{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/florian/", "canonical": "/authors/florian/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Florian: Football Prediction Record", "description": "1 settled pick by Florian recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 20 Oct 2026: won 1 of 1 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Florian before kick-off across 1 match on 20 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 186 predictions we hold for Florian, 64 are linked to matches: 31 were recorded by us before kick-off and 33 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "1", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 1, "date_count": 7, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 2, "restored_count": 27, "of_them_archived": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:19.966Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "5edea22eeebb9efc87c2c6c908213091431cb1d31ed143453590c1b593ee4df3", "dependency_group": "author:e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/florian/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/florian/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f", "public_name": "Florian", "tracker_number": 2793, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "20.0000", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": 1, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:19.966Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 1 settled pick across 1 match", "average_odds": "1.17", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-4c97581a23b8ab0e390eeeb3", "bankroll_hundredths": 1002000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 2000, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-20T21:08:15.472Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1002000, "profit_hundredths": 2000, "outcome_id": "ish-9b592bea27adf307f5a935d9" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-536d6767f4596223634d1aeb", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-536d6767f4596223634d1aeb", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nBialystokBIA\n\n8 von 9\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nKatowiceKAT\n\n8 von 10\n\nEkstraklasa\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n3 von 4\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.42", "fragment_from": 9212, "fragment_to": 9380, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b28b5e1a5cfb0f5b3b9bbe9d", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/11/#pick-n-b28b5e1a5cfb0f5b3b9bbe9d", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nNorderstedtNOR\n\n7 von 9\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nDrochtersen/AsselDRO\n\n8 von 9\n\nAlle\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n3 von 7\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.25", "fragment_from": 8923, "fragment_to": 9105, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b326061849b15d71f4140de3", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/11/#pick-n-b326061849b15d71f4140de3", "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nKuPSKUP\n\n9 von 10\n\nVeikkausliiga\n\nH & A\n\nInter TurkuINT\n\n3× Folge\n\nVeikkausliiga\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n6 von 10\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote2.19", "fragment_from": 8620, "fragment_to": 8801, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-20d72295e2cf3dde7dfd1c33", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-20d72295e2cf3dde7dfd1c33", "quote_text": "SF Siegen erzielt Ü 1,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nKöln IIKÖL\n\n8 von 9\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nSF SiegenSFS\n\n5× Folge\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n2 von 2\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.76", "fragment_from": 8316, "fragment_to": 8512, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-292170a6c38a5cc970b349f8", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-292170a6c38a5cc970b349f8", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nSt. GallenSTG\n\n9 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nFC LuganoFCL\n\n10× Folge\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n5 von 10\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.42", "fragment_from": 8040, "fragment_to": 8206, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5dd10554da2bf30017d8c92d", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-5dd10554da2bf30017d8c92d", "quote_text": "Aue trifft in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nRSV EintrachtRSV\n\n9 von 10\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nAueAUE\n\n7 von 8\n\nAlle\n\nAusw.", "fragment_from": 7772, "fragment_to": 7914, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-1258fb7a776a151cb3782fca", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-1258fb7a776a151cb3782fca", "quote_text": "U 1,5 Tore in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nFC HeidenheimFCH\n\n6 von 7\n\n2BL\n\nH & A\n\nHannoverHAN\n\n9 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n1 von 1\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote2.12", "fragment_from": 7489, "fragment_to": 7660, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "19ef7be2b1de8d0afc7aedd8862a2be85706b4f29ccaf351f3aa0582e17eca9a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T16:44:27.421Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-235b95e808702700b817f0b9", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/10/#pick-n-235b95e808702700b817f0b9", "quote_text": "FC Brügge trifft in 1. 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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d4c9e2ee4e803d334f9d40aa", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/9/#pick-n-d4c9e2ee4e803d334f9d40aa", "quote_text": "TippRyšavý gewinnt2.902/10", "fragment_from": 11956, "fragment_to": 11982, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3186c7268fa8df38731fa4273b15ec39d0cfe61f89b7681e60eaf93ef2204c4a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:44:47.951Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:33:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:44:47.951Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 2, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "display_name": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–29 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "all", "bucket": "Correct run", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 5, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–29 Oct 2026", "rationale": "5 different matches in a row with every counted pick correct, first to last within 28 days; matches kicking off at the same time count as one group. The run ended on Grêmio v Athletico. Data: live record. 