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null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-57cba5bd2cff2766431d344f", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-57cba5bd2cff2766431d344f", "quote_text": "Gunners al top (Fleetwood a parte) tra Premier e Champions; Slavia al vertice in Liga1 e malino in Europa.", "fragment_from": 7954, "fragment_to": 8060, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": 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Offerta limitata nel tempo", "fragment_from": 8428, "fragment_to": 8482, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7ed4600032ae4f6195b1da9419fa6abe90675a9fd1e5cefc61fca6d93afb4733", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8826bf8d115a9e0ca9d3cd6f", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/5/#pick-n-8826bf8d115a9e0ca9d3cd6f", "quote_text": "Multigol 2-4\n\nQuota\n1.52\n\nScommessa piuttosto interessante con una quota ragionevole, che abbraccia potenzialmente l'eventualità che anche lo Slavia Praga possa segnare.\n\nAnche se così non fosse, comunque, immaginare l'Arsenal segnare almeno 2 reti ma non più di 4, sarebbe secondo noi assai realistico, anche vedendo le dimensioni dei successi dei Gunners in questi mesi.\n\nEcco perché, per noi, il Multigol 2-4 rappresenta un'opzione molto valida.", "fragment_from": 12502, "fragment_to": 12950, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7ed4600032ae4f6195b1da9419fa6abe90675a9fd1e5cefc61fca6d93afb4733", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e301a898ff3a69cc884491e1", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/6/#pick-n-e301a898ff3a69cc884491e1", "quote_text": "Arsenal vince\n\nQuota\n1.25\n\nDovendo optare per uno tra i tre segni dell'esito finale è chiaro che la nostra indicazione (anche in virtù del pronostico principale) cada sul 2.\n\nNon solo c'è un Arsenal più che mai vincente e performante in questo 2026/2027 ma anche il precedente dello scorso anno (vittoria per 0-3).\n\nLo Slavia Praga ha risposto \"presente\" nel suo campionato ma la Champions, specie contro le grandi, dovrebbe risultare un gradino troppo elevato da superare per la squadra ceca che, finora, nella competizione ha già perso contro Lens e Sabah.", "fragment_from": 12982, "fragment_to": 13540, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7ed4600032ae4f6195b1da9419fa6abe90675a9fd1e5cefc61fca6d93afb4733", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-74eec71471f0", "display_name": "SK Slavia Praha — Arsenal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Arsenal", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "author_odds": "1.25", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SK Slavia Praha 1-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9cee130b3e4798e8c78319f6f9e07a99362e63c1500877a81d4ced7ca01bb8c3", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6e11f3abae689a9935d3d1374d2fae023bb87683a20f8f6643f9d31e899e2269", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Daniele Cerato", "publisher": "sportytrader.it", "forecaster": "Daniele Cerato", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-201fc62750a659c288a6cdd1", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/5/#pick-n-201fc62750a659c288a6cdd1", "quote_text": "La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Slavia Praga e Arsenal è del 28.1% con una quota di 6.25 su Bet365.", "fragment_from": 2493, "fragment_to": 2629, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7ed4600032ae4f6195b1da9419fa6abe90675a9fd1e5cefc61fca6d93afb4733", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-74eec71471f0", "display_name": "SK Slavia Praha — Arsenal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "6.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:39:44.600Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "6.25", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 6.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SK Slavia Praha 1-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "49f273388e5d8e950d773186ee6b5fc1bf9dc24865095b4368bf960d971c7ff3", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "71ef28f835694f67a03697a1ee8801f4e1ab5ca3b8fda3fa90c96759a7b93356", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Daniele Cerato", "publisher": "sportytrader.it", "forecaster": "Daniele Cerato", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/slavia-praga-arsenal-384838/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-90c1a89704c173919b7cc8ed", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/6/#pick-n-90c1a89704c173919b7cc8ed", "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico Slavia Praga - Arsenal\n\nLo scontro diretto di un anno fa, terminato con una rotonda vittoria dei Gunners (0-3) e con un quasi dominio già nel primo tempo di gioco è solo un indizio.\n\nGli ultimi successi in Premier League contro le due squadre di Liverpool (Reds ed Everton) sono stati convincenti e hanno visto i Gunners approcciare bene alla partita motivo per cui, contro uno Slavia Praga che ha sì vinto facilmente in campionato ma che in Champions subisce molti gol, il 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A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportytrader.it", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/leeds-tottenham-385314/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-05", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 26333, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "13.86", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Daniele Cerato before kick-off across 15 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +13.9% on the total staked. Of the 94 predictions we hold for Daniele Cerato, 42 are linked to matches: 39 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "19", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "15", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+263.33 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+13.9%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −21.4% to +51.4%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3197, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2359, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24016, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25502, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 30132, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39594, "n": 11 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 29594, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36261, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17561, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26333, "n": 19 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "match_dates": 11, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 26333, "low": { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39594, "after_picks": 11 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3197, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2359, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24016, "n": 7, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25502, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 30132, "n": 9, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39594, "n": 11, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 29594, "n": 12, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36261, "n": 13, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17561, "n": 18, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26333, "n": 19, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Daniele Cerato before kick-off across 15 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +13.9% on the total staked. Of the 94 predictions we hold for Daniele Cerato, 42 are linked to matches: 39 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/daniele-cerato/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 94, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 52, "proven_predictions": 39, "proven_checked": 39, "proven_measured": 20, "proven_dates": 16, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 39, "checked": 39, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 19, "void": 0, "matches": 15, "net_points_hundredths": 26333, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "13.86", "interval_low": "-21.42", "interval_high": "51.43", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 18, "return_main_percent": "13.80", "return_other_percent": "12.67", "settled_excluding_void": 18, "net_main_points_hundredths": 24847, "net_other_points_hundredths": 22800, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 15, "return_main_percent": "12.42", "return_other_percent": "23.22", "settled_excluding_void": 15, "net_main_points_hundredths": 18633, "net_other_points_hundredths": 34830, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 1, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 1, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": 0.0, "baseline_matches": 1, "baseline_distinct_matches": 1, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 0.0, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": 0.0, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.", "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 0 of the same match.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 39, "priced": 19 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 19, "won": 13, "won_percent": "68.4", "implied_percent": "56.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 5, "picks": 9, "implied_percent": "51.6" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 5, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "57.6" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "62.1" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "87.1" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 5, "right": 1, "wrong": 4, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 3, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-00201ed9667653a7fef7a1af", "n-0768af13895cd2b3ae27534a", "n-103976e0bbf01621909db85b", "n-1be976d5af7f60c04e3a95be", "n-358656c3bc282bd4fe0e4700", "n-3617b7f9b3c8cd9d26e5abd1", "n-4bd18f6b9c30c5836b56e22c", "n-523b7cd5dc3278301f1371dd", "n-5e2eef7e3d091d3da7f8fdf8", "n-5e733f95353a388b50def102", "n-6514c20dd48790de2c7f0841", "n-67ec8c8dab15045b38e85b6a", "n-6db1ca769c77957273e4ef2f", "n-8352000b11338a83c7d22da2", "n-9ce350a6fa3a738269c0ce6c", "n-b59e3c805c7b1b15d49b1395", "n-be58e2e070a1b642e62ee59d", "n-d1fd83b5854f11e829f743f7", "n-fb40f2d271bb8406f6a157ac" ], "interval_low": "-21.42", "interval_high": "51.43", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-09", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-be58e2e070a1b642e62ee59d", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/6/#pick-n-be58e2e070a1b642e62ee59d", "match": "Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.86", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8772, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.86", "settled_price": "1.8772", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T12:39:53.445Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "under", "price": "1.8772", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 8772, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-be58e2e070a1b642e62ee59d", "quote_text": "Under 2.5 gol\n\n1.86", "fragment_from": 10016, "fragment_to": 10035, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/leeds-tottenham-385314/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "68348b418a728c0bc1d3099fb6d7b273ee465e983b72495b15074547c58e339b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T12:39:53.445Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T12:41:02.702Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f45f3e972ed1", "display_name": "Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.86", "our_snapshot": "1.8772", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T12:39:18.751Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8772, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T12:39:53.445Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "1.86", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.86" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f98f844a0e941c765e9946416c299a64e98db0af8c5fcc8c80559e4afd995c41", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.86", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8600, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T12:40:57.084Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c7d7309d2d4b05a648144966dd6bce98b97aca31c84b64bab2ed9c1e16299d62", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8772", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8772, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T12:41:02.702Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Daniele Cerato", "publisher": "sportytrader.it", "forecaster": "Daniele Cerato", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/leeds-tottenham-385314/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-0768af13895cd2b3ae27534a", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/6/#pick-n-0768af13895cd2b3ae27534a", "match": "Getafe v Brighton & Hove Albion", "match_url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "lead_hours": 35.