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 "heading": "Darren Plant: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "6 settled picks by Darren Plant recorded before kick-off across 6 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: won 1 of 6 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Darren Plant before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. Won 1 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Darren Plant, 37 are linked to matches: 37 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "observation_id": "n-664d8932651633ea1ca9b547",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-664d8932651633ea1ca9b547",
   "quote_text": "We say: Estoril Praia 1-2 Maritimo",
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    "medium": "rss",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:08:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:10:58.808Z",
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   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
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   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:08:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:10:58.808Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-158dad8f8e5466426e0cdcb7",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-158dad8f8e5466426e0cdcb7",
   "quote_text": "We say: Roma 3-1 Sassuolo",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
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   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
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    "event_id": "s-3299a002210a",
    "display_name": "AS Roma — Sassuolo",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-07T19:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-sassuolo-2026-11-07/",
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    "condition": "no_result"
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   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "AS Roma 3-1 Sassuolo",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "unknown",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "AS Roma 3-1 Sassuolo",
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    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "3-1",
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    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: AS Roma 3-1 Sassuolo"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "unknown",
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting the final score",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting the final score."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "derived": true,
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     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "AS Roma",
     "decimal_odds": "1.3000",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:26:10.362Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   ],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Darren Plant",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4809a89b583a37bcc4d7e1d3",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-4809a89b583a37bcc4d7e1d3",
   "quote_text": "We say: Parma 0-2 Bologna",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
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    "display_name": "Parma — Bologna",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
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    "url": "/football/matches/parma-vs-bologna-2026-11-07/",
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   "market_label": "Correct score",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "unknown",
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "Parma 0-2 Bologna",
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    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "0-2",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Parma 0-2 Bologna"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting the final score",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting the final score."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bologna",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8400",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "unknown",
     "result_words": "Pending",
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:26:02.143Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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    "forecaster": "Darren Plant",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
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    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
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    "verdict_by": null,
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   "correction": null
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-412e662da6cc96bde4aeb610",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-412e662da6cc96bde4aeb610",
   "quote_text": "We say: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
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    "display_name": "Cagliari — Frosinone",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
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   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "9.0500",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:19.284Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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   },
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-2",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
     "decimal_odds": "9.0500",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:25:49.127Z",
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     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
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     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
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     "decimal_odds": "2.4000",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:25:54.341Z",
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     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Darren Plant",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Darren Plant",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/roma/serie-a-predictions/feature/roma-back-to-winning-ways-saturdays-serie-a-predictions_608649.html",
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    "verdict_by": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-0028e22750f034d25a1ab1b4",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-0028e22750f034d25a1ab1b4",
   "quote_text": "We say: Torino 2-1 Lecce",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Torino — Lecce",
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    "url": "/football/matches/torino-vs-lecce-2026-11-07/",
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   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Torino 2-1 Lecce",
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Torino 2-1 Lecce",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "2-1",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Torino 2-1 Lecce"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Torino 1-1 Lecce."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Torino",
     "decimal_odds": "1.8000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "result_words": "Lost",
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     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
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    "badge_label": "Only right of 9 · 3 Nov",
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   {
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    "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.20 · 3 Nov 2026",
    "details_words": "Charlton Athletic v Bolton Wanderers · Away win at 3.20 (our pre-match price)",
    "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/3/#pick-n-2babec175f245bfccef7e69a",
    "provenance": "live",
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 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportsmole.co.uk",
   "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/plymouth-parkway/fa-cup/preview/plymouth-p-vs-berkhamsted-prediction-team-news-lineups_608669.html"
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  "observed_from": "2026-09-25",
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  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
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  "settled_picks": 6,
  "matches": 6,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
  "staked_hundredths": 60000,
  "return_percent": "-50.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-10",
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  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Darren Plant before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. Won 1 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Darren Plant, 37 are linked to matches: 37 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "6",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "6",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−300 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−50.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "This page combines Darren Plant across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Darren Plant publishes”."