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The run ended on Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-s-01-z-b84a14126c-event", "alt": "Florian · 4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 19 Oct–20 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Florian", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 17 Feb 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-20", "evidence_through": "2026-10-20", "earned_at": "2026-10-24", "published_at": "2026-10-26", "visible_until": "2027-02-17", "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 20 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-b84a14126ce737172d2c", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-50daba0e7fe1fc0ad196e957", "data": "2026-10-19", "match": "Mushuc Runa v Orense", "said_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: under 1.5 at 1.59", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/florian/picks/3/#pick-n-50daba0e7fe1fc0ad196e957" }, { "nid": "n-a3299909732b664f4b8a3976", "data": "2026-10-19", "match": "Orsomarso v Bogota FC", "said_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: under 1.5 at 1.45", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/florian/picks/4/#pick-n-a3299909732b664f4b8a3976" }, { "nid": "n-f7a4d4eb9582953455e22829", "data": "2026-10-19", "match": "Corinthians v Vitória", "said_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5, second half: Corinthians over 0.5", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/florian/picks/4/#pick-n-f7a4d4eb9582953455e22829" }, { "nid": "n-d1ceba7b429890e10be33587", "data": "2026-10-20", "match": "IFK Norrkoping v Orebro SK", "said_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5: IFK Norrkoping over 1.5 at 1.6", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/florian/picks/5/#pick-n-d1ceba7b429890e10be33587" } ], "evidence_total": 4, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1102, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1102, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 811, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 811, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 633, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 633, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f/s-01-z-b84a14126c-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-b84a14126ce7", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "streak", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 4, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run-correct-run" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-04432495e0b2dd75bb8a", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "5 right in a row · 29 Oct", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–29 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-04432495e0b2", "event_at": "2026-10-29", "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-04432495e0b2dd75bb8a" }, { "title_id": "zk-b84a14126ce737172d2c", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 20 Oct", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 19 Oct–20 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-b84a14126ce7", "event_at": "2026-10-20", "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-b84a14126ce737172d2c" } ], "record_origin": [], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–29 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-29", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-04432495e0b2" }, { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 19 Oct–20 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-20", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-b84a14126ce7" } ], "record_details": [], "history": [] }, "retro": { "restored_total": 27, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0, "found_post_match": 27, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 2, "date_count": 11, "span_from": "2025-09-18", "span_to": "2026-02-26", "line_text": "restored history: 27, of which pre-match archive 0", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Champions League and Europa League matches between 18 September 2025 and 26 February 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 27. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 27. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 27, "share": "0.5926" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 27, "roi": "19.1852", "ci_low": "-30.3333", "ci_high": "68.7143", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 6, "roi": "23.6983", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 21, "roi": "25.1190", "ci_low": "-25.2750", "ci_high": "73.5556", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Champions League", "Europa League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 13 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 14 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 1, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 1, "median_difference_percent": "-2.5", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" }, { "basis": "closing", "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)", "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)", "compared": 6, "above": 1, "above_share_percent": "16.7", "below": 0, "within": 5, "median_difference_percent": "2.3", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated", "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +2.3% over 6 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately." } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/florian/picks/2/#pick-n-ef57dcebbb8aa1d47add054a", "basis": "closing", "stated": "2.30", "market": "2.15", "difference_percent": "7.0" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "wetttipps-heute.com", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "20.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Florian before kick-off across 1 match on 20 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 186 predictions we hold for Florian, 64 are linked to matches: 31 were recorded by us before kick-off and 33 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+20 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+20.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 21 selections in this historical price series, 0 have a pre-match archive copy and 21 were first found after the match." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 2000, "low": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Florian before kick-off across 1 match on 20 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 186 predictions we hold for Florian, 64 are linked to matches: 31 were recorded by us before kick-off and 33 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/florian/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 186, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 122, "proven_predictions": 31, "proven_checked": 26, "proven_measured": 1, "proven_dates": 7, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 31, "checked": 26, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 2000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "20.