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 "heading": "Fabian Schuster: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 103 settled picks by Fabian Schuster recorded before kick-off across 61 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 103 settled live picks by Fabian Schuster before kick-off across 61 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.2% on the total staked. Of the 601 predictions we hold for Fabian Schuster, 367 are linked to matches: 266 were recorded by us before kick-off and 101 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-29T03:07:16.661Z",
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-29T05:08:39.693Z",
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    "outcome_id": "ish-3e04b2986ca4388f83f682c4"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-29T05:08:39.736Z",
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:42.520Z",
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    "outcome_id": "ish-488d4eada00890d63e917094"
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   {
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   {
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T15:37:41.861Z",
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    "outcome_id": "ish-ac498afdc6d84624b12992be"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T15:50:28.948Z",
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   {
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-02T04:04:06.710Z",
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   {
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   {
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   {
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:14.436Z",
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    "outcome_id": "ish-23a1c73c8ebf58938f7e5f66"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:14.453Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 852684,
    "profit_hundredths": -147316,
    "outcome_id": "ish-8df3ab1bef5b934faaf8abc7"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:14.467Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 842684,
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    "outcome_id": "ish-1071f13b73467720dcf1e19e"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:16.875Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 832684,
    "profit_hundredths": -167316,
    "outcome_id": "ish-fd3652738898d455284d4231"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:21.116Z",
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:41.806Z",
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    "profit_hundredths": -148723,
    "outcome_id": "ish-267f1c7785c5183067118fac"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:41.821Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 841277,
    "profit_hundredths": -158723,
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   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T17:02:00.023Z",
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    "profit_hundredths": -153473,
    "outcome_id": "ish-1d08feaf8467c8271f859c32"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T17:02:00.034Z",
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   },
   {
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    "profit_hundredths": -167084,
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  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
  "series_key": "market_price",
  "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 2011,
  "recognised": 601,
  "accepted": 335,
  "executed": 192,
  "calculated": 170,
  "gaps": [
   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 155
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 129
   },
   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 72
   },
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 28
   },
   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 12
   },
   {
    "cause": "National-team matches",
    "figure": 10
   },
   {
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 1
   }
  ]
 },
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "statements": 2011,
  "of_them_restored": 458,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 336,
   "not_about_a_match": 983,
   "unclassified": 0
  },
  "predictions": 601,
  "predictions_restored": 82,
  "matches": 118,
  "admitted": 335,
  "qualifying_picks": 192,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 50,
  "settled_picks": 170,
  "settled_picks_restored": 43,
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "market_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": false,
    "qualifying_picks": 112,
    "settled_picks": 103,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 9,
    "matches": 61,
    "operations_settled": 103,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": false,
    "qualifying_picks": 139,
    "settled_picks": 124,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 15,
    "matches": 69,
    "operations_settled": 124,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.1",
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 12,
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 2,
    "matches": 5,
    "operations_settled": 10,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 39,
    "settled_picks": 36,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 3,
    "matches": 12,
    "operations_settled": 36,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 50,
    "settled_picks": 43,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 7,
    "matches": 13,
    "operations_settled": 43,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 155
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 129
   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 72
   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 28
   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 12
   },
   {
    "code_name": "outside_coverage",
    "cause": "National-team matches",
    "figure": 10
   },
   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_admitted",
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 1
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {
   "ads": 44,
   "service": 6
  },
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f6c865ba7cd8c9dece297608",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f6c865ba7cd8c9dece297608",
   "quote_text": "Stürmer Israel Salazar fällt aus.",
   "fragment_from": 8215,
   "fragment_to": 8248,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/gd-estoril-praia-maritimo-prognose-08-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Fabian Schuster",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-df8042fd7ae374d0295e577e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-df8042fd7ae374d0295e577e",
   "quote_text": "Marítimo könnte im 3-4-3 antreten, Mitchell van der Gaag hat allerdings auch eine Viererkette einstudiert.",
   "fragment_from": 5929,
   "fragment_to": 6035,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/gd-estoril-praia-maritimo-prognose-08-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Fabian Schuster",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "032acb4a84c7da764894f231962a2da171901da1f392d10f9b57892b7ed518ff",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-29792db534302a19473bc4bf",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-29792db534302a19473bc4bf",
   "quote_text": "Maxime Dominguez könnte in den Kader zurückkehren, sein Einsatz ist aber nicht sicher.",
   "fragment_from": 5626,
