{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "canonical": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Fabio Spanu: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 25 settled picks by Fabio Spanu recorded before kick-off across 22 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −35.5% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 25 settled live picks by Fabio Spanu before kick-off across 22 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.5% on the total staked. Of the 141 predictions we hold for Fabio Spanu, 50 are linked to matches: 49 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−35.5%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 25, "date_count": 19, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:05:43.498Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "9298223541dd07436256ce488c5f01327584fdd9879c036da1db694887ee7607", "dependency_group": "author:e-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9", "public_name": "Fabio Spanu", "tracker_number": 2674, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9-roi-market-price-90d-z99", 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-40250, "outcome_id": "ish-7095c34682fa4d56994ef94d" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:46.611Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949750, "profit_hundredths": -50250, "outcome_id": "ish-d78895f6c491e6cc4604734d" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:46.620Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 974250, "profit_hundredths": -25750, "outcome_id": "ish-5fc95975682cd8fcfbe4e950" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:48.423Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 964250, "profit_hundredths": -35750, "outcome_id": "ish-405e40242f32703d96e4f2e9" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:48.432Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 954250, "profit_hundredths": -45750, "outcome_id": "ish-982c19e1d861a858f1d47841" }, { "at": "2026-10-30T22:10:42.448Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 944250, "profit_hundredths": -55750, "outcome_id": "ish-f46be8d10bd17fb2b153ec85" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:05:25.245Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 934250, "profit_hundredths": -65750, "outcome_id": "ish-ba4b4ade25c80797b900625f" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:34:41.576Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 924250, "profit_hundredths": -75750, "outcome_id": "ish-8aa84bfe46fcb268719a6eef" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T20:10:19.957Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 932834, "profit_hundredths": -67166, "outcome_id": "ish-e8feb703ce2f090d732cfeaf" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T22:13:08.522Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 922834, "profit_hundredths": -77166, "outcome_id": "ish-cca6790491e6a7e8cc1d0419" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T23:11:05.453Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 912834, "profit_hundredths": -87166, "outcome_id": "ish-b74ba1bbad297dfc52f48ba8" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:17.145Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 921334, "profit_hundredths": -78666, "outcome_id": "ish-972886f232020bbce4d4dcea" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:29:08.088Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 911334, "profit_hundredths": -88666, "outcome_id": "ish-02488d86acb2475d7bfc4acc" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 409, "recognised": 141, "accepted": 49, "executed": 33, "calculated": 28, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 78 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 14 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 13 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 3 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 409, "of_them_restored": 6, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 79, "not_about_a_match": 189, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 141, "predictions_restored": 1, "matches": 40, "admitted": 49, "qualifying_picks": 33, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 28, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 30, "settled_picks": 25, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 5, "matches": 22, "operations_settled": 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"/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/9/#pick-n-f064031aa02a44c17549898f", "quote_text": "UNDER/OVER 2.5 –> OVER Bet365.it 1.91 Snai 1.90 Netbet.it 1.87 Starvegas 1.83", "fragment_from": 3888, "fragment_to": 3965, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/celta-vigo-levante-08-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-la-liga/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Spanu", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "570f004c51534b5e114bb8502323e66a63698c97adf0b6ddbe7a7060387dd4b8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T10:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T10:18:57.581Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:57:20.903Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8643628b51cb", "display_name": "Celta Vigo — Levante UD", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T17:30:00.000Z", "url": 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"origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.91", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.91" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 17:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 17:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "848a95b2b09d3730ead7226dd5fe459156f1f5bf15fc9fc041af8a3f58fe07cd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.91", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:57:07.243Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2cb3cd1093bc07e25b557268f907baa529f326093ec5a82e8ec0ab720f42a8b0", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9009", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:57:20.903Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Spanu", "publisher": "infobetting.com", "forecaster": "Fabio Spanu", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/celta-vigo-levante-08-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-la-liga/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3e8082ed4f73b7150a14d5d5", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3e8082ed4f73b7150a14d5d5", "quote_text": "Bordalas verso un 4-4-2 classico.", "fragment_from": 2666, "fragment_to": 2699, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/villarreal-getafe-08-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-la-liga/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Spanu", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7bf22fae8ce3adbb223a860c0bbf6b1c67b0d9cdf26378bbaa8e2b32976f20d7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T09:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T09:18:52.208Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T09:15:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T09:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T09:18:52.208Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8e6c1035f0359fe860380592", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/#pick-n-8e6c1035f0359fe860380592", "quote_text": "ci piace il GOL.