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 "heading": "Danilo Loda: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 32 settled picks by Danilo Loda recorded before kick-off across 23 matches, 21 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −22.5% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Danilo Loda before kick-off across 23 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −22.5% on the total staked. Of the 113 predictions we hold for Danilo Loda, 66 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−22.5%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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  "settled_count": 32,
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:53:59.996Z",
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 "modules": {
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3e2ba42400ef6a9b31e8307a",
  "public_name": "Danilo Loda",
  "tracker_number": 4843,
  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-18",
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 "headline_number": {
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   "amount": "-22.5109",
   "unit": "percent",
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   "n_bets": 32,
   "n_events": 23,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-66.6387",
   "ci_high": "21.3424",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "87.50",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 32 settled picks across 23 matches",
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  ],
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 "evidence_items": [
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   "quote_text": "Sto parlando di EL BILAL TOURE che scelgo come MARCATORE per il mio pronostico alta quota Parma Bologna e che EUROBET quota @5.20*",
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   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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     "market_label": "Player to score",
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     "result": "unknown",
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     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "El Bilal Touré to score",
     "decimal_odds": "5.0000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick",
   "authorship": {
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    "publisher": "Superscommesse",
    "forecaster": "danilo loda",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    "material_url": "https://www.superscommesse.it/pronostici/calcio/italia-serie_a/parma-bologna-1647705-212336.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/picks/7/#pick-n-c1313da2d3960693977d291e",
   "quote_text": "Per il pronostico Parma Bologna scelgo la DOPPIA CHANCE 1X che BETSSON offre @1.93*",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:29:34.000Z",
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   "executed_at": "2026-11-06T13:15:53.475Z",
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   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "superscommesse.it",
   "url": "https://www.superscommesse.it/pronostici/calcio/italia-serie_a/parma-bologna-1647705-212336.html"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-18",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-06",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 32,
  "matches": 23,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -72035,
  "staked_hundredths": 320000,
  "return_percent": "-22.51",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-21",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Danilo Loda before kick-off across 23 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −22.5% on the total staked. Of the 113 predictions we hold for Danilo Loda, 66 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "32",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "23",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−720.35 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−22.5%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −66.6% to +21.3%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -33333,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53333,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63333,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73333,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -69333,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57849,
    "n": 16
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67849,
    "n": 17
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72135,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92135,
    "n": 21
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -46935,
    "n": 28
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -52035,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72035,
    "n": 32
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 32,
    "matches": 23,
    "match_dates": 13,
    "period_from": "2026-10-21",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -72035,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-03",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92135,
     "after_picks": 21
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -33333,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53333,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63333,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73333,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -69333,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57849,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -67849,
      "n": 17,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72135,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92135,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -46935,
      "n": 28,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -52035,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72035,
      "n": 32,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Danilo Loda before kick-off across 23 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −22.5% on the total staked. Of the 113 predictions we hold for Danilo Loda, 66 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/danilo-loda/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 113,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 47,
   "proven_predictions": 66,
   "proven_checked": 60,
   "proven_measured": 32,
   "proven_dates": 16,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 66,
     "checked": 60,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 32,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 23,
      "net_points_hundredths": -72035,
      "staked_hundredths": 320000,
      "return_percent": "-22.51",
      "interval_low": "-66.64",
      "interval_high": "21.34",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-21",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.6",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 9
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 28,
       "return_main_percent": "-17.05",
       "return_other_percent": "-4.29",
       "settled_excluding_void": 28,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -47749,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -12000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-21",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 31,
       "return_main_percent": "-20.01",
       "return_other_percent": "-14.47",
       "settled_excluding_void": 31,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -62035,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -44848,
       "period_from": "2026-10-21",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 60,
      "priced": 32
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 32,
      "won": 12,
      "won_percent": "37.5",
      "implied_percent": "53.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 13,
        "implied_percent": "37.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "63.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "64.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "62.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "65.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "64.2"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 24,
      "right": 11,
      "wrong": 12,
      "other": 1
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-a82fcadd26c25e9e66f8d66e",
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   "n-b19186ead892a32aab4531e7",
   "n-b3b8b130f8b54c78ee8e5853",
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   "n-c5ab5317eaccdf33c39af7b8",
