{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/",
 "canonical": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Dennis Koch — football predictions, page 26 of 28",
 "description": "Predictions 481–500 of 522 by Dennis Koch, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 26 of 28 of the predictions by Dennis Koch recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 481–500 of 522 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "522",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "7ec555f6e0f0eea81eede89ea5b793bcf1249c585761f2d8aca786707deca453",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-539f8b05c1496527847381b3",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-539f8b05c1496527847381b3",
  "public_name": "Dennis Koch",
  "tracker_number": 2572,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-96761782efbdd0206602b8f7",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-96761782efbdd0206602b8f7",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -5239.1,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Real Madrid or draw at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.8",
   "settled_price": "1.8000",
   "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-96761782efbdd0206602b8f7",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance 1X\n\nmittel\n\n1.80 bei Betano",
    "fragment_from": 3432,
    "fragment_to": 3475,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "edc13c9265fc5f361994a41a8aa353ee32d0cef764686954bd879675e8c10888",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.228Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Real Madrid or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Real Madrid or draw",
     "author_odds": "1.8",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Real Madrid or draw at 1.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Madrid 3-0 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4612f58595bff7d511d61c319940f2ce3e9c0740a97275dd6838c1f94f047046",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Real Madrid or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.215Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "936855725378f0d87f72ea8312f1853e01fd544e6d104ef125ccde88afcd5b9d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Real Madrid or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.228Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Madrid or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9dcc12002a7dff68553c6cd0",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-9dcc12002a7dff68553c6cd0",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -5239.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6600,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.55",
   "settled_price": "1.6600",
   "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9dcc12002a7dff68553c6cd0",
    "quote_text": "Wir empfehlen den Tipp auf über 2,5 Tore, für den Tipico bei Real Madrid gegen Manchester City Wettquoten in Höhe von 1.55 ausschreibt.",
    "fragment_from": 12821,
    "fragment_to": 12956,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "edc13c9265fc5f361994a41a8aa353ee32d0cef764686954bd879675e8c10888",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.186Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6600",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6600,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.55",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Madrid 3-0 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "eecc3d03201c5524bf6967db75abc6c825e8dcbba0607f0e2d48fe430fa06d35",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.55",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.174Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "96f9c163bcde18b70923b960d1fe0ad4979f1282842b5bb432979cc7dddac1dd",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6600",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6600,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.186Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ec2cbeb8e10ae3add51070dd",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-ec2cbeb8e10ae3add51070dd",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -5239.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.78",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "1.78",
   "settled_price": "1.78",
   "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ec2cbeb8e10ae3add51070dd",
    "quote_text": "Über 1.5 (2. HZ)\n\nmittel\n\n1.78 bei Bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 3384,
    "fragment_to": 3430,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "edc13c9265fc5f361994a41a8aa353ee32d0cef764686954bd879675e8c10888",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.200Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-03-11T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.78",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-03-11T07:14:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.406Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.78",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "second_half",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.78"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Madrid 3-0 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "28f33ed350757321d162ed01467c0e61e9f4fcb38a96c6fd28644336f9d3a4d3",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.78",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.200Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-11-03-2026-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9a82d0f6f115c3e495361cde",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-9a82d0f6f115c3e495361cde",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Manchester City over 1.5 at 1.95",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.95",
   "settled_price": "2.2500",
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9a82d0f6f115c3e495361cde",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City > 1.5 Tore\n\n1.95",
    "fragment_from": 2003,
    "fragment_to": 2035,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d6398efcdd703ee57825761fa02e9c63da8564eba91bc99403c490fd71902eef",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.258Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.95",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "choice": "Manchester City over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.95",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "2-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Manchester City over 1.5 at 1.95"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Madrid 3-1 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f7d6363877ff00bfb0820d913ddba5ff56a8be435a969485aa46c8c6f2d01771",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Manchester City over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.95",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.245Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6cea8d29e6c55f52cc66ddc3036f23078ed096239dfc49a33841ddadd96b70c2",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
      "choice": "Manchester City over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.258Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e2a6f8ddbba66d53af369144",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-e2a6f8ddbba66d53af369144",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -14479.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10800,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.75",
   "settled_price": "2.0800",
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e2a6f8ddbba66d53af369144",
    "quote_text": "Über 3.5\n\n1.75",
    "fragment_from": 2058,
    "fragment_to": 2072,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d6398efcdd703ee57825761fa02e9c63da8564eba91bc99403c490fd71902eef",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.286Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-19T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.75",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0800",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10800,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "1.75",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Madrid 3-1 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bb901c4a923e6a1ad21d7b7a198fd633080c8ff1a899c03adb27b9a99a4382de",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.75",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.272Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "c5044d1834f7e00212ea9ba67ab60f20c5e89aecb7e0dd2d2ffd19de72878eba",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10800,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.286Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/real-madrid-vs-manchester-city-tipp-prognose-quoten-19-02-2025-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ebfdfb555cf93b414acf3062",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unsere Real Madrid vs. Manchester City Prognose zielt daher darauf ab, dass die Cityzens das erste Tor der Partie erzielen.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f0fa9107be7f403f3c71f71a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "wobei wir darauf wetten, dass die Gäste einen etwaigen Torreigen eröffnen werden.