{
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 "heading": "David (Tippa.se): Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "David: 40 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 40 statements by David, including 24 predictions. Of the 24 predictions we hold for David, 17 are linked to matches: 16 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "40",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:10:25.974Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "exports": [
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  {
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
  "public_name": "David",
  "tracker_number": 3077,
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
   "until": "2026-11-02"
  },
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    "show": true
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  ],
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 "headline_number": {
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   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
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   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
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   "breakdown": [],
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
  "average_odds": null,
  "odds_from_author": null,
  "odds_from_snapshot": null
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 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
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 "simulations": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-094271c4517810f5670c14aa",
   "url": "/authors/david/picks/3/#pick-n-094271c4517810f5670c14aa",
   "quote_text": "Mjällby +0 AH till oddset 1,88 hos bet365 med 3/5 units.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://tippa.se/speltips/2026-11-02-mjallby-aif-vs-kalmar-ff-kan-mjallby-avsluta-den-har-sasongen-med-ett-lugn-eller-blir-det-kris-och-panik-hela-vagen-in",
    "display_name": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-11-02T11:44:25.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:49:46.786Z",
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   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
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    "display_name": "Mjällby — Kalmar FF",
    "competition_name": "Allsvenskan",
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    "url": "/football/matches/mjallby-vs-kalmar-ff-2026-11-02/",
    "scoreline": "0-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Draw no bet",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "void",
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   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T11:49:46.786Z",
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   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
    "choice": "Mjällby",
    "author_odds": "1.88",
    "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
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    "period": "match",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Draw no bet: Mjällby at 1.88"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "void",
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    "in_words": "Void: the final score was Mjällby 0-0 Kalmar FF."
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    {
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
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    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://tippa.se/speltips/2026-11-02-mjallby-aif-vs-kalmar-ff-kan-mjallby-avsluta-den-har-sasongen-med-ett-lugn-eller-blir-det-kris-och-panik-hela-vagen-in",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-1c70872c5172872cfe2bedc9",
   "url": "/authors/david/picks/3/#pick-n-1c70872c5172872cfe2bedc9",
   "quote_text": "BLGM & Över 2,5 mål @ 1.72",
   "fragment_from": 490,
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   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://tippa.se/speltips/2026-10-30-bk-hacken-vs-ifk-goteborg-kan-blavitt-stora-hacken-fran-att-na-topp-3",
    "display_name": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:07:37.000Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f62fcfe3e20ff28a75cb74df",
   "url": "/authors/david/picks/3/#pick-n-f62fcfe3e20ff28a75cb74df",
   "quote_text": "Elfsborg -1,25 AH till oddset 1,78 hos bet365 med 3/5 units.",
   "fragment_from": 3577,
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://tippa.se/speltips/2026-10-30-elfsborgs-if-vs-orgryte-is-kan-elfsborg-gora-ett-sista-forsok-pa-topp-3",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T10:53:04.000Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/david/picks/3/#pick-n-f9cbda4bb13ed3a98efee0d5",
   "quote_text": "Därför spelar jag:\nMalmö FF +0,75 AH till oddset 1,90 hos bet365 med 3/5 units.",
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    "in_words": "Half lost: the final score was Malmo FF 1-2 Hammarby."
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   "record_id": "n-8cb3833d4085d051140465a9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "BLGM + Över 2,5 mål @ 1.83",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-27T07:30:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T07:40:02.857Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7fc28d59616300dd4d3aa5f8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Över 2,5 mål @ 1.70",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-24T06:57:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T07:00:05.132Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8a5abb46afe1feccb5d80205",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "BLGM & Över 2,5 mål @ 1.83",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T08:58:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:19.092Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fa9e4a7c65bd7144c2fcb162",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Därför spelar jag:\nDjurgården -1,0 AH till oddset 1,83 hos bet365 med 3/5 units.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T08:48:16.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:15.875Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
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 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 17,
  "before_kickoff": 16,
  "after_kickoff": 1,
  "at_least_2h": 16,
  "share_2h_plus": 94.1,
  "median_hours": 8.8,
  "min_hours": 4.8,
  "max_hours": 50.2,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 24,
  "pages": 3,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/david/",
   "/authors/david/picks/2/",
   "/authors/david/picks/3/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 0,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 24
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/david/",
  "current": false
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 "title_tag": "David (Tippa.se) Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "David",
  "main_entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
    "medium": "Tippa.se",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "tippa.se",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "David",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 40,
     "predictions": 24,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-11-02"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
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 "data_revision": null,
 "number_changes": [],
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 24 predictions · last change 2 November 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/david/",
  "s": "2026-10-11",
  "prediction_count": 24,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-11-02",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/david/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 24 predictions · last change 2 November 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 16,
  "days": 23,
  "weeks": 5,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": true,
  "won_count": 5,
  "first_settled_on": "2026-10-11",
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
   "tracked": {
    "min_settled": 30,
    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
   "established": {
    "min_settled": 100,
    "min_days": 90
   }
  },
  "show": true
 },
 "namesake_marker": "Tippa.se",
 "colleagues": null,
 "author_type": "Tipster",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "1 record added on 11 Oct 2026 found after the match. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
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 "entity_id": "person:o-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
 "source_revision": 31,
 "related": [
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f-bank/",
   "name": "Bankroll card — David",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  }
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 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "profile.settled",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 24,
   "where": "coverage",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 24,
   "where": "picks",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.live",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.archived",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.found_after",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked.archived",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked.live",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 16,
   "where": "origin",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked",
   "entity": "e-c0f9eb2eb1ab007e0123377f",
   "value": 16,
   "where": "trust-level",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "label": true
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}
