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 "heading": "Dimitris Liargovas: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Dimitris Liargovas archived before kick-off across 1 match, 27 Feb 2026: won 1 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Liargovas from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 804 predictions we hold for Dimitris Liargovas, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 803 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 ],
 "modules": {
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 },
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 },
 "restrictions": {
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 },
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 },
 "entity": {
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  "public_name": "Dimitris Liargovas",
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 },
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   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
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   "n_events": 0,
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   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
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 "history": [],
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 },
 "simulations": [],
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   "authorship": {
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Inter",
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    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.78"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "measured",
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    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Fiorentina 3-0 Inter."
   },
   "settlements": [
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/karareze-montena-011025/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3c18c554ffb728014857904c",
   "url": "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/38/#pick-n-3c18c554ffb728014857904c",
   "quote_text": "1 ημίχρονο / 1 τελικό\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.52",
   "fragment_from": 314,
   "fragment_to": 350,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/inter-kremoneze-041025/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "5ed2997b8178b2f3fe79fa9b00bf30a431b6ceb7aee8316b9e85a90d3535d8bd",
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   },
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T16:34:44.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:01:06.030Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Inter v Cremonese",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
    "starts_at": "2025-10-04T16:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": null
   },
   "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
   "outcome_label": "Inter at half-time, Inter at full-time",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.52",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "unknown",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-10-03T16:34:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:01:06.030Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
    "choice": "Inter at half-time, Inter at full-time",
    "author_odds": "1.52",
    "market_key": "half_time_full_time",
    "choice_key": "1/1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Half-time/full-time: Inter at half-time, Inter at full-time at 1.52"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "unknown",
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "1d10cb46de0aa12f5cfcdfe3425f6a38d86d6b13b31bd57ad10810fca5335b6d",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
     "choice": "Inter at half-time, Inter at full-time",
     "decimal_odds": "1.52",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": "unknown",
     "result_words": "Pending",
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-19T18:51:15.837Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "publisher": "Kingbet",
    "forecaster": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/inter-kremoneze-041025/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7f62db4bf3ed427c523220cf",
   "url": "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/38/#pick-n-7f62db4bf3ed427c523220cf",
   "quote_text": "1\n\nΑπόδοση: 2.15",
   "fragment_from": 310,
   "fragment_to": 326,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/mpari-pantova-041025/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "040c70bf4653cb8247dfb8769f624a847c83e3294f6e2d0ec2386eb132a3a643",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T19:21:22.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:00:57.516Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:39.726Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Bari 1908 v Padova",
    "competition_name": "Serie B",
    "starts_at": "2025-10-04T13:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Bari 1908",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.15",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.4500",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 14500,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-10-03T19:21:22.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-10-03T19:21:22.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:00:57.516Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Bari 1908",
    "author_odds": "2.15",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Bari 1908 at 2.15"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bari 1908 2-1 Padova."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bari 1908",
     "decimal_odds": "2.15",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 11500,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:39.726Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "3eb6dc6689ef948a155854f28746f03b247d255b5fa029c93d8fa60932f44553",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bari 1908",
     "decimal_odds": "2.4500",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 14500,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:39.726Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "publisher": "Kingbet",
    "forecaster": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/mpari-pantova-041025/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a0aa001008f896e7b19fdcc0",
   "url": "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/38/#pick-n-a0aa001008f896e7b19fdcc0",
   "quote_text": "1\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.48",
   "fragment_from": 310,
   "fragment_to": 326,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/napoli-tzenoa-051025/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "456b1114439c66d20363a502bd728d3cc18ee894aa8617f2fb950856602132a9",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-10-04T07:29:30.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:00:42.524Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:50.518Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "SSC Napoli v Genoa",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
    "starts_at": "2025-10-05T16:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "SSC Napoli",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.48",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.4600",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4600,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-10-04T07:29:30.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-10-04T07:29:30.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T18:00:42.524Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "SSC Napoli",
    "author_odds": "1.48",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli at 1.48"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was SSC Napoli 2-1 Genoa."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "809d5013852b12b97894c3bdf2ea578fdbf60a83d7058dca8448a248980d17aa",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "SSC Napoli",
     "decimal_odds": "1.48",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 4800,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:50.518Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "7a28776c627e9d564495ab1afcd8a7d9292a42ab23ee0e596dcc9ef9ebdd375e",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "SSC Napoli",
     "decimal_odds": "1.4600",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 4600,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:56:50.518Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "publisher": "Kingbet",
    "forecaster": "Dimitris Liargovas",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/napoli-tzenoa-051025/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 784,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1,
  "found_post_match": 0,
  "of_them_source_reported": 783,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 228,
  "span_from": "2025-02-01",
  "span_to": "2026-10-11",
  "line_text": "restored history: 784, of which pre-match archive 1",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, International Soccer, Serie A and Serie B matches between 1 February 2025 and 11 October 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 784. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 783. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 782,
   "share": "0.4974"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 776,
    "roi": "-4.2629",
    "ci_low": "-11.5580",
    "ci_high": "2.6430",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 768,
    "roi": "-5.2083",
    "ci_low": "-12.0807",
    "ci_high": "1.7520",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "International Soccer",
   "Serie A",
   "Serie B"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 784 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "kingbet.net",
   "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sassoyolo-gioyve-stampia-010225/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-13",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 19500,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "195.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-02-27",
  "period_to": "2026-02-27",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Liargovas from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 804 predictions we hold for Dimitris Liargovas, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 803 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+195 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+195.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 803 predictions dated by the source. 767 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-02-27",
    "period_to": "2026-02-27",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 19500,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-02-27",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19500,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-02-27",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19500,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-02-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19500,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Dimitris Liargovas from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 27 February 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 804 predictions we hold for Dimitris Liargovas, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 803 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dimitris-liargovas/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 804,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 19500,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "195.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-02-27",
