{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/", "canonical": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Dimitris Pulakos: Football Prediction Record", "description": "1 settled pick by Dimitris Pulakos archived before kick-off across 1 match, 27 Feb 2026: won 1 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Pulakos from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 192 predictions we hold for Dimitris Pulakos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 191 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "1", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 1, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 180, "of_them_archived": 1 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "3587f3e22525c496c2853b2b36d4e43fe578e1ad993f103cd81117ffc3521fe8", "dependency_group": "author:e-890169ab60e9e79c355c4c01", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-890169ab60e9e79c355c4c01", "public_name": "Dimitris Pulakos", "tracker_number": 4015, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-10-13" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-890169ab60e9e79c355c4c01-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 192, "recognised": 192, "accepted": 189, "executed": 189, "calculated": 180, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 3 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 192, "of_them_restored": 192, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 0, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 192, "predictions_restored": 192, "matches": 0, "admitted": 189, "qualifying_picks": 189, "qualifying_picks_restored": 189, "settled_picks": 180, "settled_picks_restored": 180, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 166, "settled_picks": 157, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 9, "matches": 157, "operations_settled": 157, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 181, "settled_picks": 178, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 3, "matches": 178, "operations_settled": 178, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 3 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-f8d040fda831de898ec25f44", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/picks/11/#pick-n-f8d040fda831de898ec25f44", "quote_text": "G/G\n\nΑπόδοση: 2.50", "fragment_from": 256, "fragment_to": 274, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/porto-aroyka-270226/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Dimitris Pulakos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "02dc74b733b9683948d4e3a61e07df200225b651708d096eeda6abddb08dd433", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:41:05.536Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:03:05.471Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "FC Porto v Arouca", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-02-27T18:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.4200", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 14200, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-27T12:40:49.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:41:05.536Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-27T12:40:49.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "2.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Porto 3-1 Arouca." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1b3ef49d74be1e692ec14db296d2035ada6b6dce84e22cbe6b0093d475355eb7", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "2.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 15000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:03:05.471Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "858ec96dd6a08f3b5cb5cb981866edd7bd85787e8711d9c8519249f11f135207", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "2.4200", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 14200, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:03:05.471Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Dimitris Pulakos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Dimitris Pulakos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/porto-aroyka-270226/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-69442ffd3b7e81a6705c56d0", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/picks/11/#pick-n-69442ffd3b7e81a6705c56d0", "quote_text": "2\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.60", "fragment_from": 323, "fragment_to": 339, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/famalisao-porto-091125/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Dimitris Pulakos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "420791cac88a38b87ec65ce473af74d5997b6dac47f25630e1bbca6479ecbb4d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-09T00:32:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:51:50.236Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:22.436Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Famalicão v FC Porto", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2025-11-09T18:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "FC Porto", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.6", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.5700", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-09T00:32:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-09T00:32:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:51:50.236Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Porto", "author_odds": "1.6", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Porto at 1.6" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Famalicão 0-1 FC Porto." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "31bca117319286cd39e4fa0240a86e7423dbc26f0539669ce430cfadc10f4391", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Porto", "decimal_odds": "1.6", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:22.436Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "fa3f41fa0df7107b358e30ad2ed1b6e76edfeccc88d1f239b387e8eadc5c84a9", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Porto", "decimal_odds": "1.5700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:22.436Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Dimitris Pulakos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Dimitris Pulakos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/famalisao-porto-091125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7d5811fd2f92ec9dd3fcd1e0", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/picks/11/#pick-n-7d5811fd2f92ec9dd3fcd1e0", "quote_text": "2\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.57", "fragment_from": 310, "fragment_to": 326, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/aroyka-mpragka-011225/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Dimitris Pulakos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a5e115abd790d167c617b86aedb170bc1a27206d354a6e4d80cb7ea7822e24f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-30T18:19:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:48:11.018Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:06.354Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arouca v Sporting Braga", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2025-12-01T20:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-4" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Sporting Braga", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.57", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.4700", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-30T18:19:16.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-30T18:19:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:48:11.018Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sporting Braga", "author_odds": "1.57", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Sporting Braga at 1.57" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arouca 0-4 Sporting Braga." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "698337b18d0a4510fa4da04b7f106831d2ae0dc8a0242ffaf66e7b8ad69a16a4", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sporting Braga", "decimal_odds": "1.57", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:06.354Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "015c03825fe0acb8f460fc3cee9cdf558eab8eaae4b1b5ef1622a06a71283886", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sporting Braga", "decimal_odds": "1.4700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4700, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:06.354Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Dimitris Pulakos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Dimitris Pulakos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/aroyka-mpragka-011225/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0f41cdc7d861a1390f78de78", "url": "/authors/dimitris-pulakos/picks/11/#pick-n-0f41cdc7d861a1390f78de78", "quote_text": "1\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.82", "fragment_from": 329, "fragment_to": 345, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/santa-klara-aroyka-211225/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Dimitris Pulakos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a7d9e7160d8061c8b5e6b299f80dee07e5916c0c16b7ba1017c244c21b77019b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-20T21:43:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:42:59.316Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:00:21.984Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Santa Clara v Arouca", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": 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"origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Moreirense", "author_odds": "2.03", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Moreirense at 2.03" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Moreirense 1-0 Tondela." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "57927e5fd6699a7cd856297f5fe8645bf4b9bb29bf3ecd4a22465e9b3e32a84e", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Moreirense", "decimal_odds": "2.03", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10300, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:05.490Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "fa9f7769f0cfbcaedef40820c6aa314d27c15e7f5b47366b03dacbe96dbf4143", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Moreirense", "decimal_odds": "2.2800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 12800, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:05.490Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Dimitris Pulakos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Dimitris Pulakos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/moreirense-tontela-110126/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 180, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 179, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 95, "span_from": "2025-07-24", "span_to": "2026-04-06", "line_text": "restored history: 180, of which pre-match archive 1", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Europa League, Conference League and Primeira Liga matches between 24 July 2025 and 6 April 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 180. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 179. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 180, "share": "0.4278" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 157, "roi": "-11.5478", "ci_low": "-27.4968", "ci_high": "7.3822", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 178, "roi": "-8.6685", "ci_low": "-25.7219", "ci_high": "7.9410", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Europa League", "Conference League", "Primeira Liga" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 180 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "kingbet.net", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/porto-aroyka-270226/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-10-13", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 14200, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "142.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-02-27", "period_to": "2026-02-27", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Pulakos from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 192 predictions we hold for Dimitris Pulakos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 191 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+142 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "+142.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 191 predictions dated by the source. 177 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-02-27", "period_to": "2026-02-27", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 14200, "low": { "date": "2026-02-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14200, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-02-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14200, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-02-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14200, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Pulakos from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 192 predictions we hold for Dimitris Pulakos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 191 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dimitris-pulakos/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 192, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 1, "proven_checked": 1, "proven_measured": 1, "proven_dates": 1, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 1, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 14200, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "142.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-02-27", "period_to": "2026-02-27", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "142.00", "return_other_percent": "150.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 14200, "net_other_points_hundredths": 15000, "period_from": "2026-02-27", "period_to": "2026-02-27" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 1, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "41.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "41.3" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "source_reported", "title": "Source-reported history", "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.", "predictions": 191, "checked": 179, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 177, "void": 0, "matches": 177, "net_points_hundredths": -168500, "staked_hundredths": 1770000, "return_percent": "-9.52", "interval_low": "-26.69", "interval_high": "7.70", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-07-24", "period_to": "2026-04-06", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 154, "return_main_percent": "-14.03", "return_other_percent": "-12.73", "settled_excluding_void": 154, "net_main_points_hundredths": -216100, "net_other_points_hundredths": -196100, "period_from": "2025-07-24", "period_to": "2026-04-06" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 179, "priced": 177 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 177, "won": 75, "won_percent": "42.4", "implied_percent": "46.5", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 29, "picks": 79, "implied_percent": "43.1" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 18, "picks": 45, "implied_percent": "51.0" }, { "market": "Result and total goals", "won": 19, "picks": 37, "implied_percent": "48.7" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 5, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "41.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 4, "picks": 6, "implied_percent": "53.0" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-f8d040fda831de898ec25f44" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 27 February 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1", "record_from": "2025-07-24", "record_to": "2026-04-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-74b43370a677c4f2f8035359", "url": null, "match": "Casa Pia v Benfica", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-04-06T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": -4536.7, "market_code": "result_and_total", "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Benfica to win and under 3.5 goals", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "2.2000", "published_at": "2026-04-05T20:36:45.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:22.255Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6719f3c1907c1b6c8f04d5b1", "url": null, "match": "Arouca v Estoril", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-04-06T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": -4538.7, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.4", "settled_price": "3.5000", "published_at": "2026-04-05T20:34:45.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:22.277Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8d3e0e38a541cd3f5afc6e99", "url": null, "match": "FC Porto v Famalicão", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-04-04T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": -4602.6, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 2.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 11000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.25", "settled_price": "2.1000", "published_at": "2026-04-03T20:25:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T14:07:39.389Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-245ff788781f77ec2ecbdba8", "url": null, "match": "Moreirense v Sporting Braga", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-04-04T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": -4605.1, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.95", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.95", "settled_price": "2.0350", "published_at": "2026-04-03T20:20:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T14:07:44.008Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d627b15b0f05ac71d516f9b9", "url": null, "match": "Rio Ave v Alverca", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-04-04T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", 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