{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "canonical": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Fabio Larosa: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 11 settled picks by Fabio Larosa recorded before kick-off across 6 matches, 3 Nov 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −35.1% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Fabio Larosa before kick-off across 6 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.1% on the total staked. Of the 68 predictions we hold for Fabio Larosa, 57 are linked to matches: 57 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−35.1%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 20, "date_count": 5, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:52:42.009Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "129ef790fed670844d89fd79dab2c44f6a0d57b1984d34e6d9620c6627710fc6", "dependency_group": "author:e-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47", "public_name": "Fabio Larosa", "tracker_number": 6605, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-11-01", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-35.1418", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 11, "n_events": 6, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:52:42.009Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 11 settled picks across 6 matches", "average_odds": "1.97", "odds_from_author": 11, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-1e4b42d2f56c7afd6a1468b2", "bankroll_hundredths": 961344, "reserve_hundredths": 160000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -38656, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:39.397Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-0e61029baff8d36112ba7cc7" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:39.407Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-875c4b06441a0d9008e76bfe" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:43.234Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 984881, "profit_hundredths": -15119, "outcome_id": "ish-972d3594687584071dd1c0ec" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:12.155Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 996581, "profit_hundredths": -3419, "outcome_id": "ish-88ada3b55f61baa17a76af27" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:14.501Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1006081, "profit_hundredths": 6081, "outcome_id": "ish-98934cc05dfae58f4e494ec0" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:59.040Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 996081, "profit_hundredths": -3919, "outcome_id": "ish-024aae97256badf6c26f9716" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:59.094Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 986081, "profit_hundredths": -13919, "outcome_id": "ish-818a5ea891c4db11eafdc5be" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:07.319Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 991344, "profit_hundredths": -8656, "outcome_id": "ish-0f80b725fad5cb91b138610a" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:01:58.729Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 981344, "profit_hundredths": -18656, "outcome_id": "ish-14284142a594f2395809ee36" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:01:58.756Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 971344, "profit_hundredths": -28656, "outcome_id": "ish-a84caaf03a955a85000ec0cc" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:02:04.179Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 961344, "profit_hundredths": -38656, "outcome_id": "ish-b9f4715e483a7479ed40dac0" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 110, "recognised": 68, "accepted": 43, "executed": 29, "calculated": 13, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 14 }, { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 13 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 8 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 4 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 110, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 13, "not_about_a_match": 29, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 68, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 16, "admitted": 43, "qualifying_picks": 29, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 13, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 27, "settled_picks": 11, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 16, "matches": 6, "operations_settled": 11, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 28, "settled_picks": 13, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 15, "matches": 6, "operations_settled": 13, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "derived_series", "derived": true, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 13, "settled_picks": 8, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 5, "matches": 8, "operations_settled": 8, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 14 }, { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 13 }, { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 8 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 4 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-c22aad4ad6b6750465513aab", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c22aad4ad6b6750465513aab", "quote_text": "Weston McKennie also a fitness concern.", "fragment_from": 2825, "fragment_to": 2864, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/fiorentina-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-08-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f4adc2b70b096f1ba621e27665a427d70b59f9e8e8a2cd78b9dfb8baca5a1796", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T11:14:17.007Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { 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outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2fbc3ec5be0553900723212d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2fbc3ec5be0553900723212d", "quote_text": "Kenan Yildiz, Manuel Locatelli and Khephren Thuram among several absentees", "fragment_from": 2746, "fragment_to": 2820, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/fiorentina-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-08-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f4adc2b70b096f1ba621e27665a427d70b59f9e8e8a2cd78b9dfb8baca5a1796", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T11:14:17.007Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, 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"cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-12ced2b8a607", "display_name": "Fiorentina — Juventus", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.6", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T11:14:17.007Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, 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null, "bundle_id": "f4adc2b70b096f1ba621e27665a427d70b59f9e8e8a2cd78b9dfb8baca5a1796", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T11:14:17.007Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-12ced2b8a607", "display_name": "Fiorentina — Juventus", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.28", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:05:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T11:14:17.007Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Juventus", "author_odds": "1.28", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Juventus at 1.28" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:45 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:45 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null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T14:11:03.500Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "491956d9769d0eca71f1f081949ceda1fb59dc1516a2fe10f62c079c34c29206", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lazio", "decimal_odds": "2.9600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T14:11:03.546Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Larosa", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Fabio Larosa", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, 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"cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T11:19:18.