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.55", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5700, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.55", "settled_price": "1.5700", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T08:54:42.318Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "1.5700", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5700, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0768af13895cd2b3ae27534a", "quote_text": "Brighton vince\n\nQuota\n1.55", "fragment_from": 12143, "fragment_to": 12169, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/getafe-brighton-385264/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniele Cerato", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4b8347300299afc7ac67be43cae6afb189afbdd81a095c651b4da29c6e0f53b1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-04T08:54:42.318Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T08:57:33.933Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-acfd1cf99e26", "display_name": "Getafe — Brighton & Hove Albion", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.55", "our_snapshot": "1.5700", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T08:53:48.621Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-04T08:54:42.318Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "author_odds": "1.55", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Getafe 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "835b68bced53577830edc54b748286ec32adfdd895fb028983abce66aad0affd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.55", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5500, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T08:57:33.148Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6e48443c252001dd2c51909084de53d69913c65cf1f42a44fb015d01a27c3869", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.5700", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T08:57:33.933Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", 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"final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T15:39:45.398Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-99569cd9b3d18107361a6f19", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 58.16% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia con una quota di 2.26 su Sportbet.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": 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"lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Dusan Vlahovic Segna o Assist Sì\n\nQuota\n2.10", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:46.434Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-def3cdff61cd987d10e8fe6c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Multigol 2-4\n\n1.56", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:46.434Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4994c53a16608f356bed9325", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Multigol 2-4\n\n1.56", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:46.434Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-060986a4394d421f831bee10", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tempo con più gol 2\n\nQuota\n2.05", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": 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Ecco, quindi, il nostro pronostico Ferencvaros Viktoria Plzen: Ferencvaros vince.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nFerencváros vince\n\n2.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:09:50.689Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-730f797e11fd64dd8f9d62d6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Multigol Casa 1-2\n\n1.58", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:24:45.494Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0589c51eae7fbdd4f4ed48f7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Florian Thauvin Gol o Assist Sì\n\nQuota\n1.95", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:12.597Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-32f1beacb41428bcbf443727", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Lens vince\n\nQuota\n2.63", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:12.597Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b5ee1296e8025740a25aca42", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:12.597Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4cd1b0a9ecd02db9109ea130", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Multigol 1-3\n\n1.71", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:01:45.201Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2fa1ceee6b678e84570d009e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\n1 + Under 4.5\n\n1.85", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T16:31:38.789Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-66e5b9208acbb3da73c26353", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\n1X + Multigol 1-5\n\n1.6", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:24.074Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8cb0998226246edafc4fcc6c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.77", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:10.917Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 39, "before_kickoff": 39, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 39, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 47.1, "min_hours": 24.0, "max_hours": 48.0, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 15, "settled_picks_all": 19, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 1, "no_recorded_line": 3, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 150000, "author_net_hundredths": -8653, "favourite_net_hundredths": 27297, "difference_hundredths": -35950, "author_return_percent": -5.77, "favourite_return_percent": 18.2, "author_hit_rate": 60.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 73.3, "picked_favourite_share": 80.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 8, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "author_net_hundredths": -22051, "favourite_net_hundredths": -201, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 5, "picked_favourite": 6, "author_return_percent": -27.56, "favourite_return_percent": -0.25 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 5, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "author_net_hundredths": 1175, "favourite_net_hundredths": 15275, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 4, "picked_favourite": 4, "author_return_percent": 2.35, "favourite_return_percent": 30.55 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": 12223, "favourite_net_hundredths": 12223, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": 61.12, "favourite_return_percent": 61.12 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3197, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3197 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2359, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2359 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 5216, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 5216 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4784, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4784 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -154, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -154 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 4608, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4608 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -5392, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -5392 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1275, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1275 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8725, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13125 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3125, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 18725 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2575, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 