  ],
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    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "match_dates": 6,
    "period_from": "2026-10-10",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -30000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-24",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30000,
     "after_picks": 3
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    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
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      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Darren Plant before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. Won 1 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 52 predictions we hold for Darren Plant, 37 are linked to matches: 37 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/darren-plant/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 52,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 15,
   "proven_predictions": 37,
   "proven_checked": 35,
   "proven_measured": 32,
   "proven_dates": 13,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 37,
     "checked": 35,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 6,
      "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "staked_hundredths": 60000,
      "return_percent": "-50.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1
     },
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 26,
      "exact_hits": 1,
      "exact_rate": 3.8,
      "outcome_checked": 26,
      "outcome_hits": 11,
      "outcome_rate": 42.3,
      "baseline_matches": 18,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 18,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 8,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 44.4,
      "favourite_hits": 9,
      "favourite_rate": 50.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "1 of 26 score forecasts named the exact score (3.8%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 8 of 18 matches; the market favourite was right in 9 of the same 18 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 18 of 26 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 6
     },
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      "picks": 6,
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      "implied_percent": "26.1",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "34.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "9.7"
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      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 3,
      "right": 0,
      "wrong": 3,
      "other": 0
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    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
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      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
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     "accuracy": null
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   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-2babec175f245bfccef7e69a",
   "n-372444f9c69620f49b51de4c",
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   "n-5f9cc9fcc5913076e82679da",
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  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-09-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-412e662da6cc96bde4aeb610",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/#pick-n-412e662da6cc96bde4aeb610",
   "match": "Cagliari v Frosinone",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 10.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "9.0500",
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:48.717Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "We say: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone",
    "fragment_from": 1338,
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   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "expect Dubois to win inside the first six rounds, maybe as early as the first three.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T12:57:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:09:47.764Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ff721a773c4b6892c77c8781",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Rochdale 2-1 Swindon Town",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-01T12:26:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T13:04:39.312Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-13c68d4ad9765c18c0e84389",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "expect Gyokeres to get on the scoresheet yet again in another victory for Sweden and Potter.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:58:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T10:06:57.545Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ade0f8dd1941da0312005a07",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "expect Gyokeres to get on the scoresheet yet again in another victory for Sweden and Potter.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:58:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T10:06:57.545Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aa4357ad8d98a1bc1879094d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-3 Sweden",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:58:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T10:06:57.545Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d2721d1883298adb829d2a88",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Poland 2-1 Romania",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:43:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T10:06:57.737Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9e567a17f8192d066901d613",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "we are backing the 2026 World Cup participants to show their superior quality and experience in key moments of this contest to seal a hard-fought victory.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-28T09:19:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T10:02:11.371Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4e80518fcdb9be617ec60363",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: United Arab Emirates 1-2 Qatar",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-28T09:19:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T10:02:11.371Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a3aaa65658ceaf17b5edeb05",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T08:56:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:09:57.071Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed",
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 37,
  "before_kickoff": 37,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 37,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 48.8,
  "min_hours": 10.8,
  "max_hours": 56.8,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 27,
  "settled_picks_all": 31,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 2,
   "no_recorded_line": 2,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 270000,
  "author_net_hundredths": -14550,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 71300,
  "difference_hundredths": -85850,
  "author_return_percent": -5.39,
  "favourite_return_percent": 26.41,
  "author_hit_rate": 40.7,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 59.3,
  "picked_favourite_share": 48.1,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 27,
    "staked_hundredths": 270000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -14550,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 71300,
    "author_hits": 11,
    "favourite_hits": 16,
    "picked_favourite": 13,
    "author_return_percent": -5.39,
    "favourite_return_percent": 26.41
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9700,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9700
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -300,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -300
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13700,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13700
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 3700,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 28700
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 17400,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 42700
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7400,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 55050
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2600,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 70050
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 3950,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 76600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-16T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -6050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 89600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-16T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -16050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 102600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -26050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 92600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -36050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 82600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -29050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 89600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -39050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 101600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -49050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 113600
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -59050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 117100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -69050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 107100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -52050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 97100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -62050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 110100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -42050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 100100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -52050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 90100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -32050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 80100
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -22350,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 89800
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -32350,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 79800
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -16050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 69800
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -26050,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 59800
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14550,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 71300
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 52,
  "pages": 4,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/darren-plant/",
   "/authors/darren-plant/picks/2/",
   "/authors/darren-plant/picks/3/",
   "/authors/darren-plant/picks/4/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 6,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 46
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/darren-plant/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Darren Plant Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-08f5781223a9fa8699e244b3",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Darren Plant",
  "main_entity": "e-08f5781223a9fa8699e244b3",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-08f5781223a9fa8699e244b3",
    "medium": "Sports Mole",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk",
    "source_info": "sports-mole",
    "byline": "Darren Plant",
    "url": "/sources/sports-mole/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 881,
     "predictions": 51,
     "settled_picks": 6,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -50.0,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-09-26",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   },
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-d59aa1978d288a25d48f2734",
    "medium": "Sports Mole",
    "channel": "RSS feed",
    "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk",
    "source_info": "sports-mole",
    "byline": "Darren Plant",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 16,
     "predictions": 2,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-25",
     "period_to": "2026-10-28"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "tracked"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 6,
   "matches": 6,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-10",
   "period_to": "2026-11-07",
   "composition_hash": "51809a30b62e5a6f59da732ae8b4cfaaed13c30e27c1fddf7a0ac27b50f7b0b3"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-afa4df0c29c8a052e7dd",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
    "return_percent": "-40.00",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "406511838023da5a6676281d4ec493b7727d682c12ef97edec1171b1f16c8d17",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "-50.00",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "51809a30b62e5a6f59da732ae8b4cfaaed13c30e27c1fddf7a0ac27b50f7b0b3",
    "text": "−300.00 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-dc8ea2d9d28e37bafb1e",
   "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3",
   "url": "/authors/darren-plant/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
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