305e2c1debe2", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Danny Welbeck to score", "decimal_odds": "3.2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.701Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Danny Welbeck to score" } }, { "record_id": "n-ef58c0e5e4087baf68ebeaab", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-ef58c0e5e4087baf68ebeaab", "match": "West Ham United v Liverpool", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7250.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: West Ham United at 4.33", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ef58c0e5e4087baf68ebeaab", "quote_text": "West Ham ML (+333 via bet365)", "fragment_from": 1270, "fragment_to": 1299, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "da8ef6cfd0cbfa44258dc8fdf31839a976872f3a014e95aedc75ec1409f2fa52", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "West Ham United v Liverpool", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-11-30T14:05:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "West Ham United", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.33", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "5.0000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-28T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:56.591Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "West Ham United", "author_odds": "4.33", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: West Ham United at 4.33" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f2ccef0cf865c7ee0891264f87e91f158d16d37b3ae1cd8bc0a2eed8eae45c6b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "West Ham United", "decimal_odds": "4.33", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.975Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7c25c1b61d567e37145a528be99e41ee9ce3cac1aff292e7c0e9347fc17f222b", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "West Ham United", "decimal_odds": "5.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.982Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9c8b84d1eb476ec09130c2d6ddca4d6f2de98f945925ea3949cf1c5da53a4da4", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "West Ham United", "decimal_odds": "5.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:48.777Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-13-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "West Ham United to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-9fbde86f23e9d68a3e4908c0", "url": null, "match": "Arsenal v Brentford", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-03T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7172.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Brentford", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-12-03T11:19:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:57.612Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6a0dfddca311d1a66e5aae48", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-6a0dfddca311d1a66e5aae48", "match": "Everton v Nottingham Forest", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7105.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.25", "settled_price": "3.2500", "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6a0dfddca311d1a66e5aae48", "quote_text": "Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: Tie (+225 via DraftKings)", "fragment_from": 1208, "fragment_to": 1264, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2ba437f1d1f24be23134324d185ce48f5beb45c46fd13a94b15a27f5b9580467", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.784Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Everton v Nottingham Forest", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.2500", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.25", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8ba93b67ac1ebae28608609b9796f28c8af6cc07e4db23ee27eb808dacfffd47", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.773Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ae43ec15475be42811f4b7404de0af6402473d137b859519c0b03dca5de701a7", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.2500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.784Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ae7d5fce9fbc1105bed92b607a3666463a33ad4d6c37989741b2db3ccd0c34bf", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.2500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.793Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-7b6edfa864058ce790a62e4d", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-7b6edfa864058ce790a62e4d", "match": "Manchester City v Sunderland", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7105.1, "market_code": "result_and_total", "author_said": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.71", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7100, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "1.71", "settled_price": "1.71", "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7b6edfa864058ce790a62e4d", "quote_text": "Sunderland vs. Man City prediction: Man City & Under 4.5 goals (-140 via BetMGM)", "fragment_from": 1341, "fragment_to": 1421, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2ba437f1d1f24be23134324d185ce48f5beb45c46fd13a94b15a27f5b9580467", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.833Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Manchester City v Sunderland", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals", "outcome_label": "Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.71", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals", "choice": "Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals", "author_odds": "1.71", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "1-under", "period": "match", "line": "4.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.71" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "735fbff62cc4b11319cc7076caa77fd956690738e0c1690ad5af38997aded534", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals", "choice": "Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.71", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7100, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.833Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Manchester City to win and under 4.5 goals" } }, { "record_id": "n-7baf56d60960e788bd4bed1e", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-7baf56d60960e788bd4bed1e", "match": "Everton v Nottingham Forest", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7105.1, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.72", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.72", "settled_price": "1.7500", "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7baf56d60960e788bd4bed1e", "quote_text": "Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: Under 2.5 goals (-139 via bet365)", "fragment_from": 1270, "fragment_to": 1334, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2ba437f1d1f24be23134324d185ce48f5beb45c46fd13a94b15a27f5b9580467", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.812Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Everton v Nottingham Forest", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.72", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7246", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-12-05T11:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:59.505Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "1.72", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.72" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "484f32ad2764f25f6a14e1c4092581637f53f095d6aadb58cd9024f1b4a26701", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.72", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.802Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e3fe86c99f60e6444d3515a6bf8be9a132ef57cd8d858689855760e1e16c84fc", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.7246", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.812Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3fa761ca5ab8b04cd5f0868af9e605af61f4b35debde1024ba85440f475c7d23", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.7500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.823Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-odds-predictions-matchweek-15-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-26793ef5031c45a7e9bd5db3", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-26793ef5031c45a7e9bd5db3", "match": "Arsenal v Manchester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-21T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8928.6, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Erling Haaland to score at 2.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 17500, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "2.75", "settled_price": "2.75", "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-26793ef5031c45a7e9bd5db3", "quote_text": "Erling Haaland anytime goal (+175 via BetMGM)", "fragment_from": 1368, "fragment_to": 1413, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8ded68cf7235bfe0f08cf695f19c883cfd954ad46bf76dba97f6ad4962516096", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.035Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Manchester City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-09-21T15:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Erling Haaland to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 17500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Erling Haaland to score", "author_odds": "2.75", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Erling Haaland to score at 2.