      "period_to": "2026-02-27",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "195.00",
       "return_other_percent": "195.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 19500,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 19500,
       "period_from": "2026-02-27",
       "period_to": "2026-02-27"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "33.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "33.9"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 803,
     "checked": 783,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 767,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 767,
      "net_points_hundredths": -419500,
      "staked_hundredths": 7670000,
      "return_percent": "-5.47",
      "interval_low": "-12.61",
      "interval_high": "1.22",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-02-01",
      "period_to": "2026-10-11",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 761,
       "return_main_percent": "-5.57",
       "return_other_percent": "-4.22",
       "settled_excluding_void": 761,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -423550,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -321400,
       "period_from": "2025-02-01",
       "period_to": "2026-10-11"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 783,
      "priced": 767
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 767,
      "won": 382,
      "won_percent": "49.8",
      "implied_percent": "52.2",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 192,
        "picks": 393,
        "implied_percent": "50.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 86,
        "picks": 174,
        "implied_percent": "53.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 60,
        "picks": 123,
        "implied_percent": "51.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 34,
        "picks": 59,
        "implied_percent": "61.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 9,
        "picks": 14,
        "implied_percent": "51.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "52.8"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-b7639325874f368aee502958"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 27 February 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-02-01",
  "record_to": "2026-10-11"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-ca89ae86ddb9836dfb034f83",
   "url": "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/2/#pick-n-ca89ae86ddb9836dfb034f83",
   "match": "Modena v Hellas Verona",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/modena-vs-hellas-verona-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie B",
   "lead_hours": -26.6,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Hellas Verona at 1.71",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.71",
   "settled_price": "1.9100",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T20:29:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:46.219Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ca89ae86ddb9836dfb034f83",
    "quote_text": "Χ2 να τιμάται 1.71",
    "fragment_from": 1340,
    "fragment_to": 1358,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/montena-ellas-verona-111026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dimitris Liargovas",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8b663d4c786d912cf725f7f3c55c6ba20d76a6d9d5d6e0c7a681a2f4761b7345",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T20:29:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:46.219Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:17.023Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-495e121fd6c8",
     "display_name": "Modena v Hellas Verona",
     "competition_name": "Serie B",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/modena-vs-hellas-verona-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "3-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Hellas Verona",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.71",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9100",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "source_reported_history",
    "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T20:29:18.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T20:29:18.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:46.219Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
    "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Hellas Verona",
     "author_odds": "1.71",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Hellas Verona at 1.71"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f65d1a2c0ddf694fd1367af09ccccf0654f40bd8ec975826d210f163a94f8303",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Hellas Verona",
      "decimal_odds": "1.71",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:17.023Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "381163af5ad868e4381f52cdaa6361e88b973a0f6c34a4a5dbe82427a73f25a6",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Hellas Verona",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9100",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:17.023Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "18",
     "publisher": "Kingbet",
     "forecaster": "18",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/montena-ellas-verona-111026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Hellas Verona"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-96f184b027a67dd4cf3eaf91",
   "url": "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/2/#pick-n-96f184b027a67dd4cf3eaf91",
   "match": "Sassuolo v AC Milan",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -28.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.72",
   "settled_price": "1.6350",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T17:42:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:51.108Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-96f184b027a67dd4cf3eaf91",
    "quote_text": "Over 2,5 που τιμάται 1.72",
    "fragment_from": 7152,
    "fragment_to": 7177,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sassoyolo-milan-111026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dimitris Liargovas",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "5f3b1af3b013c81330e9ff0360c6f755a94896d3dea9dd7d2d1c0ff2209ba9bb",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T17:42:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:51.108Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.162Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-6daf1549fb1e",
     "display_name": "Sassuolo v AC Milan",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.72",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6350",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "source_reported_history",
    "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T17:42:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T17:42:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:51.108Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
    "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.72",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "04b571503c2557371c9a4f0dabfb5cc25af962a35ba434f0dbc8ab374b0e209f",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.72",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.162Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-23T22:58:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T15:30:50.802Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": "Serie A",
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   "market_code": "corners_total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 corners: over 1.5 at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "origin": "Source-reported history",
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  },
  {
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   "match": "Fiorentina v Bologna",
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   "competition": "Serie A",
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   "market_code": "draw_no_bet",
   "author_said": "Draw no bet: Bologna at 1.72",
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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  },
  {
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   "match": "Lazio v AS Roma",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-13T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -13130.1,
   "market_code": "draw_no_bet",
   "author_said": "Draw no bet: AS Roma at 1.78",
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "origin": "Source-reported history",
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 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
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  "picks": 804,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 804,
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  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
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  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
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  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
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  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
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  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
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  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
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   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/32/",
   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/33/",
   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/34/",
   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/35/",
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   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/38/",
   "/authors/dimitris-liargovas/picks/39/",
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 "title_tag": "Dimitris Liargovas Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
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    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "text": "+195.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 "counts_by_slice": {
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    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
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    ],
    "leagues": [
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      "league_markets": [
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 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 804 predictions · last change 13 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dimitris-liargovas/",
  "s": "2026-10-11",
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  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-13",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dimitris-liargovas/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 804 predictions · last change 13 October 2026</a>"
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 "trust": {
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  "days": 1,
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  "rule": {
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 "colleagues": [
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 "author_type": "Tipster",
 "data_changes": {
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 "related": [
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}