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T11:19:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T11:24:17.192Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": 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"ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T13:16:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T13:16:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T13:24:17.797Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "author_odds": "1.99", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.99" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "716f817f308083cc3849228102ab8559f5f1e21c8f92e774ef1dd6e9c20a868b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.99", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9900, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T21:38:11.209Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "50251abcf36f6c4a310255225d5e494c5f973c41518b1a4c07ff5f25ab0d9776", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T21:38:17.454Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Larosa", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Fabio Larosa", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/az-alkmaar-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-05-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-dd93e07bd4d52828ad69bf5e", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/3/#pick-n-dd93e07bd4d52828ad69bf5e", "quote_text": "Whispers predicts: AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Juventus", "fragment_from": 3334, "fragment_to": 3376, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/az-alkmaar-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-05-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "880b6a532367c0c6bfc9de37faf77f7ff06fb2e14a76136485502c96b5b7e753", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T13:16:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T13:24:17.797Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T13:16:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T13:16:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T13:24:17.797Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Juventus", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "0-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Juventus" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "40a143798a620c6c294adc7473450b62f0cd3ac90171730fa686e399de07b83f", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T21:38:18.287Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Larosa", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Fabio Larosa", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/az-alkmaar-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-05-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 26, "above": 4, "above_share_percent": "15.4", "below": 1, "within": 21, "median_difference_percent": "0.1", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/2/#pick-n-63297efa1b4e148c9079945e", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "3.30", "market": "2.71", "difference_percent": "21.8" }, { "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "3.55", "market": "2.96", "difference_percent": "19.9" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "footballwhispers.com", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/fiorentina-juventus-prediction-preview-betting-tips-08-11-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-11-01", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -38656, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "-35.14", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Fabio Larosa before kick-off across 6 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.1% on the total staked. Of the 68 predictions we hold for Fabio Larosa, 57 are linked to matches: 57 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "11", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "6", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−386.56 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−35.1%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15119, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1844, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8656, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38656, "n": 11 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 6, "match_dates": 4, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -38656, "low": { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38656, "after_picks": 11 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1844, "after_picks": 5 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15119, "n": 3, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1844, "n": 5, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8656, "n": 8, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38656, "n": 11, "picks": 3 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Fabio Larosa before kick-off across 6 matches between 3 and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −35.1% on the total staked. Of the 68 predictions we hold for Fabio Larosa, 57 are linked to matches: 57 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabio-larosa/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 68, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 11, "proven_predictions": 57, "proven_checked": 31, "proven_measured": 20, "proven_dates": 5, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 57, "checked": 31, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 11, "void": 0, "matches": 6, "net_points_hundredths": -38656, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "-35.14", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 11, "return_main_percent": "-35.14", "return_other_percent": "-34.73", "settled_excluding_void": 11, "net_main_points_hundredths": -38656, "net_other_points_hundredths": -38200, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 8, "return_main_percent": "-10.82", "return_other_percent": "-13.42", "settled_excluding_void": 8, "net_main_points_hundredths": -8656, "net_other_points_hundredths": -10733, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 9, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 9, "outcome_hits": 4, "outcome_rate": 44.4, "baseline_matches": 9, "baseline_distinct_matches": 9, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 4, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 44.4, "favourite_hits": 6, "favourite_rate": 66.7, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 5, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 9 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 4 of 9 matches; the market favourite was right in 6 of the same 9 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 31, "priced": 11 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 11, "won": 4, "won_percent": "36.4", "implied_percent": "54.4", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "44.1" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "51.9" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "66.6" }, { "market": "Team goals", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "59.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "65.5" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 10, "right": 3, "wrong": 7, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-3d426966738db201c411ae17", "n-4f954c0b296b67ac34623e87", "n-54f4355d37d4e178c899527b", "n-63297efa1b4e148c9079945e", "n-63b9aee6b00b6b69b50f5a77", "n-715ccc3a3e4d77b9b366be6b", "n-7539ae8584a8d6edcf004535", "n-a977d8c62f084e04cca3afac", "n-c01d694121219d1bee479a8c", "n-cef11be9d771b595959238c0", "n-f705ab16c77530bead431120" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 3–7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-11-01", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-715ccc3a3e4d77b9b366be6b", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/3/#pick-n-715ccc3a3e4d77b9b366be6b", "match": "Cagliari v Frosinone", "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 51.4, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Frosinone at 1.44", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.44", "settled_price": "1.4400", 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"published_at": "2026-11-06T09:12:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:24:17.492Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0d5903a2d5671daa5b9d6810", "quote_text": "Double Chance X2 at 1.77 is the more cautious alternative to an away win, covering a draw as well as another Lazio victory.", "fragment_from": 4506, "fragment_to": 4629, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/napoli-vs-lazio-prediction-08-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "158261e823e7b551b1e65ed0ac666d2a354d6e308d2df77dd0ed855ffee0b132", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": 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"Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T14:11:03.680Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Larosa", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Fabio Larosa", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/napoli-vs-lazio-prediction-08-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "draw or Lazio" } }, { "record_id": "n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "match": "SSC Napoli v Lazio", "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-lazio-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 50.