24425 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -7425, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 28525 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17425, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 18525 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8653, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 27297 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 94, "pages": 6, "page_urls": [ "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/2/", "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/3/", "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/4/", "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/5/", "/authors/daniele-cerato/picks/6/" ], "groups": { "settled": 24, "pending": 0, "excluded": 70 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Daniele Cerato Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-3c91f5bebca86c0f41fea333", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Daniele Cerato", "main_entity": "e-3c91f5bebca86c0f41fea333", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-3c91f5bebca86c0f41fea333", "medium": "SportyTrader.it", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportytrader.it", "source_info": "sportytrader-it", "byline": "Daniele Cerato", "url": "/sources/sportytrader-it/", "summary": { "statements": 528, "predictions": 94, "settled_picks": 19, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 13.86, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "ae69ad17fd52fd1db97a8a2ebb206641d888482bab4a0335b4de3324edb253ff" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-01934f3c58625609c208", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "9.76", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ed249f1946fe3c4843550e42134b198d49cc7a382e7f4bdbda8e3b97346a7b2e", "text": "+9.76% on 18 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "13.86", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ae69ad17fd52fd1db97a8a2ebb206641d888482bab4a0335b4de3324edb253ff", "text": "+13.86% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-af7c65569c0660c6a955", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "27.89", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a886571847890fa237df4c325564be33fff7caf84636040b7c868ec91e90d134", "text": "+27.89% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "9.76", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ed249f1946fe3c4843550e42134b198d49cc7a382e7f4bdbda8e3b97346a7b2e", "text": "+9.76% on 18 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6d5be0282afdb22cf6d2", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "24.66", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "85b98dd618ea7125894759591c893e7103fed61a65406437b4a9c6bf0f5aa30f", "text": "+24.66% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "27.89", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a886571847890fa237df4c325564be33fff7caf84636040b7c868ec91e90d134", "text": "+27.89% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a2d7c77e1167cd5e9a70", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "35.99", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f243ef250f4f11d34fdc3b582be9fd6b0c14d928f95b840870a052f13f331ed7", "text": "+35.99% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "24.66", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "85b98dd618ea7125894759591c893e7103fed61a65406437b4a9c6bf0f5aa30f", "text": "+24.66% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f81f01e3fbcfb4d9f662", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "17.59", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a06803b9bba16d14d3b7786c61d8fd5eec0672ed81f25c24a8f0e3a3c9f87ffc", "text": "+17.59% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "35.99", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f243ef250f4f11d34fdc3b582be9fd6b0c14d928f95b840870a052f13f331ed7", "text": "+35.99% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-90f6bf22372219e2e75e", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "7.62", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ce072bb6f27611beade63a8950c0ef9e69d7cfd9b6a98c6ab86c350052a11063", "text": "+60.94 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "17.59", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a06803b9bba16d14d3b7786c61d8fd5eec0672ed81f25c24a8f0e3a3c9f87ffc", "text": "+17.59% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c1d749d940a34a53ffa2", "at": "2026-10-21T02:27:55.722Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "1.90", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c7b9afe768bd9611609be6841b353f399d1a785607348fdd1d6fb243472d6e86", "text": "+13.32 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "7.62", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ce072bb6f27611beade63a8950c0ef9e69d7cfd9b6a98c6ab86c350052a11063", "text": "+60.94 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c34c6a8b902a77a47dde", "at": "2026-10-19T23:18:20.062Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-5.50", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c73386a8cc4b1f52f8bd1cd5ba6af015bb17aae5ca2c4acbb7d9500c35a624ea", "text": "−32.98 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "1.90", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c7b9afe768bd9611609be6841b353f399d1a785607348fdd1d6fb243472d6e86", "text": "+13.32 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-34a99daeaa1c221d8948", "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "return_percent": "-9.57", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8af2300adc5ccf3041fdda63d43e12b9759d1a4932dc03e84c7a3262a9e00db8", "text": "−47.84 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-5.50", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c73386a8cc4b1f52f8bd1cd5ba6af015bb17aae5ca2c4acbb7d9500c35a624ea", "text": "−32.98 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-49b764af25d77da3b707", "at": "2026-10-15T21:55:15.257Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.8", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.7", "return_percent": "13.04", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3a938757b1ca43bf15d1126af3666f6505dc21d8bc8953a6f23d368a51fec30b", "text": "+52.16 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "return_percent": "-9.57", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8af2300adc5ccf3041fdda63d43e12b9759d1a4932dc03e84c7a3262a9e00db8", "text": "−47.84 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b070ab025230df2478c2", "at": "2026-10-15T19:51:34.525Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.6", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.5", "return_percent": "7.86", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c097742494dab5d63ceb47083e1f36b58b7cd9c51d304680c709a069e124919c", "text": "+23.59 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.7", "return_percent": "13.04", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3a938757b1ca43bf15d1126af3666f6505dc21d8bc8953a6f23d368a51fec30b", "text": "+52.16 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-38cd1c64ecfca12feadf", "at": "2026-10-12T21:23:00.584Z", "data_version": "2026-10-12.