{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/", "canonical": "/authors/david-tindall/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "David Tindall: Football Prediction Record", "description": "5 settled picks by David Tindall recorded before kick-off across 5 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026: won 2 of 5 at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by David Tindall before kick-off across 5 matches between 10 October and 3 November 2026. Won 2 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 90 predictions we hold for David Tindall, 29 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "5", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 6, "date_count": 8, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:54:43.027Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "3b2f4ccd13a3ace89683659d6c0dacaedbda74d4ca3549399093911683ef5ca9", "dependency_group": "author:e-491e411e28437458c7f7426e", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-491e411e28437458c7f7426e", "public_name": "David Tindall", "tracker_number": 1551, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-11-02" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-491e411e28437458c7f7426e-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "44.0000", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 5, "n_events": 5, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:54:43.027Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 5 settled picks across 5 matches", "average_odds": "3.45", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-4423b7fe7f19e211fe393f05", "bankroll_hundredths": 1022000, "reserve_hundredths": 10000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 22000, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:58.250Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1024000, "profit_hundredths": 24000, "outcome_id": "ish-ecd5588cecb4fc6684f552ce" }, { "at": "2026-10-11T19:32:25.015Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1014000, "profit_hundredths": 14000, "outcome_id": "ish-7a9c9121684fca3923a58aef" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:47.504Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004000, "profit_hundredths": 4000, "outcome_id": "ish-c4d5ab9d50a2800e2f7247a8" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:08.966Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994000, "profit_hundredths": -6000, "outcome_id": "ish-8f43bea4ffc474fb8b8ca1bc" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:06.807Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1022000, "profit_hundredths": 22000, "outcome_id": "ish-c60f4c8d75589e71ab545667" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 297, "recognised": 90, "accepted": 29, "executed": 8, "calculated": 6, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 47 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 19 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 10 }, { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 4 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 2 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 297, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 42, "not_about_a_match": 165, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 90, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 17, "admitted": 29, "qualifying_picks": 8, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 6, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 6, "settled_picks": 5, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 1, "matches": 5, "operations_settled": 5, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 8, "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 6, "operations_settled": 6, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.1", "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 47 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 19 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 10 }, { "code_name": "outside_coverage", "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 4 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 2 } ], "duplicates": 1, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-3e3e92d08f8ca7495989ffcb", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/picks/6/#pick-n-3e3e92d08f8ca7495989ffcb", "quote_text": "For a Bet Builder, Malen to score anytime, Roma to win, and Both Teams to Score pays 9/2.", "fragment_from": 4100, "fragment_to": 4189, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/man-utd-v-roma-prediction-preview", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "05c37f41034ee2d87b23bc8905cc0b52c6c7690f50301b6edb91767197ba436f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-fd787471d55cdcd5ccb78b6d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-fd787471d55cdcd5ccb78b6d", "quote_text": "Despite not having won any game since the 4-0 home victory over Sabah on September 10, Manchester United are the 5/4 favourites.", "fragment_from": 2413, "fragment_to": 2541, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/man-utd-v-roma-prediction-preview", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "05c37f41034ee2d87b23bc8905cc0b52c6c7690f50301b6edb91767197ba436f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", 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null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2b54d7e2345c4461f2ab550a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2b54d7e2345c4461f2ab550a", "quote_text": "surely only absolute die-hard Red Devils fans would back them at 5/4 here", "fragment_from": 2943, "fragment_to": 3016, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/man-utd-v-roma-prediction-preview", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "05c37f41034ee2d87b23bc8905cc0b52c6c7690f50301b6edb91767197ba436f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c8595f050c52165a4c47b24b", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/picks/6/#pick-n-c8595f050c52165a4c47b24b", "quote_text": "Donyell Malen has netted 11 times this season so he’s the best anytime scorer option at 6/5.", "fragment_from": 4006, "fragment_to": 4098, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/man-utd-v-roma-prediction-preview", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "05c37f41034ee2d87b23bc8905cc0b52c6c7690f50301b6edb91767197ba436f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": 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us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:47:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:54:43.686Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Donyell Malen to score", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Donyell Malen to score at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2f3a0e15dd191812eceb51bffa375c5831815c7c96d399abe602d965c7466b1a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Donyell Malen to score", "decimal_odds": "2.2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:40:52.080Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6a2a43adfbcc534396225fcdfd21c66828c8070d779290ef55a9005188121261", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Donyell Malen to 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"withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5b6f990bfb19c209569c13f2", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5b6f990bfb19c209569c13f2", "quote_text": "The game will be shown live in the UK via TNT Sports 2, with coverage starting from 5pm.", "fragment_from": 1184, "fragment_to": 1272, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/lask-v-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups-and-odds", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "713a41e59c39f83609b48b4e2d4fc70a4199d168df35277de4737c177988b6ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e107b6cf00335b94388dd262", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e107b6cf00335b94388dd262", "quote_text": "LASK v Liverpool kicks off at 5.45pm BST on Wednesday, October 14 at the Raiffeisen Arena.", "fragment_from": 1060, "fragment_to": 1150, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/lask-v-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups-and-odds", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "713a41e59c39f83609b48b4e2d4fc70a4199d168df35277de4737c177988b6ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ee69d8bb18487a30ba279385", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ee69d8bb18487a30ba279385", "quote_text": "have taken just one point out of six since in the Austrian Bundesliga.", "fragment_from": 956, "fragment_to": 1026, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/lask-v-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups-and-odds", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "713a41e59c39f83609b48b4e2d4fc70a4199d168df35277de4737c177988b6ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3bc50d588b0c9aaa03187ac9", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3bc50d588b0c9aaa03187ac9", "quote_text": "They opened the league phase with a disappointing 1-0 loss to AEK Athens", "fragment_from": 879, "fragment_to": 951, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/lask-v-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups-and-odds", "display_name": null, "speaker": "David Tindall", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "713a41e59c39f83609b48b4e2d4fc70a4199d168df35277de4737c177988b6ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T13:59:42.