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Lazio at 3.55", "quote": null, "group": "pending", "outcome": "Pending", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "awaiting the final score", "reason_code": "waiting", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T09:12:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:24:17.492Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "quote_text": "Lazio to Win at 3.55 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"late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lazio", "author_odds": "3.55", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Lazio at 3.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 11:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 11:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "04b827ba610979338d24d30251afd23eef67dbcfeca354b036c97eca42b9093d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lazio", "decimal_odds": "3.55", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T14:11:03.500Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "491956d9769d0eca71f1f081949ceda1fb59dc1516a2fe10f62c079c34c29206", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lazio", "decimal_odds": "2.9600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T14:11:03.546Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Fabio Larosa", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Fabio Larosa", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/napoli-vs-lazio-prediction-08-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Lazio to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-27a0ab4d5a8f51266d10c79c", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-27a0ab4d5a8f51266d10c79c", "match": "AS Roma v Sassuolo", "match_url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-sassuolo-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": 56.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.98", "quote": null, "group": "pending", "outcome": "Pending", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "awaiting the final score", "reason_code": "waiting", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:19:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T11:24:17.192Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-27a0ab4d5a8f51266d10c79c", "quote_text": "We also like Over 3.5 Total Goals at 1.98, a more ambitious pick supported by Roma's prolific attack and Sassuolo's recent run of high-scoring defeats.", "fragment_from": 4115, "fragment_to": 4266, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/roma-vs-sassuolo-prediction-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a5261eaf454b23283ad79749591c565a91d913cb10916097ed4f573dfda0c5e9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:19:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T11:24:17.192Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T11:28:47.097Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3299a002210a", "display_name": "AS Roma — Sassuolo", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-sassuolo-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "no_result" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.98", "our_snapshot": "1.9524", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T11:23:15.704Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an 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"picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3462f0692a7f1eb8b89e53c1", "quote_text": "Whispers predicts: Feyenoord 1-3 Inter", "fragment_from": 3354, "fragment_to": 3392, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/feyenoord-vs-inter-milan-prediction-3-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabio Larosa", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fdcd885cbafd4b097aadc250c5c37143e2e50bb93b0fef4309d1d084f9b028e9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:28:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T13:34:22.976Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c7d02fec7631", "display_name": "Feyenoord — Inter", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/feyenoord-vs-inter-2026-11-03/", 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score", "choice": "Feyenoord 1-3 Inter", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Feyenoord 1-3 Inter" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Feyenoord 0-3 Inter." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "55d34cf90599c6d76040ab2649443102db805eab04400e80b72910bc164c0e09", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Inter", "decimal_odds": "1.7519", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7519, "executed_at": 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"Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:24:24.450Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c6abf806bbc2af9741f26baa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Whispers predicts: Genoa 2-2 Milan", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:24:24.450Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c1c535b6bbfc912d6b859a94", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Draw at 3.60 | Likelihood: Possible", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:24:24.450Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a369d8b963864d25639dd2ab", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Half-Time Draw / Full-Time Torino at 5.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-05T09:24:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T09:34:17.265Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bc690c127bd68ea7c28f3ae1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Omari Hutchinson Anytime Goalscorer at 3.70", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-03T09:43:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T09:54:19.042Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3b5242f15dfb0a9b9275c840", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "BTTS – Yes at 1.91", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-03T09:43:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T09:54:19.042Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-007e0727f5eec39ed2c79ef9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "AC Milan/AC Milan HT/FT at 1.91", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-03T09:43:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T09:54:19.042Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-afc2c37b47126afbc7ad0702", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Whispers predicts: AC Milan 3-1 Ferencváros", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-03T09:43:50.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T09:54:19.042Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2fbf166611302e21fe462d56", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Como to Score First at 1.78 | Likelihood: Likely", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:42:42.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:19.358Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-338c88ba1cafc71d9d8e7608", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "BTTS – Yes & Over 2.5 goals at 1.65", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:28:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T13:34:22.976Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 57, "before_kickoff": 57, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 57, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 53.9, "min_hours": 50.1, "max_hours": 57.3, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 12, "settled_picks_all": 19, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 4, "no_recorded_line": 3, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 120000, "author_net_hundredths": -557, "favourite_net_hundredths": 46243, "difference_hundredths": -46800, "author_return_percent": -0.46, "favourite_return_percent": 38.54, "author_hit_rate": 50.