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 "heading": "Davor: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Davor recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 2 Nov 2026: won 1 of 1 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Davor before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Davor, 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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   "quote_text": "Engleska – Hrvatska u Ligi nacija igra se u četvrtak 12. studenoga u 20:45 na Wembleyju.",
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    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T17:15:27.386Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4494,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:59.338Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "choice": "yes",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "both_teams_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-4",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "0b496903cca8c61b27c6cbdf9fa3801f303dcd02f1d8d54434ed017bc643a4ed",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "decimal_odds": "1.4494",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 4494,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-02T17:23:34.973Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Davor",
    "publisher": "Svijet Klađenja",
    "forecaster": "Davor",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.svijetkladjenja.com/vijesti/atalanta-pasalic-debi-levak-parma-serie-a/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "svijetkladjenja.com",
   "url": "https://www.svijetkladjenja.com/vijesti/atalanta-pasalic-debi-levak-parma-serie-a/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-11-02",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-03",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 4494,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "44.94",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-11-02",
  "period_to": "2026-11-02",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Davor before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Davor, 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+44.94 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+44.9%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-11-02",
    "period_to": "2026-11-02",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 4494,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4494,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4494,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4494,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Davor before kick-off across 1 match on 2 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 1 prediction we hold for Davor, 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/davor/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 1,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4494,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "44.94",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-11-02",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "44.94",
       "return_other_percent": "46.51",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 4494,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 4651,
       "period_from": "2026-11-02",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "69.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "69.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
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    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-33f1a36bd86dd38156216422"
  ],
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  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 2 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-11-02",
  "record_to": "2026-11-03"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-33f1a36bd86dd38156216422",
   "url": "/authors/davor/#pick-n-33f1a36bd86dd38156216422",
   "match": "Sassuolo v Fiorentina",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-fiorentina-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 0.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-4",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 4494,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4494",
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:59.338Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-33f1a36bd86dd38156216422",
    "quote_text": "dvije slabe obrane i naš tip oba tima daju gol",
    "fragment_from": 10905,
    "fragment_to": 10951,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.svijetkladjenja.com/vijesti/atalanta-pasalic-debi-levak-parma-serie-a/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Davor",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "944d6aa864668bdd5204ff7f04ec97c2b9d9a9de55094c5f13fdf8e53fae508c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:59.338Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-02T17:23:34.973Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-778179eae2a7",
     "display_name": "Sassuolo — Fiorentina",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-fiorentina-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "2-4",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4494",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T17:15:27.386Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4494,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T17:19:59.338Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0b496903cca8c61b27c6cbdf9fa3801f303dcd02f1d8d54434ed017bc643a4ed",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4494",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4494,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-02T17:23:34.973Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Davor",
     "publisher": "Svijet Klađenja",
     "forecaster": "Davor",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.svijetkladjenja.com/vijesti/atalanta-pasalic-debi-levak-parma-serie-a/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 1,
  "before_kickoff": 1,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": 0.2,
  "min_hours": 0.2,
  "max_hours": 0.2,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 1,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 1,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 1,
  "pages": 1,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/davor/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 1,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 0
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 1,
  "author_url": "/authors/davor/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Davor Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-a27b11f5c290531ce92ff859",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Davor",
  "main_entity": "e-a27b11f5c290531ce92ff859",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-a27b11f5c290531ce92ff859",
    "medium": "Svijet Klađenja",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "svijetkladjenja.com",
    "source_info": "svijetkladjenja-com",
    "byline": "Davor",
    "url": "/sources/svijetkladjenja-com/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 23,
     "predictions": 1,
     "settled_picks": 1,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 44.94,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-11-02",
     "period_to": "2026-11-03"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
  "updated": "2026-11-03",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 1,
   "matches": 1,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-11-02",
   "period_to": "2026-11-02",
   "composition_hash": "51165783048be6ad3203de7d6dcca57664f924c39adae14963b58b94a4e0dc04"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-56dabbe856a780bfe48d",
   "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3",
   "url": "/authors/davor/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
    "return_percent": "44.94",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
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