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T14:44:32.341Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": { "selected": 2, "by_proof": { "web_archive": 2 }, "double": 0, "span_from": "2026-09-09", "span_to": "2026-09-09", "body": "2 picks were published before kick-off and found by us only after the match had started. The time of publication is evidenced (an independent web archive copy taken before kick-off: 2). Each is priced at the market price in our own price history at that moment; the author’s own stated price, where given, is a separate line. These picks are never mixed with the record kept before kick-off and do not enter rankings or the points bankroll. Our price history starts on 26 September 2026; for earlier picks the price at publication is unknown, and the closing price is shown on its own line, outside this series.", "series_list": [ { "code_name": "publication_market_price", "display_name": "Market price at the evidenced time of publication", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "price_unknown": 2, "waiting": 0, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "late-1.0" }, { "code_name": "publication_author_price", "display_name": "Author's own stated price", "n": 2, "roi": "-100.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "price_unknown": 0, "waiting": 0, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "late-1.0" }, { "code_name": "closing_for_reference", "display_name": "Closing price (not part of this series)", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "price_unknown": 2, "waiting": 0, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "late-1.0" } ], "methodology_version": "late-1.0" }, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 6, "above": 1, "above_share_percent": "16.7", "below": 0, "within": 5, "median_difference_percent": "3.1", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/david-tindall/picks/6/#pick-n-b83f67d534583a728c85a33b", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "4.20", "market": "3.80", "difference_percent": "10.5" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "football365.com", "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/man-utd-v-roma-prediction-preview" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-11-02", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 22000, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "return_percent": "44.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by David Tindall before kick-off across 5 matches between 10 October and 3 November 2026. Won 2 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 90 predictions we hold for David Tindall, 29 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "5", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "5", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+220 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+44.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "match_dates": 5, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 22000, "low": { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6000, "after_picks": 4 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4000, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6000, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22000, "n": 5, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by David Tindall before kick-off across 5 matches between 10 October and 3 November 2026. Won 2 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 90 predictions we hold for David Tindall, 29 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 7 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/david-tindall/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 90, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 61, "proven_predictions": 22, "proven_checked": 19, "proven_measured": 6, "proven_dates": 8, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 22, "checked": 19, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 5, "void": 0, "matches": 5, "net_points_hundredths": 22000, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "return_percent": "44.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 5, "return_main_percent": "44.00", "return_other_percent": "52.00", "settled_excluding_void": 5, "net_main_points_hundredths": 22000, "net_other_points_hundredths": 26000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-03" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "26.67", "return_other_percent": "22.50", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": 8000, "net_other_points_hundredths": 6750, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-03" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 1, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 1, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": 0.0, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 1, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.", "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 1 forecast. No pre-match market price is available for these matches, so there is no market comparison.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 19, "priced": 5 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 5, "won": 2, "won_percent": "40.0", "implied_percent": "30.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "30.9" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "31.7" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "26.3" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 11, "right": 1, "wrong": 10, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 7, "checked": 6, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-57116df8468c086755885c13", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Watkins to score in a Villa win is 9/2", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-21T17:47:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:14.092Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3d3996aa6a0044fe0021eeb1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "the 2/1 for a Villa win is worth taking here", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-21T17:47:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:14.092Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 29, "before_kickoff": 22, "after_kickoff": 7, "at_least_2h": 22, "share_2h_plus": 75.9, "median_hours": 43.8, "min_hours": 30.3, "max_hours": 51.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 1, "settled_picks_all": 5, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 2, "no_recorded_line": 2, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": 12500, "difference_hundredths": -22500, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": 125.0, "author_hit_rate": 0.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 100.0, "picked_favourite_share": 0.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": 12500, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 0, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": 125.0 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12500 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 90, "pages": 6, "page_urls": [ "/authors/david-tindall/", "/authors/david-tindall/picks/2/", "/authors/david-tindall/picks/3/", "/authors/david-tindall/picks/4/", "/authors/david-tindall/picks/5/", "/authors/david-tindall/picks/6/" ], "groups": { "settled": 6, "pending": 2, "excluded": 82 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/david-tindall/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "David Tindall Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-491e411e28437458c7f7426e", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "David Tindall", "main_entity": "e-491e411e28437458c7f7426e", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-491e411e28437458c7f7426e", "medium": "football365.com", "channel": "author pages", "domain": "football365.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "David Tindall", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 297, "predictions": 90, "settled_picks": 5, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 44.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-11-02" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "composition_hash": "2791892dbb4cb3ab8799831631f00a6702ca8e009dbeff9650a475725853e797" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": 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5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-342e4eb96009f1827051", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "13.33", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0b5eca6f0a8773fce1f7fe281d12feb36b74978c4cee6c3944f5c9df9dda567b", "text": "+40.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-15.00", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f4407dc8b124a7af7eed692f1858926861816e9e788b3c8f498969f730058d82", "text": "−60.00 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e29e30adbe583309b30b", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/david-tindall/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "return_percent": "70.00", "settled_picks": 2, 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