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 66.7, "picked_favourite_share": 83.3, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 12, "staked_hundredths": 120000, "author_net_hundredths": -557, "favourite_net_hundredths": 46243, "author_hits": 6, "favourite_hits": 8, "picked_favourite": 10, "author_return_percent": -0.46, "favourite_return_percent": 38.54 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7519, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7519 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2481, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 20919 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -12481, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34319 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2957, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 43843 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 8743, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 55543 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 20443, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 67243 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 10443, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 57243 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 19943, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 66743 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 29443, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 76243 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 19443, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 66243 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9443, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 56243 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -557, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 46243 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 68, "pages": 5, "page_urls": [ "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/2/", "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/3/", "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/", "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/5/" ], "groups": { "settled": 13, "pending": 16, "excluded": 39 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Fabio Larosa Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Fabio Larosa", "main_entity": "e-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-332a94daef7ad5f0e6e6dd47", "medium": "Football Whispers", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "footballwhispers.com", "source_info": "football-whispers", "byline": "Fabio Larosa", "url": "/sources/football-whispers/", "summary": { "statements": 110, "predictions": 68, "settled_picks": 11, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -35.14, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-11-01", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "4057c13e204b3788421d986574cd42202aac4138d2e76d9cec2ea89aec41c172" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-31d651b06937c7b8c948", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "12.16", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a7e2607259f9690193de768b90cf5bc44f248e7f6077260b9357781c01ec1d5b", "text": "+60.81 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-35.14", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4057c13e204b3788421d986574cd42202aac4138d2e76d9cec2ea89aec41c172", "text": "−35.14% on 11 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 6, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b52ce83e3073799dfa72", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-8.55", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d9a79d37f63f3c03ee5120562dc3854757aaef35574938f8e1c5fb2047e0fb9", "text": "−34.19 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "12.16", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a7e2607259f9690193de768b90cf5bc44f248e7f6077260b9357781c01ec1d5b", "text": "+60.81 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b8d9624fef69d1100383", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-50.40", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f954162c63641853f527412c929cf08f1f6e70bddc41d66f2489f4f76e7b91d2", "text": "−151.19 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-8.55", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d9a79d37f63f3c03ee5120562dc3854757aaef35574938f8e1c5fb2047e0fb9", "text": "−34.19 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c037200774372505fef6", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-50.40", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f954162c63641853f527412c929cf08f1f6e70bddc41d66f2489f4f76e7b91d2", "text": "−151.19 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 8, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-7a1b69588c6c5574e2de82a2", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-7a1b69588c6c5574e2de82a2", "match": "SSC Napoli v Lazio", "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-lazio-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.65", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:24:17.492Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-0d5903a2d5671daa5b9d6810", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-0d5903a2d5671daa5b9d6810", "match": "SSC Napoli v Lazio", "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-lazio-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Lazio at 1.77", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:24:17.492Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-679968644cfc5094f612165e", "match": "SSC Napoli v Lazio", "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-lazio-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Lazio at 3.55", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:24:17.492Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-780517369c4e1926dff019cb", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-780517369c4e1926dff019cb", "match": "Monza v Atalanta", "match_url": "/football/matches/monza-vs-atalanta-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.52", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:54:17.095Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-fca8ea2f794df3c46f971fd3", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-fca8ea2f794df3c46f971fd3", "match": "Monza v Atalanta", "match_url": "/football/matches/monza-vs-atalanta-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Atalanta win, both teams to score: yes at 3.3", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:54:17.095Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-a91ed40d0494c10231066aeb", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/4/#pick-n-a91ed40d0494c10231066aeb", "match": "Monza v Atalanta", "match_url": "/football/matches/monza-vs-atalanta-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Correct score: Monza 1-3 Atalanta", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:54:17.095Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-4921d2454f8cae4a9e57f0df", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/5/#pick-n-4921d2454f8cae4a9e57f0df", "match": "Inter v Como", "match_url": "/football/matches/inter-vs-como-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.42", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T11:04:17.127Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-870c8c5c49eb83e548664164", "url": "/authors/fabio-larosa/picks/5/#pick-n-870c8c5c49eb83e548664164", "match": "Inter v Como", "match_url": "/football/matches/inter-vs-como-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 4", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T11:04:17.127Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 11, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1200, "return_percent": "3.0", "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.47", "odds_from_author": 4, 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"Serie A", "in_words": "Serie A", "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -30000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-11-07", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.90", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-11-07", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.44", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-11-07", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.40", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "team_total", "in_words": 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