   "fragment_to": 5712,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/gd-estoril-praia-maritimo-prognose-08-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Fabian Schuster",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T07:05:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:27:11.598Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-469afc8539087b3d3f99dcf8",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-469afc8539087b3d3f99dcf8",
   "quote_text": "Van der Gaag hat sowohl eine Dreierkette als auch eine Viererkette einstudiert und kann am Sonntag zwischen beiden Varianten wählen.",
   "fragment_from": 5493,
   "fragment_to": 5625,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/gd-estoril-praia-maritimo-prognose-08-11-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Fabian Schuster",
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   "quote_text": "Alexandre Dujeux hat zugleich eingeräumt, dass das Zusammenspiel im Angriff besser werden muss.",
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   "quote_text": "Unentschieden nach regulärer Spielzeit\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n3,30",
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   "quote_text": "Dieses eher torarme Ergebnis mahnt zur Vorsicht.",
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   "quote_text": "Weil Atalanta in der Abwehr auf Isak Hien und Odilon Kossounou verzichten muss",
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   "quote_text": "Aus Wettsicht bleibt die geschwächte Abwehr jedoch das größere Problem.",
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   "quote_text": "Eine Wette auf über 2,5 Tore ist daher riskanter, auch wenn Magdeburgs jüngste Torausbeute",
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   "quote_text": "In den letzten vier aufgeführten Begegnungen fielen jeweils weniger als 3,5 Tore.",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3047240f31fc2fc14c2f5176",
   "quote_text": "Gísli Thórdarson und Mathias Pereira Lage fallen aus.",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-805318a63ca5ede8e73db3bf",
   "quote_text": "St. Pauli verlor sein jüngstes Ligaspiel gegen Nürnberg mit 1:3",
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   "quote_text": "Lubambo Musonda und Moritz-Broni Kwarteng fallen aus.",
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T09:54:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T10:12:10.851Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 44,
  "service": 6,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
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 "standing": {
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   {
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    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
    "type_code": null,
    "bucket_code": "all",
    "bucket": "Lone correct call",
    "measure": null,
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    "n_bets": 1,
    "n_events": null,
    "amount": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026",
    "rationale": "Draw called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
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    "anchor_id": "standing-c-02-all-event",
    "alt": "Fabian Schuster · Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabian-schuster/#title-lone-correct-call\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/c-02-all-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Fabian Schuster · Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"1168\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 4 Feb 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
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    "evidence_through": "2026-11-06",
    "earned_at": "2026-11-06",
    "published_at": "2026-11-07",
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      "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win)",
      "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/25/#pick-n-e6e1efd1f52be18c4b9a1eff"
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      {
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      {
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     "contract_version": 1,
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     "probability": null,
     "one_in": null,
     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-lone-correct-call"
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   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "display_name": "Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
    "type_code": null,
    "bucket_code": "all",
    "bucket": "Long-price call",
    "measure": null,
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    "n_bets": 1,
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    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "Draw called correctly at 3.50 (our pre-match price). 18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (13 named home win, 4 named draw, 1 named away win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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    "anchor_id": "standing-e-07-all-event",
    "alt": "Fabian Schuster · Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabian-schuster/#title-long-price-call\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-all-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Fabian Schuster · Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"746\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 23 Jan 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
    "amount_words": null,
    "interval_words": null,
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "status": "active",
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    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-25",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26",
    "visible_until": "2027-01-23",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.50 · 25 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-302016dc92c8ee8cd90f",
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      "match": "Monaco v Lille",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 3.5,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (13 named home win, 4 named draw, 1 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/15/#pick-n-3bfdae9e9bc33d88a9ee343a"
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    "evidence_total": 1,
    "badge": {
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       "url": "/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-all-event-l-light.svg"
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       "url": "/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-all-event-l-dark.svg"
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       "theme": "light",
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       "height": 28,
       "url": "/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-all-event-m-light.svg"
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    "profile_anchor": "title-302016dc92c8",
    "chance": {
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     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.290698,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.54,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "display_name": "Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
    "type_code": null,
    "bucket_code": "z-b9b44f3007",
    "bucket": "Long-price call",
    "measure": null,
    "place": null,
    "out_of": null,
    "n_bets": 1,
    "n_events": null,
    "amount": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "Draw called correctly at 3.73 (our pre-match price). 11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (8 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "valid_until": null,
    "anchor_id": "standing-e-07-z-b9b44f3007-event",