   "n-c8ddb5891c2e00b3d3980253",
   "n-d1991614013a4198b8912c52",
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   "n-d480fd0b2ed823e5de6678e2",
   "n-d5cb976c6867e9c918c2e6e6",
   "n-d6495cbcf8b8ee5566e7dab0",
   "n-dc150631b65ed4ac8fe1af24",
   "n-e4a658df68e8f1c8916c1ecf",
   "n-f19a12d97c66393e185f4aa4",
   "n-f61ea99d581c07a6cbc08b52"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-66.64",
  "interval_high": "21.34",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 21 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-18",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-b5e76ffde605639429bb614c",
   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/picks/7/#pick-n-b5e76ffde605639429bb614c",
   "match": "Torino v Lecce",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/torino-vs-lecce-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 25.8,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Nikola Štulić to score at 4.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "4.5",
   "settled_price": "3.6000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T12:14:53.301Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b5e76ffde605639429bb614c",
    "quote_text": "NIKOLA STULIC che scelgo come MARCATORE per il mio pronostico alta quota Torino Lecce e che EUROBET e PLANETWIN quotano @4.50*",
    "fragment_from": 3044,
    "fragment_to": 3170,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.superscommesse.it/pronostici/calcio/italia-serie_a/torino-lecce-1647706-212336.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "danilo loda",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "62cfed6c3a77ae481bea4d81a04e8cf6590ad7475903fa4fb4e32f58e8806302",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:14:53.301Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-06T12:17:25.231Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-875762aa77d4",
     "display_name": "Torino — Lecce",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/torino-vs-lecce-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Nikola Štulić to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "4.5",
     "our_snapshot": "3.6000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T12:14:04.817Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T10:11:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:14:53.301Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Nikola Štulić to score",
     "author_odds": "4.5",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Nikola Štulić to score at 4.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost — Nikola Štulić scored 0 goals; the final score was Torino 1-1 Lecce."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1bd9c2e219cd01520445e8623551a6b4600d145c9c6d871f24934685e5aded5d",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Nikola Štulić to score",
      "decimal_odds": "4.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T12:17:20.301Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "0fe084b752d4d3186d8156a8337bb51ea428ba5e19ea9d5523b4faaff8d03de7",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Nikola Štulić to score",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T12:17:25.231Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "danilo loda",
     "publisher": "Superscommesse",
     "forecaster": "danilo loda",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
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 "pagination": {
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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  "author_url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Danilo Loda Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": {
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  "n": 32,
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  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price"
 },
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  "sample": {
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    "text": "−14.49% on 29 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−41.07% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−13.68% on 27 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−41.07% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
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    "text": "−37.97% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
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    "composition_hash": "22dac70f5ae96d21242e731cfa60ca46dbcaa39067e96605d8d003e4b4cdd3d2",
    "text": "−36.16% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "4c911c61406a86f2a23a6368abbf958bd842cef9dd2ded9765858144a797fea2",
    "text": "−39.91% on 17 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "759982048e6918c62f4ae371d44b0bc3d0d2e2a9f1db7e625a3537bc5e90750d",
    "text": "−57.78% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-36.16",
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    "text": "−36.16% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
   "category": "new_results",
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    "text": "−733.33 points on 9 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-57.78",
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    "composition_hash": "759982048e6918c62f4ae371d44b0bc3d0d2e2a9f1db7e625a3537bc5e90750d",
    "text": "−57.78% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3",
   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
   "category": "new_results",
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   "before": {
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    "composition_hash": "1589632942b4093cfe7a07192a4e000ec3892bb0a582241fa5d9f4f191bc4544",
    "text": "−633.33 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
    "return_percent": "-81.48",
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    "composition_hash": "b34819a2866ec4d165a7804973d8cc80b24a8fb279d155b7b609a510f7cc8bb6",
    "text": "−733.33 points on 9 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
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    "composition_hash": "f8014fb55b07974eda5c0b1cfb579947854c2267e9c9239195d674cfebcf5efc",
    "text": "−533.33 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "return_percent": "-79.17",
    "settled_picks": 8,
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    "void": 0,
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    "composition_hash": "1589632942b4093cfe7a07192a4e000ec3892bb0a582241fa5d9f4f191bc4544",
    "text": "−633.33 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
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    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
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    "composition_hash": "4d5748bfb7c86c0c914cd345cb5a189adcbe3d678f95fc90101b3d93f9a93674",
    "text": "−333.33 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "return_percent": "-76.19",
    "settled_picks": 7,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "f8014fb55b07974eda5c0b1cfb579947854c2267e9c9239195d674cfebcf5efc",
    "text": "−533.33 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  },
  {
   "id": "zc-bb32df30f36039cc949c",
   "at": "2026-10-24T11:27:41.323Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.2",
   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "composition_hash": "257c97e2afb4c465ba2d736bee39e55ed7d17c43a1cdf36002c79349b75da522",
    "text": "−400.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-66.67",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "4d5748bfb7c86c0c914cd345cb5a189adcbe3d678f95fc90101b3d93f9a93674",
    "text": "−333.33 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
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   "url": "/authors/danilo-loda/",
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    "composition_hash": "77740885ff783a21c578ec742bfd5b0d957aaeb897c4028583fa448646120437",
    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "257c97e2afb4c465ba2d736bee39e55ed7d17c43a1cdf36002c79349b75da522",
    "text": "−400.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
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    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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      "small_sample": true,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-29",
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
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      "void": 0,
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