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-12.4", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "-15.98", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e030e5786d8119fc750348f95353b72a7021f0fa1971357dc3abecfc2f727f4d", "text": "−31.97 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.5", "return_percent": "7.86", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c097742494dab5d63ceb47083e1f36b58b7cd9c51d304680c709a069e124919c", "text": "+23.59 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-90df8a3b2d58603fef71", "at": "2026-10-11T21:54:36.315Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "15a5d4b0e958b120409d6a1cff637b5696072ea75ec27884f77ab1cd5c0b9238", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "-15.98", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e030e5786d8119fc750348f95353b72a7021f0fa1971357dc3abecfc2f727f4d", "text": "−31.97 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c5ea8ccfbfb58f081a3a", "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3", "url": "/authors/daniele-cerato/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "15a5d4b0e958b120409d6a1cff637b5696072ea75ec27884f77ab1cd5c0b9238", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 19, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 9, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -51, "return_percent": "-0.1", "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.30", "odds_from_author": 9, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 7, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 12675, "return_percent": "18.1", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.77", "odds_from_author": 7, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 12223, "return_percent": "61.1", "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.60", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1486, "return_percent": "14.9", "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-10-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.15", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Premier League", "in_words": "Premier League", "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/", "settled_picks": 6, "won": 4, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 444, "return_percent": "0.7", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.56", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 1, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -5370, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.61", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -1228, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.73", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 5556, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-10-12", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.54", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1486, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-10-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.15", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Europa League", "in_words": "UEFA Europa League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/", "settled_picks": 5, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -4743, "return_percent": "-9.5", "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.44", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -17143, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.01", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 12400, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.58", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Conference League", "in_words": "UEFA Conference League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/", "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 7700, "return_percent": "19.2", "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.41", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 17700, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.32", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-11-05", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.70", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Champions League", "in_words": "UEFA Champions League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 9462, "return_percent": "47.3", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.48", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 4762, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.50", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 4700, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.45", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "in_words": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "url": "/football/competitions/efl-cup-carabao/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 6667, "return_percent": "66.7", "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.66", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 6667, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.66", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "LaLiga", "in_words": "LaLiga", "url": "/football/competitions/laliga/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 6803, "return_percent": "68.0", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-11", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.63", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 6803, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-11", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.63", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] } ], "best_slice": null } ], "best_slice": null }, "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 94 predictions · last change 5 November 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/daniele-cerato/", "s": "2026-10-09", "prediction_count": 94, "refreshed_at": "2026-11-05", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 94 predictions · last change 5 November 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "probation", "in_words": "Probation", "settled_count": 39, "days": 29, "weeks": 5, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 21, "first_settled_on": "2026-10-10", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": [ { "source_code": "sportytrader-it", "source_name": "SportyTrader.it", "source_url": "/sources/sportytrader-it/", "label": "Also at SportyTrader.it", "authors_total": 6, "authors": [ { "name": "Alberto Mauro", "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 48, "return_percent": "2.8", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.73", "odds_from_author": 48, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "name": "Marco Avena", "url": "/authors/marco-avena/", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 47, "return_percent": "-11.8", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.96", "odds_from_author": 47, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "name": "Massimiliano Ciancaglioni", "url": 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