\n\nGOL/NOGOL –> GOL Netbet.it 1.98 AdmiralBet 1.98 Starvegas 1.98 Bet365.it 1.95", "fragment_from": 3903, "fragment_to": 3998, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": 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"funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-190938a86c69618ddd9b5113", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/7/#pick-n-190938a86c69618ddd9b5113", "quote_text": "1X2 + GOL/NOGOL –> 2 + G Betflag 2.50", "fragment_from": 4296, "fragment_to": 4333, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/villarreal-paris-saint-germain-03-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-champions-league/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Spanu", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a5c64c3c023bb34327c5d6e317aabaa6ed8755ab6a341fbb37449ed7749a3f5d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:18:55.349Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-737839aede15", "display_name": "Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "0-6", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:18:55.349Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes", "author_odds": "2.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "2-yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes at 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-6", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "40cc15e17301f2c15f71980f77987c8450a25d82aa0002c0c99d25ad56d81884", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "336e648636f3943997a86f5dc77afe9842b2e257d42b0886bd8740d6f4f5ac1d", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Spanu", "publisher": "infobetting.com", "forecaster": "Fabio Spanu", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/villarreal-paris-saint-germain-03-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-champions-league/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0acf78124d52e7758ec1a6de", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/7/#pick-n-0acf78124d52e7758ec1a6de", "quote_text": "UNDER/OVER 3.5 –> OVER Bet365.it 2.05", "fragment_from": 4208, "fragment_to": 4245, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/villarreal-paris-saint-germain-03-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-champions-league/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Spanu", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a5c64c3c023bb34327c5d6e317aabaa6ed8755ab6a341fbb37449ed7749a3f5d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:18:55.349Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-737839aede15", "display_name": "Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "0-6", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.05", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:18:55.349Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.05", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.05" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-6", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "27201a8dfff77ddd889659e1116a5062746594a84f455ae85f36a586d7febc4b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8c393508876cb47a847e39504557892eda71fc0adc1d2412b90e86d73beb0103", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Spanu", "publisher": "infobetting.com", "forecaster": "Fabio Spanu", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/villarreal-paris-saint-germain-03-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-champions-league/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 29, "above": 2, "above_share_percent": "6.9", "below": 0, "within": 27, "median_difference_percent": "1.9", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/7/#pick-n-4293c65941ded4d7d2c063ae", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.03", "market": "1.90", "difference_percent": "6.8" }, { "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/4/#pick-n-8e1d56de538af82aecb88e4f", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.10", "market": "2.00", "difference_percent": "5.0" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "infobetting.com", "url": "https://www.infobetting.com/blog/celta-vigo-levante-08-11-2026-formazioni-quote-pronostici-20262027-la-liga/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -88666, "staked_hundredths": 250000, "return_percent": "-35.47", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 25 settled live picks by Fabio Spanu before kick-off across 22 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.5% on the total staked. Of the 141 predictions we hold for Fabio Spanu, 50 are linked to matches: 49 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "25", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "22", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−886.66 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−35.5%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −72.4% to +3.5%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -909, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10909, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3916, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7584, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2416, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22416, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45964, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55964, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60250, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45750, "n": 17 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55750, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -75750, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67166, "n": 21 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -87166, "n": 23 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -78666, "n": 24 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -88666, "n": 25 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 22, "match_dates": 17, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -88666, "low": { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -88666, "after_picks": 25 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7584, "after_picks": 5 