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 "heading": "FR10: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 17 settled picks by FR10 recorded before kick-off across 17 matches, 3 Nov 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −1.1% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by FR10 before kick-off across 17 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.1% on the total staked. Of the 173 predictions we hold for FR10, 84 are linked to matches: 84 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−1.1%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "required_dates": 2
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:01:48.294Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-822025de694774c776ff4657",
  "public_name": "FR10",
  "tracker_number": 3006,
  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
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    "medium": "website",
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   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-1.1188",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 17,
   "n_events": 17,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-37.7647",
   "ci_high": "34.0565",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "94.12",
   "breakdown": [],
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   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:01:48.294Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 17 settled picks across 17 matches",
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  "odds_from_author": 16,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 1
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  "reserve_hundredths": 70000,
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  "top_up_count": 0,
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  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:53.040Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 997348,
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    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:16.932Z",
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   {
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   {
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:07.335Z",
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    "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:08.706Z",
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:24.168Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990798,
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T16:49:24.228Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 996398,
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   "quote_text": "August Mikkelsen e Håkon Evjen, ambos com problemas físicos.",
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   "quote_text": "Mathias Tønnessen e Troy Nyhammer encontram-se com problemas físicos",
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   "quote_text": "Mais de 2,5 golos\n\nOdd 1.47",
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   "quote_text": "Mais de 2,5 golos\n\nOdd 1.50",
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   "source_info": {
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    "display_name": "Fredrikstad — Brann",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-bfce01bc600c64179bc2ac5b",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-bfce01bc600c64179bc2ac5b",
   "quote_text": "A aposta mais votada pelos tipsters da Academia das Apostas, no jogo Le Mans Mónaco, para o mercado \"probabilidades\", foi a vitória do Mónaco na Betano",
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   "observation_id": "n-b7d78c7d28238a91820c9619",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b7d78c7d28238a91820c9619",
   "quote_text": "O conjunto orientado por Filipe Luís deverá apresentar-se numa estrutura tática em 4-3-3",
   "fragment_from": 6257,
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "added_on": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-117088b8b67f15274d0b948c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-117088b8b67f15274d0b948c",
   "quote_text": "Esta é uma equipa pouco afetada pelo fator casa, isto é, apresenta resultados semelhantes em casa e fora",
   "fragment_from": 3257,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:29:22.188Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "flags": [],
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
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   "observation_id": "n-0f72ec43c7c660e0b10cfdb0",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0f72ec43c7c660e0b10cfdb0",
   "quote_text": "De fora deste encontro deverão estar Djibril Sidibé, Adil Bourabaa, Erwan Colas e Martin Rossignol",
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   "source_info": {
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   "odds_set": {
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:29:22.188Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ce8213281429b56cc40d58e1",
   "url": "/authors/fr10/picks/9/#pick-n-ce8213281429b56cc40d58e1",
   "quote_text": "Mónaco para vencer\n\nOdd 1.80",
   "fragment_from": 7010,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:29:22.188Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T14:12:46.000Z",
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    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 5,
  "service": 1,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
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 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 21,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "9.5",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 19,
    "median_difference_percent": "2.0",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
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  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/fr10/picks/2/#pick-n-0590a11ee25b6b7337d2861a",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.50",
    "market": "1.42",
    "difference_percent": "5.6"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/fr10/picks/8/#pick-n-8cfb04de890b1026b434c77a",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.50",
    "market": "1.42",
    "difference_percent": "5.6"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
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 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
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   "url": "https://www.academiadasapostas.com/stats/match/noruega/eliteserien/tromso/glimt/EGoYje0M8Qqba/preview"
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  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
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  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 17,
  "matches": 17,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -1902,
  "staked_hundredths": 170000,
  "return_percent": "-1.12",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-11-03",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by FR10 before kick-off across 17 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.1% on the total staked. Of the 173 predictions we hold for FR10, 84 are linked to matches: 84 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "17",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "17",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−19.02 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−1.1%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −37.8% to +34.1%"
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  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10498,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12652,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18952,
    "n": 11
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   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13802,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1902,
    "n": 17
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  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
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    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 17,
    "matches": 17,
    "match_dates": 5,
    "period_from": "2026-11-03",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -1902,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-05",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18952,
     "after_picks": 11
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    "high": {
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     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1902,
     "after_picks": 17
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    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
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      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12652,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18952,
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      "picks": 5
     },
     {
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      "picks": 1
     },
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1902,
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      "picks": 5
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    ]
   },
   "archived": null
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  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by FR10 before kick-off across 17 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.1% on the total staked. Of the 173 predictions we hold for FR10, 84 are linked to matches: 84 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fr10/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 89,
   "proven_predictions": 84,
   "proven_checked": 63,
   "proven_measured": 17,
   "proven_dates": 5,
   "parts": [
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     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 84,
     "checked": 63,
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      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
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       "series_code": "author_price",
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       "return_main_percent": "5.06",
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       "settled_excluding_void": 16,
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       "net_other_points_hundredths": 11900,
       "period_from": "2026-11-03",
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      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 6,
       "return_main_percent": "2.25",
       "return_other_percent": "-7.20",
       "settled_excluding_void": 6,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 1348,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -4318,
       "period_from": "2026-11-03",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
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     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
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     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 17
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      "won_percent": "64.7",
      "implied_percent": "64.4",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
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        "implied_percent": "64.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
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        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "65.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
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       {
        "market": "Draw no bet",
        "won": 1,
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        "implied_percent": "65.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
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        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "64.1"
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     "reviewed_after": {
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      "right": 22,
      "wrong": 17,
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     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
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     },
     "eligible": {
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  "headline_record_ids": [
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  "interval_low": "-37.76",
  "interval_high": "34.06",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 3–7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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 "recorded_picks": [
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
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   "evidence": {
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    "source_info": {
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     "flags": [],
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  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 84,
  "before_kickoff": 84,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 84,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
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  "min_hours": 3.0,
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4202
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   },
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  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 173,
  "pages": 10,
  "page_urls": [
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   "/authors/fr10/picks/5/",
   "/authors/fr10/picks/6/",
   "/authors/fr10/picks/7/",
   "/authors/fr10/picks/8/",
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   "/authors/fr10/picks/10/"
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  "groups": {
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   "pending": 6,
   "excluded": 150
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/fr10/",
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 "title_tag": "FR10 Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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    "medium": "Academia das Apostas",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
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    "source_info": "academiadasapostas-com",
    "byline": "FR10",
    "url": "/sources/academiadasapostas-com/",
    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 173,
     "settled_picks": 17,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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     "headline_part": "live",
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 "data_revision": {
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  "sample": {
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   "composition_hash": "c874e1349bf7f0744d9be8ee6bbfb5d02c8fccf738d3aee6fbe80b6207e89a48"
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    "composition_hash": "7318e925f69c07a7573445ae4ec4d50ab6e70fb22a1e0753943bb23bd5d089dc",
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   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 6 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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