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "20.00", "return_other_percent": "17.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 2000, "net_other_points_hundredths": 1700, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "20.00", "return_other_percent": "21.05", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 2000, "net_other_points_hundredths": 2105, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 26, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "83.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "83.3" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 22, "right": 12, "wrong": 10, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 33, "checked": 27, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 21, "void": 0, "matches": 12, "net_points_hundredths": 52750, "staked_hundredths": 210000, "return_percent": "25.12", "interval_low": "-22.33", "interval_high": "72.79", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-09-18", "period_to": "2026-02-26", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 21, "return_main_percent": "25.12", "return_other_percent": "26.90", "settled_excluding_void": 21, "net_main_points_hundredths": 52750, "net_other_points_hundredths": 56500, "period_from": "2025-09-18", "period_to": "2026-02-26" }, { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 6, "return_main_percent": "23.67", "return_other_percent": "23.70", "settled_excluding_void": 6, "net_main_points_hundredths": 14200, "net_other_points_hundredths": 14219, "period_from": "2026-01-07", "period_to": "2026-02-08" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 27, "priced": 21 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 21, "won": 13, "won_percent": "61.9", "implied_percent": "54.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 5, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "42.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 3, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "57.0" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 2, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "68.6" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "51.9" }, { "market": "Corners over/under", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "95.2" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "36.4" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-94a99da2f8ae763ecb3406d5" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 20 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2025-09-18", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-73d58e503dfab253adcd6e33", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/5/#pick-n-73d58e503dfab253adcd6e33", "match": "Daejeon Hana Citizen v Vissel Kobe", "match_url": "/football/matches/daejeon-hana-citizen-vs-vissel-kobe-2026-10-27/", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T10:00:00.000Z", "competition": "AFC Champions League Elite", "lead_hours": 5.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.1", "published_at": "2026-10-26T16:08:33.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T04:44:27.502Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-73d58e503dfab253adcd6e33", "quote_text": "Ü 1,5 Tore in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nDaejeonDAE\n\n7 von 8\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nVissel KobeVIS\n\n3× Folge\n\nJ1 League\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n—\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote2.10", "fragment_from": 1830, "fragment_to": 1997, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c7a1ca2e41b9199bcea87b3809bb871d2e9a589badf019721c0cd134d3a7294f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T16:08:33.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-27T04:44:27.502Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-27T05:01:38.611Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-18ff2399b7e9", "display_name": "Daejeon Hana Citizen — Vissel Kobe", "competition_name": "AFC Champions League Elite", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T10:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/daejeon-hana-citizen-vs-vissel-kobe-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "outcome_label": "over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T16:08:33.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T16:08:33.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-27T04:44:27.502Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "second_half", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Daejeon Hana Citizen 0-1 Vissel Kobe." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f004df1179a7ca0a31a00949db0baf200db3ce751b372a103dc6da6bd33ea566", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T05:01:38.611Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5aeac9f774f9c0548c01d9b619175c07ac9b32d30bcc873d9cd73e5d1370bf51", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Florian", "publisher": "wetttipps-heute.com", "forecaster": "Florian", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half)" } }, { "record_id": "n-94a99da2f8ae763ecb3406d5", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/4/#pick-n-94a99da2f8ae763ecb3406d5", "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona", "match_url": "/football/matches/paris-saint-germain-vs-fc-barcelona-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 17.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.17", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.17", "settled_price": "1.2000", "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T01:59:39.915Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.2000", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 2000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-94a99da2f8ae763ecb3406d5", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nPSGPSG\n\n6 von 7\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nBarcelonaBAR\n\n6 von 7\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n3 von 3\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.17", "fragment_from": 6773, "fragment_to": 6934, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Florian", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a3251080c42352e3eedde2486985df385bbd93d7978f598bb8c6ab783159be8e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T01:59:39.915Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-20T04:17:24.799Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-629fcb555792", "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain — FC Barcelona", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/paris-saint-germain-vs-fc-barcelona-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "4-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.17", "our_snapshot": "1.2000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T01:57:14.849Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T01:59:39.915Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.17", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.17" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 FC Barcelona." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5ff23b63f54da805320d84069e33815a98db218775c93030e0a137c196eef5fd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.17", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 1700, "executed_at": "2026-10-20T04:17:22.468Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "06478e656399a228e02eda782c7012451c89d8e4e4296189ce3a5f7a1b0242bd", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.2000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2000, "executed_at": "2026-10-20T04:17:24.799Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Florian", "publisher": "wetttipps-heute.com", "forecaster": "Florian", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-5c7092a926709780203dace7", "url": "/authors/florian/picks/2/#pick-n-5c7092a926709780203dace7", "match": "VfB Stuttgart v Celtic", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-26T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": -5396.6, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 1.98", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.98", "settled_price": "1.9100", "published_at": "2026-02-25T11:37:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:20:15.039Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d24059532004ba95586cfd30", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Trend\n72%\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6e9bbeedb0ebf50025c9f75c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote1.50", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-515e97af9c6814dbf63ce31f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote1.75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5488a8a61fecf315e16bb517", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Trend\n83%\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nAl MasryALM\n\n7 von 9\n\nBPL\n\nH & A\n\nAbu Qir FertilizersABU\n\n3× Folge\n\nBPL\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n—\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.65", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-953f8a8e73e94b7da7393eed", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Trend\n82%\n\nAl Ahli trifft in 2. HZ", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ae7867250e658a265b3a354d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Trend\n99%\n\nU 1,5 Tore in 2. HZ", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:59:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:59:33.523Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2ce3195c56002882ea7685b8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Alternativ-Tipp\n\nQuote:\n\n1,80\n\nAtalanta trifft 1. HZ", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-24T12:32:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:20:22.905Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3c2ec822dc96d58e43d8a545", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "🎯 Einsatz: 3/10\n\n1. Tor DemirovićErmedin Demirović", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-25T07:05:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:22:41.979Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8869556723389a91017697b7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Alternativ-Tipp\n\nQuote:\n\n3,17\n\nSieg VfB & Unter 3,5 Tore", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-25T07:05:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:22:41.979Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-484c55c741a82883def5b413", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Alternativ-Tipp\n\nQuote:\n\n1,93\n\nSieg SCF & Ü 1,5 Tore", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-23T13:26:43.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:22:47.966Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 60, "before_kickoff": 31, "after_kickoff": 29, "at_least_2h": 31, "share_2h_plus": 51.7, "median_hours": 16.8, "min_hours": 5.3, "max_hours": 59.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 1, "settled_picks_all": 1, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": 2000, "favourite_net_hundredths": 2000, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": 20.0, "favourite_return_percent": 20.0, "author_hit_rate": 100.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 100.0, "picked_favourite_share": 100.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": 2000, "favourite_net_hundredths": 2000, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": 20.0, "favourite_return_percent": 20.0 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2000 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 186, "pages": 11, "page_urls": [ "/authors/florian/", "/authors/florian/picks/2/", "/authors/florian/picks/3/", "/authors/florian/picks/4/", "/authors/florian/picks/5/", "/authors/florian/picks/6/", "/authors/florian/picks/7/", "/authors/florian/picks/8/", "/authors/florian/picks/9/", "/authors/florian/picks/10/", "/authors/florian/picks/11/" ], "groups": { "settled": 29, "pending": 0, "excluded": 157 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/florian/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Florian Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Florian", "main_entity": "e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-ac096cd4280e52a84f46d02f", "medium": "wetttipps-heute.com", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "wetttipps-heute.com", "source_info": "wetttipps-heute-com", "byline": "Florian", "url": "/sources/wetttipps-heute-com/", "summary": { "statements": 272, "predictions": 186, "settled_picks": 1, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 20.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "updated": "2026-10-20", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "composition_hash": "2a6fa68c1d8479794366d9236eec918d8cabde9970e6ebee51bbee71c43b0ca3" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-4615c581d5ce760fe1df", "at": "2026-10-20T21:29:02.148Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "url": "/authors/florian/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "20.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2a6fa68c1d8479794366d9236eec918d8cabde9970e6ebee51bbee71c43b0ca3", "text": "+20.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 1, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2000, "return_percent": "20.0", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.17", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "UEFA Champions League", "in_words": "UEFA Champions League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2000, "return_percent": "20.0", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.17", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, 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