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -909, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10909, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3916, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7584, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2416, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22416, "n": 8, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45964, "n": 12, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55964, "n": 13, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60250, "n": 15, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45750, "n": 17, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55750, "n": 18, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -75750, "n": 20, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67166, "n": 21, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -87166, "n": 23, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -78666, "n": 24, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -88666, "n": 25, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 25 settled live picks by Fabio Spanu before kick-off across 22 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.5% on the total staked. Of the 141 predictions we hold for Fabio Spanu, 50 are linked to matches: 49 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabio-spanu/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 141, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 91, "proven_predictions": 49, "proven_checked": 44, "proven_measured": 25, "proven_dates": 19, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 49, "checked": 44, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 25, "void": 0, "matches": 22, "net_points_hundredths": -88666, "staked_hundredths": 250000, "return_percent": "-35.47", "interval_low": "-72.39", "interval_high": "3.45", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.6", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 7 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 24, "return_main_percent": "-32.78", "return_other_percent": "-31.50", "settled_excluding_void": 24, "net_main_points_hundredths": -78666, "net_other_points_hundredths": -75600, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 21, "return_main_percent": "-23.17", "return_other_percent": "-24.54", "settled_excluding_void": 21, "net_main_points_hundredths": -48666, "net_other_points_hundredths": -51524, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, 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"verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0e3574a533f9028f78e91dcf", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "1X2 + UNDER/OVER 2.5 –> 1 + OVER Bet365.it 1.67 Snai 1.65 Lottomatica 1.58 Starvegas 1.58", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T06:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T06:18:52.324Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bda2681402e3e421319cd59b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "ASIAN HANDICAP -1.50 –> QUOTA1 a 1.75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T06:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T06:18:52.324Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-20a49c36d95869764986ae98", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "GOL + OVER Bet365.it 1.80", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-12T08:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T08:18:56.061Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bcd0676422e3ee28efae5215", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "vittoria dei catalani con entrambe le squadre a segno.\n\n1X2 + GOL/NOGOL –> 2 + G Snai 2.00 Lottomatica 1.97 Bet365.it 1.95 Starvegas 1.93", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-12T06:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T06:18:56.025Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-73448547379c2be88d97e990", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "DRAW NO BET –> 1 Lottomatica 2.40 Bet365.it 2.38 AdmiralBet 2.35 Starvegas 2.35", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-15T06:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T00:08:54.726Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-221b8cb2c65b8d6712dc5b5c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "UNDER/OVER 2.5 –> UNDER Bet365.it 1.91 Lottomatica 1.85 Betfair.it Exchange 1.85 Starvegas 1.82", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-15T06:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T00:08:54.726Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 49, "before_kickoff": 49, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 49, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 33.7, "min_hours": 8.3, "max_hours": 53.7, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 20, "settled_picks_all": 25, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 4, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 200000, "author_net_hundredths": -38666, "favourite_net_hundredths": -37866, "difference_hundredths": -800, "author_return_percent": -19.33, "favourite_return_percent": -18.93, "author_hit_rate": 40.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 45.0, "picked_favourite_share": 85.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 8, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "author_net_hundredths": -30841, "favourite_net_hundredths": -13441, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 4, "picked_favourite": 7, "author_return_percent": -38.55, "favourite_return_percent": -16.8 }, { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 8, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "author_net_hundredths": -4909, "favourite_net_hundredths": -39409, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 7, "author_return_percent": -6.14, "favourite_return_percent": -49.26 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 4, "staked_hundredths": 40000, "author_net_hundredths": -2916, "favourite_net_hundredths": 14984, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 3, "author_return_percent": -7.29, "favourite_return_percent": 37.46 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -909, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -909 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-16T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 6084, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6084 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 17584, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17584 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7584, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7584 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2416, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2416 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -12416, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12416 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -22416, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22416 