    "alt": "Fabian Schuster · Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabian-schuster/#title-long-price-call-long-price-call\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-z-b9b44f3007-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Fabian Schuster · Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"843\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 22 Jan 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
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    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-24",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-24",
    "published_at": "2026-10-25",
    "visible_until": "2027-01-22",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.73 · 24 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-b9b44f30079e1d970ae9",
    "evidence_items": [
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      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 3.73,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (8 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/14/#pick-n-64e3430edcf51d64aaf00e60"
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    ],
    "evidence_total": 1,
    "badge": {
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       "theme": "light",
       "width": 1146,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-z-b9b44f3007-event-l-light.svg"
      },
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      },
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       "theme": "light",
       "width": 843,
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       "url": "/b/e-9340abce1522fc3fb2ca3e92/e-07-z-b9b44f3007-event-m-light.svg"
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    "chance": {
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     "kind": "single",
     "priced": 1,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.27027,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.57,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call-long-price-call"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-995afab395afa7f853bd",
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Only right of 7 · 6 Nov",
    "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-995afab395af",
    "event_at": "2026-11-06",
    "url": "/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/#zk-995afab395afa7f853bd"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-b9b44f30079e1d970ae9",
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.73 · 24 Oct",
    "body": "Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-b9b44f30079e",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": "/titles/e-07-long-price-call/#zk-b9b44f30079e1d970ae9"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-302016dc92c8ee8cd90f",
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.50 · 25 Oct",
    "body": "Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-302016dc92c8",
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "url": "/titles/e-07-long-price-call/#zk-302016dc92c8ee8cd90f"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 231,
    "body": "231 recorded before kick-off · since 9 Oct 2026"
   },
   {
    "portion": "found_after",
    "n": 62,
    "body": "62 found after the match"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-06",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-995afab395af"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.73 · 1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-b9b44f30079e"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.50 · Monaco v Lille · 25 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-302016dc92c8"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Goals over/under · 70 matches",
    "details_words": "Goals over/under 34/70 (70 matches); Both teams to score 24/55 (55 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 21/46 (42 matches); Match result (1X2) 11/37 (37 matches); Handicaps 4/23 (23 matches)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-01",
    "body": "Minority calls · 0/2",
    "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Minority calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.73 · 24 Oct 2026",
    "details_words": "1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 · Draw at 3.73 (our pre-match price)",
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/14/#pick-n-64e3430edcf51d64aaf00e60",
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-01",
    "body": "Draw calls · 9/26",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Draw calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-01-draw-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-06",
    "body": "Non-favourite calls · 3/20",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Non-favourite calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/"
   }
  ],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.85 · San Diego FC v Seattle Sounders FC · 25 Oct 2026 · removed 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 43,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0,
  "found_post_match": 43,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 127,
  "date_count": 11,
  "span_from": "2025-04-27",
  "span_to": "2026-09-20",
  "line_text": "restored history: 43, of which pre-match archive 0",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Champions League and Europa League matches between 27 April 2025 and 20 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 43. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 43. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 43,
   "share": "0.6047"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 36,
    "roi": "39.2778",
    "ci_low": "0.5135",
    "ci_high": "75.9231",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 10,
    "roi": "26.5880",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 43,
    "roi": "27.9419",
    "ci_low": "-9.0541",
    "ci_high": "64.3974",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 22 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 21 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 107,
    "above": 4,
    "above_share_percent": "3.7",
    "below": 7,
    "within": 96,
    "median_difference_percent": "-0.3",
    "not_comparable": 2,
    "disputed": 2,
    "status": "calculated"
   },
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 8,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "25.0",
    "below": 1,
    "within": 5,
    "median_difference_percent": "2.3",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +2.3% over 8 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/26/#pick-n-41aa8aa1693f62b92738585a",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "4.80",
    "market": "5.79",
    "difference_percent": "-17.1"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/14/#pick-n-8f2f5a3d4bf6b216a5443906",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.95",
    "market": "1.75",
    "difference_percent": "11.4"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/9/#pick-n-d45778988d878d4ba2783d0d",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "4.10",
    "market": "3.73",
    "difference_percent": "10.1"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/6/#pick-n-6fbf041ed7bbf58d41435c9b",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "1.83",
    "market": "1.70",
    "difference_percent": "7.7"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportwetten.bild.de",
   "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/gd-estoril-praia-maritimo-prognose-08-11-2026/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 103,
  "matches": 61,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -167084,
  "staked_hundredths": 1030000,