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5cd0cc2dae7f7c75c50270debbb95498e9dcb463018c55a5dd28858c2582d4cd", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Erling Haaland to score", "decimal_odds": "2.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 17500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.035Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Erling Haaland to score" } }, { "record_id": "n-30a73ce8bea8660585a9eea8", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-30a73ce8bea8660585a9eea8", "match": "Sunderland v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8931.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.0000", "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-30a73ce8bea8660585a9eea8", "quote_text": "Aston Villa ML (+110 via FanDuel)", "fragment_from": 1306, "fragment_to": 1339, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8ded68cf7235bfe0f08cf695f19c883cfd954ad46bf76dba97f6ad4962516096", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.864Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Sunderland v Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.0000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1818a8da494fae3c9b777fa55dabbf8c67d71ad108c107c40ca2c3608e14df2d", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.842Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "21513e6e5d010ad0b75dae04eef6df4cad8c866150663bc08c515073cdab9f5e", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:26.864Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "60bebf8adbcc61ca939a98615924d7973f4e6a75d8c3ff842babc0212c671c32", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.013Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Aston Villa to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-ac8e4a411943eaed16168bdf", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-ac8e4a411943eaed16168bdf", "match": "Arsenal v Manchester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-21T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8928.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 25800, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.75", "settled_price": "3.5800", "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ac8e4a411943eaed16168bdf", "quote_text": "Draw (+275 via DraftKings)", "fragment_from": 1442, "fragment_to": 1468, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8ded68cf7235bfe0f08cf695f19c883cfd954ad46bf76dba97f6ad4962516096", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.055Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Manchester City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-09-21T15:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.6000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 26000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-19T12:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:03.945Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c60b300313ff1ed28693b6917796c7052d0c6a1ee335f2638f9659e6feac4c36", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.045Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8bc39afac336524c1284d1090b950ff47963331a30705a6d13607e40a843a6de", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.6000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 26000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.055Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3175de7d334c4b1f7a5e258020e5afb7918261a153d61a736ed241b943413f50", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.5800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 25800, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.074Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-best-bets-matchweek-5-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-758a28ecdc3addd9a9e78f05", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-758a28ecdc3addd9a9e78f05", "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-01-04T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -6409.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 1.83", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.83", "settled_price": "1.9500", "published_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-758a28ecdc3addd9a9e78f05", "quote_text": "Tottenham ML\n\n-120 via BetMGM", "fragment_from": 1325, "fragment_to": 1354, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-odds-matchweek-20-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee4478626c7f8b7a9ad671ec3934e1a2462623812038d8b270879e850f517698", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.133Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-01-04T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Tottenham Hotspur", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.83", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9524", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur", "author_odds": "1.83", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 1.83" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Sunderland." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "caf9e2ec5247cd1005e19b5aaeafacf063da844237b8add5eed9eff45941ecb6", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur", "decimal_odds": "1.83", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.121Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f086242b2e42c44f18ec55c2494f6fb57621e2f3d2495144be40f37b39e573d5", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur", "decimal_odds": "1.9524", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.133Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d286ab4f60f39480d0c359d0c3b24d2ad2703b407c178548f54f9390ab1e9783", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.143Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-odds-matchweek-20-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Tottenham Hotspur to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-b72570253c07080bafadf741", "url": "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/#pick-n-b72570253c07080bafadf741", "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v West Ham United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-01-03T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -6433.1, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.87", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.87", "settled_price": "1.9950", "published_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b72570253c07080bafadf741", "quote_text": "Under 2.5 goals\n\n-115 via FanDuel", "fragment_from": 1258, "fragment_to": 1291, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-odds-matchweek-20-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gary Pearson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee4478626c7f8b7a9ad671ec3934e1a2462623812038d8b270879e850f517698", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.098Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v West Ham United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-01-03T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.87", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9259", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "1.87", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.87" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 West Ham United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "0ddea74468ebc68f6b881700f5f3d654b62d5a1c7bf9026a8615c489ac18f8ab", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.87", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.086Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3c9d9b24854c018fd754b8fe3e4213b20cdd816b36453ff9f7a9805033e88592", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9259", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.098Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "25d61033d65ca81afa661a991750a35edb3493a0cbc430fe8365f5fd749e4d6c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9950", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:27.109Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gary Pearson", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gary Pearson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/premier-league-predictions-odds-matchweek-20-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ef332645ceb3753be84f1199", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Aston Villa ML & Nottingham Forest not to score\n\n+195 via BetMGM", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-01-02T16:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:07:09.155Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 80, "pages": 5, "page_urls": [ "/authors/gary-pearson/", "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/2/", "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/", "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/4/", "/authors/gary-pearson/picks/5/" ], "groups": { "settled": 39, "pending": 0, "excluded": 41 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 3, "first": 21, "last": 40, "author_url": "/authors/gary-pearson/", "current": false }, "entity_id": "history:/authors/gary-pearson/picks/3/", "source_revision": 39 }