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -15964, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -15964 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -25964, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -8564 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35964, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -18564 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -45964, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -28564 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -40250, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22850 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -50250, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -32850 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -25750, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -42850 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35750, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -52850 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -27166, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -44266 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -37166, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -36366 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -28666, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27866 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38666, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -37866 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 141, "pages": 9, "page_urls": [ "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/2/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/3/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/4/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/5/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/6/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/7/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/", "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/9/" ], "groups": { "settled": 28, "pending": 5, "excluded": 108 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Fabio Spanu Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Fabio Spanu", "main_entity": "e-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-a136baade297a7aa2f26aab9", "medium": "Redazione", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "infobetting.com", "source_info": "infobetting-com", "byline": "Fabio Spanu", "url": "/sources/infobetting-com/", "summary": { "statements": 409, "predictions": 141, "settled_picks": 25, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -35.47, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "3fec435f6354ba5ad85a34a86644d3ce2d74987c00b2d62308d5b86e2a0fbae2" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-693052b4f4c2aa35c6e6", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-32.78", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4ec4abf584fca241ef4f2c7c5b13c1b52c26acbfc32fb2f0e99eb20c744ef5de", "text": "−32.78% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-35.47", "settled_picks": 25, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3fec435f6354ba5ad85a34a86644d3ce2d74987c00b2d62308d5b86e2a0fbae2", "text": "−35.47% on 25 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-da11c4ef5e7857872668", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "-37.90", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 20, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2c5952d4d5289bf71ee20828e3a8cc3445641d976abeefc44f5790b5560e2c54", "text": "−37.90% on 23 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-32.78", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4ec4abf584fca241ef4f2c7c5b13c1b52c26acbfc32fb2f0e99eb20c744ef5de", "text": "−32.78% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b8b18577c56140c2ebbb", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-31.98", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c2acec4dc43cdbd90f685eaf04f207cb5a2ee9ac199c5aab96472f84829d785a", "text": "−31.98% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "-37.90", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 20, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2c5952d4d5289bf71ee20828e3a8cc3445641d976abeefc44f5790b5560e2c54", "text": "−37.90% on 23 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-0c0ffe6e377c2afed2af", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-37.88", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a20fd5c86d080be14156f85ce977311d2612b391c5be1421cda165439a53d455", "text": "−37.88% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-31.98", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c2acec4dc43cdbd90f685eaf04f207cb5a2ee9ac199c5aab96472f84829d785a", "text": "−31.98% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c4aed9326ae7a3878d34", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-30.97", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f4738b81a21431a0a4a0798b73f6960c4deaaea710f39aa491dcf287ac54581d", "text": "−30.97% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-37.88", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a20fd5c86d080be14156f85ce977311d2612b391c5be1421cda165439a53d455", "text": "−37.88% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-529733ed898311249d8c", "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-26.91", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5564e2f9f2f014498f6b9a743ad5c02402ed6940a8dd3b9c2c8483870c84c4ad", "text": "−26.91% on 17 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-30.97", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f4738b81a21431a0a4a0798b73f6960c4deaaea710f39aa491dcf287ac54581d", "text": "−30.97% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-74574a80626aa838cff5", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-30.96", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3ab8ec8b779f9d84847af837f6a7f072f1d791645052816ebb9ea7f4cd56e279", "text": "−30.96% on 13 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-26.91", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5564e2f9f2f014498f6b9a743ad5c02402ed6940a8dd3b9c2c8483870c84c4ad", "text": "−26.91% on 17 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6384988aa16f44cd7626", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-38.30", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "eef2ce66252bae8119686c289e84f916799e2f5cd31fd2def8644cf02fea57b8", "text": "−38.30% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-30.96", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3ab8ec8b779f9d84847af837f6a7f072f1d791645052816ebb9ea7f4cd56e279", "text": "−30.96% on 13 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-858f02237f219dfdd7bb", "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-32.69", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "490290822ee40d2672498cf2aee845bb382cc6aa019b1fa37772a2cabd78e843", "text": "−32.69% on 11 