  "return_percent": "-16.22",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-10",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 103 settled live picks by Fabian Schuster before kick-off across 61 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.2% on the total staked. Of the 601 predictions we hold for Fabian Schuster, 367 are linked to matches: 266 were recorded by us before kick-off and 101 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "103",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "61",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−1,670.84 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−16.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −40.5% to +10.0%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57486,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -87486,
    "n": 17
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -79482,
    "n": 26
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -119482,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -136482,
    "n": 34
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -148782,
    "n": 41
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -168782,
    "n": 43
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -160532,
    "n": 52
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -151382,
    "n": 60
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -201382,
    "n": 65
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -211382,
    "n": 66
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -199666,
    "n": 70
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -137516,
    "n": 74
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -181616,
    "n": 80
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -164416,
    "n": 84
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -104816,
    "n": 87
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -124816,
    "n": 89
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -155716,
    "n": 97
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -158723,
    "n": 99
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -167084,
    "n": 103
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 103,
    "matches": 61,
    "match_dates": 20,
    "period_from": "2026-10-10",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -167084,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -211382,
     "after_picks": 66
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57486,
     "after_picks": 14
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57486,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 14
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -87486,
      "n": 17,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -79482,
      "n": 26,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -119482,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -136482,
      "n": 34,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -148782,
      "n": 41,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -168782,
      "n": 43,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -160532,
      "n": 52,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -151382,
      "n": 60,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -201382,
      "n": 65,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -211382,
      "n": 66,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -199666,
      "n": 70,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -137516,
      "n": 74,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -181616,
      "n": 80,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -164416,
      "n": 84,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -104816,
      "n": 87,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -124816,
      "n": 89,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -155716,
      "n": 97,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -158723,
      "n": 99,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -167084,
      "n": 103,
      "picks": 4
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 103 settled live picks by Fabian Schuster before kick-off across 61 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −16.2% on the total staked. Of the 601 predictions we hold for Fabian Schuster, 367 are linked to matches: 266 were recorded by us before kick-off and 101 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/fabian-schuster/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 601,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 234,
   "proven_predictions": 266,
   "proven_checked": 241,
   "proven_measured": 103,
   "proven_dates": 23,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 266,
     "checked": 241,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 103,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 61,
      "net_points_hundredths": -167084,
      "staked_hundredths": 1030000,
      "return_percent": "-16.22",
      "interval_low": "-40.46",
      "interval_high": "10.01",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.5",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 34
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 98,
       "return_main_percent": "-13.54",
       "return_other_percent": "-13.70",
       "settled_excluding_void": 98,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -132684,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -134300,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 76,
       "return_main_percent": "-7.94",
       "return_other_percent": "-9.24",
       "settled_excluding_void": 76,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -60323,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -70221,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 241,
      "priced": 103
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 103,
      "won": 39,
      "won_percent": "37.9",
      "implied_percent": "45.4",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 13,
        "picks": 26,
        "implied_percent": "55.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 11,
        "picks": 23,
        "implied_percent": "45.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 23,
        "implied_percent": "47.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 21,
        "implied_percent": "32.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "43.8"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 112,
      "right": 50,
      "wrong": 62,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 101,
     "checked": 62,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 43,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 13,
      "net_points_hundredths": 120150,
      "staked_hundredths": 430000,
      "return_percent": "27.94",
      "interval_low": "-6.09",
      "interval_high": "64.75",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-04-27",
      "period_to": "2026-09-20",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 36,
       "return_main_percent": "34.60",
       "return_other_percent": "39.28",
       "settled_excluding_void": 36,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 124550,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 141400,
       "period_from": "2025-04-27",
       "period_to": "2026-09-20"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 10,
       "return_main_percent": "26.35",
       "return_other_percent": "26.59",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 26350,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 26588,
       "period_from": "2025-04-27",
       "period_to": "2026-09-20"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 62,
      "priced": 43
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 43,
      "won": 26,
      "won_percent": "60.5",
      "implied_percent": "52.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 12,