\n\nDafür, dass die Cityzens das erste Tor der Partie schießen, stehen bei Real Madrid gegen Manchester City…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-19T07:25:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:52.872Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-05f450b3bd36defa52930ecc",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Handicap: Sieg Auswärts -1\n\n1.90",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-104499cc0a8f9a77ddde5c85",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Entsprechend stimmig ist bei Red Bull Salzburg gegen Atlético Madrid die Prognose darauf, dass die Rojiblancos am finalen Spieltag der Ligaphase der Königsklasse rein gar nichts anbrennen lassen…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-122fede52edfebf73d521238",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "weshalb wir den größten Value im Tipp darauf finden, dass Atlético Madrid mit mindestens zwei Toren Differenz in der Red Bull Arena gewinnen wird.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-22ed286bfb42e897dff4ede4",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Praktisch gar nichts spricht dafür, dass bei Red Bull Salzburg gegen Atlético Madrid die Prognose auf den Punktgewinn der Roten Bullen aufgehen könnte.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-40dc7776dbe40d434f73233e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir empfehlen deshalb den Tipp darauf, dass die Rojiblancos mit mindestens zwei Toren Differenz gewinnen werden.\n\nHierfür stehen bei Red Bull Salzburg gegen Atletico Madrid Quoten in Höhe von 1.90…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7009fdcc1b0aa2af6eb224da",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2/2\n\n1.95",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d5fb99ba67e309533b23cd0f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Laut ODDSET App stehen Quoten von gerade einmal 1.38 für Tipp 2 zu Protokoll, weshalb es umso mehr Sinn ergibt, sogar das kleine Handicap auf die Rojiblancos anzulegen.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fe875c867d274d3785c98951",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Atletico Madrid gewinnt zu Null\n\n2.25",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T22:01:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:10.408Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-123562184ba501b1762f45e2",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-123562184ba501b1762f45e2",
   "match": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -17866.4,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Red Bull Salzburg or draw at 1.53",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.53",
   "settled_price": "1.2850",
   "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-123562184ba501b1762f45e2",
    "quote_text": "1X & Ü1.5\n\n1.53",
    "fragment_from": 2016,
    "fragment_to": 2031,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/red-bull-salzburg-vs-brest-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-10-2024-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b5018caab292fa50d7bd669fa303ba7db2f1eed32f80ce49ef84be7989898322",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.424Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Red Bull Salzburg or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.53",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.2850",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg or draw",
     "author_odds": "1.53",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Red Bull Salzburg or draw at 1.53"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Red Bull Salzburg 0-4 Stade Brestois."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f98af200c32e36d687646032e58fc2969169ffd05852a824575afef723015068",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.53",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.408Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4273c125553054c80a54d844a129e07162f021d4a277a3686318ac9961d39673",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2850",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.424Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/red-bull-salzburg-vs-brest-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-10-2024-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Red Bull Salzburg or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-12972248ba1029abaf45b88f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "empfehlen daher den kombinierten Tipp auf die Doppelte Chance 1X bei über 1,5 Toren.\n\nHierfür stehen bei Red Bull Salzburg gegen Brest Quoten in Höhe von 1.53 zur Verfügung, die wir bei Betway mit…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7c5068d7c9d50a86c39997eb",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -17866.4,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Stade Brestois over 0.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-afb63c22fbf4023623391988",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -17866.4,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Red Bull Salzburg",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.0000",
   "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ccb04fc96a99358c6b05aa59",
   "url": "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/#pick-n-ccb04fc96a99358c6b05aa59",
   "match": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -17866.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8050,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.75",
   "settled_price": "1.8050",
   "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ccb04fc96a99358c6b05aa59",
    "quote_text": "Über 2.5 Tore\n\n1.75",
    "fragment_from": 2049,
    "fragment_to": 2068,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/red-bull-salzburg-vs-brest-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-10-2024-champions-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dennis Koch",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b5018caab292fa50d7bd669fa303ba7db2f1eed32f80ce49ef84be7989898322",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.450Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Red Bull Salzburg v Stade Brestois",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2024-10-01T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.75",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8050",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8050,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T06:32:05.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:09:14.095Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.75",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Red Bull Salzburg 0-4 Stade Brestois."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "40e0d86225852b04ad5d332a7fdabebcd682980fdd979bcec821b10b677765a1",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.75",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.436Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "8bc32a9016afc5409305470f8c98a7641bf525a541d78b3f805b8d99b2b1f566",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8050",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8050,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:53.450Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dennis Koch",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Dennis Koch",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/red-bull-salzburg-vs-brest-tipp-prognose-quoten-01-10-2024-champions-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 522,
  "pages": 28,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/dennis-koch/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/2/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/3/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/4/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/5/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/6/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/7/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/8/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/9/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/10/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/11/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/12/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/13/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/14/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/15/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/16/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/17/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/18/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/19/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/20/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/21/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/22/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/23/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/24/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/25/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/27/",
   "/authors/dennis-koch/picks/28/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 368,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 154
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 26,
  "first": 481,
  "last": 500,
  "author_url": "/authors/dennis-koch/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/dennis-koch/picks/26/",
 "source_revision": 30
}