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-38.30", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "eef2ce66252bae8119686c289e84f916799e2f5cd31fd2def8644cf02fea57b8", "text": "−38.30% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-9aa04669e0762d5b6bf5", "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-23.4", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-25.96", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8650412de858182a40c1d0a7f606bee6a91b7b1ec9dd9a2b061127b6d6691e3d", "text": "−25.96% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-32.69", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "490290822ee40d2672498cf2aee845bb382cc6aa019b1fa37772a2cabd78e843", "text": "−32.69% on 11 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-31fc7b6fc5c5f41a6f33", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "-28.02", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c0d63422953e78fe4b2582dd76dea54e9e794ae001a0e20e863c9e1c7d8bbb52", "text": "−224.16 points on 8 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-25.96", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8650412de858182a40c1d0a7f606bee6a91b7b1ec9dd9a2b061127b6d6691e3d", "text": "−25.96% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a6074a5a20f08bfabbbe", "at": "2026-10-20T21:29:02.148Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.7", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "-4.03", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ef9349586ca77b01f3ff1486a7ee6d1dd40e38eece2943a389b49f725832311a", "text": "−24.16 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "-28.02", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c0d63422953e78fe4b2582dd76dea54e9e794ae001a0e20e863c9e1c7d8bbb52", "text": "−224.16 points on 8 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-093bccb6751f428ec1b0", "at": "2026-10-19T23:18:20.062Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "15.17", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a5767cd0a8aedb6a63d3dd262fe6f5d62b7a600840db7d4dce5ac45e4ec23007", "text": "+75.84 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "-4.03", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ef9349586ca77b01f3ff1486a7ee6d1dd40e38eece2943a389b49f725832311a", "text": "−24.16 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ad091dd2ef7dbda96827", "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.5", "return_percent": "-9.79", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0ead3c154c5f60e0af9567788b57209de871f6832bd6a0cf19334295be0068b2", "text": "−39.16 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "15.17", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a5767cd0a8aedb6a63d3dd262fe6f5d62b7a600840db7d4dce5ac45e4ec23007", "text": "+75.84 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-71dcc3322ac249dd3f86", "at": "2026-10-18T08:07:07.527Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.4", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "20.28", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2b292ef33d79ac3729691b6ddebf04af31bb8c4f35cdca8fd5cb83ede8f79355", "text": "+60.84 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.5", "return_percent": "-9.79", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0ead3c154c5f60e0af9567788b57209de871f6832bd6a0cf19334295be0068b2", "text": "−39.16 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c57e8d9d1b6427f053d6", "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z", "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-4.54", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "41a7592954098075ef838b8a802f005681bbd65d9ba854dd77acc483eb81f6db", "text": "−9.09 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "20.28", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2b292ef33d79ac3729691b6ddebf04af31bb8c4f35cdca8fd5cb83ede8f79355", "text": "+60.84 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-56c151185ebc5771e06a", "at": "2026-10-13T21:34:28.953Z", "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "48a04e2a96b2fad7f48b1f7a630958240faafcc180c7a5f6ed5fd954c0cb1348", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-4.54", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "41a7592954098075ef838b8a802f005681bbd65d9ba854dd77acc483eb81f6db", "text": "−9.09 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a0bd51f2650350d406ed", "at": "2026-10-11T19:38:24.634Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.5", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "48a04e2a96b2fad7f48b1f7a630958240faafcc180c7a5f6ed5fd954c0cb1348", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-556101c6a4b849c59757" } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 5, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-aa1a8cb888d7d5352c178883", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/#pick-n-aa1a8cb888d7d5352c178883", "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.83", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T07:18:52.192Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-935bc59469480ffc32a8fe0f", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/#pick-n-935bc59469480ffc32a8fe0f", "match": "Elche v Real Betis", "match_url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-real-betis-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.2", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T07:18:52.428Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-6ff2a565650b6d43514f9c5f", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/#pick-n-6ff2a565650b6d43514f9c5f", "match": "Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano", "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-rayo-vallecano-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T15:15:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Sociedad at 1.7", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T08:18:52.239Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-f064031aa02a44c17549898f", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/9/#pick-n-f064031aa02a44c17549898f", "match": "Celta Vigo v Levante UD", "match_url": "/football/matches/celta-vigo-vs-levante-ud-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.91", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T10:18:57.581Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-84fe926ce44105c5319bd6c0", "url": "/authors/fabio-spanu/picks/8/#pick-n-84fe926ce44105c5319bd6c0", "match": "Vitória Guimarães v FC Porto", "match_url": "/football/matches/vitoria-guimaraes-vs-fc-porto-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T18:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.95", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:18:34.462Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 25, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 9, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -40841, "return_percent": "-45.4", "period_from": "2026-10-11", 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