        "picks": 17,
        "implied_percent": "51.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "58.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "42.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "61.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "54.2"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  "interval_high": "10.01",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2025-04-27",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
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   "evidence": {
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   "evidence": {
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   "quote": "Insgesamt spricht die Torbilanz aber für Über 2,5 Tore.",
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
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  "groups": {
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   "pending": 11,
   "excluded": 424
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  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
  "current": true
 },
 "title_tag": "Fabian Schuster Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
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 },
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    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 601,
     "settled_picks": 103,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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    "text": "−21.72% on 79 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  },
  {
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    "text": "−18.58% on 74 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "text": "−19.69% on 77 settled picks across 45 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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   },
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    "text": "−18.58% on 74 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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   },
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    "return_percent": "-28.52",
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    "text": "−28.52% on 70 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  },
  {
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   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "return_percent": "-30.98",
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    "text": "−30.98% on 65 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 10 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "text": "−32.99% on 53 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  {
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    "return_percent": "-31.70",
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    "text": "−31.70% on 52 settled picks across 30 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "return_percent": "-31.03",
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    "text": "−31.03% on 49 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z",
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "return_percent": "-34.68",
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    "text": "−34.68% on 45 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z",
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "text": "−41.85% on 35 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-41.53",
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    "text": "−41.53% on 41 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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    "composition_hash": "993fc19ef95b4a8173607c37ecbccbda93c3ba66388f697b985bd706f8eff4ef",
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   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-41.85",
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    "text": "−41.85% on 35 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "text": "−43.87% on 33 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/",
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   },
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    "return_percent": "-43.55",
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    "composition_hash": "02779eecd297f03e3377909c237ee0eacc3c2e3a55ed54f668cefa451f4e7bbe",
    "text": "−43.55% on 29 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 11,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-d9bad1e9a87cd6eb2ad65a82",
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/27/#pick-n-d9bad1e9a87cd6eb2ad65a82",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.9",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T06:42:11.641Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-50b58cb56a9990840014d703",
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/29/#pick-n-50b58cb56a9990840014d703",
    "match": "Minnesota United v San Jose Earthquakes",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/minnesota-united-vs-san-jose-earthquakes-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "MLS",
    "author_said": "Double chance: draw or San Jose Earthquakes at 2.05",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T08:57:10.116Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-6ee98f37bc0c5eeb923287aa",
    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/31/#pick-n-6ee98f37bc0c5eeb923287aa",
    "match": "Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/club-brugge-kv-vs-anderlecht-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T12:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Belgian Pro League",
    "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Anderlecht at 2.45",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T06:57:13.576Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
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    "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/31/#pick-n-32abd265de885660f1bdbbee",
    "match": "Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/club-brugge-kv-vs-anderlecht-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T12:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Belgian Pro League",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.93",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T06:57:13.576Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-fe262ef77f18509467f98e99",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Swiss Super League",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.15",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:42:11.968Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-646a11ec032f9777c766faf8",
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    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T13:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Swiss Super League",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Lugano at 2.55",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:42:11.968Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-406ef1850f916931ffba09a0",
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    "match": "St Gallen v FC Lugano",
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    "competition": "Swiss Super League",
    "author_said": "Double chance: draw or FC Lugano at 1.65",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:42:11.968Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-547f1c5a50d079dd4422bbb2",
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    "match": "Çorum FK v Fenerbahçe",
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    "competition": "Süper Lig",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: Çorum FK at 4.2",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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